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Over the past two decades and change, a great deal of energy and public resources have been invested into trying to prevent young people (especially young male people) from being sucked into internet echo chambers and radicalised into violence by the content they find therein. Government bodies such as the UK's Prevent were set up for this explicit purpose. These efforts have mostly been focused on the potential for violent radicalisation by three distinct ideologies/communities: radical Islam, far-right white nationalism/neo-Nazism, and incel/blackpill*. The latter, in particular, is considered such a pressing societal issue that the prime minister of the UK wants every secondary school student to watch a miniseries (which, tellingly, he erroneously referred to as a "documentary") about a white teenager who gets radicalised by incel communities and stabs a female classmate to death - in spite of the fact that, to the best of my knowledge, there has never been a single case of a UK citizen or resident murdering someone because of the incel worldview.

Spend enough time looking at trans activism and you can't fail to notice how much of the messaging carries a distinctly aggressive bent which revels in the glorification of violence. Trans activists routinely call on their supporters to assault, punch* or decapitate TERFs ("TERF" here meaning not "trans-exclusionary radical feminist" but "anyone who doesn't unquestioningly validate trans people's claimed identities", a category which doubtless included most of the worshippers in that church). There's a literal "holiday" called the "Trans Day of Vengeance". There are subreddits which encourage trans people to take up arms against their oppressors. (I mean seriously, look at this shit.) The impression I get is that, among the alphabet people, the trans community is really something of an outlier in this regard: if there's a parallel movement of gay men urging each other to take up arms to fight back against their homophobic oppressors, I'm not aware of it.

A few years ago, progressives had a term for this: stochastic terrorism. The idea is, if you flood information pathways with enough messaging which covertly encourages people to commit violence ("dog whistles" optional), sooner or later a dangerously unhinged person will encounter it, take it to heart, and attack the people you want to see attacked. But because it's impossible to predict where and when such a person will strike, you have enough plausible deniability to escape accusations of incitement to violence. Well, just so.

I don't know for a fact that this specific shooter (or the one in Nashville) was radicalised by exposure to extremist trans rhetoric, but it seems a reasonable assumption given the extremely online bent of many of his declarations (seriously, would "I'm the Woker Baby/Why So Queerious" even mean anything to someone who doesn't spend at least four hours of every day staring at a screen?). Every trans mass shooter to date has explicitly couched their crimes in political identitarian terms.

Suffice it to say that I believe the question of whether participation in radical trans communities is a risk factor for violent radicalisation is one which warrants serious consideration and ought not to be just dismissed out of hand. I'm not even being funny, but one of the core tenets of gender ideology ("anyone who doesn't see you the way you wish to be seen is oppressing you") seems practically tailor-made to promote the narcissism and megalomania common to all school shooters (likewise a secondary tenet, "any lesbian who doesn't want to fuck you is a hateful bigot"). There's the even more obvious point that female people taking testosterone causes increased aggression which might make FtMs more prone to violence.


*Also worth mentioning that, if participating in incel communities is a red flag for violent radicalisation, many trans people fit the bill by default. At this point I find the existence of an incel-to-trans pipeline flat out impossible to deny (something a handful of posters on /r/MTF are self-aware enough to recognise). Spend some time in that sub, take a shot every time you see a post which boils down to "why won't cis lesbians fuck me even though I identify as a woman?" and you'll have alcohol poisoning before the day is out (examples: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7). Incel and MtF online spaces are alike in that they largely consist of male people who are attracted to female people complaining about being sexually frustrated. See also the rivers of digital ink spilled about the so-called "cotton ceiling".

**This one was actually said by a man who's spent more than half of his life in prison for assorted violent crimes, including false imprisonment, torture and attempted murder. Suffice it to say that, when he encouraged people to assault others, I do not believe he was speaking figuratively or engaging in harmless hyperbole.

It's a South Park reference.

Do you have even the slightest shred of evidence to suggest that a disproportionate number of school shootings take place at private religious schools by students who attended private religious schools?

It's actually quite remarkable how much less sensitive than Jews Christians are to this kind of thing.

I speculate it might be down to the size of the two groups. There must be at least an order of magnitude more Catholics in the US than Jews. It's entirely possible that every Jew in America is no more than three degrees of separation away from the couple gunned down outside the embassy, whereas in this case there are probably many American Catholics who are six degrees of separation removed from the children shot in the church.

Badass: Can beat a little girl, even if she holds a knife.

You can't really scale prostitution (or any other personalized physical service) the way you can scale digital services.

He actually had a donations page for money laundering. Not enough throughput.

Sex addiction? No one paying the women on OF is having sex.

Yes, I specified older than a toddler and actively threatening people.

If they had a good life or just vanished into private life I agree. But some porn starlets from the 2000s died (drug overdose, suicide, just life) and their content is unwhackable to me now.

Yes, I suppose if you ignore all of the complexity and randomness that arises in a real confrontation, then I guess the risk is basically zero. Strong beats weak 100% of the time apparently.

Are you intentionally being hyperbolic or do you really not see any spectrum at all between being "a passive slab of meat" and strolling up and disarming the child with strong adult hands with absolutely zero fear or injury like a badass?

If you would like to assign numbers to your unearned confidence, what rate of adult deaths or serious injury in these confrontations would you accept as presenting a credible risk?

Yeah. The chavette's likely a member of the permanent antisocial underclass. On the other hand, what world view is going to suggest that shipping in members of Europe's permanent antisocial underclass to live on government handouts next to the antisocial underclass is going to accomplish anything especially positive?

One whale spend in eleven month 4,7 million on her:

https://x.com/sophieraiin/status/1863798540415205417

Also it feels like MtF are more likely to try and achieve some sort of performative attractive sexbomb femininity, whilst FtMs acknowledge they're not going to be Arnold Schwarznegger even with Estrogen blockers so settle for the invisibility of a 5'5 chubby guy.

Maybe he meant 'child rearing' and married with many kids.

there's an interesting parallel between the logic you are going with here (which I don't even disagree with) and the same arguments I see on gun control (ie extremely low percentage of guns ever used in crime)

Good find. My first thought is "🐈‍ money"="pussy money"="prostitution money". I suppose the benefit-of-the-doubt interpretation would be that they're separate and he's saying he's getting UK money and pussy. But the fact that it's displayed over a large quantity of visibly used cash wrapped in rubber bands (not just what's in his hand but also in the background) favors the first interpretation. (As does the "Gangster party" label over a party a few seconds later.) Unfortunately search engines don't do well with emojis so I don't know if it's established slang.

Putting on my ecommerce hat and looking at the graph in https://instagram.com/reel/DN6HkAKDhYp/ from ostensibly the biggest Onlyfans seller. I'm kinda surprised how consistent the monthly earn looks to be aside from that one huge spike. I do suspect that a girl like Sophie's probably powered by a few whales (and having worked in online gambling it is frankly insane how whale a whale can be).

Having worked in similar vice industries I feel like that's surely gotta be some sort of insane relationship with a singular whale to make the majority of that (who could frankly be taking a sexual thrill in her publicizing the numbers). Sophie's pretty but I'd be gobsmacked if that was sheer weight of $50 users.

A few years after that, I'm guessing we will all be hooked up to neural stimulators that simply give direct electrical impulses to the dopaminergic pathways in our brain a'la Olds and Milner. That's all that's left, really.

Hah, this is peak introvert energy. Not actually wanting to attend, but wanting the warm feeling of knowing there are groups nearby that you could attend if you wanted to.

Having worked in online gambling a fair bit I'd kinda love to know the distribution of who's actually paying these sums.

Surely Sophie's gotta have some insane pareto principle where she's got some Saudi Paypig who's absolutely blasting on the dream.

Though looking at the payment graph from https://instagram.com/reel/DN6HkAKDhYp/ it seems remarkably flat aside from that one big month.

Yeah once you're in the electronic payment loop it's fairly hard to engage in anything too discrete. The hard part is getting the cash and/or crypto into that loop, not channeling it once it's already in there.

We believe that it may be an outbreak of sex addiction. It's a new phenomenon we don't completely understand yet, but it seems to make people... different. Of course, we all know the normal healthy male thinks only of sex occasionally and has no desire for sex with multiple partners. But in the sex addict, their entire lives are consumed with thoughts of wanting more and more. The mere sight of an attractive woman could... can make them think about sex with her.

I’m a catholic but I greatly admire the Mormons. What a story.