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Culture War Roundup for the week of March 6, 2023

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With SpaceX's Starship having finished it's static fire tests they will soon be gearing up for the first orbital launch. So far, space travel and industry have avoided getting polarized (although Musk has gotten some frankly ridiculous hit pieces for the whole Ukraine Starlink fiasco), but I don't expect this to continue as it gets cheaper and easier to sent things to and from space.

If you look at the cost per metric ton for space travel right now, it's around $11.3 million/ton. That means that if you want to get a ton of material into space, you're shelling out quite a bit. This limits space endeavours to major governments or multinational corporations for the most part.

According to Musk, Starship will be able to lower the cost to only $20,000 per metric ton to get into space. This is multiple orders of magnitude in terms of cost reduction. Now I'm not super optimistic this number will be hit anytime soon, but if it is, it will enter us into a new era when it comes to space and technology.

My question is - how does this play into the Culture War? Musk has been increasingly right-coded, but it also seems like space and 'moonshots' have long been a darling of the left. On top of this, there's a strong nationalist angle if we can get and maintain an edge on Russia/China in space industry.

I'm curious if anyone else has more fleshed out ideas on this topic, in terms of how space industry will affect the Culture War. Or do most of y'all think this is a non-starter and nobody will care about space in 5-10 years?

it also seems like space and 'moonshots' have long been a darling of the left.

I'm not sure this is the case anymore. They've been pulling the "There are starving trans people of color being hunted by Republicans while the ocean is rising, and you want to spend money on SPACE that could have gone to my non-profit for hunted trans POCs?" card for a while, and demonizing space travel as a way for rich (white) people to escape earth. I don't hear much futurism from them anymore.

Buuuut, I was surrounded by particularly-inconsistent leftists for way too long.

I’ve seen enough leftists ranting about how the ISS is literally settler colonialism or whatever to doubt space being coded progressive. I mean obviously they’re not expressing the majority opinion, because their opinion is ridiculous, but it does point to a tendency towards discomfort with space travel.

Wait, did they really get so mixed up that they think what's bad about colonialism is the "going somewhere else and building a home there" part, and not the "muscle out and exploit whoever's currently living there" part?

Yes, I see this all the time in commentary around certain boardgames, for example. A lot of the time it's acknowledged that it's worse with the second part, but a lot of people seem to object to the first as well, at least if the word "colony" is explicitly used. This is far from universal even among the hard-core progs I encounter, but it's definitely noticeable.

I mean obviously they’re not expressing the majority opinion, because their opinion is ridiculous

Sorry, walk me through the logic here?

They've been pulling the "There are starving trans people of color being hunted by Republicans while the ocean is rising, and you want to spend money on SPACE that could have gone to my non-profit for hunted trans POCs?"

It was happening back then as well, space exploration has always been coded right-wing and nationalist. I'm not sure why OP thinks it was ever coded as left wing.

It has forever been coded as right-wing in a large body of scifi literature and filmmaking, and it was also right-wing and nationalist in the most literal sense- Nazi scientists were hugely important to the US space program. That is one of those historical anecdotes that progressives cite as a low-key own goal. "Look how bad our government was- it recruited Nazis to the space program!" Yeah, it did, because they were the best and they greatly contributed to those accomplishments.

The dialectic between civil rights and NASA is going to endure in similar form in the modern culture war vis-a-vis progressivism/Effective Altruism versus space adventurism.

The right wing of today should take the side of space adventurism as well, as a competing vision to EA. The two are not really reconcilable.

I don't see how you CAN be a progressive leftist under the current popular definition of the term and openly support rapid industrialization of outer space.

On the practical side, advancement of space industries is a tacit admission that we're not on the verge or running out of space, resources, or energy for the planet, requiring everyone to cut back drastically on consumption or risk ultimate ruin.

That is, even if "Capitalism depends on unsustainable growth!" is technically true, we have a shitton of room to grow if we can get space colonies operational.

O'Neill cylinders could (theoretically) grow all the food we would need on the planet in a sustainable way (i.e. almost zero net impact on earth's biosphere). Orbital solar collectors solve climate/energy woes almost by themselves. If we get asteroid mining, all bets are off. Hell, if we put factories in space we could run them off the dirtiest energy sources imaginable without harming anyone.

Can't have "late stage capitalism" if Capitalism is even now staging for off-planet industry.

Private companies are driving space exploration forward WAY faster than government, with an overall better track record too I'd allege. Hard to make the claim that space travel is the purview of Government when government can't even launch rockets, currently. People are going to become billionaires or maybe even trillionaires if this industry matures, this promises massively increased inequality.

Money spent on development of this tech directs it away from special interest groups or captured institutions.

And perhaps the bigger downstream effect, it gets us on the path towards new frontiers which can be used to escape their social games and restrictions.

There's nothing to excite a progressive about space travel if their worldview requires believing that the world is in such terrible shape and beyond technological salvation that only socialism can solve it.