CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
One of the great unwashed.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=p_TLzmjbhG0&t=1368 I couldn't do this, but the philosophy is correct.
Friends:
The boys know who they are.
User ID: 333
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1d ago
It would be easier from a security perspective to host these events at a WH ballroom as opposed to random hotels in DC where security is more lax.
This. There's a saying in Risk Management; 'As Low As Is Reasonably Practicable', whereby you treat or reduce risks as much as you practically can. Also one of the best treatments for risk is Elimination. If the President holding DC events in public exposes him to public threats, you can eliminate exposure to those threats by holding events in private; which is to say on the White House grounds.
I know there is a motivation here to do an end run around the legal hurdles of the ballroom build, but there is a legitimate security argument for holding large events in a more controlled environment.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
2d ago
There are ways to solve the security problem, but yes in terms of risk management the question is 'at what cost?'
Are people willing to shut the hotel down for 24 hours to deny guest access to the lobby? Who is paying for that? Are you willing to put multiple people on every single ground floor entrance to the hotel and at every portal on the ground floor before, during and after the event? Who is paying for that?
Are you willing to inconvenience the rich and powerful with tools like turnstiles, metal detectors, x-rays, pat downs and biometric recording the week before to be checked on the night? Who is paying for that (and not just in currency)?
How about shutting down the entire city block, snipers on every rooftop and swapping the chefs and service staff out for Seal Team 6 for the night? Who... well no one would.
The short version is that Security is a game of Risk Management utilizing limited resources deployed against a thinking adversary. Its most basic philosophy is of Defense in Depth, or a series of layered interlocking defenses with the presumption that some of them maybe vulnerable to being breached by certain attack methods while others aren't.
Here the system worked. If you want guarantees that it will work perfectly and that any event will always proceed undisturbed even though attackers are willing to throw away their own lives in the attempt, then you need to pay a significant price for that. Including a lot of inconveniences to the legitimate attendees.
Most of the complaints about how far the attacker got are complete cope (including by the attacker). They have nothing else to clutch onto at yet another failed assassination.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
4d ago
I'm wondering if some news outlets are doctoring the images to make his skin lighter. Compare the Kiwi Farms Family photo to this one from Reuters.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
6d ago
Outside of meditation retreats I never did more than 1 hour per day. Still, I remember when I was really into it I had a great experience. I meditated at night and then sat on a bench at a local park watching the moon. I have a vivid memory of being incredibly happy to be alive (because life was wonderful) and ultimately content. I literally could feel no desire for anything.
Happy experiences like that aren't the norm though and shouldn't be expected from the practice.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
7d ago
"I Couldn't Fulfill My Boyfriend's Fetish, So We Opened Our Relationship".
My boyfriend, Drew .. is 29 years old and a trim 145 pounds. I am 24 and stopped weighing myself when I began eating disorder recovery. Jessica (not her real name), the woman with whom Drew had his first external date, is 44 years old and over 600 pounds.
Ah yes. I don't know what I was expecting, but I'm not surprised.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
7d ago
Basic focus meditation using your breath as a focus.
Your mind will distract you, you focus back on your breath, your mind distracts you, breath etc etc
Eventually your mind distracts you less and less and you relax.
Its a technique you can do to relieve stress. Really. Nothing religious about it. I use it against high stress situations and it speeds up sleep.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
8d ago
It frustrates me that people get paid and made famous by parading their messy lives around. She got paid a lot of money to wallow in her flaws and gush about how badly she treated her friend here. Perverse incentives.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
14d ago
But Katy Perry is a weird character to say the least
Apparently so. Ruby Rose (who has all the hallmarks of a professional victim and like most professional victims, instantly makes me 'press F to doubt') made vague allegations that Perry sexually assaulted her back in 2010 (when they were both in their mid 20's). This is apparently currently being investigated by the Victoria Police.
There's lurid details of the complaint floating around, although now apparently Rose says "I am no longer able to comment, repost, or talk publicly about any of those cases, or the individuals involved”.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
25d ago
You aren't doing the men of America any favours here by quoting the stats. We need a malinformation suppression team in here stat!
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
I don't have a link to the original comment, but its triggered another question I've long thought about. Do children who win playing these ruthless social games (bullying/mean girls) actively have parents coaching them to do so? The incentives would seem to be there, lined up with ancillary evidence like the existence of 'Tiger Moms' and the like (beauty pagents & cheerleading etc).
Looking back on my own life, some of the bullies likely came from bad home backgrounds, but others seem remarkably well provided for (clothes, status symbols, preparedness for extra-curricular activities etc).
Curious what other people think about this.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
Refugees are definitely a money sink. Young educated tradespeople or professionals going through a strict points based system are normally positive in lifetime contribution.
Its difficult to do direct comparisons on net lifetime contributions across the anglo countries because a lot of the studies seem to be gamed to create the strongest arguments for immigration.
Regardless, as soon as you look at non-economic impacts, multiculturalism has so many downsides over homogeneity.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
The fertility decline/rapid aging of the citizen population doesn't help either imo.
I might sound like a broken record, but I think TFR is the root cause of all this. Western governments see population decline (and consequent tax base erosion) as a sovereign risk and will do whatever they can to forestall it. Immigration is the only tool they think is feasible to 'fix' this, so we continue to see uniparty policies of mass immigration despite it being grossly unpopular.
Everything else is downstream of this. I've heard speculation that AI based productivity gains might obviate the need for immigration, but I'm not holding my breath.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
Its not surprising some young men feel resentment at being set up to fail, and instead choose ruthless self interest (whether that looks like checking out of the dating market or sexual exploitation of women). You can't break the social contract and expect young men to unilaterally honour their side.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
But as long as we have the state capacity to stop the non-anglified groups from being too much of a problem (and we definitely do), it is a total non-issue for our civilization and way of life.
American exceptionalism aside, in the non-American Western nations there is definitely a lack of will and state capacity to assimilate foreign cultures. It is cheaper in terms of political capital to double down on indoctrinating the host heritage populations to accept the 'eccentricities' of immigrant groups over mandating assimilation. There's also perverse incentives where host politicians (and parties more broadly) can benefit themselves by championing immigrant groups over heritage citizens. The US isn't immune to this in pockets, but broader American culture may be more resilient against cultural infringement.
Noticing the 'two tier' celebration of immigrant cultures over the denigration of the host cultures is building resentment. The UK seems to be the first of the Anglo nations to reach a crisis about this with free speech infringements used to keep a lid on things.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
That leaves the third, which is handily rephrased as "what percentage of guys who only got a date at all from studying dodgy PUA-type techniques will proceed to flounder once they have the real flesh and blood woman in front of them and need to engage her in conversation?", to which I would be very surprised if the answer was in the single digits.
There were a lot of socially awkward men that mistook the map for the territory and took the Red Pill ideology quite literally. There seemed to be a correlation between those likely to make the mistake of 'talking about Fight Club' on dates and their place on the autism spectrum.
The older theory was designed to bootstrap dateless guys enough to get them on 'dates' and provide some encouragement as they discovered 'landmarks', or correlations between the theory and what they encountered in reality. They were then meant to build experience through repetition to bring themselves dating success (whatever 'success' meant to them). Unfortunately a lot of guys fell into a pattern of talking about the theory endlessly online over actually developing themselves into better (which is to say more attractive) men.
In the worst case you had weirdos autistically trying to 'force the territory to match the map', by using jargon in the field or even trying to 'correct' women's behaviour to match their own understanding of the theory rather than accepting reality as it is. This was one of the many contributing factors to the 'brand' of PUA/Red Pill cratering once it gained more mainstream awareness.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
This is how you get Havel's Greengrocer. 'Are you a Soviet Spy? I think you're a Soviet Spy!'
Funnily enough this never happened to me despite long ago spending time in the PUA sphere. Never punished.
It also, reminds me of recent forced polarisation of neutral parties in the influencer sphere into stating their (non-existent) party membership.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
Feminism, as an ideology for advancing women's interests, cannot survive in an open marketplace of ideas. It's Motte is 'Feminism is about equality between men and women' which is indefensible when presented with the flood of examples of Bailey exploitation where 'feminists' pick or discard gender roles according to whatever is most in their interests in the circumstance, equality be damned.
Boys and men can now drink from the firehose of the internet which facilitates easy noticing. Like many other ideologies crumbling in the face of evidence, Feminism's supporters have started pushing for suppression of information to allow the gaslighting to continue.
It's this broader desire for suppression to allow narrative control that worries me about the West right now. Its happening along other fronts such as Multiculturalism which also seems to now require suppression of speech to get incompatible cultures to coexist.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
Yeah his predictions are real 'alternate timeline' stuff. Deliberately or not, his predictions are things he would like to see (or more cynically, things his followers want to see and will spike engagement).
I remember his flameout post here seemed designed to be as polarising and ostentatious as possible.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
I think its possible that the US did the hit, but we're not certain. By their stalling I think its likely or they would have denied it already. Lets be honest, they have the intelligence and they've had a week.
That said, I've talked to a persian expat friend and he's highlighted Iran's history of false flags going back to the 80's. He isn't upset at the way the narrative is playing out. He thinks if this isn't the toppling of the theocracy, that Iran will suffer as is for another 30 years+
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
3-6 months. CENTCOM requests for intelligence analysts. Start your search with that.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
I asked Grok about this, and it came up with this (unverified):
- The complaint centers on an intercepted communication (likely by the NSA) involving a conversation between two foreign nationals (possibly linked to foreign intelligence agencies) discussing a person close to President Trump. Later reporting specifies this involves Jared Kushner (Trump's son-in-law) and connections to Iran.
- The whistleblower alleged that Gabbard's office restricted or interfered with the normal dissemination of this intelligence for political reasons, bypassing standard procedures (e.g., Gabbard reportedly took a paper copy to White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles and directed limited routing back to her office instead of broader sharing).
- Under intelligence whistleblower laws, such a complaint should be forwarded to Congress (specifically key committees) relatively quickly, but it was delayed for roughly eight months—only shared with lawmakers in late January/early February 2026, and even then in redacted or limited form due to classification concerns (officials cited potential "grave damage to national security").
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
The right is fresh out of fucks to give. We are far enough in the polarization cycle where no amount of emotional or ethical pleading will have effect.
This type of mining of trust and collective goodwill happens in other spheres as well, and its just about the most corrosive thing you can do to social cohesion. Eventually the abused side has zero empathy and actual legitimate pleas to ethics and morality are ignored in some sort of cultural 'Chicken Little' effect. I'm concerned that you can't maintain a shared civilization with liberal freedoms if things continue to be abused in this way.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
He knows what he meant. The women will keep picking the bears if men don't up their game.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming to help. It's just you.
1mo ago
Are Iran really in a state where they can attack shipping directly (perhaps via drones) as compared to proxies like the Houthi kicking off again? (Apparently it was Hezbollah that droned the UK RAF base in Cyprus).
They're a little busy right now and my understanding is their centralised command and control structures have been decimated requiring devolving command decisions to regional/unit commanders.
I guess they are relatively undefended and Iran looks like its swinging in all directions to cause as much chaos as possible.
Its crazy how the thinking goes: "You can vote for anyone except for parties that will lead to fascism. Which ones are those? Don't worry, we're experts; we will tell you."
More options
Context Copy link