domain:felipec.substack.com
token_progressive
maybe not the only progressive here
2hr ago
How are you defining "progressive" that people who supported Hillary over Bernie fit into that category?
Mantergeistmann
2hr ago
A bit late, but https://newsletter.pessimistsarchive.org/p/the-war-on-lab-grown-ice is the link for anyone interested.
Browser
2hr ago
Chauvin was completely railroaded by political vibes and is probably out within a year or two
TeknOShEeP
2hr ago
Maybe, but he burned a lot of bridges with people who would make very good attack ads. Like 40 year career, apolitical professionals ended up hating his guts and can make a very good case for why he made Americans less safe, and would happily do so on national media outlets. Perhaps I'm underestimating the capabilities of the DNC propaganda arm, but especially with his, erm, demographic disadvantages with certain key voter segments, I dont think he would stand a chance.
Great questions! Though nobody I know is bothering with zygotes, and I don't think the problem has anything to do with captivity per se except as it relates to a general lack of selection pressure.
Let's talk pigeons. To answer your question, suppose we take wild pigeon eggs and raise them (which I have done many times).
The parents are pigeons which managed to reach adulthood and mate successfully in the wild, which is to say that they are already very heavily selected. Probably they had many siblings, of the same parents, who did not make it. I think most people have no idea how many wild babies fail to make it to adulthood, and how many fewer have successful offspring of their own. It's hell out there.
Their eggs, then, follow the same pattern. Say we have four eggs. (Pigeons generally lay two at a time but we're saying four for illustrative purposes.) Of those, I'd expect one which is of the same quality of its parents, two which are not far off, and one which has deviated to a much greater degree. And different is generally worse.
Now suppose these are in a captive flock which has a healthy population size such that inbreeding isn't a major problem. Even so, each generation continues to slide a little more. Without wild-level selection pressure a whole lot of (generally worse) variants are doing just fine even if, again, more than you'd think fail to make it to adulthood even with ample resources and in a predator- and parasite-free environment.
Let me clarify here that we're not just talking about de novo mutations which at this scale aren't actually much of a problem. It's a question of the random recombination of their parents' genetic material.
Let's say (and this is an extremely crude and oversimplified thought experiment) that there are four 'personalities' possible from each parental pairing. Maybe easier to imagine two human parents with four children with different personalities and arguendo that's entirely genetic (yeah I know it's not, but a lot of it is). Some of those mental, phenomenological loadouts are better-aligned and will be more successful in life. Suppose one does as well as his parents, two do just fine, and the last one... gets an art degree. If they have to succeed the problem works itself out as the less-successful reproduce at lower rates. Give them infinite resources across generations, however, and the problem can get really, really bad, resulting in genetic meltdown and any number of people who are dependent upon charity and couldn't support themselves or a family if their lives depended upon it. They'll also be accumulating weird physical problems along the way, and will get uglier.
In other words, and to bring it back, suppose we take a bunch of the eggs from the multi-generation captive flock and swap them into wild pigeons' nests such that they're raised by top-tier parents. It'll be a massacre. They won't be as strong, fast, healthy, intelligent, etc. Even if nothing is apparently wrong they're just not put together as well. They'll fail to cope with the harsher conditions, get snapped up by predators, die in random collisions, fail to attract mates, and so on at much worse rates than the eggs we just swapped from their adoptive parents would have.
Does that answer your question?
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
2hr ago
My condolences. Times like that are usually when my wife steps in and reminds me I'm old, and to stop trying to hurt myself. I probably defer to her judgment about half the time. Then probably about half the times I think "Naw I'll be fine" I wind up hurting myself.
Thanks. Hopefully it's like all the times I've hurt my shoulder or elbow, I stay off it for a week and while it might ruin a project it doesn't permanently change anything. As opposed to the first time I hurt my lower back, after which it's never been the same.
I haven't biked in like, 10 years?
I've really enjoyed taking it back up. My wife joked that as a white male professional, I hit a certain age and my biology kicked in and I needed to go get a road bike and some spandex like every dentist around here.
Skeletor
3hr ago
Who the hell cares? They aren't doing shit about the violent rhetoric or trying to calm their base down at all, netstack's comment is fairly ludicrous in that light, and this entire "well ackshually you should expect a level of concern lower than 50 units" is a complete meaningless waste of pixels. Please, don't bother responding, there's nothing else to do here.
Well, without doxing myself too much, its mostly aerospace related matters, specifically involving certification of new aircraft, new rules for airports and air traffic controllers, and how the US would harmonize its regulations with other national and supranational regulators (like EASA... okay mostly EASA). The list of sins is long- it was never clear who was actually making a formal decision (lots of 'here's what i think, but xyz all need input'), despite a formal decision being requested. Some paperwork remained outstanding for 4 years. Certain statutory limits on how long the government has to respond to requests and filings were routinely ignored without apology or explanation, to the point we seriously considered suing the FAA and DoT. It also became obvious that several key administrators were completely AWOL and had delegated their entire function to assistants, and when this was brought up directly to him, we got an out of office (I believe it was his paternity leave stint, which is charming, but as a cabinet secretary the buck stops with you, respectfully you dont get to take months of paternity leave), our concerns about serious government malfeasance were never addressed in even a perfunctory manner.
My experience with the previous two secretaries of transportation, as well as the current one, are nothing at all like that. Night and day difference, and I know there are many other people in similar positions who have similar feelings.
I never met with him personally, but the issues i was involved with were the kind of things that would require his approval, or st least input, and that really never happened. In contrast, i have emailed Secretary Chao before and recieved a personal response about three hours later. Secretary Duffy appears to be much the same.
Capital_Room
rather dementor-like
3hr ago
Ah, thanks for explaining.
Looking at UAA's requirements, I don't meet them (my bachelor's is in physics, which means I fail the "Have completed a minimum of 6 credits in baccalaureate level Political Science (3 credits) and Descriptive/Inferential Statistics (3 credits) with a minimum grade of B" requirement).
Besides, I couldn't afford the tuition to go back to school (I can barely afford to keep myself housed and fed).
Yes, thanks, was hoping you'd show back up.
Let me mull on this and get back to you tomorrow; I'm in the air.
In the meantime may I ask your favour that, if you manage to connect some dots about me, you confine your guesses to DM? I'm fairly nervous about how much entropy I'm shredding with each statement though let me be clear that we're operating legally. It's just a small world and my opinions need to remain private, especially as they relate to humans.
I have some experience also with breeding horses, hounds, and pigeons, which may be easier to talk about since those are a lot more common and also I'm not really associated with any of them. Then again those were also more hobbies and passing fancies than anything. But the principles hold across everything I've ever done. Decline in quality from wild-caught to F1 isn't so bad but drops off very rapidly after that even if up to about F4 most of the output is 'good enough for government work.'
Also, as I'm sure you can tell, I'm not trained specifically as a geneticist. I have the same basic education there as the next guy in this world, though over time I've had the occasion and interest to dig deeper. I'm a lot happier speaking from practical experience.
My education had to do with ecology more generally and my work has revolved more around psychology, particularly as it relates to heredity. There isn't actually a ton of academic literature on the subject. A lot of the most important things I know have been pointed out to me by old timers who learned the honest way any number of things that I'd never have been taught in school.
So let me clarify your question:
The general problem with mutation load in small populations is very well and very widely understood, such that I'll be a bit surprised (but happy to help) if you'd just like to know more about it. But that's not the impression I'm getting. What would you like from me, specifically?
zeke5123a
3hr ago
I guess it depends on what “most” means. AOC, Crockett, and Omar all effectively excused it.
Yes, AOC initially decried it. But AOC went on the House floor and basically spent most of her time talking about why Kirk was terrible and why the House shouldn’t vote yes on the non binding resolution.
By the way, a majority of house Dems voted not to pass the resolution.
thrownaway24e89172
Death is the inevitable and only true freedom
3hr ago
Understandable; most of the anime boorus don't really feature much furry content anyway.
Of course they don't, that'd be too masculine for anime. Angsty potatoes only!
philosoraptor
3hr ago
nobody wants her but everyone will take her instead of the other choice
Who would "the other choice" have been at that point? Biden kind of painted himself into a corner there. Michelle Obama might have worked but I don't think she wanted the job.
zeke5123a
3hr ago
A father of two was just murdered for his political views. A none insignificant number of leftists cheered his murder. You have members of Congress saying murder bad but “long diatribe about how awful the decedent was” effectively saying “that this murder wasn’t that bad.”
So I don’t have the faith you do.
aqouta
3hr ago
To take this to its logical conclusion I advocate you get a one day ban and then make a highlighted post.
Iconochasm
2. Bootstrap the rest of the fucking omnipotence.
3hr ago
That guy sounds like a jerk
I can't believe that my post was misconstrued to be protrayed as some sort of definitive statement or personal attack. This is so unfair to me, personally, and no one else.
hydroacetylene
4hr ago
Statistically, there are dramatically more women who say they would like to wait for marriage on anonymous surveys than who actually do so. Revealed preferences and all that, but I think the most obvious explanation is that women are far more likely than men to be interested in waiting for sex.
ThisIsSin
PC is for progressive-conservative
4hr ago
"porn made me do it"
What, you don't find it strange that the overlap between "porn made me do it" and [some form of] "I've recovered from addiction" [generally using the words 'recovered', 'detoxed', and my personal favorite 'normal and heterosexual'] is functionally total?
I get that there are sometimes specific ideological considerations for using those words but, like, they talk like they're going to relapse any second if not for [insert here]. It's not like sex isn't addictive, and a component of a core biological drive, but I think there's an epistemic gulf between "lol fukken saved" and "this has literally consumed my life".
there was no “rabbit hole”
Understandable; most of the anime boorus don't really feature much furry content anyway.
pigeonburger
4hr ago
Few illegals prefer death to deportation; they expect they can just come back.
They did, but the perception might be different with this administration.
hydroacetylene
4hr ago
Red tribe trans people- especially FtM's- aren't even that uncommon. They're just low status enough that no one cares about them, like literal trailer trash level. Not so for blue transgenders, who seem to come from higher class backgrounds more often and be a bit more likely to be MtF.
hydroacetylene
4hr ago
The new Texas candidate for AG is on news today talking about how ICE invited this attack.
Uh, you know Texas democrats are ridiculous progressive fanatics in a contest to see how expensive losing elections can be, right? Just off priors this guy is too far to the left for his own base and an electoral irrelevancy.
hydroacetylene
4hr ago
Few illegals prefer death to deportation; they expect they can just come back.
Getting deported is viewed as a serious inconvenience that sometimes happens at random, not a life-ruining one.
Be less antagonistic.
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