domain:badcyber.com
HereAndGone
18m ago
May I gently correct you, as we're discussing AI errors, that it's Nate Silver not Adam Silver.
Were it indeed Adam Silver (whoever he may be) that used Yahoo Entertainment News as a source, it would be understandable!
HereAndGone
24m ago
If you're replacing a guy who has been ten years in the job, you'll still be known as "this is our new whosis" even after a year, much less two months.
Rov_Scam
28m ago
I guess the Soviets should have just let the Germans roll over them, then, as soon as they started surrendering by the hundreds of thousands. 20 million dead could have easily been avoided if they had just seen the writing on the wall and given up.
Naturally, you can't get a factory ready for production in a month, but possibly in less than a year.
Modern weapons are complex. Building a factory to make something simple today might happen under a year, but for high-tech production of stuff with proprietary components that can't be bought from several vendors it just gets vastly more complicated. This simply isn't the 1940s when the most complex weapons may have had some electronics. Something like radar seeker heads is extremely specialised tech. Solid rocket fuel either, zero civilian use. Missiles are absolutely unused in civilian world, so are probably missile parts like those specialised servos etc. Expanding production in wartime requires having the entire specialised supply chain ready and waiting, so you existing workforce can train new people. This rarely or never happens.
but hopefully, there is someone whose job it is to worry about how quickly one can scale up production quickly.
No. Not happening. We aren't in WW2 era where you could convert an auto plant to an airplane plant with relative ease. Scaling production quickly is now really hard. You need whole mothballed plants with crews keeping the production going at low volume to maintain the ability. This is something only governments with money to spare such as Russia or China can manage. It'd never fly in any pensioner-heavy democracy, nor in the US.
If you look into this more closely, 'streamlining' and lowering cost was popular. US ended up with having problems of this type:
There's no reason to worry. US is going to abandon Europe and nothing really bad could result there, worst case Turkey or Russia conquers some unimportant part. The war with China in the Pacific is almost certainly lost on a numerical basis alone, so there won't be a big war. Maybe something silly like US Navy letting Taiwan hang but blockading Malacca strait etc. US itself is pretty safe.
HereAndGone
36m ago
ChatGPT fucked up halfway through the first sentence. Mark Carney has been PM for almost 2 months now. Almost as long as Trump has been president, and it would be unthinkable to refer to Trump as "America's new president"
That is the nittiest of picks. Everybody knows who Trump is, you don't need to tell us he's the new president. You do need to tell us who Mark Carney is, because most people are going to go "Who the hell is Mark Carney?" and "Canada had an election?"
It still feels to me that Canada is only going to have its election, particularly as Carney became prime minister before the federal election was called, and that was only back in March (I'm still on the "wait, what do you mean April is over now?" calendar, my biorhythms seem to be really out of sync these days).
Carney became PM on 14th March, the federal election was held 28th April, today is 3rd May. That's not really feeling like "two months" to me yet.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
45m ago
The mid-late 2010s were genuinely easier.
Yes, but the Millennials were STILL complaining about how bad it was. That was the era in which occasionally one of them would post such nonsense and I'd go to FRED and pick graph after graph showing how each of the things they talked about was actually at an all-time good RIGHT NOW (i.e. at the time of the post)
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
48m ago
Weren't the vast majority of the frozen assets held by the Europeans, who didn't seem to be keen on playing along with any Trump-brokered deal?
I can't see a world in which Trump and Zelensky and Putin all agree but the Europeans queer the deal.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
50m ago
Beats losing a war of attrition, usually. Certainly did in WWI. Russia seems willing to take the hit. This seems crazy to me, but as far as I can tell Putin really wants a Ukraine that's part of Russia and/or under Russia's thumb, and is willing for his countrymen to pay the price to get it.
HereAndGone
56m ago
They were paid in exposure, that's worth more than mere money!
HereAndGone
57m ago
This incident should significantly lower the credibility of Yahoo News
Wait, they had credibility in the first place?
It is depressing me how much clearly AI-generated filler is being used by all media outlets, and not even cursorily edited or checked - I've seen words spelled wrongly, sentences that trail off without an ending, and worse. But hey, it fills up the page so they can trap us for the ads, which is all they want!
stuckinbathroom
57m ago
Make Electrical Engineering Solely for Americans?
HereAndGone
59m ago
"You idiots are defending the slop" managed to neatly derail the discussion onto "is this genuine AI fakery or are detection tools 100% reliable?" track away from "reputable source quotes fake info and doesn't seem to realise it's fake" which they wanted discussed.
Maybe next time don't do that?
HereAndGone
1hr ago
these quotes are hallucinations
Huh. I wasn't particularly following the Silver piece, just mostly skimmed it. I have no familiarity with the Walz speech and frankly don't care enough about him to dig out the original video to listen to it.
You tell me these are AI hallucinations and not genuine Walz quotes, I'll take it on trust. But they read enough like something Walz would say that the average person (like myself) who isn't particularly concerned one way or the other would just accept 'yeah, he said that'.
I suppose that is now the AI propaganda danger - able to fake convincing general 'politician speak' well enough so that the casual reader who isn't paying much attention because they don't particularly care about "guy makes speech someplace to somebody about something" gets fooled.
SubstantialFrivolity
I'm not even supposed to be here today
1hr ago
It's true. But I would say the primary difficulty (for me) isn't hitting the parry correctly, it's when the attack makes you think it's about to fall but then hangs in the air for another 2s and hits you when you're recovering from the animation. I find dodges equally susceptible to that problem.
Also to be honest my gripe is that the very damaging attacks exist in the first place. I don't like Dark Souls and don't want it in my JRPG. The places where it creeps in have been few thus far, but every time it's been a bummer for that reason.
walruz
1hr ago
Yes, this whole war is clearly just a ukronazi scheme to keep Zelensky in power. They don't even have elections! (let's conveniently ignore the fact that wartime elections are illegal according to Ukranian law)
They really should just follow the will of the Ukranian people and give up instead of following the deeply unbased metrosexual libtard agenda of (draws card) remaining sovereign and not ethnically cleansed.
WhiningCoil
1hr ago
I was going to say, didn't Hanania have several public tantrums on his blog about Elon, largely because his twitter derived income fell off a cliff?
BurdensomeCount
Messenger Status: Shot
1hr ago
Even if he is having this problem (I doubt it), Hanania is classy enough to not throw a public tantrum.
quiet_NaN
1hr ago
I think that almost nobody in Western Europe, in their heart of hearts, really believes that Europe will fall to Putin if he manages to turn Ukraine into Belarus 2.0.
If his special military operation had gone differently, Europe would not have mounted a counter-attack to free Ukraine. The preferred phrasing is "Europe is willing to defend Ukraine to the last Ukrainian soldier".
From a point of view of maintaining the rule based international order, it makes sense to punish defectors like Putin as long as it is costing us little (compared to WW3) to do so. (Yes, we did let him get away with Chechnya, but that is his backyard, while Ukraine is his front yard. The IRBO states very clearly that the only country which is supposed to get away with intervening where-ever they like is the US.)
From the point of depleting the stockpiles of weapons and recruits of a potential adversary, supporting Ukraine is likewise great. Perhaps Putin is genuinely uninterested in extending his sphere of influence over Eastern Europe and just wants to control what he considers Russia, just like it would have been possible that Hitler only wanted control of the territories with a German majority in Austria and the Sudetenland, but either is hard to know beforehand without being able to read both his mind and the mind of his successors.
If Putin instead had tried his regime change op in Poland, the European reaction would have been on quite a different level, because Poland is NATO. My guess is that at least 80% of the NATO countries would be willing to send troops to their death in Poland, and the ones who do not will functionally quit NATO. Article 5 is a promise, and if you defect from that promise, then NATO is dead and Putin is free to attack European countries one by one. (Of course, given what we saw in Ukraine, it seems unlikely that he would win the war for Poland against European forces even without US support, but that just makes it that much easier to commit to fight.)
With regard to guaranteeing what remains of Ukraine, the question for me is if it would make sense to allow whatever will be left of Ukraine into NATO. There are quite a few pros and cons to that. On the one hand, Ukraine is the one country which has serious combat experience fighting Russia, and they are indeed positioned well to strike for Moscow, so a NATO Ukraine would force Russia to deploy a lot of defensive troops in that area if she ever becomes serious about starting the next world war. On the other hand, Russia seems to have a bee in her bonnet about getting Ukraine heim ins Reich, and if there is a 10% chance that Ukraine in NATO will lead to global thermonuclear war, then that is not worth it in expected QALYs or from a European geostrategic point of view.
Lazuli
1hr ago
The only complaint I've had thus far is that the enemies can sometimes be overly damaging if you don't pull off the dodge/parry, but for the most part that has been reasonable.
Dodging has a more generous window than parrying, for what it's worth. It's helpful when studying enemy attack patterns.
solowingpixy
the resident car guy
1hr ago
I guess the difference between my sisters and I is that they still demand some variety of justice, some "thing" that's going to make up for their suffering and make life happy ever after, or at least punish our mother, as if being pensioned off the by the VA in her mid 50s and facing the rest of her life alone isn't sad enough. For the middle sister it's always the next man, so she winds up in horrible relationship after horrible relationship (Refusing to address her severe obesity doesn't help here; it's an ugly thing to say, but she could get a higher caliber of man than the trash that she dates if she weren't pushing 400lbs. Ozempic exists! She makes good money so there's no reason that she couldn't afford it or at least one of the bootleg versions.). For the little sister it's the next degree, with a PhD being the holy grail, so she has two master's degrees, 250K in student loan debt, and a job that barely affords her living in an east-coast city with roommates.
Dealing with the manipulation is hard because I struggle to set boundaries or say "No.", but that, reflexive risk-aversion, and trying to buy feeling worthy/like a not bad person through overcommitment are things that have gotten me in more trouble in non-familial relationships than anything else. I spent my 20s being the "functional" one in my friend group and a few friendships in particular (One at least had the excuse of being a woman that I was love with.) wound up costing me around $30K between unpaid rent, a damaged car that I had to sell at a loss, and then god knows how much in unpaid mechanical labor. I'm good at avoiding the violent psycho variety of crazy but realizing that I'm not obligated to drown myself in service of someone who elicits my pity or that I like was a harder and more expensive lesson to learn. There's no amount of doing for others that's going to award you a "you're a good person and I love you" card. You'll just wind up broke and tired, and unless you address that compulsion you won't believe people when they tell you all those nice things anyway.
The way I put it now is that I have the right and obligation to defend myself and saying "No" is sometimes a necessary exercise in that.
phailyoor
1hr ago
Notice that Richard Hanania isn't having this problem.
How do you know? Where did he post his payout?
Owlify
2hr ago
You don't have to be a deranged sociopath to be willing to say anything to win an argument. Most normal people who go into debating clubs etc learn this.
AlexanderTurok
Alt-MSNBC
2hr ago
White nationalist James Kirkpatrick is complaining about how Indian slop accounts are taking his job:
Won’t change my posting as it was always just a bonus but payouts have been gutted even after biggest month ever. Foreign slop merchants really have nuked it for all of us.
Notice that Richard Hanania isn't having this problem. Much easier for some Bihari peasant to grok and replicate Trumpism. Something to think about if you want to be the next big populist influencer.
Ukraine lost about a half million in casualties in three years of combat, in a country with a population of about 38 million. In World War I, Germany lost about 6.3 million out of 65 million total before calling it quits, and even then it was controversial. At a consistent rate of attrition, it would take Ukraine another 20 years to hit those kind of numbers. While you can argue about the population pyramid being more favorable to Germany, this is balanced by the fact that the relatively slow rate of attrition gives Ukraine a much bigger pool to draw from, including people not yet born. After all, Germany started another war 20 years after than one ended and managed to double their casualty numbers. Those of us who have never lived through a serious war don't understand how huge casualty numbers can get before they become unsustainable.
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