domain:aporiamagazine.com
Rov_Scam
17hr ago
So these are some curious results, and mirror the issues I was having with the models I tried. For Grim Reaper of Love, it does correctly not that 45Cat lists a May 1966 release date (which every model was able to do), and also correctly notes the May 28 Billboard review, which it was the only model to actually find, since most of the others just defaulted to the first date charted. The curious issue is with the ARSA data. It did indeed appear on the WLS June 10 chart. However, this was not the earliest chart it appeared on. That would be the May 9 KBLA chart, and the prior Monday would be May 2. The even more curious thing about it is that the single appeared in 35 charts documented by ARSA prior to the June 10 WLS chart, so I don't know why it would have picked that one. This is, I guess, somewhat of an improvement; the only other model I tried that even claimed to use ARSA data was Grok, and it simply made up entries that didn't exist! The most interesting thing about this, though, is that it didn't actually follow the instructions. Maybe I could have been a little more clear, but the instructions said:
If ARSA and Billboard data are both available, use the earlier date
Maybe I should have specified that I wanted the earliest date, which would have been the date of the May 28 review, making the correct date based on the data the model actually used to be May 23, 1966. Then again, I thought I specified early that the month of release given by 45Cat and RYM should take priority, so even if this wasn't clear, it should have preferred the May date. In any event, it didn't get the correct ARSA date, so this counts as a fail.
Moving on to Feel the Heat, US Copyright data gives a publication date of June 16, 1980. Maybe this was the search engine it was trying to use, but it nonetheless didn't use it. I give it props for using Cash Box, which I don't even use that much because the available data is fragmentary and not easily searchable (or at least it was when I started doing this a decade ago), and it does point to the correct issue. However, it runs into the same problem of following instructions when it was told to use the date preceding publication but inexplicably picks a date after the date of the issue. Honestly, there must be something up with the pro model, because the free ones I tried didn't seem to have any problem following instructions, and at least gave plausible dates based on the information they had. Here I get two dates that are not only incorrect, but don't actually follow the rule. I had high hopes for this but at this point I can only consider it a failure. If you're interested in running this further, I can try to make the rules a little more explicit and find some other releases to test how it can do different things, but suffice it to say my opinions of AI capabilities haven't appreciably improved.
Supah_Schmendrick
17hr ago
I've thought a lot about this issue for the last ten years, as many have, and it's hard to escape the feeling that public consent has been laundered by keeping the spotlight firmly on rare, sympathetic cases while the intent of campaigners has always been significantly more far-reaching.
This...seems like a fully generalizable description of basically all political activism in WEIRD democracies??
self_made_human
Grippy socks, grippy box
17hr ago
Man, I genuinely do not understand the intuition that drives people to think that there must be a catch to Ozempic. You are doing better by couching your claim in terms of likelihood, but even then, I think this is misguided.
The universe is cold and uncaring, but it isn't actively malevolent. There is no law of physics that demands some kind of equivalent exchange here. Sometimes we just get lucky.
Biology has homeostasis, but homeostasis can break, and it can also be reset.
Of particular concern is the number of people who are using this product for aesthetic reasons rather than as medically necessary treatment.
What drives such a belief? Do you think that drugs care about the moral pulchritude of those taking them? We discovered semaglutide in the saliva of Gila Monsters, which aren't known to be particularly discerning moral actors.
If someone with high blood pressure takes antihypertensives, their blood pressure falls. If someone with a normal BP takes them, theirs falls too. I would obviously prescribe them to the first case, and not the other two (at least for the control of blood pressure), but the mechanism remains the same.
homeostasis will eventually strike leading to the body becoming less sensitive to semiglutide and therefore the person cannot feel full."
This is a reasonable concern, but I think it might misinterpret what homeostasis is trying to do in obesity. The obese state isn't a healthy, well-regulated system that semaglutide is mischievously disrupting. For many people with obesity, the homeostatic system is already broken. Their bodies are defending a pathologically high set point for weight, ignoring satiety signals that should be firing, and managing insulin poorly.
Think of it less like a functioning thermostat that you're tricking, and more like a thermostat that's already broken and stuck at 90 degrees (Fahrenheit, I hope, if that's Celsius then turn off the oven) . The house is sweltering, the air conditioner is running itself ragged, and the occupants are miserable. Semaglutide comes along, and it isn't just put a bag of ice placed on the temperature sensor to fool it. It seems to actually repair the sensor.
If I hadn't been awake for 48 hours, I might have linked to a recent paper that semaglutide reduces the risk of Alzheimer's by 50% even in people without diabetes. You can look that up. You might even simply read Scott's deep dive on the topic.
Semaglutide is a miracle. Such mundane miracles are rare, but they do happen. Penicillin was quasi-miraculous, but even in this age of people sweating bullets about super-bugs, antibiotics save far more lives directly than they take.
I don't know about the advisability of taking the long on your short, but I'd probably benefit from taking the opposite end of a normal bet instead of trying to convince you. I strongly expect to make money on that 1:1 exchange if that were somehow feasible.
Unexpected follow-up to my 2023 post:
As you probably know if you are an American, under the MUTCD (Manual of Uniform Traffic-Control Devices), generally speaking:
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The longitudinal lines that separate lanes traveling in the same direction are white. (§ 3B.06 ¶ 01)
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A double solid white line indicates that crossing the line is prohibited. (¶ 12)
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A single solid white line indicates that crossing the line is discouraged. (¶ 06)
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A broken (dashed) white line (12-foot segments separated by 36-foot gaps) indicates that crossing the line is not discouraged or prohibited. (¶ 05)
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A dotted white line (3-foot segments separated by 9-foot gaps) separates a through lane from an auxiliary lane that will diverge or end soon. One might say it indicates that crossing the line is encouraged, so that you don't accidentally get stuck in an auxiliary lane when you want to be in a through lane (or vice versa). (§ 3B.07)
The dotted line was not made mandatory until the 2009 edition of the MUTCD, so roadway authorities still are in the process of updating existing stripes. The project that I described in my 2023 post included a large interchange, in which I changed quite a few existing stripes from broken to dotted. After the project passed out of my hands and into the hands of the bigwigs and the Construction people, I largely forgot about it. We had to draw up a several-sheet addendum, because the pavement recommendation had expired and the updated version was significantly different; we had to draw up a one-sheet change of plan, because the Structures people accidentally told us to pave over a bridge that shouldn't be paved over; and the project's resident engineer had some questions regarding (1) utility coordination and (2) whether a bunch of cooking oil that had leaked from a restaurant's dumpster into the roadway would negatively affect the pavement treatment's adhesion to the existing surface. But that was it.
Fast-forward to this week. The project presumably was completed a while ago, though I don't recall specifically when. The project area is quite close to my office, but I never had any reason to drive through it since completion—until today, purely by chance. As I drive, I think to myself: "Hey, where are all the dotted lines that I drew on the plans?"
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The resident engineer is supposed to ensure that the contractor adheres to the plans. But apparently he dropped the ball here.
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After "substantial completion", the resident engineer is supposed to call the designer out for a field visit so that the designer can approve the work for "final completion" or point out any problems that need to be fixed before it can be approved. But the resident engineer never did that, either.
It presumably is way too late for this error to be fixed, so I don't know whether my boss will bother to explain the situation to the resident engineer's boss. But at least it isn't my fault.
pbmonster
17hr ago
For keeping me around? Same as most other team sports: charismatic coach, fun team mates, good built in social scene. Do you regularly go out for drinks/dinner after practice? Are your team mates... normal? I stopped kickboxing and BJJ because those attract a type of guys I can't hang with, in large numbers.
For starting? Convince me this is either more fun or a better workout than football/basketball/handball. Since I like the look of the classic swimmer physique, I'm already predisposed to believing the workout angle. Maybe stand next to your most broad-shouldered-and-slim-waisted team mate while recruiting.
Also, how's the learning curve? Am I going to be useless for the first year? That's no fun, I'd rather run after a ball if that's the case.
Southkraut
The rain fell gentlier.
17hr ago
Suicides by train are only topped by intentionally driving on a highway in the wrong direction as far as damage to broader society goes.
The pilot of Germanwings flight 9525 would like to have a word with you.
Southkraut
The rain fell gentlier.
17hr ago
The children are wrong.
Unless, that is, you (the general you, not you personally) actually want the increasingly totalitarian future in which humans are no more than the expendable and replaceable cells of some superorganism. I mean, we've been headed there for some four thousand years now, and most likely nothing can stop it in the long run, but allowing people to defend themselves looked like a pretty good roadblock for that particular prospect.
Southkraut
The rain fell gentlier.
17hr ago
I'm glad I remembered them as "Napoleon in Russia" diagrams. Finally, my university days were good for something.
wayfarer
17hr ago
car repair workshop/factories may have posters with almost naked women - is it also something that would not happen in USA?
self_made_human
Grippy socks, grippy box
17hr ago
I am glad that I remember they're called Sankey diagrams, and thus have managed to avoid this particular indignity.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
17hr ago
This is just a specific example of the general rule that, absent major disruptions, regulations become stricter and more all-encompassing over time. This tendency is not a good thing.
Major disruptions can push things either way, though usually they accelerate the trend. Revolutions which result in more freedom are rare.
Thoroughlygruntled
17hr ago
The thing is, I like America way more than I like the rest of the world. I don't want to be like them. I value American uniqueness. Am I an obviously biased American exceptionalist? Sure. But nonetheless, this argument is anti-persuasive to me. Especially when it's something so intrinsically tied to American identiy like personal gun ownership.
Holding the rest of the world up as an example only works if the Americans you're talking to like what they see. Who knows what parts of our weird little experiment are load-bearing? I'm not going to start knocking out pieces of the foundation just because a bunch of foreigners are telling me to.
Also, let us not forget, the First Amendment is practically as unique as the Second. Lack of international imitators may be evidence against something, but it's very weak evidence.
quiet_NaN
18hr ago
or in front of a train.
Are you seriously suggesting that society prefer depressed people commit suicide by train?
That feels like the most outlandish thing I have read on the internet all week.
Suicides by train are only topped by intentionally driving on a highway in the wrong direction as far as damage to broader society goes.
Suppose you are a train conductor without psychopathy. You go through your routine job of driving the train, listening to music perhaps when suddenly a person steps on the track 50m ahead of you. You sound the whistle and slam the brakes. You have more than a second to contemplate what is about to happen, but no way to stop it. You hear the impact over the sound of the brakes. After the trains comes to a halt, you grab a first aid kit and run back the person you have just hit. If you are lucky you only need a glance to confirm that they are dead, cut apart by your vehicle. Or you might spent the next ten minutes giving CPR to a corpse until the ambulance arrives, hoping for a miracle which is unlikely to happen.
Intellectually, you know that you did not kill the person, they killed themselves. Still, it was your train. You know that it is not feasible to slow trains down to speeds where they will no longer be used as a method of suicide. If you had reacted a tenth of a second faster, it would not have made any difference. But still, you wonder while you lay sleepless in bed, held awake by the images and sounds which have burned themselves into your memory.
Driving trains is your job, a profession you spent years to learn. It is high responsibility, but also very routine. Before you had hit that person, it was not very stressful, most of the time. But now your brain anticipates that any second, another person might step on the track in front of you, and you would be just as helpless to do anything about it as the first time.
Personally, I would take the life of a physician who assists a suicide of a depression patient after all the process is done a ten times over the life of that train driver.
It didn't take me very long, since my first attempt at using o3 seemed to produce good results. I'm sharing the full conversation below, and it seems to be reasonable to me? You're the expert here, so you should be able to tell if o3 has mucked up.
https://chatgpt.com/s/t_6896665a38088191a35a94848d57c05d
To summarize:
o3 claims that:
The Turtles – “Grim Reaper of Love” (White Whale WW-231)
45Cat lists May 1966 for the U.S. single.
Billboard ran a Spotlight Singles review in the 28 May 1966 issue. Per your rule, with month known and no label weekday documented, assign the Monday of the prior week: Mon 23 May 1966. ARSA has it on the 10 Jun 1966 WLS survey, which fits late-May release then early-June airplay.
For the other release:
Cash Box 5 Jul 1980 shows the LP as the No. 1 Most Added at AOR, which implies servicing that week. Your rule puts street on the usual label day in the week immediately prior. I assign Monday, 14 Jul 1980. Calendar check confirms Monday.
It is worth noting that o3 ran into some operational difficulties. It desperately wanted to try and paste search parameters into a search engine on a site, but the interface I'm using doesn't allow it to. There is, in fact, a product called Agent by OpenAI that can control a mouse and keyboard, and which could plausibly do that.
o3, per the messages, is now asking me to go ahead and look up the song on the site if suggests, and is happy to examine the results.
I also ran something known as Deep Research, also by OpenAI in the background.
https://chatgpt.com/s/t_6896678a10508191b7076b3377144bec
To summarize, this ends up with a release date of Monday, June 6, 1966 for GRoL. For FTH, it claims that "reasonable estimate is June 30, 1980 as the official release date"
I also tried Gemini 2.5 Pro and Claude 4.0 Sonnet (the latter is good, but not the best).
Gemini:
Here are the release dates for the requested titles, based on the provided instructions:
The Turtles - Grim Reaper of Love
The release date for The Turtles' single "Grim Reaper of Love" is determined to be Monday, June 13, 1966. The song was released on the White Whale record label in May of 1966. It first entered the Billboard Hot 100 chart on Saturday, June 18, 1966. Following the provided guidelines, in the absence of a specified release day for the label, a Monday release is the default. Therefore, the release date is assigned as the Monday of the week the single entered the chart.
Henry Paul Band - Feel the Heat
The release date for the Henry Paul Band's album Feel the Heat is estimated to be in mid-1980. The album was released in 1980 on Atlantic Records. The single "Longshot" from the album charted on the Billboard Bubbling Under The Hot 100 in 1980. Another major Atlantic release from 1980, AC/DC's Back in Black, was released on a Friday. Without a more specific charting date for "Longshot" or a Billboard review of the album, and without access to a comprehensive Atlantic Records release schedule for that year, a more precise date cannot be determined from the available information.
Claude seems to have struggled the most:
For GRoL
Current Best Estimate: Without access to the specific Billboard chart entry date or copyright records, and knowing only "May 1966" from reputable sources, I would default to Monday (per your rules) in May 1966. Given that it was their fourth single and became a chart failure, it likely entered charts in late May or early June 1966, suggesting a release date around Monday, May 23, 1966 or Monday, May 30, 1966.
For FTH:
The search results confirm it's an Atlantic Records release from 1980, but specific dating information wasn't retrieved in the available searches.
I personally checked one of the PDFs o3 found, and it seemed to support its claim. Let me know if any links are broken in the share chat, or if you'd like me to try something else (such as manually search and share results with o3)
phailyoor
18hr ago
The occupied parts of Ukraine are primarily ethincally Russian and speak Russian. Even if they don't support occupation, they aren't going to be the most hardcore zelensky supporters.
Even so, as far as I can tell gorilla groups are still able to operate in occupied ukraine and mount attacks.
Did someone on the Motte want not just a rematch, but to ban Biden from round the elections?
Also, funnily enough the Romanians don't really dispute the integrity of the votes themselves, they only accused the guy of TikTok voodoo.
Thoroughlygruntled
18hr ago
One set of my grandparents had living wills and the other did not. I can attest that setting up a living will is an incredible gift to your loved ones. It's much easier to make difficult choices when you already have iron-clad proof of someone's wishes back when they were sound of mind.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
18hr ago
Socialisation is similarly within countries, for the obvious fact that Europe is a multilingual continent of dozens of countries and elites aren't all jetting to the same city every weekend.
A lot of them spend their tine in Brussels. And if it's not that, maybe you can give me a plausible explanation for gender self-ID laws sweaping a decent chunk of the continent
As far as I can tell, none of the authoritarian measures you mentioned have anything to do with the EU.
Aren't they literally just now discussing mandatory scanning of all chats in phone apps? Weren't they strong-arming Ireland to ramp up their hate speech laws, like yesterday.
The cancelled election in Romania was done by the Romanian judicary.
Pretty sure I remember EU big-wigs making a lot of oise about this being what they want done. If you mean that this wasn't done with formal power, that doesn't matter, it's not hiw they work.
I'm not sure which arrested opposition politicians you are talking about
Was thinking of LePen. She was convicted to prevent her from running in the next elections. She got a prispn sentence, though is allowed to serve it under house arrest, at which point, I suppose we can quibble if that counts as arrest or not. My point is less about being thrown in a cell, and more about using bogus charges to get rid of political opposotion.
Do you live in Europe?
Yes, my entire life.
Because this reads like someone who just thinks of it as the USA plus funny accents, which is wrong.
I'd say it reads like someone who lived in several European countries, and noticed that despite the cultural differences, the same dystopian program is being rammed through everywhere.
TeknOShEeP
18hr ago
Er, where are you located? That sounds just ridiculous enough to interest me.
Throwaway05
18hr ago
Nobody does any teaching? Nobody has any Medical Students or Residents?
That doesn't seem right.
Could be regional though - Philadelphia (which is super dense) has nearly as many medical schools as the entire state of Florida, if you live in a place without trainees you aren't going to be teaching.
That said if you work for a hospital you should be doing something outside of your clinical duties (teaching, research, committee seats, extra jobs in the department like holding a medical director title). If you own your own practice you need to deal with the management side of this.
It'd be possible to work for someone to take on the least amount of responsibility (and the specialties you name are some of the ones it would be easier to do*) but you'd be leaving money on the table, not necessarily working any less (since teaching, research and administrative can eat up some FTE) and it is by no means typical.
*Family medicine in most practice environments is checking their in basket and finishing charts outside of business hours at least somewhat.
All of this is stay nothing of call responsibilities - someone is managing a phone line, going into the hospital PRN if needed, for most specialties. Ophthalmology is small and has rare but serious call responsibilities (going into the hospital) and has frequent enough need to phone triage. I'd be shocked if that person doesn't have some call. Radiology and Physiatry can dodge that. Neurology can be one of the busiest call specialties depending on practice environment, same with Family Medicine.
I would wager your friends do more than you think they just don't mention it or it doesn't come up.
Thoroughlygruntled
18hr ago
Both of my father's parents had signed and notarized DNR (do not resuscitate) orders drafted, with copies kept with their lawyer and stuck to the fridge with a magnet, since they were in their early 70s. And they established power of attorney in their children with very clear instructions that when in doubt, pull the plug. It's not exactly euthanasia, but there are steps you can take to pre-establish consent if you're proactive.
It's morbid, but it's never too early to set your affairs in order. Don't trust your fate to the decision-making skills of a dementia-ridden potato and your grieving children.
quiet_NaN
18hr ago
She went through all the loops and hoops, she didn't change her mind.
This is a very critical point. By saying "MAID is in principle on the table for depression", you create some incentive to engage with the medical system.
If instead you take the firm stand that suicide is bad and that you will gladly lock up patients who talk about suicidal ideation until they learn to credibly deny having such thoughts, that is sending a very different signal.
As others have pointed out here, anyone who is not bedbound has a BATNA, which is to kill themselves against the wishes of broader society. Unilateral suicides impose great costs on broader society. You can not let your loved ones know lest they call the cops on you -- unless you trust them to approve your defection. While medically, killing a person in a way which is both painless and also not highly disturbing to onlookers is a solved problem, the situation for the average person is very different, and they may well prefer an option which is good at delivering a quick death but traumatizing for the onlookers. Jumping in front of trains has massive externalities, for example.
Knowing that your loved one is opting for MAID for depression is terrible, but what is worse is coming home and finding them dangling from a rope -- without you ever having had a chance to talk to them about it or say goodbye to them. If offering MAID for depression turns 10 suicides into 7 suicides (who do not want to jump through the hoops) plus 1 medically assisted death and two patients who can be treated to a level where their life is positive-sum for them, that seems like a clear win.
Yup, just came here to mention XKCD. Gotta love the emdash in the disclaimer, too!
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