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mrvanillasky
Indo Aryan Thot Leader
13hr ago
Spandrell proven right again. Bio leninism works because capital or class based ideologies are no longer viable, biological ones are much more intense. Neither communists nor capitalists would ever vote for someone who goes agaisnt their own holy cows on ethnic lines. Hating the host population in caseypf leftists.
dr_analog
razorboy
13hr ago
I believe what's missing from this analysis is the employer-side taxes in France are an additional 40-45% of employee compensation, whereas in the US the rule of thumb is more like 10%
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
13hr ago
Absolutely it's multifactorial. Reduced deficits pretty much track divided government.
atelier
Jimmys: unrustled
13hr ago
There's have only ever been a handful of fiscal hawks in Washington (people who would vote for higher taxes and less spending to reduce the deficit). Almost everyone who calls themselves a fiscal hawk is just using it as a pretext to get half of those done (higher taxes and more spending for Ds lower spending and lower taxes for Rs).
I think the voters who support fiscal responsibility are so demoralized from never getting what they want every time it's been promised, they've taken the black pill and are just expecting a default.
dr_analog
razorboy
13hr ago
It's ironic that the Buffet quote about how he personally pays less tax than his secretary stimulates outrage about capital vs labor, but if this outrages you then you should be especially outraged by how much of the tax burden is being carried by the middle class in more socialist nations.
mrvanillasky
Indo Aryan Thot Leader
13hr ago
I only ever see some liberatarian types discuss this. Do know that MAGA is different.
Iconochasm
2. Bootstrap the rest of the fucking omnipotence.
13hr ago
My impression is that they think the deficit/debt is both less immediately important and less tractable than dealing with immigration. The attitude is something like "Let's kick out 10+ million illegals and then see where entitlement spending is at". And without giving details, I'll just note that I see people who don't speak English interacting with expensive government benefits every single day. I would be very surprised if they weren't mostly right, in that mass deportation was de facto the largest cut in entitlement spending in history.
atelier
Jimmys: unrustled
14hr ago
The current hit thing is Frieren: Beyond Journey's End. Which does a nice job of hitting all sorts of power fantasy beats with stereotypical characters but telling different stories with them.
Throwaway05
14hr ago
Tell me what you think about this:
I've long conceptualized trans thought content as a combination of:
- Actual trans people (rare).
- Social contagion (this being where the lonely MTF types come from).
- Malingering (mostly in a forensic setting).
- Borderline identity instability (actual hospital presenters).
When I think about item 4. my model is more women who seems to be trans while having a borderline breakdown or are just chronically severe.
It sounds like you spot more often in men, in comparison to me. I think my blind spot here is that my personal life people I know who are MTF seem to not be borderline - mostly dissatisfied with the world, lonely, looking for ego sources, which writing that out sounds borderline adjacent but I don't get the vibe from knowing them (?compromised objectivity?).
You point out your high profile types though and I go oh yeah shit sounds right.
I think this may just be my pot of MTF based off of my background however.
Really interested in your thoughts because no fucking way in hell can I have a convo about this in an academic hospital.
ThomasdelVasto
Κύριε Ἰησοῦ Χριστέ, Υἱέ τοῦ Θεοῦ, ἐλέησόν με τὸν ἁμαρτωλόν
14hr ago
Ahh my apologies, apparently his name is David Friedberg. I got you to confused somehow.
George_E_Hale
insufferable blowhard
14hr ago
That isn't my point.
Throwaway05
14hr ago
I think it scratches the same itch as things like lego building, if that helps your mental model at all.
He is indeed my long lost, blackpilled, twin brother.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
14hr ago
The issue being dismissed for as long as I was alive might have something to do with it. Also the whole point of MAGA is that it's not basic "muh fiscal conservatism".
mrvanillasky
Indo Aryan Thot Leader
14hr ago
I'm surprised people, sane ones are dismissing the entire issue despite the concerns. You go online and the Maga reaction is to call Musk shcizo for questioning a very real concern.
mrvanillasky
Indo Aryan Thot Leader
14hr ago
No one knows. If the firms don't deliver soon, they may cause economic duress to others. Most big firms have invested heavily, where's your ed at is a good lefty newsletter that has detailed pieces on this exact phenomenon.
In a long enough timeline, we Wil automate away a lot, the short term isn't super hopeful.
A complete replacement is very very hard, self driving cars are 90 percent of the way there which means we both still drive daily and will continue that for a few more decades.
IMO it was a combo of Bush I tax increases (the ones Clinton attacked him on to get elected), the dot com boom and post cold war growth creating a larger base for those taxes, and gridlock between Clinton and the GOP limiting new spending.
If Bush II would have used the surplus in his first year to pay down the debt instead of doing tax cuts and spent less by not going so hard on the War on Terror the debt would be in a much better place now.
mrvanillasky
Indo Aryan Thot Leader
14hr ago
Yes, it was the most depressing of the three, I loved reprise because it's described as Trainspotting but with literature instead of heroin. Oslo, 31. August was very painful.
Pretty sure I have reviews of the three up on themotte, highly recommended them, watch the Oslo, 31. August, the worst person in the world and finally reprise so that you end on a higher note.
The worst person on the planet was the weakest of the three, despite being a great movie.
quiet_NaN
14hr ago
Empirically, there are some rich people living in Sweden, where the total income tax can be 55.6%.
If you go to a poor person and tell them they will have to pay another 20% of their income as taxes, it might well be that they will face the choice between emigrating and raising their kids under a bridge.
By contrast, if you tell someone making 1M$ a year (after taxes) that they will have to pay another 200k$ of taxes, they will have to adjust their life-style a bit or accept that their net worth will grow slower than it would otherwise.
By revealed preference, the US seems to be a pretty great place to be rich. Rich people could already move to poorer countries where they could afford to be attended by dozens of servants, and yet they mostly don't. I do not think that having to cut the private helicopter and riding limo like the plebs would change that.
If you are rich, you can afford to worry about tail risks. Despite all the CW, the US still has some of the best institutions in the world. If you are accused for some political crime, would you rather deal with the US justice system or the Romanian one? Do you want your kids to go to Ivy League or get the best Romanian education? Or consider political stability: the US voted for Trump, while Romania voted for some pro-Russian populist. While their courts invalidated the latter election, I have much more trust in US institutions to limit the damage a populist can do. Romania has been in the NATO since 2004, which limits the risk of invasion, at least as long as NATO continues to be a thing. Mainland US has not faced a credible threat of invasion by foreign powers since at least 1900. Likewise, the US has a great track record of not having mobs or governments expropriate rich persons or guillotine them. If Romania experiences a severe financial crisis in 2045, "expropriate rich ex-Americans" might be a platform which would be popular with the plebs and tolerable to the native elites.
Then there are practical costs to emigrating. You might want to learn the language, lest you stay part of a small expat community. You will need to spend a lot of time to get the design of your villa just right, again.
Then there are power costs. Your bank account can be converted to the local currency just fine, but if you care about having political power where you live, you will have to build this up from the scratch. You know the proper etiquette for bribing a US senator, but likely you will not know much about how the local politics work, who will stay bought and who won't. Likely, your opponents will be local oligarchs who have been playing this game for generations. The elites will not see you as one of them, but as a resource to be exploited.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
15hr ago
That is a very non-standard meaning of "buying trinkets", Mr. Dumpty.
FtttG
15hr ago
he doesn't remember when he bought some of the records he owns
girlslaughing.png
I expect any breakthroughs in the physical domain to lag significantly - customer service, contracts, sales and coding will be automated, but no self-driving cars and humanoid robots*, and the humans that were formerly in those jobs will be pushed into somewhat less cushy replacements that make use of their skills but also involve some hard-to-automate real-world component - assembling and maintaining bespoke machinery, driving cars, installing cabling, etc. There is a certain possibility that this correlates closely with the jobs that have already been bullshittified, to an extent that the metrics of success in them are now also bullshit - ChatGPT may be a 100x more productive legal brief writer than the human it replaces, but more and better legal briefs could amount to somewhere between a little more and infinitely less productivity. Meanwhile, the humans freed up by this to do more productive work like driving deliveries may not actually be that great at those jobs, so you get something between a slight improvement and a net negative change to baseline productivity while also having to contend with an overall productivity tax from social upheaval (as large strata of the population curb their consumption due to uncertainty or personal socioeconomic drop).
* Always seemed obvious to me once you take away human conceit. In the former domain, you are fighting to outperform maybe 40000 years of evolution; in the latter, some tens or hundreds of millions.
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