Recursive_Enlightenment
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User ID: 791
Recursive_Enlightenment
9mo ago
If notable respectable figures continue associating with Hanania, it might signify a shift in cancel culture. These figures might argue that Hanania's genuine apology should suffice. Currently, individuals who have made racist remarks are offered little redemption even compared to those convicted of multiple violent crimes. With ever-changing definitions of racism, many important people could benefit from a system that forgives sincere apologies, like Hanania's. Moreover, associating with someone like Hanania, who undeniably made racially charged comments, could shield those who've made milder missteps in the past.
Recursive_Enlightenment
7mo ago
What are the chances that this leads to Israel attacking Iran? Iran appears to have been a supporter of Hamas. Netanyahu has seemingly been eager for a reason to dismantle Iran's nuclear weapons program. From Netanyahu's perspective, eliminating the program would make recent events a net gain for Israel. However, how would the global community respond to an Israeli assault on Iran? While many countries in the region would likely be pleased, they would need to feign outrage. Russia, having recently gotten weapons from Iran, would denounce the attack. But, given its diminished power, what action could Russia realistically take? Would Biden risk sanctioning Israel for such an action, particularly when his Republican adversaries would likely applaud it?
Recursive_Enlightenment
1yr ago
Female education is strongly negatively correlated with fertility. I'm guessing civil society won't let me target this, but perhaps I could greatly reduce the total number of people going to college.
Recursive_Enlightenment
9mo ago
See Gwern on Death Note and Anonymity. https://gwern.net/death-note-anonymity
Recursive_Enlightenment
10mo ago
I look forward to a future where everyone wears augmented reality glasses and can make the bench appear to them however they want.
Recursive_Enlightenment
1yr ago
“Get a decent career and make money.”- Doesn’t work in a world where women make up the majority of college graduates.
It's better advice than ever if college educated women mostly want to date college educated men. It's women who don't get dating market value from going to college.
Recursive_Enlightenment
6mo ago
But what if you define abortion to be a form of murder?
Recursive_Enlightenment
1yr ago
What gets you fiercely activated, beyond what you can rationally justify?
Computer problems and being forced to go through call trees to contact some organization. If I'm alone I will scream and swear.
Recursive_Enlightenment
9mo ago
Whether people are rational or read the question correctly is very different from whether they can pick red. I agree that some people would pick blue, but if you are telling me that some people can't pick red, you have changed the game.
Recursive_Enlightenment
1yr ago
Learn who will hate you if you are not woke and take appropriate precautions.
Recursive_Enlightenment
1yr ago
He is 65, and I'm guessing that payments from the dying newspaper industry were dwindling anyways.
Two Tweets from OpenAI's Sam Altman: "eliezer has IMO done more to accelerate AGI than anyone else. certainly he got many of us interested in AGI, helped deepmind get funded at a time when AGI was extremely outside the overton window, was critical in the decision to start openai, etc." "it is possible at some point he will deserve the nobel peace prize for this--I continue to think short timelines and slow takeoff is likely the safest quadrant of the short/long timelines and slow/fast takeoff matrix."
Eliezer Yudkowsky thinks that the rapid development of AGI will likely kill us and he has devoted his life to trying to stop this from happening, and Sam Altman almost certainly knows this. My personal guess is that quantum immortality means regardless of who is right, some branches of the multiverse will survive AGI, and the survivors will have enough computational power to know what percentage of the branches survived, and consequently whether Altman or Yudkowsky were right.
Edit: Eliezer's response Tweet, which I don't understand.
Recursive_Enlightenment
1yr ago
For US national security and AGI arms race reasons, I hope the US military plan is that if China is about to conquer Taiwan, we first destroy all Taiwanese computer chip factories.
Recursive_Enlightenment
1yr ago
On current trends, it's people with your views that will be subject to authoritarian suppression.
Recursive_Enlightenment
11mo ago
I friend of mine knows lots of high ranking people in the military. He says many of them take UFOs seriously.
Recursive_Enlightenment
6mo ago
This is fantastic. My previous view was that Hamas launched the attack out of pure evil or stupidity, but after reading this I think they have a real chance of permanently crippling Israel. There is an equilibrium where if most of Israel's neighbors turn against Israel, Israel doesn't have a chance and then, I suspect, the Jewish population of Israel moves to the US, Canada, and/or Australia.
Recursive_Enlightenment
6mo ago
It could be the behind the scenes restrain was so the US would have time to get military assets into place to better defend Israel if it is attacked by another nation.
Recursive_Enlightenment
4mo ago
If Canada lost some territory to the US, it would become even more dependent on the US.
Recursive_Enlightenment
6mo ago
If Israel gave notice and said "Everyone out of northern Gaza because we are going to destroy it in two days" and Biden didn't object I think Israel would be fine. Because of scope insensitivity people are about as bothered by 100 birds being killed as by 100,000 of them dying. I think something similar is true with how the world feels about Palestinians. (As I expect AI to soon be able to uncover all of our identities matching what we write here to text under our own names, please note I'm not claiming that any of this is a good thing.)
Recursive_Enlightenment
6mo ago
Economies of scale in military protection means the US benefits from adding rich, stable, culturally compatible states.
Recursive_Enlightenment
1yr ago
The key difference between big city housing and traffic is that you are worse off the more other drivers are on the road (the externalities are just negative) while the reason you want to live in a big city is because of the net benefits (net positive externalities) of living near the other people.
Recursive_Enlightenment
7mo ago
Would it be suicidal over the long-term for leftist European politicians to take in such refugees?
Recursive_Enlightenment
7mo ago
I wonder how Jewish academics are going to handle this. Will they update their believes about their woke colleagues and students, and if so will they work to change hiring and admissions policies?
Recursive_Enlightenment
6mo ago
I'm not sure, but this shouldn't be an issue with modern preservation techniques.
Yes, pillaging isn't that bad is something you could only think if you have never had to worry about starvation.
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