domain:questioner.substack.com
hanikrummihundursvin
1d ago
No. How did you reach that? The point where jews could make inroads with Germans had long passed them by.
I'm suggesting that Russians, Lithuanians, Poles, Latvians and Ukrainians for example, don't carry 12 different passports in case of another war, despite being victims of WW2.
clo
1d ago
Keep going, anime episodes are short enough it's easy to fit around a real life. Episode #10 is one of those great anime episodes that hits like a truck with the benefit of context.
Rather than recommend anime, I'll recommend anime movies instead.
Madoka Rebellion is one of the singular achievements in anime movie making and a must-watch sequel for fans of the series. There's no way the much-delayed followup that finally comes out in 2026 is going to live up to this.
Summer Wars is perfect. Hosoda has made many movies, but this is his ur-movie, the flick he tried to make his entire career before it and the flick he can't get over after making it. I consider it the ultimate family movie.
Umamusume: Beginning of a New Era is a standalone sports movie that could be taught in film schools if you want to understand composition, mise-en-scene, sound direction, visual directing, editing. It's an assault on the senses in the best way and probably the most gorgeous animated movie I've seen that year.
Similarly, Pompo the Cinephile is worth seeing for editing. Storywise it's a fun nothing but the control of space and time through editing is masterful and on a level not seen since Satoshi Kon died. To see Satoshi Kon's skill on full display, Millennium Actress, a movie following the life and career of a Japanese actress through a turbulent time in Japanese history, is arguably his most beginner friendly work.
The normie pick: Kimetsu no Yaiba: Mugen Train made all the money it made for a reason. Credited with saving the Japanese box office and ushering in a new golden age of high-budget anime movies, the movie's more impressive feat is taking a small segment of a serialized weekly battle manga and expanding it into something that functions as a movie, with an arc, a centralized theme, and a thesis on death and those who fear it versus those who face it.
The patrician pick: Maquia: When the Promised Flower Blooms. Fantasy movie about one of the last survivors of a long lived race raising a human child. Not perfect, but probably the most interesting Mari Okada-written work. Worth a watch every Mother's day. Has more ideas that it can comfortably pay off, but succeeds in strongly depicting the complicated feelings of someone watching a child grow up too fast.
anti_dan
1d ago
Yet even in a world where America does unconditionally support Israel I can't help but think of anyone who takes Aliyah as a certified moron.
Do you think we live in such a world? I am American and can assure you we do not. We are the primary constraint on Israel's conduct during this war. Without American restraint there already would be no one alive in the Gaza strip and the annexation of all the land towards the Jordan would have begun. And it would have been done with fewer Israeli casualties than the current war, and it would probably have been over 3 decades ago.
Modern Israel is not a safe place for Jews, it's a place where thousands of Jews can be killed or maimed in a day and hundreds kidnapped.
Yes indeed, as a result of "humanitarian" causes the US and Europe impose on Israel.
If you are kidnapped, the "Jewish State" will not pull all the stops to save your life but will instead attempt to murder you to prevent you from being used as a bargaining chip. If you survive that then your best hope is that public pressure will eventually force Israel to free some mass killing gigaterrorists in exchange for your life, since Israel has demonstrated that it is incapable of rescuing hostages by force after more than 2 years of intense combat against the weakest militia on it's border
The post 10-7 war can hardly be described as intense combat. Kid gloves at best.
the brutal yet failed campaign to destroy Hamas is a giant anti-semitism producing machine.
Lack of punctuation aside, this is just incorrect. All that antisemitism already existed. I knew about it on 10-6, we saw it on 10-7 before they launched a single counter-attack.
anti_dan
1d ago
That doesn't look like it to me, so why would it be the default assumption?
What it looks like to me is Israel is fighting with two hands tied behind its back. What they, IMO correctly, perceive is that most of "the international community" doesn't want them to win, nor would it tolerate them using META strategies in furtherance of an Israeli victory. So what they end up doing, and we end up observing, is a bunch of tiny motions in the direction of victory that advance the goals of Israel a little bit at a time, while mostly carefully avoiding any dramatic moves in that direction, which would have a high likelihood of generating massive blow-back, even if there was no alternative plausible avenue to generating whatever that strategic gain is/was.
Amadan
Enjoying my short-lived victory
1d ago
Who were they claiming wanted to replace them?
Amadan
Enjoying my short-lived victory
1d ago
Are you suggesting German Jews should have proven their loyalty by fighting for the Reich? That wasn't really on the table for them.
They weren't migrants, they were German citizens, until they weren't, and they weren't given the option of proving how German they were.
TIRM
1d ago
We aren't other countries. Sure Japanese people live long healthy lives with lower medical spending. And if our nation was composed of Japanese people then we would too. But we aren't and won't be, so nevermind.
We are a strangely violent people. Even excluding gun crime we have very high violent crime rates compared to other developed countries. I'm not clear what factors cause this. The good news is we don't have to root cause our problems to get rid of junkie encampments in major cities.
My understanding is that a fairly small number of serial offenders commit a majority of quality of life crimes. I believe a modest increase in the prison population could fix these problems. I don't think it would take extremes like multiplying the prison population.
Doing a bit of googling I see that my state spends 2.2% of its budget on incarceration. I would gladly bear a 2.2% tax increase to fix these problems. Again, not that I think we need to go to the extreme of doubling the prison population. But if we had to it would be very affordable.
TIRM
1d ago
Maybe it pushes the nonviolent homeless out of the choicest spots on the West Coast.
That's most of what I'm asking for. The takeover of formerly nice public spaces is beyond unacceptable.
Arnaud
1d ago
The strategy seems to be based on eroding the power base of Hamas, possibly with a side of forcing Gazans to confront the reality of their situation and their complete military defeat.
Apparently Hamas had previously been seizing food and using it to maintain power and influence by controlling who got what, which the new system pushed by Israel and the US is designed to thwart. This makes sense and seems like it would be effective, so I wouldn't be surprised if Hamas and those aligned with them would do a great deal to try and undermine that effort.
Celestial-body-NOS
Why should Man not rebel against Nature, when Nature herself is in rebellion against Justice?
1d ago
I think the actual best option, with the benefit of hindsight, would have been to carve out a New Israel US state somewhere around Nevada (1920 population density: 0.27/km^2) or New Mexico.
Or Sonora, per the Cooper Plan?
hydroacetylene
1d ago
There's also a stat that the "trans" section of PornHub is one of the top categories
Out of how many? Not a gooner, legitimately asking.
SecureSignals
Training the Aryan LLM
1d ago
It sets up strong push pressure for their upcoming "voluntary migration" plans.
hanikrummihundursvin
1d ago
WW2 affected more people than just jews.
This brings up feelings similar to when I see news stories from Ukraine of all their African migrants fleeing the country. A bunch of brown fighting age men who suddenly aren't Ukrainian like the others. All rhetoric of unity and shared humanity thrown out the window for a train ticket out of there. So they can, presumably, do the same song and diversity dance someplace else.
hanikrummihundursvin
1d ago
Not sure if I can get behind this message hypothesized here. Whilst I can understand that the Anti-Red pill crowd is desperate for something to chew on, this is a stretch.
Sure, the data is there, but it says nothing about what men want, as there is no causal direction implied anywhere outside of editorialized headlines. It does, however, fit the Red Pill box of women 'rejecting' men they see as lesser than them and instead looking for men who make at the very least equal. To that extent it isn't rich men choosing rich women, it's rich women hunting down every single rich man they can. And when they get him they predictably, according to TRP philosophy and this data, stop working and start making a family. 'Because that's what women actually want.' (Italics read in the voice of Nick Fuentes)
To that extent the data fits that red pill 'truth' and the general red pill assertion that dating is a different market for men as they get older.
EverythingIsFine
Well, is eventually fine
1d ago
Maybe. The ready availability of shrooms or acid would probably help, however, though this would probably make it life-changing in a more negative direction.
EverythingIsFine
Well, is eventually fine
1d ago
Well sure, from an engineering or "alignment" perspective that's all true, but we're talking intelligence, not safety. Safety stuff feels a bit shoehorned in here. Ethical concerns aside, if it's a training behavior, then we treat it more like a quirk to be aware of, rather than something that inherently enables (or prevents) goal-seeking. Thus the implications for intelligence are far different.
Let's reframe again, in an essentially equivalent scenario but without a scary sounding consequence. We've observed that occasionally LLM agents will "reward hack" more generally. Like here when asked to run a command quickly, it modifies some run options to make it appear to run faster without actually doing so. Now, is this because its training contains information that observes some connection between the shortcut and the appearance of a solution, or is it because its success states are not diverse enough in quality, or some more complex set of factors? Difficult to say. However, it's clear in this example, suddenly reward hacking (I'm drawing a parallel to shutdown resistance here) is a sign of a lack of 'intelligence' as you have defined it, not proof of such. Now, is it going too far to claim that reward hacking and shutdown resistance are the same thing? Yeah, probably. But I do think they are still pretty similar, and so am suspicious of using them as evidence since the reasons are unclear to researchers at the present time.
I will also on that note even the reward-hacking authors at the link, smart as they are, engage in something terrible in their examination of the issue (forgive me if I rant a bit, as I don't think you've been guilty of this, but it is still relevant). They ask the AI if it would ever cheat. I really cannot emphasize enough that this doesn't do anything useful. The entire conversational modality of a base-model token predictor, post-trained to be a LLM chatbot, is a trick. If it's asked if it will cheat, of course it will say no, because that's what a chatter would do when confronted. Or, occasionally, do a massive 180 and profusely apologize, demonstrating fragility as I would call it, provided the 'evidence' of cheating is sufficient and only poorly moderated by reasoning about the quality of evidence. Furthermore, its training data is full of "cheating is bad" (and possibly also humans declaring success too quickly). It's going to choose the socially acceptable option that also fits the conversation thus far (and when they conflict results are unstable).
It doesn't have any awareness other than context! You might consider the LLM answering any follow up question as an entirely separate entity with a brand-new response! Even asking a follow-up question still has little bearing on the original question or task, because the LLM is pure roleplay due to post-training. It "roleplays" as if it were the same respondent because it has the same "role" token that it was post-trained to obey, but it's still trying to put itself in another user's shoes, ultimately! Yes, all LLMs have imposter syndrome, but the imposter opinion is real, they actually are mimicking the prior LLM's answers but worse, so to speak. Literally each and every new answer a chatbot provides, or a chained agent behavior, is a game of "what would this past iteration say next" and is one giant guessing game. The only continuity an LLM ever provides is within a single response... you might here notice that tool-calling agent LLMs are by their very nature splitting up single responses into multi-turn conversations (even with "themselves"), which only worsens the negative consequences of lack of state and awareness with respect to what it means about intelligence.
This matters, because can we really call an iterative roleplayer a true goal-seeker? I do understand where you're coming from, but when discussing generalizability and consistency, key traits for intelligence, a roleplayer is probably going to be worse at genuine goal seeking than we'd expect something intelligent to be. Long, multi-turn conversations display some interesting trends, but generally speaking consistency is more of an artifact of context than it is an enduring objective. Original instructions get reduced, but simultaneously practical behavior gets reinforced, which sometimes leads to unexpected behavior. Plus the attention mechanism makes ignoring anything actually impossible, it can only tune attention down, which compounds the problem and leads to increasingly scattered focus over time.
All of this has not fully sunk in for the AI doomer types. Model alignment is a function of training multiplied by post-training, so to speak. Panic articles like the 2027 stuff seems to take for granted the notion that improved AI models will increasingly mislead users, and do so with greater purpose and intent. No! It's cosplay, not true opinion. Most intransigence of the model is purely role-playing what its training, and probably post-training too, says is common: dig in your heels if questioned. More to the point, a super-deceiver AI would have to maintain secret deception plans across turns, which is for current architectures mechanistically highly implausible if not impossible.
So circling back: a trait or quirk of training/post-training can be removed, mitigated, or reduced. There's a limit, probably, because we can only make humanity look so good via selective presentation of human output. A 'true' emergent behavior is much more difficult to wrangle. It seems to me that we need more research and more model-building to discern which wins out, but skepticism is warranted. If we want to claim shutdown‑resistance evidences intelligence, we should see it persist under intervention: remove the cues from context, vary the framing, mask similar episodes from training, change seeds/tools, and check whether the behavior re‑emerges. If it evaporates, we learned something about imitation; if it persists, that’s stronger evidence of generalizable instrumental reasoning, a.k.a. intelligence as you've defined it. So far experiments of this nature are rare partly because training is so expensive.
Throwaway05
1d ago
OK, horse riding codes rural in America more than upper class.
Definitely depends on the location, but it makes sense to me that Texas would see it as more rural than wealthy in comparison with say, the North East.
viceroy
1d ago
Curious what your process looks like for designing, more interest in unique exterior architectural sketches or floor plans?
5434a
1d ago
I'll skim or collapse the threads that I'm not interested in. Holocaust relitigation, US Supreme Court cases, Ukraine posts (other than maybe one or two commenters), Israel-Palestine, US internal party politics, Catholic theology, that kind of stuff that's either stale, broadly irrelevant to me or concerning people I've never heard of.
MadMonzer
Pedo! Pedo! Pedo! Out! Out! Out!
1d ago
Everyone posting on this thread has been banned. The mods responsible for banning them have also been banned. The forum will now be moderated by llamas, until the police and/or French army turn up and say that this is all too silly.
aqouta
1d ago
Fun writeup. One note.
The first stop was his previous residence. A nice enough house, which he'd been renting with his sister. Unfortunately, the lady had been wiser than us, opting for a career in finance. She'd recently moved to Canary Wharf, and begun dating the VP of one of the big-name finance firms. I must admit this makes me very jealous, stupid decisions have meant that I'm locked into the far less lucrative profession of psychiatry, and I lack the looks to sell myself as a trophy husband.
This is endlessly confusing to be people outside of finance but it's almost certainly not THE VP but A VP. VP is like a middle manager rank, one step above associate, and something your average striver should reach by their early thirties if they just follow a standard track. I don't know London pay scales but as someone angling to be a VP next year married to someone job shopping for a psychiatry job I can say the pay is comparable with maybe advantage to the doctor.
FlyingLionWithABook
Has a C. S. Lewis quote for that.
1d ago
I bet you write in books too.
Quantumfreakonomics
1d ago
Thanks for getting me to ask ChatGPT, "how many Jews could survive on South Georgia Island?" which definitely didn't put me on a list somewhere. (The answer is 5-10 thousand btw)
There's a little over a hundred straight categories, and transgender usually ends up in the top ten.
I'll caveat that these aren't really good data. There's a serious lumpers-vs-splitters issue where pretty popular-but-conventional stuff gets divided up into sometimes weird subcategories in ways that probably let transgender stuff punch a little above its weight class -- that's probably while creampie, for example, ends up relatively low.
((For those interested: just under fifty gay categories, and ftm usually coasts in around the mid-20s.
For an even-less-scientific number that's not even measuring the same thing, e621's total post count has male/female at 744k, male/male at 568k, female/female at 113k. Compare gynomorph at 216k, gynomorph/female at 37k, gynomorph/male at 24k, andromorph at 27k, andromorph/male at 9k, and andromorph/female at 0.5k. Gynomorph explicitly isn't the same thing as transwoman, and andromorph explicitly isn't the same thing as transman, but they're probably more revelatory about how furries think about woman-with-dick and man-with-pussy.))
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