greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
User ID: 68
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
1mo ago
sorry, i meant to post this in culture war. I originally made a brief post and then i kept adding to it and hit submit before realizing i had posted it in the Friday thread.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
1mo ago
oh hey I bought a hard drive on ebay with an old wallet on it so I put it in my coinbase account...the options are endless,
nope. the blockchain can reveal where it came from
Most of the people that were recruited as double agents in the 50s and 60s, certainly in higher-IQ positions, really believed. They believed they were serving global revolution, serving a superior system, and that the sooner the USSR outcompeted the West and the West had its revolution, the better. Many genuinely believed the above would happen in their lifetime, very soon even, such that even if they were discovered and as such either imprisoned or forced to officially defect and flee, they would return home before long.
nowadays high-IQ tech-focused people have better career options than espionage or working for federal agencies. Second, the Cold War is long over. Third, the technology has gotten way better at detecting espionage. Everything is traced. Canary drops are major problem. The biggest concern is not govt. agents leaking stuff, but instead tech or defense company employees doing the leaking.
Hal has been floated as a candidate for years and the evidence never bears out. Why would Satoshi create a Hal persona? Whoever Satoshi is, he took meticulous steps to not be found , and probably never will. If I had to guess he is a non-native person living in England. It's probably not Nick Szabo or Lens either.
again, to the media, it's evident they are different people
https://coingeek.com/the-running-bitcoin-challenge-in-hal-finney-memory-is-on-again/
“When Satoshi announced the first release of the software, I grabbed it right away,” he wrote. “I think I was the first person besides Satoshi to run bitcoin. I mined block 70-something, and I was the recipient of the first bitcoin transaction when Satoshi sent ten coins to me as a test. I carried on an email conversation with Satoshi over the next few days, mostly me reporting bugs and him fixing them.”
I wonder why Taylor Swift blew up over the past year despite having originally entered superstardom in 2010-2011. There was a decade cooling off period in which other singers like Lizzo, Katy Perry, and Beyonce held the mantle, and then she suddenly blew up. I think this shows again the power of Twitter to create superstars and affect news cycles. The Musk effect is real. Sure, Meta is a far bigger network of platforms and YouTube is bigger overall, but Twitter is where the discourse and culture are shaped.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
2mo ago
I don't see a feedback thread, but can we make the comment scores/votes visible internally instead of having to wait a day? The score would be visible to whoever made the post but invisible externally, until the 24 hours has passed. This would be useful feedback so I can delete the post if it gets downvoted too much instead of having to wait a day. Sometimes it's hard to predict how unpopular a post is just by the replies, like about my posts on cities and crime which was heavily downvoted. Had I seen the vote count sooner I would have deleted it. I feel bad about having posted it and regret it.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
4mo ago
People who commit crimes in welfare states are criminals either because of mental issues such as low Iq, low impulse control and psychopathy, or they want status
Or out of opportunity. lenient sentences creates an incentive to commit crime, too.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
3mo ago
the world anyone would tap for that as he would never reward anyone that helped him.
he pardoned Bannon, Stone, and others
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
2mo ago
They are rare. Today's autocrats have nothing on the autocrats of 50+ years ago who imprisoned or murdered large swaths of their citizens and political opposition with impunity. Social media, smart phones, and the 24-7 news cycle means much more scrutiny on world leaders. And also the rise of the US as a 'world police'.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
3mo ago
Regarding the Swimsuit Issue specifically, presumably guys used to buy it to jack off to and they don't do that anymore.
Instagram and tiktok are free softcore porn for masses. No need to pay for it in magazine form.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
3mo ago
From the above link
Navarro was convicted in September on two counts for refusing to testify and provide documents to the House Select Committee to Investigate the January 6th Attack on the United States Capitol, which issued its report and dissolved in late 2022 after Republicans won control of the House.
The charge carried a mandatory minimum sentence of a month in prison. Federal prosecutors had sought six months for Navarro, saying he, “like the rioters at the Capitol, put politics, not country, first, and stonewalled Congress’s investigation.” Navarro, prosecutors said, “chose allegiance to former President Donald Trump over the rule of law.” Federal prosecutors said Navarro “thumbed his nose” at the House committee investigating the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol.
This continues in the tradition of people being associated with Trump or defending him, like Jan 6th, being arrested . At least many of the sentences are very short but the definite risk of jail and career and reputational loss must be taken into consideration for anyone who wants to associate with Trump. Trump himself is still untouchable as those around him keep falling.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
4mo ago
This approach should, theoretically, neutralise right wing arguments against open borders.
Work visas for a subset of of the population is not the same as open borders. Open borders means anyone can enter for any reason. You're using these terms interchangeably.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
4mo ago
A large study from all of Sweden has found that increasing people's incomes randomly (actually, increasing their wealth, but you can convert wealth to income via an interest rate very easily) does not reduce their criminality. The authors find that via a cross sectional model, people with higher incomes are less likely to commit crimes (this just compares rich people to poors and sees rich people are less criminal), while when they switch to a "shock" model where people who won what is effectively a lottery don't see reduced criminality in either themselves or their children. This is a pretty big blow for the "poor people are more criminal because they don't have money for their basic needs" theory.
New but not surprising. People involved in retail theft prevention have known this forever. There is no reliable profile for a potential shoplifter. It can be anyone.
https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/two-men-charged-operating-25m-cryptocurrency-ponzi-scheme
Saffron and Mazzotta also allegedly conspired to obstruct official proceedings by concealing assets, concealing or destroying evidence, and falsifying records. The defendants also allegedly conspired to conceal the source and location of victims’ cryptocurrency investments through various means, including using methods known as “blockchain hopping” and through services known as “mixers” or “tumblers” that are designed to prevent cryptocurrency tracing.
A sufficiently determined adversary can trace the origin of coins passed through tumblers. Also, tumbers can 'dirty' crypto by mixing them with fraudulent coins, making them blacklisted in the processes by merchants who refuse to accept tumbled coins.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
1mo ago
There is evidence federal agencies have reconstructed Monero transactions. Monero is better but still has holes. https://www.wired.com/story/bitcoin-seizure-record-doj-crypto-tracing-monero/
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
1mo ago
It can be traced. the only fresh bitcoin is coins direct from miner or major exchange.
Go back to the CW threads from 2020 or 2019 and they’re stuffed full of low effort drive-by posting from default redditors (of all political persuasions). Low quality writing, bad argumentation, random schizoposting, autism, baiting, boring incelposting, /pol/ trolling, all the usual stuff was commonplace. Seriously, go back and check! (Some was surely moderated, but not all.)
that is what made it better in some ways. things have gotten worse since 2022 in that things seem too serious and the stakes too high instead of just chit chat. i don't feel like having to always take a side or be conscripted to fight the culture wars.
The future of Open Ai is much like Wolfram Alpha--something overhyped to change the world and initially really cool and useful, but now crap due to to extreme metering of computational power and paywalls. Expect the same here. The need to turn a profit from this will limit the power.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
2mo ago
A month ago he wrote an article about how women score 2-3 pts lower on IQ tests compared to men...hmm. So he wants to still be allowed to talk about it
I know Trace doesn’t like HBD much, but wow is that like the whole story of his FAA traffic controller storyline. If you listen to the Blocked and Reported episode, he and Jesse aren’t shy about pointing out it was an insane policy to completely jettison meritocracy, but they dance around the general point that if you set a fairly high intellectual bar for a job, it’s going to look like the racists are right. If you allow self-selection, you also very well might make it look like the sexists are right.
They want the popularity that comes with courting HBD views, as Trace and Hanania both had viral success wit HBD articles or articles that lend themselves to an HBD-based conclusion, but not to cross into bad optics by attracting the wrong people.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
2mo ago
He made a lot of promises and initiatives that were half-assed or had little hope of happening, like promising to stop social media censorship, the wall, etc. but this is typical of politicians. Firing James Comey was an unforced error though.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
3mo ago
So...what gives? Are modern women just that impulsive when feeling unhappy in a marriage? Or misled? Do they have illusions about singlehood?
I think this can be explained by how women stand to gain more by initiating divorce , and also have more options afterwards. They can rebound faster.
It is the smart thing to do if he thinks: Trump will be nominated, return the favor by tapping him as VP, and then pivot off that for a 2028 run like Bush in 1988 with the help of Trump's endorsement.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
3mo ago
damn. Was not expecting him to fold so soon. Good thing I did not have money on this. His campaign flamed out worse than I expected.
Trump will win the primary and obtain the republican nomination.
It's an actuarial question now--what are the odds he dies or is arrested and prevented from running.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
4mo ago
Crime was low during the great depression, as evidence of this. https://lsupress.org/do-hard-times-cause-crime-the-lessons-of-history/
this pearl clutching by the ADL is the worst. it turns off almost everyone and frames them as being the victims, when they are not. disagreement about foreign policy is not hate speech.
like 2003 again. the possibility of deployment cannot be ruled out if things get worse.
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