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Notes -
A tiny note on the war
In the previous thread, I got some pushback for suggesting that not only did the US strike the Iranian school in Minab, killing 170 children or something like that, but perhaps it did so intentionally (or at least without remorse for the possible consequences of erroneous targeting). I admit that wasn't fully sincere. I realize that, even morals aside, there is no perceived military value in bombing children, at least not for the US (I do think Israelis may target children of IRGC officers out of their usual Bronze Age blood feud sentiment, Oct 7, Gaza and all, seen enough of their remarks to this effect; but then again they don't operate Tomahawks).
Well now the question on it having been an American strike appears settled. As for the intent – it's not so straightforward:
Does it matter if there was no intent if the United States, as of now, also has a revealed preference to not bother with minimizing such risks, in favor of «lethality» and some zany Judeo-Christian nationalism courtesy the power-tripping macho TV host Pete Hegseth? I believe it does, but marginally; about as much as those girls matter to Lethal Pete. I rest my case.
More to the point. It's remarkable that there's so little discussion of contemporary historical events on here. I won't criticize anyone, be the change you want etc.; but what we are seeing is pretty astonishing from the culture war standpoint. Could someone like Pete be imaginable as the Secretary of War – no, Defense – in 2023? 2019, even? 2016? It looks as if the politically dominant culture of the United States changed overnight. Does everyone just like it too much to find the change worth commenting on?
Let's review some basic facts.
-The children were being educated in a former military building.
-This building was close to a military installation which would be a likely target in an active war.
-Iran was being actively bombed before this horrible catastrophe occurred. There was every reason to believe the military installation could be a target.
-Despite knowing all of this, the Iranian government chose to continue to have those children attend school nearby, in a former military building, risking their lives to a possible mistake such as this. If there is even a one in a million chance of a mistaken bombing, why the fuck would you continue to place children in that building??? Did the Iranian government have THAT much faith in the precision targeting of the US military?
-The Iranian government quite recently demonstrated a willingness to kill thousands of their own citizens, and also blocked the internet access of Iranians so the atrocities could not be fully documented and shared with the world. They demonstrated that they could accept the deaths of thousands of their own citizens, in order to cling to power.
(None of these facts is in serious dispute, as far as I know. Let me know if I am missing any crucial details.)
Unless my understanding of the facts is wrong in some critical fashion, I think everyone should assign at least 92% of the blame to the Iranian government. The best case scenario is that they practiced extreme negligence with the lives of their own children.
When London was being bombed in World War II, they correctly shipped their children out to the countryside where it was a lot safer. If there's any possibility that your children will be harmed, that's the obvious thing to do!
And the worst case scenario is that the Iranian government knowingly placed children in harm's way, expecting that if they put enough children in harm's way, some of them might get harmed. And in this scenario they knew from watching the Gaza war that when children get harmed, it presents a massive propaganda coup for the side associated with the child victims, no matter how negligent that side has been.
And why is it a propaganda coup? Because almost everyone is either ignorant and doesn't bother to investigate the facts, or else they are eager to blame literally anything on the US government (or Israeli government), even when what occurred has absolutely no positive value for the US government or Israeli government and is clearly a mistake. After all, who wants to blame the side which "lost its children in a horrible way? what good person would ever blame them for the deaths of their own children???".
And yet, the only way to get the Iranian government, and other governments, to stop negligently or deliberately jeopardizing their children, is to harshly punish them every time they risk the lives of their own children.
(And should the US government be more careful? If it's at all practicable, then yes. Not just to protect innocent children (even if the government of the children refuses to protect them), but also partly because most people are either morons that don't bother to assess basic facts, or else to avoid giving the anti-American propagandists- including the ones inside our country- any fresh material.)
when? What was bombed? 8 months ago, two remote nuclear sites with precision bunker busters from B-2s?
Children are educated on military bases throughout the world. Iran was not living in a condition of war before you perfidiously started bombing them. They submitted a pretty good deal to Kushner and Witkoff, who refused, by all accounts because they're at once illiterate and bloodthirsty, as befits the upper caste of the Trumpian society.
This is all pointless mimicry of being a person, going through the motions of an argument. I don't even think you're being disingenuous. That's require more self-awareness.
How long after the recent bombing campaign started did this school incident take place? I honestly don't know.
I'm also interested in the substance and timing of these negotiations as well. What proposal was submitted and when? How did the US respond, if at all? How long afterwards did the hostilities begin?
Keith Woods has a pretty good article on some of the absurdity with linked sources:
Who would have thought that Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner representing America's interest could have led to this result?
The Witkoff/Kushner subversion is the "Iraqi WMDs" 2.0.
For people who do not have a Twitter account, see the word "thread", and immediately manually rewrite the URL from "x.com" (where a thread cannot be read by a non-logged-in person) to "xcancel.com" (where it can), I feel obligated to point out that your link leads, not to a thread, but to an "article" (apparently a new feature), which can be read on x.com by a non-logged-in person but cannot be read at all on xcancel.com (yet).
Also, a non-Twitter version of the same content is available on Substack.
Thanks fixed.
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