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Notes -
June 22 2020, PCGamer - Chris Avellone accused of sexual misconduct by multiple women
June 29 2021, PCGamer - Chris Avellone files libel suit over last year's sexual misconduct allegations
March 25 2023, Chris Avellone's blog - JOINT STATEMENT FROM KARISSA BARROWS, KELLY BRISTOL, AND CHRIS AVELLONE
March 25 2023, PCGamer - crickets
March 25 2023, Kotaku - crickets
It's remarkable that rpgcodex had the coverage that aged best.
Erik Kain working his beat as a based games journalist as well.
I'm not sure what more to add to this that hasn't already been said. Mostly I felt like summing up the entire event from primary sources for posterity and clarity, so that it's obvious who the liars are, and who the good faith actors are.
Question for the Motte:
What are your priors for whether an accusation is true or false, particularly with regard to the status of the man? Most people in practice seem to drop the "believe all women" pretense when the male status is high enough (see the accusations against Biden and Clinton), and that makes sense. Absent strong corroborating evidence, there's a point of public renown where there's enough benefit and enough bad actors who know about your existence that unverifiable false accusations will eventually outnumber unverifiable true accusations.
How far does this extend all the way down the status pole, though? To well-known video game journalists? To line level managers at a F500? To a coworker at a Walmart? To a homeless dude? And how does this interact with the status of the woman involved?
"J'accuse...!"-ations are all obviously false. Ones that only hit the newspaper when charges are laid could go either way.
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Stick with the legal presumption of innocence, even if the case involves someone you'd like to believe the worst of.
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If the accusation happens on Twitter, it didn't happen.
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All sexual abuse accusations against men are false, regardless of his status. #BelieveAllMen, but the inverse if he admits to it - which would only be the case if he has been longhoused so thoroughly that he has developed a false gynocentric consciousness.
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If Alice accuses Bob, default to assuming the accusation is true in dealings with Alice and assuming it is false in dealings with Bob, regardless of the status of either.
That's how you end up being Bob Number 2.
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Default disbelief in all cases regardless of status, unless compelling evidence is presented and actions are congruent with an actual offence happening (did she go to the police, did she sit on it for years, is this hopping on a bandwagon trend a la MeToo?) Making a malicious, false accusation is a zero-cost action, and stands the gain the woman in question financially and socially even if later revealed to be false. Very, very rarely does it backfire a la Amber Heard. And she still has her supporters.
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Depends on what the man is known for. Prominent athletes and actors seem to legitimately have more than their fair share of date rapists, for example, while judges don't. Secondly look at who's doing the accusing. A minor league liberal activist making accusations of a conservative nominee for the supreme court is a different ballgame than a party-hearty coed accusing a runningback.
As far as "everyone acknowledges they had sex, but he-says-she-says on the consent" situations which are the vast majority of accusations leveled against lower status men, I'm perfectly prepared to adopt a "you had casual sex, you knew the risks" attitude but I do think it goes both ways; I credit that accusation from a known loose woman, for example, as needing a bit more supporting evidence, and my prior for a case where a woman willingly meets a man alone in his apartment/hotel room is that she wanted to sleep with him.
Prominent athletes have more opportunities for sex - which means more opportunities for any one woman to claim abuse (especially given that many of them are used as casual sex partners and have no cause for loyalty).
They're also more prominently covered (barring some disaster or OJ situation) than judges. It seems like the entire societal backlash against sexual abuse was aimed at Hollywood actors and producers.
Those things muddy the waters.
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The Feminist movement has successfully moved towards calling a lot of things that are very different in my mind rape. So it depends on the nature of it. If it's a highly violent stranger-in-the-bushes thing, then I'd default to believing it. That's what most people understand as rape. The feminist movement seems to move towards considering romantic misunderstandings between people who know each other as rape with very low standards though, so I default to not taking that seriously without some level of knowing one or both parties and having hard evidence of the situation. It doesn't matter to me the status of either of the individuals.
I suppose my actual standard in a situation that started voluntarily takes into account that men are expected to take the initiative in the great majority of all romantic encounters. This will inevitably go wrong sometimes. So IMO, no harm until the woman has expressed clear and unambiguous desire for it to stop multiple times and the man still refuses to stop. And that would have to be solidly proven - both sides have motive to lie in this situation, and having recordings is going to be pretty rare. This leads to (as advice to women), if you really definitely don't want to get physical with a guy, don't let him buy you a dozen drinks and then go up to his room with him alone. Doing the above doesn't mean you're obligated to let him do whatever he wants, but it's pretty obviously a situation with high potential for misunderstanding, and I'm going to have high priors against believing any claim that you were violated in a way that deserves legal recourse.
Regarding Biden and Clinton, I also can't help but notice that there's a highly partisan coding here. The progressive movement wants to completely ignore Clinton's well-known history of violent rape, and ignore Biden at least doing lots of highly inappropriate groping. But they want to sink Trump for the "grab them by the pussy" remark, and Kavanaugh for allegedly doing something inappropriate at a high school party decades ago which nobody had heard a word about until he was nominated for the Supreme Court.
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