hydroacetylene
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User ID: 128
hydroacetylene
1yr ago
From the smarter deep conservatives I know IRL, there's either margin of fraud issues('Trump only won by five points but republicans need ten') which might not happen this time, or the political machines that are actually rigging the elections aren't as onboard with Biden as they were, or 2020 was exceptional and the deep state dropped the ball on faking a global pandemic this time, etc.
You can have as many epicycles about history as you want. What matters is epicycles about the future. You can believe that the the JFK assassination never happened, that the moon got where it is as an alien death star to wipe out an advanced ancient civilization, stonehenge was built by aliens, there was an ancient nuclear war that destroyed Mohenjo-Daro, the Nazis built pyramids in Antarctica before their base was destroyed by American nuclear weapons disguised as a test, cats were domesticated by the Annunaki to implant cameras in and spy on the progress of civilization, the earth is 6,000 years old, the printing press was invented in 800 AD but suppressed by the inquisition until Gutenberg, the last prince of Wales reached north America and that's why the Cherokee are white-looking, the Incas were regularly in contact with China, Atlantis had a Mars colony, the Olmecs were the original black people who colonized west Africa, Eleanor Roosevelt was transgender, whatever, and still be a smart, well functioning person who accurately predicts what's going to happen in the future, even on related subjects. And the guy who told me the cats theory was a physics professor. Why? Because those are matters of fact, not function. Kind of like scientific theories- it's a term to describe processes. Denying whats doesn't matter. You're simply factually wrong about something that happened once, and it probably doesn't affect your day to day life if black people originated in Mexico instead of Africa, nor does it really affect anything in the future. Denying hows does. If you believe elves built your car you can still fix it. If you believe elves power your car by running in hamster wheels inside of it in exchange for gasoline, you can't.
Elections are a lot like that. It's not hard to come up with a just-so story as for why the deep state can rig the election in 2020 but not 2024. It doesn't even have to make sense. What's important is that it doesn't impinge on future processes.
hydroacetylene
1yr ago
I don't know why we're discounting the possibility that the decision was made by Biden personally, and Biden is either in denial about his condition or otherwise not a rational actor.
hydroacetylene
1yr ago
Counterpoint- Youngkin.
hydroacetylene
1yr ago
I mean, what are the broadly popular left-aligned ideas which are outside the overton window? Marijuana legalization is the only example I can think of in recent history, but I'm sure there must be other examples.
hydroacetylene
1yr ago
A 2012 DNC wouldn’t have been able to cover up that debate performance, I don’t think. Biden looked like a dead rat for two hours on live TV.
Instead I think they were some combination of 1) lying to themselves(‘Biden’s not a good public speaker’ ‘He’s slowing down but not senile’) 2) thought it wasn’t as obvious(maybe stimulants before the debate? Maybe didn’t think to check him after 4 pm?) 3) didn’t think too hard about it 4) caught between a rock and a hard place and trying to rationalize.
hydroacetylene
1yr ago
Well yeah, that’s definitely not everyone with nice houses and important jobs. Actually nice houses being what they are(much more affordable in red areas), nice house owners probably tilt red. You can be a petroleum engineer and have, fairly openly, whatever opinion you want.
Geert Wilders is now PM of the Netherlands.
hydroacetylene
11mo ago
How about that the NYT is a paper of record and generally maintains at least some journalistic standards? This isn’t HuffPost here. Ukrainians being white, and factually whiter than Russians, isn’t the reason for their bad behavior being covered. It’s that NYT is a high-quality paper.
hydroacetylene
11mo ago
More or less, with a side of project 2025 being way overblown and not coordinated well enough with Trump.
hydroacetylene
11mo ago
Antisemitism is rising in popularity among younger people in the west. I don’t think that Fuentes is the story- he’s too much of a dweeb- but it’s definitely a thing.
Remember that every boomer westerner has been circumcised with the holocaust narrative: consciously traumatized at a young age in a way that reduces their sensitivity while inculcating a definitive story about Jewish suffering and redemption.
I like this metaphor even if I disagree with lots of the specifics. The overall thrust is definitely true in the sense of boomers thinking Jews are special perpetual victims.
hydroacetylene
11mo ago
The answers vary, unsurprisingly. I prefer to trust the judgement of a parish priest/pastor, but moral guidance is pretty widely available on the internet for Catholics to address stock quandaries, ranging from individual priests putting homilies on the internet to seminary moral theology textbooks.
hydroacetylene
11mo ago
Famously, the protests over the election are by the far left.
No don’t ask me why.
hydroacetylene
11mo ago
The average voter is assuredly paying attention to Biden being way too old. That includes people who have no intention of supporting Trump but who now can’t support Biden either- no small number. I agree that democrats are between a rock and a hard place but the idea that this can all blow over if they ignore it is not the best of a bunch of bad options.
Instead there’s a senile old man who’s closest adviser is a crack addict and who’s obvious successor is an obvious bimbo widely perceived as selected due to her(frequently disliked by the general public) race and gender. Leaving that in place is probably worse for the democrats than any possible replacement, or possibly even multiple replacements. Unironically it’d be better for democrats to have a Newsom v big gretch v Biden/Harris fight than to have a straight Biden v Trump showdown.
hydroacetylene
11mo ago
they’re the most successful society on earth.
The Jews are America now?
hydroacetylene
11mo ago
The default low-IQ tradcath take(which Fuentes either is or pretends to be, even if he’s more of a racist than anything else) is some kind of antisemitic conspiracy theory. Fuentes being not that intellectual…
hydroacetylene
11mo ago
A hurricane that shuts Houston down briefly is enough of a ‘that happens sometimes’ for Greg Abbott to not be personally involved in the disaster response.
hydroacetylene
11mo ago
The NYT was pretty willing to talk about Palestinian violence. As I recall they were critical of CHAZ(which honestly sounds like a guy in a Hawaiian shirt and ill advised toupee at an RV show, but I digress).
I don't think talking about protected classes is the right framing for the NYT specifically. The NYT maintains a certain level of journalistic standards which causes them to engage in a certain amount of warranted both-sidesism that flies in the face of their biases.
hydroacetylene
11mo ago
Will a scandal actually hurt Trump at this point? Anyone who's actually willing to vote for him doesn't care how many times he went to Epstein Island.
hydroacetylene
11mo ago
I read it as Republicans are disciplined this round. And observably the friendly fire and unforced errors seems pretty D in 2024 in a way it didn't in 2022.
hydroacetylene
11mo ago
That quite clearly didn't work for them the first time they tried it, although I suppose the treaty of Versailles was a better deal than the end of WWII.
hydroacetylene
11mo ago
I mean, trans men don’t seem to want to actually be, you know, men. They seem to want to not be women.
That makes it less likely that they’d give birth even compared to, say, lesbians, but for someone who really drank the gender kool aid- which by definition these people are prone too- it’s probably not too much of a stretch. And progressives in general are not shy about catering to tiny subsets of a tiny subset of the population.
hydroacetylene
11mo ago
I don’t think Juneteenth is unseating 4th of July. I think it’s unseating Father’s Day, cue jokes about blacks needing something to celebrate too, but Juneteenth isn’t a July 4 tier holiday and the two are in close proximity in a way it’s not near July 4.
hydroacetylene
11mo ago
These people’s framing of what it means to be a man or a woman is so different from normal people’s that it’s blue and orange morality. But crucially you can’t have both in the public square, because their idea of what a woman or man is entails everyone else going along with their deluded self ID.
As a society we have to pick one or the other. This isn’t a whatever floats your boat issue, not really. The commons belongs to someone and your gender is in the commons.
hydroacetylene
11mo ago
I mean, the shortage of trans plumbers and auto mechanics points to there being something else going on there.
No it's not. Joe Biden will very assuredly lose and Kamala Harris would only very probably lose.
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