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Culture War Roundup for the week of May 8, 2023

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It's weird to hold the idea that some portion of legal gun owners are ticking time bombs willing to throw their lives away to kill random people if pushed to far, but that there WON'T be some amount of violence and deadly if the government sustains a campaign of door-to-door confiscations.

I think in both cases the "some" is very small. The US government declares "Mr. and Mrs. America, turn them all in" and enforces it through door-to-door confiscation, they'll do it with very little bloodshed. What little there is will be almost all on the formerly law-abiding gun owner's part.

I guess we're both without real precedent to point to in the U.S. for universal door-to-door confiscations of any item of importance or value.

But I do note that the U.S. has a long and storied history of individuals telling cops to fuck off when they come to the door.

Like, the State of Texas chose not to go after a single, particularly well armed family for 15 years.

Do I doubt they could have gotten them? No.

But imagine the cops having to make a similar calculus, times 1,000,000 households.

You assume that a few 'examples' being made of people putting up resistance will break the morale of the rest.

Not clear why the flip-side, a dozen or so cops getting capped in the process of serving warrants during the initial weeks of the confiscation effort wouldn't also demoralize their side.

Why do we assume the unshakeable will of LEOs vs. the meek compliance of the American citizenry?

Not clear why the flip-side, a dozen or so cops getting capped in the process of serving warrants during the initial weeks of the confiscation effort wouldn't also demoralize their side.

There won't be a dozen or so. There might be one. They would respond with overwhelming force, and further confiscation would be done by cops in full riot/stormtrooper gear, and that would be the end of that.

Why do we assume the unshakeable will of LEOs vs. the meek compliance of the American citizenry?

It's not the will of the LEOs, it's the will of the confiscators giving them orders. There will be enough LEOs who won't push back on their orders.

I see your point, but I do think the truth is somewhere between you and @faceh.

The number of those who resist will be far below 1%, but they'll be incredibly proficient, well-trained, and armed. I personally know some crazies that would successfully kill multiple cops if we progressed to door-to-door confiscation.

You know about them. Therefore they won't kill anyone, they'll get the "oops, we shot you 10 times in the back while you were resisting" treatment.

It's not the will of the LEOs, it's the will of the confiscators giving them orders. There will be enough LEOs who won't push back on their orders.

I don't really put much stock into this in a post-Floyd world. I imagine that, in your hypothetical scenario, by Week 3 of the Great Gun Confiscation, officers will start conveniently calling in sick.

The president just invokes the insurrection act, federalizes the national guard, and court-martials anyone who tries to pull a fast one like that.

then he might want to abstain from going to the teather for a while.

They would respond with overwhelming force, and further confiscation would be done by cops in full riot/stormtrooper gear, and that would be the end of that.

Those cops have to go home after work, yes?

Like, you're aware that these policemen have lives and families which are not hardened against attacks?

I'm really curious as to what your precedent is for assuming there's not some significant portions of the population that is willing to get froggy even if the cops go full Waco.

Like, Waco fucking happened, that's a precedent here. 4 agents dead, 16 injured in ONE standoff.

That wasn't even a universal confiscation push.

Bluntly, I find your position actively ignores the sheer numbers and actual precedent.

Those cops have to go home after work, yes?

Like, you're aware that these policemen have lives and families which are not hardened against attacks?

Sure. And your decent, formerly law abiding gun owners will not take advantage of that.

I'm really curious as to what your precedent is for assuming there's not some significant portions of the population that is willing to get froggy even if the cops go full Waco.

COVID. January 6. Hell, Waco itself; the ATF walked in and made a dog's breakfast of things. The FBI covered for them by burning the place down with most of the Branch Davidians dying in the fire and the rest being prosecuted. Only two men even tried to do anything about that, and they're pretty universally hated.

Sure. And your decent, formerly law abiding gun owners will not take advantage of that.

Maybe not Johnny Boomer who's never been one to rock the boat in his smallish town, but Jimmy Zoomer, who's about 8-12 points to the left of the very mass shooter who inspired this thread on the Political Compass and isn't terribly concerned about his future might.