greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
User ID: 68
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
11mo ago
So in the span of 8 days: trump assassination attempt, Cloudstrike, and now the presumptive democratic nominee steps down, a first in decades. I think you'd have to go as far back as LBJ the last time this happened. The big winner is Elon Musk and twitter by putting himself center in the media spectacle. In hindsight, it looks like his purchase will pay off as the news cycle continues to intensify and twitter surges in use.
I least am not supporting Trump because he's a paragon of morality , the most qualified, or effective at his job, but that he is the best option out there. Trump being unable to ingratiate himself with DC power dynamics lessens the likelihood of a major blunder, like another Iraq War or something of the scale. Tax cuts and stimulus are what we can expect, and judicial appointments that will outlast his term. The worst fears of every pundit from 2015-2017 of Trump came nowhere close to manifesting, so this makes me disinclined to take them seriously at anything.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
5mo ago
I support his rehiring because it's the ultimate repudiation of cancel culture, and about time the right grew a spine. You don't win a culture war by accepting the opponent's moral framing or terms.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
2mo ago
Although an interview is insufficient to diagnose dementia, I think there is something to be said for age related mental decline . I have seen it. Just go to anywhere old people tend to congregate and eavesdrop. Their conversations tend to be very simple. Even if they have advanced degrees and were successful, by their 70s they have regressed a lot. Now compare to conversations by college students, which are faster-paced and more complex. This is why I spend so much time on writing and math, to avoid a similar fate. I am not going to be 70 and sounding like one of those people who have mentally checked out for the remaining 20-30 years of their life ("dead at 50 and buried by 80"). I don't think Trump has checked out, but this is a speech pattern of his.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
2mo ago
You vote as hard as you can, and bless your heart, you even win! The schools don't care. The dude you voted for specifically tells the schools to tell the fucking machines to stop fucking. They simply can't stop.
Although the above post focuses on education, this is true broadly. Your vote does not matter that much. Politicians do not care about the secondary consequences of their policy (e.g. small businesses suffering due to tariffs or covid lockdowns). The only option is to become sufficiently wealthy/self-sufficient where it does not matter as much or you can move to better neighborhoods or choose private options, like private school. This is why FIRE is so popular. It's a way for people to make enough money to choose a better life for themselves and family.
As others pointed out, CICO cannot be debunked in so far that thermodynamics is immutably true. It's just different factors can contribute to these variables on either side.
How many other “willpower problems” have less to do with willpower and more to do with 2nd and 3rd order effects which are hidden from us, or which compound invisibly? There are probably many more for obesity alone.
agree. Too many people, including even on the 'HBD side', downplay the role of metabolism in regard to obesity. Consider that having a faster metabolism (or more specifically, a less efficient metabolism) means being able to eat more food without becoming obese, hence less willpower is required.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
3mo ago
I'm just so tired with everyone's vapid obsession with tariffs. To the point where it feels like a psyop.
When the market posts the biggest decline since Covid or 2008, of course people are going to care . It was the market crash that got people talking about it. And the fact the tariffs were so much more onerous compared to past tariffs.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
3mo ago
The market's huge selloff is a pretty clear indication tariffs are a net-negative. any gains in some small manufacturing are negated by losses elsewhere in the economy.
I think he wants to pivot WaPo to something more like the WSJ, as there is more money and perhaps also clout in being seen as objective and not just a another political rag.
The NYTs and other mainstream media suffered from 2018-2022 by being perceived as too ideologically biased , such as During Covid or the riots. Blaming Trump for everything was not going to work if people had grown to distrust the media in general, as Bezos noted. This led, I believe, to coverage that portrayed democrats and Biden in a more negative light, such as endless headlines about inflation and shortages and other problems during the Biden administration, instead of the liberal media being water carriers for the Democrats, as During the entire Clinton-Trump era.
Yeah he lost subscribers but probably made up some of those. Only time will tell of this was truly an error on his part.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
3mo ago
"if the republican party is to survive" people have been using this line for as far as I can remember, and yet if Trump's win, strong House and Senate showings, the SCOTUS, and the woke-backlash are any indication, the Republican party is doing just fine, even thriving. Both parities operate a lot on vibes. if the vibes are negative , the incumbent may lose, like in 2020,2024. Except for maybe blacks and 'single young urban women' , voting patterns can change at a whim based on vibes.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
3mo ago
sounds like a copypasta or bad ai
Wokeness seems like a rebranding of the SJW--remember that? Woke-capitalism is a rebranding of 90s PC culture--the stuff satirized by Dilbert and others. Leftism was weaponized by smartphones and social media, such as for getting people fired, but this predates the use of woke. It thrives because it confers status without having to actually do anything. In the past, activists had to actually engage in activism; now they just list pronouns.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
8mo ago
/r/neoliberal transformation into just another /r/politics is application of Conquest's Second Law
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
3mo ago
Agree. I think most of this is overblown. That's not to say it isn't bad, but it's not going to lead to crisis as many are predicting. Consider a $5 cup of cofree from Starbucks. The bulk of the price is the advertising. Raw goods are only a small percentage of the final price of a good. The beans, which are imported, are a tiny percentage of the final price, so the math works out to a final inflation tally that is much less than the touted 10%.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
3mo ago
zoom out to all time. an even bigger spike occurred in 2020 during Covid . there is no psyop
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
3mo ago
GW Bush pandered extensively to Hispanics, and now Trump does the opposite and wins them over. Trump has made it abundantly clear, when it's not implied, the distinction between legal, productive immigrants compared to illegal or law-breaking ones. The former know and can infer that Trump is not referring to them.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
3mo ago
Car/stroad haters seem to overwhelmingly be young, childless, apartment-renting city-dwellers. If you somehow aren't, then your critiques make no sense.
lol, on Reddit there is a nearly 1-1 overlap between childfree/fuckcars subs
Much of the progress is in making people who are 40-60 years old live to 80, or making 70-year-olds feel like 50-year-olds, but not much about making people who are 80 live to 100+, as the rate of decline/decay is too rapid. There seems to be a rapid shutdown mode where the body calls it quits and nothing can reverse this.
Bryan Johnson has become famous for his anti-aging "Blueprint" that includes hundreds of daily supplements and other quirky behaviour such as not eating after 11:30am. Johnson insists that, in his mid-40s, he has the mind and body of a man in his 20s. But looking at pictures, it's obvious that this isn't true. Rather than looking like a young man, he looks like an uncanny middle-aged man.
Agree I am not convinced either.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
1mo ago
Bitcoin continues to be useless for organized crime due to the transparency and permanence of the blockchain . There is no way to cash out even if the transactions are anonymous and not tied to a person.
In 2004 I watched some episodes of The Apprentice and he seemed sharper. Trump today is not quite there. Not quite dementia, but not at 100%. Trying to make a diagnosis based on a transcript or TV is always going to be unreliable. There is a reason the criteria for dementia are defined in a certain way. Specific criteria have to be met, like the failure to recall a small string of numbers, fewer than even at the low-end of an IQ test. A diagnosis of dementia entails a significantly reduced level of mental performance, not just sounding bad on TV.
I think also some of this is playing to the audience. Trump repeats himself and uses simple language to prevent being misunderstood.
I think Trump will be more damaging to the economy, and I think he will epically fuck up what's left of America's standing in the world. I think he will be an embarrassment who fails to accomplish any of the things his followers think he will (just like last time) and what he does accomplish he will fuck up.
People said this in 2016 too. Not saying you are wrong, but it's ascribes too much power to him or the wrong motives. Trump was constantly tweeting about the stock market and the strength of the US economy during his first term ,so it's evident the economy is important to him and he's not going to fuck it up if he can prevent it. Also, I am skeptical at how can he simultaneously fail to accomplish anything but also fuck things up or irreparably ruin America' standing. Even during Covid, America led the world in developing a vaccine, and then Trump stimulus programs engendered a rapid economic recovery as other countries stalled out with endless lockdowns and relapses.
Given how well the stock market has done in recent months in light of the >50% prospect of a Trump victory, I think market participants are optimistic, as am I. He will pass stimulus, tax cuts...typical stuff. Inflation and debt will keep going but but it won't lead to crisis, just more of the same stuff we've become accustomed to over the past 12 years. The tariffs will not do much either, similar to his first term.
The election process sucks in that America will be more divided regardless of the outcome . Instead of elections being discreate events, they are merged into continuous events where the campaigning begins at the end of the present cycle. If it's close then there may be a repeat of 2020, but it will not lead to crisis, but it will be another slog. Elections have become too high stakes, and it would be nice to see a return to the 80s, 90s, or 2000s when there was not so much at stake or such a big deal.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
8mo ago
This is expected. AI art encroaches on a profession that tends to be solidly blue, similar to journalism, so there is an overlap between journalists and artists attacking IA art as either theft or being inferior. Some on the right oppose AI art for more asthetic reasons, but much of the criticism does seem from the left.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
11mo ago
photos and eye witness describe it it being a riffle
it instantly killed one of the audience members after being hit to the head
snipers regularly aim for the head ,as the secret service had done for example. they didn't shoot his torso
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
3mo ago
I think they got tired of wokeness too. It was not just about cozying up to power.
being sentenced 22 years was reprehensible. This pardon commutes it to something more reasonable and commensurate with the crime that was committed. Even BLM protesters whose actions resulted in deaths got shorter sentences.
More options
Context Copy link