domain:mattlakeman.org
Quantumfreakonomics
9m ago
The current buildout is about to run into the wall that is the electrical grid. AI will become unpopular overnight as soon as people realize that the brand new data center down the road is causing their electric bill to go up.
Goodguy
20m ago
Are the actual transcripts available somewhere, or do we only have Politico's excerpts and commentary?
MollieTheMare
30m ago
Good luck.
If you don't already own a pair, I highly recommend a good set of cycling bib-shorts at those kinds of distances. Also possibly chamois cream.
Don't underestimate fueling. If you "hit the wall" at hour four of a five hour marathon you only have to survive one more hour. If you "bonk" on hour five of a seven hour century you have to survive for twice as long, and also be lucid enough not to get run over. People have been talking about 60+/-30 g/hour of carbs for such long efforts. The upper end is quite a disgusting amount of sugar to be eating if you are not used to it, so it does require training as well.
tsiivola
34m ago
If you do not want to expand the overton window in a certain direction, you typically would not make jokes in that direction.
So X making jokes about gas chambers does not mean that X is a Nazi who has read Mein Kampf five times. But it indicates that X regards updating his group's beliefs towards him being a Nazi at least neutrally.
At the 2016 White House Correspondents' Dinner president Barack Obama made the following remark:
"Eight years ago, I was a young man, full of idealism and vigor, and look at me now. I am gray and grizzled, just counting down the days 'til my death panel."
Do you think Obama was trying to expand the overton window to make more acceptable the idea that a panel of doctors would decide on the euthanization of non-productive or otherwise undesirable individuals? Do you think Obama's remark indicates that he and his group regard the idea of these "death panels" at least neutrally?
Or do you think that Obama was actually mocking his opponents and critics? That he considered the criticism so ridiculous in itself, that he did not even bother constructing a joke based on it, he just repeated the criticism verbatim while being fully confident that laughter would ensue?
Now, if it is the case that Obama was reminding everyone how ridiculous his opponents were just by repeating their words, then it could be the case that the people being ridiculed were fully aware that this is what was happening, and that there is no good way to defend against this kind of ridicule. And in this case someone who is being ridiculed could resort to lying, saying maybe something like "they told us they are not setting up these death panels, but here is Obama himself casually talking about them in an approving way!", and hoping that at least some people will believe the lie.
Skeletor
42m ago
Why should I need to justify it morally at all? Whose team should I be on if not my own? I didn't create this system, I just refuse to play along with progressives who seem to think I'm obligated to accept the bottom rung in it.
Ioper
45m ago
I meant more for your free time and all your projects. Relaxing more will probably leave you less high-strung at work as well.
TowardsPanna
56m ago
Ironically, the usage of watermelon by the pro Palestinian crowd is fitting because they seem to be influenced into sympathy for them through a misguided perception of the Muslims being the "brown", non-white party in the conflict, despite them being more of less ethnically identical to most Jews.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
59m ago
In this edition of pissant goals I'm working towards, I'm taking my first step towards my long term plan of finishing a century ride on my bike. I haven't gone much farther than 20mi in a single ride before, so my plan is over the upcoming months to set goals of first a metric half century, then an imperial half century, then a metric century, then a full century.
This weekend I'm going to attempt a metric half, down at the Jersey shore. This was where I had previously done my eponymous five hour marathon to settle a bet, in the early or late off-season the shore is ideal for self-planned endurance events in that it is A) Empty, B) Pretty, C) mild weather-wise, D) Relevant flair there's a Wawa every so often that is open 24 hours a day I think there's seven on my intended 50km route, creating natural aid stations where I can get a drink or a Snickers or a band-aid rather than packing all that stuff in, E) It's easy to convince my wife to go there with me for a couple days, F) Navigation is easy as the barrier islands are very long and narrow with mostly grid-layouts, so as long as you know where the sun or the water is it's pretty much impossible to get lost, and finally for cycling it is F) flat. Worst case scenario and I crash or injure myself, I call my wife to come get me. Best case scenario, I call her to meet me at the end for our brunch reservation in Cape May.
It's funny, because I know that this is a truly irrelevant distance for anyone who is even a modestly serious cyclist, but it is also a reasonable challenge for me in that I haven't attempted a distance this long before. I'm excited to try something I've never done before, with what I find to be the right degree of planning and preparation, which is to say less than most people would recommend but enough that I think I can get it done safely. If I do ok on 35 miles, I might try to do a 50 mile next month, but after that I'll have to spend the winter working on getting faster. I've yet to really fail on endurance anywhere, but I struggle to keep any tempo over ~60 for very long, which limits my ability to climb and go very fast, and I think I'll need to sustain 18mph to credibly finish a century. Any slower than that and I don't think I'll be able to stay in the saddle long enough to finish. Then I'll target a metric century in early spring, and a full century in late spring, or if that doesn't work out this time next year. Or I might actually seek out a real event for a century ride.
I suppose I'll need a new username if I finish, but SevenHourCentury just doesn't sound right.
WandererintheWilderness
1hr ago
I ask again: how do you justify this morally? Some might say that unpleasant circumstances when doing the right thing will give you a material disadvantage is when it is most important (and indeed admirable) to behave ethically.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
1hr ago
An 8 hour feeding window is completely standard for IF and may even be superior from a lean mass gains perspective to a 4 hour window.
2rafa
1hr ago
Every bubble has its boosters, and at a late stage they often resort to the ultimate and final bull cope:
“They won’t (and indeed can’t) allow it to crash”.
In each generation this has a different name, but in this cycle the most common is probably some variant of ‘the fed put’. Of course, if elected governments and their appointees were powerful enough to stave of a market crash, these things would never happen, given their typical electoral consequences.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
1hr ago
Oh it's absolutely effective for calorie restriction without counting too much or overly punishing yourself in social situations ("I don't eat after 8pm" is an easier thing to explain than "I don't eat a long list of foods based on a logic you may or may not agree with").
I just find it amusing that "skip breakfast and avoid snacking late at night" is like grocery-store-checkout women's magazine tier advice, classic weightwatchers stuff. While "I do intermittent fasting on a strict schedule" is optimization bro Huberman-pilled advice.
2rafa
1hr ago
it could well be similar to how the dot-com investments worked out. lots of duds and even scams but on average i think the return on investing during that era was good
The overall market (the S&P 500) didn’t reach its dotcom peak again until 2007 and then promptly crashed again, not reaching it again until the 2010s. The Nasdaq didn’t hit its 2000 peak until 2015. Looking at total returns paints a slightly rosier picture but it was still a long time.
Skeletor
1hr ago
You appear to think of politics entirely on the basis of whether policies create material problems for you in your life (and, granted, in your daughter's). Don't you have a concept of politics as rooted in moral values unrelated to your own personal fate?
1990's colorblind liberalism is dead and it wasn't the right wingers who killed it. Since we now live in some kind of post-liberal racial spoils hellscape, I'll be voting for my own team, thanks.
wsgy
1hr ago
Jew is a slur or the proper terminology depending on how much stank is put on it. So it's one of those things that's a lot easier to parse the meaning of when spoken, less so over text. I'm completely unsurprised young people who primarily communicate via text rather than speech would be uncomfortable with Jew as a term
Jazzhands
1hr ago
This is your regular reminder that the current administration is still working to undo the thousands of bans that Youtube did at the Biden administration's behest. I assume the OP means "modern as in the past five minutes."
Bingbong
1hr ago
Some of the point about the money with AI is that the current financial engineering means that a lot of money is coming onto existence on paper (especially in these circular 'Company A invests in Company B but Company B then immediately uses that money to buy compute from Company A, valued in accordance with the new benchmark' deals) and not really escaping the loop the same way. This is now, somewhat, obscuring a state of pretty clear stagnation and weakness in the broader economy.
Bingbong
1hr ago
Also massive reams of labor is currently probably kinda pointless in the present metagame but kept around for a combination of ego-reasons and since people are sold fantasies about stuff like 'Marketing' and 'Human Resources' which are real phenomenon but likely hugely overallocated to in manhours (and I've worked marketing roles, the sort of insane digital marketing KPI hacking that goes on would make an Engineer vomit).
I don't think that AI will, in the medium-longterm replace these roles insomuch as prompt a reshuffle where a lot of more extraneous roles get rebranded or people just kinda slide around till they find new roles in wishywash nothingness that AI's less capable of servicing.
benmmurphy
1hr ago
it could well be similar to how the dot-com investments worked out. lots of duds and even scams but on average i think the return on investing during that era was good and what it ended up producing was good. the problem is all of this is very risky and there is going to be a lot of failed investments in order to have some big payoffs. and of course the big players and everyone who thinks they have a chance is going to try and get the government to step in to subsidise their losses. but that doesn't mean the idea of AI is terrible or that we shouldn't be doing it.
orthoxerox
If you can read this, you're using a custom theme
1hr ago
I've always thought the most common form of IF was 8 hours between the first and the last meal. 10am to 8pm is not really IF, but something like 11am to 7pm should qualify.
netstack
Texas is freedom land
2hr ago
While you’re welcome to argue that you think something is obvious, please refrain from consensus-building.
thejdizzler
2hr ago
I have! The problem is calibrating what is an appropriate time box for a task, especially in lab where I'm not sure how long for example, dissections might take.
It goes hand in hand with discipline and frugality, but a level of income such that relatively-unexpected expenses are not a great source of stress will significantly improve your quality of life.
Do you have enough in an HSA to cover your health and dental insurance deductibles? Do you have enough in savings to replace your washer and dryer if they conk out? Specifics will vary for different people, but the general idea stands.
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