BANNED USER: terrible poster who never improves
sliders1234
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User ID: 685
Banned by: @Amadan
sliders1234
1yr ago
That isn’t a retarted narrative. Politics in America are coalition politics. You need to protect your flanks and even at times protect idiots in your flanks because if you they don’t vote you lose elections 49-51 instead of winning 51-49. Of course Trump isn’t exactly the flanks.
Further, everyone on the right believes pick your candidate Vivek, Desantis, even Liz Cheney would suddenly face the same treatment if they were the nominee. The only way to protect your movement is to rally around the flag.
Sure these are warfare arguments but politics has the same dynamics. In battle you either work as a team or our slaughtered as individuals.
sliders1234
1yr ago
I wouldn’t worry about changing your mind. It seems like a few people dunked on you with what you now agree are better arguments. On new debates having wrong arguments is part of a process of getting to what you later believe are better arguments.
For old issues (Ukraine, Hunter’s laptop, etc) I hate when I get sucked into debates because the issues have already been litigated and sides staked. For new debates you are working thru the arguments that will be made and my gut says your argument will be the one made in favor of the ruling so it did need to be expressed.
sliders1234
1yr ago
Liz Cheney would be a fascists if the GOP moved to her. All her dad’s sins could be brought up as a sign of her fascism. The neocons would reunite around her. Half the right would probably agree with the left that she’s a fascists.
Not sure on McCain. I just think Cheney would be an easy target for fascism claims once she’s no longer a useful idiot ally.
sliders1234
1yr ago
Democrats did that with Fetterman. Maybe he really did have stroke issues but now that he’s woken up I don’t mind him as a politician as he’s pissing off progs on multiple issues including Israel. He’s basically declared himself as not having the woke mind virus.
Hates Ticktock and thinks it’s ruining the young (sounds kind of maga). https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/opinion/fetterman-argues-tiktok-is-warping-young-peoples-views-on-israel-hamas-started-this/vi-AA1lNkWO
I don’t have a problem selling US Steel to Japs but also Maga protectionism. 98% of merger arbs go thru (witness X) if it dips on these concerns there is likely a trade.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/dec/19/john-fetterman-vote-block-us-steel-sale
Anti-immigration
Some of these might be things Sanders would support but not woke.
sliders1234
1yr ago
Ideally grades but ivies have equalized those to so everyone gets a 3.8.
That does open the ability of somewhere like Georgia Tech to boost their prestige. Grade hard so employers can differentiate between candidates and tell the difference between candidates.
sliders1234
1yr ago
It’s not worth discussing in terms of the Houthis. It is an issue in a wider war where our weapon systems now seem to have a big vulnerability.
sliders1234
1yr ago
The problem is with the current Canadian regime it’s basically wtf would be different? Maine might actually do better as Canadian it would probably become more developed since Americans like to move to warm weather and Canadians can’t. Politically the US/Canada are very similar. The only big difference is Canada is more socialists largely because they don’t have large non-European low IQ populations.
It’s only a major move because we don’t actually live in a rule of law land at that level. Realistically words should have meaning but “living constitutional theory” meant the SC could just do whatever they want and act as a legislative body.
The GOP didn’t do that. The Dems created a whole philosophy that turned the SC into more than it was suppose to be. The GOP didn’t make the SC the supreme legislative body.
sliders1234
1yr ago
I think you end up with a situation where every GOP politician gets prosecuted on Novel Legal Theories until the GOP as a party quits nominating candidates
I do agree States get to run their elections but in this case the State Court is citing constitutional law to remove him. Couldn’t the SC just rule that you can remove him but you can’t remove him for the reason you picked and claim Trump didn’t do an actual insurrection.
At the end of the day I would assume it’s the Supreme Court with ultimate authority to rule if he violated section 3 of the 14th amendment which would open the door for the SC for a narrow ruling that he was not in violation.
sliders1234
1yr ago
Probably the Hanania argument. Which I think I’ve put out there too but he put it together better.
Jews are 17% of US billionaires, 33% of Nobels, 15/20 of the largest donors in the 2020 election, 7.5% of Senate/House, current POTUS (joking about Blinken), the vice first-man, 2/7 of the Supreme Court.
https://www.richardhanania.com/p/the-great-jewish-realignment-of-2023
Quoting GOT is a bit midtwit but “Power is Power”. Jews got it. Bunch of Ivy League kids not necessarily power - maybe some day.
sliders1234
1yr ago
One of the issues would be you can’t spend to rebuild Ukraine until you have a permement war ending. That has very real costs. Why spend $300 billion in infrastructure if a lot of it is destroyed when Russia builds up missile supplies. It’s possible Ukraine could harden up some and make defending easier.
If we have a war thread the Houthi Red Sea stuff has a few interesting considerations https://twitter.com/aristos_revenge/status/1736991083471454681?s=46&t=aQ6ajj220jubjU7-o3SuWQ
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The US Navy is using million dollar missiles to shoot down cheap drones. As the world changes this will not be affordable in a bigger war. The Ukraine war etc seems to be giving the US military a chance to figure out the technologies of the next war. I am sure out attack drones will be fine but how we defend drones needs to be learned.
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The thread above indicates that Suez revenue is 30% of Egypts revenue of $10 billion. I guess the west could write them a check but Egypt has a few stressors going on right now and this is a lot of money to them.
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No one has talked about this that I know of but I’ve always been like wtf are we supporting the Saudis doing their stuff in Yemen. I now support them. The Houthi’s probably have some issues doing Irans bidding here because western support against them is no doubt going to increase.
sliders1234
1yr ago
Honestly does that even hurt the white kid? White kid doesn’t get in over black kid. He then goes to next highest school on lists. Employer needing to find talent isn’t going to hire black 1100 SAT so the employer then hires at next school down the list they wouldn’t have gone to before. Kid ends up in same job.
The only thing is sort of effects is the excess hiring at Fang. He would have gotten the 250k a year at Facebook to do a light work versus the black kid.
sliders1234
1yr ago
Ukraine does have a lot of different culture and memes, far more libertarian while Russia has been authoritarian. Kamil did a few threads on how they have different poets/writers.
sliders1234
1yr ago
IMO I am not sure how much the kid in question blew this up. I think someone else just claimed it and it got trending. So he may have known he was a reach.
sliders1234
1yr ago
A lot of this feels like the idea that the left holds all the institutional power. They recreated the SAT to make it hard for math people to stand out but verbal to be the big separator. It also seems like the new test favors females versus boys. The changes overall seem to be better for blue tribe versus red tribe. It may only be a small shift but it’s another advantage they have built into the system.
1460 SAT and rejected at Cornell has been trending on Twitter the last few days.
https://twitter.com/maiab/status/1736766407348814091?s=46&t=aQ6ajj220jubjU7-o3SuWQ
A lot of the takes were about him being rejected because he is white. The thing I find interesting is the condensing of the top 1-5% of scores into a smaller score range over time. My guess since the score differences look smaller it lets schools select more for other characteristics rather than pure mental horsepower. Getting a perfect score today or something that looks similar 1550 plus will not differentiate people as much.
Elon Musks apparently had a 1400 SAT. Bill Gates a 1590. Obviously they are both smart but I feel fairly confident Bill Gates is significantly higher pure IQ. With the way normal distributions operate I feel confident saying there is a big intelligence difference between the two but on the current system Musks would probably get 1580 and Gates 1600.
Digging thru SAT history there have been a few key years where the test had significant changes.
1993/1995 - some test changes but the big thing was a recentering to get scores back to about 1000 from 900. Before this update a median score at HYPS would have been 1370-1400 area. Bill Gates 1590 would have really stood out and guaranteed alone admittance to Harvard.
2005 - attempts to move the test closer to high school curriculum and eliminated analogies and quant comparisons. My guess is this made the test less of a pure intelligence test and closed gaps between highest performers and mid range.
2016 - more I guess dumbing down and trying to make the test more like what they did in high school. Multiple choice questions went from 5 options to 4 options and wrong answers no longer carried a penalty. This would make educated guessing far better.
Here is the current percentile for different scores.
https://blog.prepscholar.com/sat-percentiles-and-score-rankings
1500 is now solidly top 2%. 1450 is top 4%.
Here is the data from 2003
https://blog.prepscholar.com/sat-historical-percentiles-for-2005-2004-2003
1490-1600 was solidly differentiating between the top 1%.
I believe the new scoring significantly hurts the outliers at standing out from the test. And likely hurts the highest performing white, Asian, and Jewish males at getting into the most selective schools since the difference between a 1530 and 1600 SAT score just doesn’t seem that big statistically. It feels to me that studying for the new exam and learning test taking skills are more important today. Perhaps, you think this isn’t a big deal that the raw mental abilities of the top 1.2% and .3% of the population isn’t important and allowing schools to select more on other criteria is more important. My opinion for the very top programs finding the Bill Gates level intelligence matters. Men also have different intelligence bell curves (more people on the extremes) therefore on net I believe it hurts males.
I am also curious how someone who is really good at math could stand out in today’s environment. The SAT and a few good AP math scores wouldn’t seem to be enough. Do you need to have the opportunity to compete in high-end math tournaments?
Personally, the new testing I believe would have significantly effected my life. Coming from a lower class white family being able to crush the SAT gave me a way to stand out for a relatively cheap costs.
I am seeing a median SAT score of 1520 at Harvard and a median of 1440 at UMICH. My guess is back in the day that gap was much higher.
sliders1234
1yr ago
For Venezuelans we know that isn’t happening. I don’t know the solution but these seem like people who would do ok with a functioning government and the rule of law.
I don’t particular want them in America as most of the people of this background end up being lower middle class, below average education, but with limited criminality and that’s not a great deal for America. But the world should still be able to provide them something like 13-18k a year middle income life.
One question I have is did something change with the border in the last two years? Are we getting far more or were they some how all chilling in Houston before busing started? We never had this issue before and I don’t understand why they are everywhere it’s a lot of people.
These seem like people who would be great for a start up type city. Something like in Iowa where land is cheap, lacking full citizenship/freedom of movement, but with US rule of law.
sliders1234
1yr ago
Not the biggest fan of conscription either.
sliders1234
1yr ago
Russian colonies that didn’t want to be Russian colonies like Ukraine.
sliders1234
1yr ago
Ukranians have agency. If they wanted to end the war then they could end the war. If they don’t have political power then they can emigrate.
To be honest I always take views like yours as a desire to see the US regime to lose and not some real belief that it isn’t a good fight and the care for a Ukranians is just a justification for seeing team pride lose in the Us.
sliders1234
1yr ago
He has steadily increased the size of his wars since taking power.
Georgia, Chechnya (twice), South Ossetia, Syria (perhaps justified), Ukraine twice. A few smaller things.
sliders1234
1yr ago
They can emigrate. And besides the war is popular in Russia.
If a person decides to be a soldier then their path is their choice. Even if their a conscript they can surrender to Ukraine. These options might involve some risks but they do have options. You act like they are non playable characters.
Let me simplify a lot of the change in relative incomes.
Big tech platform rents largely flow to the US in terms of jobs, dividends, capital gains, and taxation.
I don’t know how to quantify this but it’s the big difference going on. And Canada was too small of a market to scale big tech so the US was always going to take this market.
Some of the other stuff you say has an effect. It would be nice if someone smarter than me could do all the analytics to quantify the advantage of America being the big tech ecosystem. It’s obviously a big fucking deal for the last 5-10 years of economics.
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