domain:savenshine.com
Lizzardspawn
23hr ago
Feel free to make money on polymarket.
remzem
23hr ago
I agree tbh. The thing is the imperial core is nearly completely hollowed out by this and the gains on the frontier are no longer outpacing the decay at home. So eventually their system will simply collapse and they'll face the same fate as elites in all the other dying empires.
coffee_enjoyer
☕️
23hr ago
I’m lodging my prediction that there will be American boots on the ground within five months.
remzem
23hr ago
I'm not sure who is in a bubble as I can't find a single place where this is popular outside of say /r/neoliberal or the neocon talking heads on twitter. Even /r/conservative it seems to go 50/50 from thread to thread. Israel is intensely disliked by the younger generations, there is a reason the US suddenly decided to ban tiktok after Israel started the Gaza genocide. If you're basing it off of opinions here I think this place has gotten pretty out of touch on it's political views.
hydroacetylene
23hr ago
This is the first time I have heard surprise at a theory of 'Jews did this' for conspiracy fodder events.
functor
23hr ago
They can close it the way Yemen closed the red sea. Tankers are massive, slow moving ships that are easy targets for drones and missiles. They have over 1500 km of mountainous coastline with tankers sailing in proximity to their shores.
The US failed to win against Yemen in a year and a half. This war will be much, much harder.
No_one
23hr ago
...until you get outside of the cities with the infrastructure to support a constant surveillance system. Which is to say, most of any given country, including China.
Seeing as drones are proliferating on the battlefield, in 20 years a platoon is going to have an APC with a server rack with more intelligence than an small office building of west pointers and a dozen recon drones in the air at all times.
Between everyone having a phone which can be easily turned into a snitch that keeps track of where you go and military drones, keeping the population surveilled and preventing it from feeding or aiding guerrillas is going to be a lot easier.
They were doing this in Xinyang. Every single person had to use a phone with a tracking app, they were also checking in arrivals at every single building, probably noting who was in close proximity. This isn't even SF, this is present day counter-insurgency
global support flows from cyber attacks / satellite communication support operations.
Tell me, how are there going to be 'cyber attacks' when the army will go around methodically securing or destroying all satellite comms on the grounds of them being security risks ? And the national fiber network is of course not going to be left in place, it's going to be severed from the internet and any channels going in or out are going to be approved by some paranoid AI system ?
still requires you to set up a nation-wide panopticon
Setting up a nation-wide panopticon is only as hard as is forcing the population, at gunpoint, to install the right brand of spyware app onto their phone.
Not very hard at all. They need the phones for most financial operations and they use either android or apple, so you need two kinds of apps to use lol. Verrry difficult. I'm sure there's going to be 3-4 Chinese vendors of such apps fiercely competing with each other over features.
With global IQ of 90 and AI, spyware apps are probably going to come into fashion to prevent silicon mischief.
quiet_NaN
23hr ago
All I am hearing is "just read the traffic code and you'll be fine, man. No policeman is ever going to ticket you for something which is not in the traffic code."
Sure, the policeman will find a section in the traffic code to ticket you, and that will not be difficult because some of the sections are very broad. For example, "reckless endangerment" could cover anything from your pet jumping out of your convertible mid-drive to you getting stuck on the highway with an empty tank. Likely, the traffic code will not explain how your car needs fuel and how to check the fuel gauge. Knowing that you are forbidden from recklessly endangering others does not mean that you know how to do that.
If someone wants to learn C++, about the worst advice in the world would be to tell them "just read through ISO/IEC 14882:2024, everything you need to know about C++ is in there". Sure, it would be technically correct that if they stick to the standard, use a standard-compliant compiler correctly (a subject very much not covered by the standard) then their program will have a well-defined runtime behavior, but even if that person is a genius able to wade through ENBF syntax rising to their chin and coming out with a solid understanding of how actual code would look like on the other side, they would spend most of their remaining lifespan independently re-discovering the principles of good software engineering.
For electrical installations of low-voltage systems, the relevant local standard likely refers to IEC_60364. Your would-be electrician will likely want the sections (1), (4), (5) and (6), each of which costs about 280 swiss franks in the IEC web store. Part 1, Fundamental principles, assessment of general characteristics, definitions is all of 49 pages, so I would not expect full electrical engineering 101 course full of comic strips to teach how to apply wire ferrules or use luster terminals or warn you that single strand wires will eventually break if bent in opposite directions repeatedly (or whatever, I am very obviously not an electrical engineer). Likely, the standard will start by saying that electrical installations should only be performed by licensed professionals (which is part protectionism and part that you can not reasonably trust a layman to understand the standard from reading it), and your self-taught handyman will be breaking at least that part of the standard.
ThisIsSin
Cainanites and Abelists
23hr ago
So putting us back to the status-quo ante of 1990, and NOT expanding access to loans for college, we might be able to avoid the worst excesses of Feminism entering the mainstream.
Dealing with that will require tackling the education-managerial complex- it's a feedback loop, where the same women who benefited from the initial windfall are now in charge of expanding the problem.
It'll also require dealing with the Boomers. Boomers (and especially Boomer women) see education as an unqualified good because it was good for them, and that's the long and short of it. Of course, their preferred policies of "throwing all youth productivity into a hole because once upon a time someone was mean to a woman" is evidence that education is not the unqualified good they believe it to be.
Probably causes women's standards to rise
And that they rose artificially is the main problem here.
I had a reply to something about "progressive women having the most to offer over homemakers; they have degrees in journalism" which illuminates the issue perfectly- they think they have more to offer, but are only useful as an artifact of law- completely useless otherwise.
And nobody likes being taken down a peg, much less universally co-ordinating to do so to themselves... but that said, men have a history in the early 20th century of having done this, and we're back to that sociofinancial situation, so I don't believe expecting women to have to do that for themselves is exceptional in any way. (Men and women are equal, are we not?)
Hadad
23hr ago
If you're positing a worldwide, decades long conspiracy to fabricate or exaggerate a genocide that never happened, then yes you need to actually say who (specifically) is pushing it and how they are doing so.
No you don't. You can identify something is happening without knowing who is doing it.
Otherwise all you're doing is noticing that millions of eyewitnesses and all serious historians agree that the Holocaust happened, and that many government censor its denial, without actually demonstrating the conspiracy you're positing.
No, people can, have, and will make all sorts of observations, noticing all sorts of inconsistencies and problems, even if they never produce a shadowy mastermind orchestrating it. All that not knowing who is doing it means is that you don't know who is doing it.
Do you think that she is mistaken about the part where they shot her mother in the head? Or the part where she came to live in London because her dozens-strong family back on the continent were all dead?
Possibly all of it, possibly none of it, possibly a mix. Memory and eyewitness testimony are unreliable, and that's true no matter how heart-wrenching the testimonial. It's especially true nearly some eighty years after the fact.
hydroacetylene
23hr ago
No, everybody hates Iran. Trump won't lose the midterms over this unless he does something dumb like trying to invade by ground.
functor
23hr ago
Obama ran on anti-war, tax payer financed medical care and reduced income inequality. Obama did the exact opposite and the left reinvented itself with woke.
We could see republicans doing the same and forgetting about reducing the deficit, America first, American industrial policy and instead finding an equivalent of the trans issue to channel their energy.
The US people will never be allowed to vote on immigration, billions to Israel, warmongering, Medical insurance companies extracting wealth and the surveillance state. It doesn't matter America elects or what the polls show, those issues are settled by the elite for the elite.
Muninn
"Dick Laurent is dead."
23hr ago
Death of the Ideal: Godclads Book 2 by OstensibleMammal. Still like Cyber Dreams overall, but by book 4 some of the plot devices were becoming repetitive and one of the major plot threads felt majorly "off" to me so I'm putting that series down for a while.
hydroacetylene
23hr ago
The Joe Rogan base will either forget about this in a month or write it off as 'Trump is no Bush, he drops bombs and leaves, no ground war'. The strike is probably insanely popular among everyone else- nuclear nonproliferation and boo Iran are both pretty popular, and there's no boots on the ground here.
hydroacetylene
23hr ago
I'm not sure why Iran getting a nuclear weapon is such a disaster. Like, bad, yes. Saudi Arabia would nuclearize pretty much immediately and Turkey probably wouldn't be too far behind, and that means Ukraine and Taiwan, maybe Egypt too, would probably take it as permission, and...
But the Iranian leaders aren't actually insane and Iran is uninvadable anyways. Pakistan and North Korea haven't used their nukes; they're expensive dick-measuring contests that deter ground invasion and not something which even nutsy regimes would use in anger.
SubstantialFrivolity
I'm not even supposed to be here today
23hr ago
Does she claim those weren't? If she's willing to bite the bullet and say "it was a problem when Obama and Biden did it too" then there's no problem. I certainly would agree with her in that case; the constitution is quite explicit that Congress is to be the one authorizing war.
It really is hard to beat. I mean football kinda comes close with how hard they hit, but at the same time it's not expected, in the same way it is expected in Hockey, that if someone on the ice disrespects your team or your teammates you drop your gloves and just beat the shit out of them (or at least try to) then and there. No other team sport has that same level of physicality. Sure MMA has more blood, but it's not a team sport. You're not watching a group of guys come together to fight for the win, you're watching two dudes whale on each other. I don't just watch for the fights, to be clear, but the fact that fights are an integral part of the sport does elevate it. It makes hockey special.
And then as you mentioned, there's the off-the-ice component. Where you can see the player's personalities shine, and you can see the sheer joy of what they do shine through them.
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