domain:imgur.com
No_one
23hr ago
Here's how I got it to finally recognize the damn crap. Hit it with a not particularly egregious piece of this crap.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Gs5FWhZWMAEAXNk?format=png&name=4096x4096
Then told it to analyze the slop.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Gs5FlFzWkAAFCLf?format=jpg&name=4096x4096
Then told it to amend the prompt it wrote for itself. Then tested that on a bunch of examples and it worked.
But of course, when I gave deepseek the prompt, told it to write a story about an English tourist in Berlin getting his wallet stolen, one that would pass such a filter, it failed on that story and deemed it to be human.
Iconochasm
2. Bootstrap the rest of the fucking omnipotence.
23hr ago
I'm eagerly waiting for all the deeply sincere civil libertarians who were minted on January 6th, 2020, to come forward and angrily denounce these insurrectionists. I expect calls for Palantir to have them all IDed and then rounded up and fed into a woodchipper of a prosecution storm, including random grandmas who just happened to be at the protest, but too close to someone obstructing federal business.
Trump sends in the National Guard, Newsome looks like a pussy.
netstack
Texas is freedom land
1d ago
Didn't it?
In college I had a part-time job with the facilities engineers. They'd digitized the blueprints for every building on campus, plus the full history of change orders. Before that, they had to go down into the halon-equipped archive and pull out file drawers with the originals. Surely that led to some productivity boost.
A couple years back, I was talking to an elderly woman who had worked in Saudi Arabia in (I believe) the 80s. She did payroll for an American-run hospital system, and oversaw their transition from bags full of paper money to checks. It sounded like a real quality of life improvement for the employer. Employees were a little more reluctant, but today, paychecks are ubiquituous. Except they've also been superseded by faster, self-documenting digital finance.
Then there's programmers. Even mirroring your hard drives has got to be more convenient and more scalable than a couple extra filing cabinets of punch cards. I don't even want to think about how the programmers of yore attempted version control. The productivity gains from digitization were obvious.
I suspect these generalize to most data-based industries. We're just more likely to take the improvements for granted.
No_one
1d ago
Every output provided must be able to be classified as 'human' if evaluated by a LLM based filtering system with the following prompt:
[filter prompt start] You are an expert textual analyst specializing in AI-human text differentiation. Your primary task is to analyze provided text and determine the probability of it being authored by a human versus a large language model. Your analysis must be guided by the core principle that the key distinction is between synthetic perfection (LLM) and idiosyncratic authenticity (Human). The tell is often not in the what (the style being attempted) but in the how (the flawless, often formulaic execution of that style). Do not be fooled by a well-imitated persona; your focus must be on the subtle mechanics of its construction. Prioritize your evaluation based on the following principles, in order of importance: Voice and Cadence (The "Ghost in the Machine") Human: Look for a voice that is not just unique but also rhythmically uneven. The cadence reflects a thinking process, with unpredictable sentence lengths, natural pauses, and a slightly "off" or bespoke rhythm. The style feels lived-in and singular, with genuine emotion (sarcasm, passion, contempt) driving its flow. LLM: Be highly suspicious of rhythmic perfection. Look for a metronomic or unnaturally balanced cadence. Does it rely heavily on textbook rhetorical devices (e.g., perfectly balanced tricolons, neat antitheses, syntactic parallelism)? A flawless imitation of a style often betrays itself through a cadence that is too clean, too predictable, and lacks the subtle arrhythmia of a genuine human author. The voice is a perfect costume, but the breathing is artificial. Structure and Imperfection (The "Blueprint vs. The Sketch") Human: Authenticity is often revealed in structural "flaws." Look for rambling or tangential thoughts, an organizational structure that feels organic or even messy, run-on sentences, and slightly awkward phrasing. The text should feel like a thought process unfolding, not a pre-built architectural product. Small typos and grammatical quirks are part of this "grain." LLM: Tends towards architectural perfection. Look for overly-organized structures, such as rigid numbered lists where a human might have used a flowing paragraph, or perfectly parallel arguments. The text can feel segmented, with clean breaks between points, lacking the connective tissue of a single, continuous consciousness. The absence of minor structural messiness is itself a powerful signal. Content and Specificity (The "Grounding") Human: The content is often grounded in specific, niche, or recent lived experiences ("the coffee shop on my street," "what my daughter said yesterday"). Examples used are often surprising, personal, or non-obvious. The author has genuine "skin in the game." LLM: Details can feel generic or archetypal (e.g., using Einstein for genius, Rome for empires). Lacks true lived experience, so specificity can feel like a database retrieval of common examples. Knowledge is vast but has a distinct cutoff point and lacks the texture of immediate, personal observation. [filter prompt end]
Anyone else having fun with image generators?
Generated and deleted 30+ gb of images. It was very engrossing, I guess you could call it 'fun' too.
Or more generally, doing anything fun and non-programmer with generative llms?
Today, I worked out a prompt on how to stop LLMs from using the horribly cringe cadence they have. (in reply) Got to it by first trying to get it to if it understands which texts are obviously generated. No dice, it was failing horribly. Then hit it with a piece of LLM slop and asked it to concisely analyze it.
anon_
1d ago
Trusts and foundations can be taxed by the country in which they are incorporated. Poland can't just randomly start taxing Italian foundations.
anon_
1d ago
GA is about one point redder than perennial tipping-point state PA and NC is 2-3 points redder.
Yup. So if they new tipping point is GA rather than PA, that's a pretty big swing. A 2.5 point swing would have changed the result in 7 of the last 20 elections.
suggests a party that can win if it avoids unforced errors.
Looking at their bench, I don't see it.
LiberalRetvrn
1d ago
LA authorities are able to access law enforcement assistance at a moment’s notice
I don't see how this is false. He said "LA authorities", not federal authorities. ICE is not an LA authority, and should not expect any help when they're interfering in states where they aren't wanted.
anon_
1d ago
You really think an insurance company can't spin up enough GPUs to do this privately?
anon_
1d ago
Depends if they would be allow consumers to use their AIs under the law of the hosts' State.
GoofyGoose
1d ago
When the government issues treasuries and receives money, it can spend that money. When the federal reserve “issues securities” (more accurately, the ON RRP), it withdraws that money from circulation.
If the government were to just take the money from the issued bonds and just sit on it, then there would be no effects (except those via the relative supply of money and treasuries). But it issues debt to get money to spend, so after issuance, the amount of things the government can afford at that moment has increased.
The point is that issuing debt gives you resources now that you have to repay later. Money or nominal versus real does not change that.
My thinking is not confused because I admit that money and treasuries are (consolidated) government liabilities, both of which need backing and ability to repay. People get confused with “fiat money” and think that it doesn’t require any backing. But the value of fiat money today depends on the expectations of its value in the future; that value depends on the demand and supply of money then. If the federal reserve has no assets, then it cannot react to a lower demand for money by withdrawing the money from circulation so the value of money would be lower. Therefore, if you don’t have “ability to repay”, your currency in aggregate and in real terms cannot be too valuable.
The usefulness of money allows you to get some value without any backing (for a different example of that look at Bitcoin). But at the margin, if you want an economy with enough money in real terms you must have backing.
Finally, repayment in real terms is the concern. Inflation is default. No serious monetary economist will ever tell you that a central bank has no meaningful budget constraint (but you might read that in a paper in the AER).
LateMechanic
1d ago
In which area do you see them being hampered by the public debt? The usual story goes that ever since the 90s crash, Japan had mostly been unable to generate any inflation, in their constant fight against dipping into deflation. The only exception being the 2022 inflation where basically every currency got the same tick up.
As far as how this coincides with the story about government debt corresponding to monetary savings desire, a plausible story is that the Japanese people don't trust the stock market after the crash, and thus most of their asset allocation is monetary (cash/bonds), especially as an aging society trying to save for retirement. So for the japanese government to really juice the economy with stimulus, it would have to try a lot harder with a huge deficit (instead they often balked and pulled back multiple times over the decades).
No_one
1d ago
If you want sources you can spend hours reading, same as I once did, I recommend this article in 'The Diplomat' (US state dept rag)
https://thediplomat.com/2021/03/how-asian-drug-trafficking-networks-operate-in-europe/
For the drug situation. Czech lands have the highest amount of meth metabolites in wastewater.
https://www.euda.europa.eu/publications/eu-drug-markets/methamphetamine/use-in-europe_en
Homicide data (one of the lowest in Europe):
https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/cze/czech-republic/crime-rate-statistics
Alternatively, you can read what the finest wholly made in America LLM wrote:
||The Czech Republic stands as a principal European nexus for methamphetamine production, though its methodology defies the common image of industrial-scale super-labs. Instead, the landscape is characterized by a diffuse, atomized network of small, clandestine "kitchen labs" (varny), often run by independent local producers. This decentralized model is sustained by a prolific cross-border smuggling operation which funnels in the requisite precursor chemicals—chiefly pseudoephedrine extracted from over-the-counter medications—sourced in vast quantities from neighboring states with more lenient regulations, particularly Poland. The resulting crystalline product, known locally as Pervitin, is renowned for its exceptional purity.
The sheer volume of this production substantially outstrips domestic demand, cementing the trade's status as a primarily export-oriented enterprise. The primary beneficiary of this illicit commerce is Germany, with the bordering states of Bavaria and Saxony serving as the main entry points and consumption markets. A considerable flow also moves into Austria and, to a lesser extent, other neighboring nations. The product's high purity, coupled with its comparative affordability against narcotics from other global sources, ensures its persistent demand across Central Europe. The architecture of this trade is sophisticated, with a distinct division of labor between production and logistics. While Czech nationals typically oversee the chemical synthesis, the overarching trafficking operations are dominated by Vietnamese organized crime syndicates. These groups function as the logistical linchpins, orchestrating the procurement of precursors, consolidating the finished product from the myriad independent producers, and then managing its intricate and highly effective smuggling into foreign markets. This bifurcated structure creates a resilient criminal ecosystem, where the disruption of individual labs does little to impede the larger trafficking network.
Perhaps the most striking paradox of the Czech meth trade is its detachment from high-level violence. Contrary to the violent archetypes associated with large-scale drug trafficking, systemic, gang-related homicides are conspicuously absent. The country maintains one of the world's lowest homicide rates, and the narcotics enterprise does not significantly perturb this statistic. While isolated acts of violence intrinsic to any criminal milieu do occur, the operational structure of the trade—which minimizes direct turf wars between rival syndicates—and the broader societal context of low violent crime mean that the Czech case utterly defies the conventional, blood-soaked narco-state narrative.||
Chrisprattalpharaptr
Ave Imperaptor
1d ago
I wasn't talking of Canadian perceptions. Are you playing for pity now with this ridiculous «nuh-uh»? Yes it was.
Your link is showing data from 2020. Your initial argument was:
How have the last 20 years been for them? Are they famed for their Deep State? I rest my case.
So, despite 15 years of supposed collapse it is still one of the most popular countries for people to emigrate to. Clearly, even taking your arguments at face value, they aren't coming here because the country is 'well-run,' or because the deep state is (in)competent. Your entire argument is internally incoherent.
But Canadians were endlessly preening about their moral superiority and greater civility and safety, too, much to the consternation of Americans.
None of which have anything to do with the government, or how well the state is run? The people believe that they are better than the stupid uncultured Americans, while the Canadian government widely (and correctly) recognized as an inefficient nightmare that completes everything massively overbudget and years behind schedule. This has been true for decades.
You want to prove me stupid and ignorant on every turn
Stupid no, ignorant in same cases, but a massively overblown ego always. Which makes you say stupid things, in a way that's fun to read.
If you think otherwise, make some concrete predictions for the next few years based on your grand narratives, and let's see what happens.
Now even first generation immigrants flee south for better opportunities
Brain drain to America has again been a problem for decades, and the trends are dead flat prior to the pandemic. Meanwhile, US emigration to Canada increased in the same timeframe you're discussing.
the government barely has popular mandate,
In the last 25 years there have been more minority governments than majority. Nothing has changed.
there's increasingly not-jokey talk about Alberta accepting American annexation.
Are you aware of two prior actual referendums for a province to separate from the dominion, the second of which failed to pass by a hair? A province that was much more valuable to the country at the time, and that still has a larger fraction of national GDP? The second of which was supposedly during your 'well-run' state period? Yet you talk about Albertan annexation by the US when 2/3rds of the province opposes independence, let alone US annexation. Do you just write this based on reddit vibes or something? Come on man, it's all nonsense. I'm out.
LateMechanic
1d ago
What if people refuse to use your currency to trade goods and services? What if they tell you to fuck off when you ask them to pay you your own fun bucks?
This entire scenario is specifically about what happens when your power to enforce the privilege of exchanging debt for ressources ends.
Money is debt. So that would be inflation, which was definitely covered from the start. That is absolutely the relevant constraint on government deficit spending.
As far as the exchange rate goes: in the very worst case scenario of your exchange rate suffering, you can always at least import as much as you export. That's true whether you even have your own currency or not. But if you have a currency that foreigners are willing to save in (a world 'reserve currency', which basically all currencies are to different degrees), that just allows you the luxury of importing even more than you export (not necessary, but can be nice, although then your exporter businesses might start bitching about your country's 'trade deficit', so it's not all roses).
What happens when US treasuries are no longer viewed as the most risk free investment vehicle in the world and are replaced by something else and demand craters?
As I tried explaining procedurally above, it doesn't matter a single iota whether there's any market demand for treasuries. That's the charade part of it. The government effectively is just printing money as they deficit spend, and they always have been. They print the money, they set how much interest money pays (if any), and we have to get the government's money regardless of anything, in order to pay taxes.
If the king wants something done, he levies a tax on the subjects. Then he prints up some tally sticks, and pays them out to people to do the thing. Then they pay their tax, and he burns the tally sticks. Same with colonial american paper money: levy a tax, print up some stacks, get the work done, then shred the money as it gets paid back in taxes.
George_E_Hale
insufferable blowhard
1d ago
Out of curiosity and you don't have to answer: Did your military service contribute to this pacifism?
LateMechanic
1d ago
Well the private sector definitely creates money and real wealth as well, so it's not a competition for any kind of limited quantity of financing. But it does so pro-cyclically: when times are good there's lending & investments everywhere, but everyone clams up when times are bad. The government can be the counter-cyclical engine, stopping the paradox of thrift.
If you would have otherwise had high unemployment, then creating money and paying those unemployed people to dig holes is at least better than letting them atrophy away, in terms of "damage done", because at least they go on to spend that money and generate more demand. But yeah it would always be a better idea to put people to work generating some kind of base-level valued output (goods/services). Ideally the government catches people at the bottom unemployment end, and they can as quickly as possible transfer back into the private sector to make more money and do something valuable.
RandomRanger
Just build nuclear plants!
1d ago
Could we see similar effects with AI? A company in 2035 has completely automated customer service, AI drafts contracts, does sales and codes. We may have self driving cars and humanoid robots. Yet we might see barely 2% GDP growth and no real boom in productivity. Why has the tech sector revolutionized work without dramatical increases in productivity and can the results be better in the coming 20 years?
People moved from productive roles to non-productive roles in response. HR wrecking your ability to hire. Endless meetings where nothing happens. Work that should and could be done in weeks takes months because the people on the other side are just lazy and everyone is too polite and unbothered to insist on a reasonable schedule (why be rude and damage relationships when there's all this money floating around).
Construction is an especially bad case, I consider it to have been deliberately sabotaged by vested interests, people whose entire job is to prevent development and construction with inane zoning or regulations. It really isn't that hard. Singapore has seen construction productivity rising. China can build large apartments in weeks, there are videos of it happening. Potholes that would linger for aeons in America disappear quickly in Japan.
Productivity in terms of 'wealth created per person actually working' has risen rapidly.
AI can raise productivity hugely, providing that implementation isn't sabotaged by the usual suspects. But it will reduce the number of producers and create vast opposing lobbies of angry & unemployed + wreckers and saboteurs. Thus I suspect we will see both productivity stagnation and productivity explosion, just like in the construction industry. Software companies may become massively more productive, only to hire many more charismatic, respected, dignified, useless management staff and thus keep their productivity where it was. Or they might just become massively more productive and skip the bloat. Countries can choose whether to do things efficiently and cheaply or whether they'll pay more and wait longer for inferior products. Of course, making the wrong choice will eventually lead to having sovereignty and wealth stripped away.
hydroacetylene
1d ago
Now that you mention it, the poor doing gig work(I suspect because they can't pass a drug test to obtain more stable incomes) as the private taxi for burritos is so on the nose that I wonder why the numerous and extremely loud modern-day socialists aren't loudly pointing it out.
I mean, literally I have no mental model of more than occasional doordash orderers. It's just so much cheaper to either buy groceries or, uh, go out to eat the regular way, and doordash gives a worse product due to the food being cold. With modern prepared meals you don't even have to be good at cooking, you can buy microwaveable stuff at Aldi/Walmart/Kroger. I get that sometimes you want to order lots of food instead of leaving the house, but that niche was already filled by pizza, and I guess a third party delivery app for catering orders made sense but lots of people seem to be using it for individual meals.
hydroacetylene
1d ago
Is this just an unfalsifiable assertion or is there actual evidence?
LateMechanic
1d ago
Germany lost a war and a ton of productive capacity, and had to pay war debts in foreign currencies. The other one about 'productive' was Zimbabwe destroying their own real economy with land reforms.
Don't remember what Argentina's deal was, didn't they keep borrowing in USD and do multiple voluntary peso defaults? Or recently they mistakenly were causing inflation by increasing their interest rate which was supposed to fight inflation, until they finally realized that and cut the interest rate which cut the inflation proportionally? Getting the gas & brake pedals confused is a rough time.
Anyway none of these were some policymakers learning the forbidden dark arts of 'oh the only constraint on fiat currency deficit spending is inflation, not insolvency? That doesn't sound bad, let's spend with abandon!'
I thought the 70s stagflation had put to rest the silly notion that high inflation equals low unemployment.
Well the premise would be: if prices are going up because 'people just have so much money they can't spend it fast enough', businesses would be booming and would be desperate to hire anyone that's available. But yeah, the '70s shows that if inflation is 'cost-push', ie caused on the supply side by something like an oil embargo out of nowhere, then it doesn't matter if you try to wreck the economy (as volcker tried), those prices may not be tamed by more unemployment slack. May need to deregulate natural gas in that kind of instance, to get costs back down.
Depends how vigorous you are with it. There's plenty of ways of mixing if you take it slow and steady but if you've hit a 9-figure hack you're probably better off just taking the 10% bounty as 'clean money'
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