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PaperclipPerfector  6d ago (text post)   20941 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of August 17, 2026

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I read "nearly all" to be a statement about ratios, not absolute numbers. What you (and Sloot above) said applies to absolute numbers.

Perhaps what you are trying to argue is that all things equal a larger amount of black crime would be interracial compared to white crime?

I agree that would be true as a matter of logic. As a matter of fact, though, all things are not equal.

Perhaps what you are trying to argue is that all things equal a larger amount of black crime would be interracial compared to white crime?

It seems to me that this would apply equally to both perpetration and victimization, so @Jiro 's point still doesn't make any sense.

So for example, suppose there are 100 blacks and 100,000,000 whites in society. If crime is randomly distributed, one would expect that if a black person is involved in a crime, almost certainly the other participant is white (while at the same time, if a white person is involved in a crime, almost certainly the other participant is NOT black).

But critically, this point applies equally to both black perpetrators AND black victims. So that if one looks only at interracial crimes, the ratio should still be equal.

Here's the point that was being responded to:

nearly all cross-race rapes between Whites and Blacks involve a White female victim

The argument that @Jiro made -- about relative sizes of populations -- doesn't explain this at all.

Perhaps what you are trying to argue is that all things equal a larger amount of black crime would be interracial compared to white crime?

Thank you.

I'm missing something. My model showed 16:16 total, or a 1:1 ratio. What did you mean?

Gesturing toward “nearly all” or “ratios” doesn’t salvage whatever point you were trying to make, it only further illustrates how the real world rejects the null hypothesis that black and white men are equally likely to commit rape/interracial rape.

In the hypothetical example I described—where by construction black and white men had equal propensity for rape and chose their victims randomly—the expected ratio of black-men-on-white-women to white-men-on-black-women rapes was 1:1. That is, white women were 50% of interracial rapes in the hypothetical, unlike “the [real world] phenomena that nearly all cross-race rapes between Whites and Blacks involve a White female victim” that @coffee_enjoyer mentioned.

I read "nearly all" to be a statement about ratios, not absolute numbers

Even so, your math is completely wrong. In a hypothetical world where (1) blacks and whites are equally likely to be rapists; and (2) victims are chosen at random, one would expect the ratio to be 1:1 as between black on white rape and white on black rape.

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