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domain:kvetch.substack.com

I think this is tying things into a conspiracy that doesn’t exist.

Bud Light had an advertising campaign aimed at growing their audience (tik tok liberal teenagers) blow up in their face. They then spent a ton of money to try to win back their core audience (young white men). Seems like normal course of business.

Brett Favre (and tons of other celebrities) has appeared in pharma ads. Kelce being in one is hardly surprising.

Neither of these seem at all conspiratorial to me and don’t relate to Trump.

Football has for decades been a way to stave off unrest. First, the sport attracts the attention of violent men without impressive economic prospects, as the sport itself is visibly violent and masculine. It is the closest similitude to war (armor, helmets, commands, clashes). It gives these men a castrated, impotent tribal identity in the form of regional teams, which are corporations motivated by capital without any serious tie to a region or interest. The men wear the insignia and colors of their favorite team and recite the assigned warcries. This establishes the attention of the cohort who are at most risk of unrest. Now that they have your attention, they push domestication propaganda in the form of rituals (national anthems, even the new “black” national anthem) and spectacles (ads, half time shows). After a Super Bowl there are occasional riots, but this is like when the waters of a flooded dam are redirected so as to keep the integrity of the dam — the Super Bowl brought tens of thousands of the most passionate fans, and not all of them will have their masculine energy siphoned off completely; they are allowed to expend the rest of their energy in a controlled way.

You might think, “but what about the kneeling for the flag controversy? Didn’t this create more controversy rather then unity?” No, this acted as a marketing campaign to give football more attention in the at-risk cohorts (black nationalists and MAGA guys). Both of them are now tuning in to football news, maybe they watch and want the kneeler to lose, maybe the opposite. Were they to ignore that controversy, they would not be capturing the full cohort they want and neither would they be accomplishing the sublimation ritual. Adding gambling to football culture was another way to do this (while producing an enormous profit), because gambling was already in video games but you want attention given to football as well. I think this is also why the “Sketch” streamer is being astroturfed. This is where Travis and cowboys and TSwift come in. They code right, they bring in more viewers.

Me:

So are stay-at-home mothers mentally deficient breeding machines and house servants, like you just said they were one post prior,

You, one post prior:

Well then it sucks to be the kind of person that would enjoy life as a breeding machine + house servant. Maybe some people love it, but that is pretty close to being dosed with alcohol as a fetus so you'll enjoy being a Delta in a Huxley book.

I seriously can't believe you even tried to play the "putting words in my mouth" card. Like you realize everyone can see all these posts, right?

When you give women the option not to be a stay at home mom...most take it. When they have the option to have fewer children, most take it. Hence the reduction in family formation and lack of children. Revealed preferences.

That's nice, but I didn't ask you about any of that, did I? No, I asked you what it is about a menial routine job like most people have that elevates a mother from a subhuman object of your personal contempt to, presumably, a real human being.

I've written a nix flake for deploying it - it's incomplete & rough & undocumented, but maybe it will be of use to someone: https://github.com/bct/unshittify.nix

Cool! I'll take a look at it, and might merge it to my repository

I've added 14 nitter feeds to my instance, but most of them are failing with "Miniflux generated too many requests to this website. Please, try again later or change the application configuration.". I wonder if I need to tweak the Miniflux configuration to avoid polling all the feeds at the same time?

Yeah, I should have either explained it the thread or added my conf to the repository, but that's exactly the issue. I think one tweak is already there (a short sleep between fetching feeds), but another one is just to limit the worker pool size to 1, than you'll be sure they're grabbed sequentially, and therefore shouldn't run into rate limiting. Here's the configuration I use:

POLLING_FREQUENCY=5
SCHEDULER_ROUND_ROBIN_MIN_INTERVAL=5
POLLING_PARSING_ERROR_LIMIT=0
CLEANUP_ARCHIVE_READ_DAYS=-1
CLEANUP_ARCHIVE_UNREAD_DAYS=-1
MEDIA_PROXY_MODE=all

BATCH_SIZE=25
WORKER_POOL_SIZE=1

That’s fair. I shouldn’t have gotten worked up with that last chunk, because I understand how the even the narrow rule serves as an attack. Blue locations will adopt it as soon as someone makes a stink about existing policy, a heckler’s veto binding any school or league.

There’s a counterfactual world where this is a reasonable rule. Up until high school, sports are glorified team-building exercises. Who cares when the little monster who hit puberty six months before his team can outrun any of them? Who cares if a kid wants to join the other team and hang out with her friends? If you set up two middle-school leagues, with absolutely zero enforcement of sex segregation, I guarantee they’d sort into boys’ and girls’ teams. The categories were made for man.

I know we don’t live in that world. Some combination of ideologues, tiger parents, and bad actors will push any boundary you set. Why give an inch when they’ll take a mile?

That’s exactly what frustrates me. In case it wasn’t obvious, I don’t give a damn about children’s’ sports. Pretending that they’re a Constitutional crisis, a basic human dignity, or the last gasp of traditional values? That’s absurd. And yes, I apply that judgment to whatever progressive fringe is crowing about this victory. Great job, guys, you’ve ensured that 1% of your school district can get bullied even harder.

Imagine this situation in a vacuum. If your only goal was to give trans people more opportunities for sports, what kind of compromise would you propose? I think it’d look a lot like this one. Expand the options where stakes are low. Acknowledge that they can’t be expanded everywhere without sacrificing other values.

Obviously, this isn’t a vacuum, and the people who wrote this rule care about lots of other issues. They have every reason to rally around this particular opportunity for point-scoring. I’m not going to pretend otherwise. But they’re doing a better job of converging on the vacuum solution.

Nit pick: /r/the_donald was the banned subreddit.

Exactly- SK has regionally-normal fertility, Japan and probably North Korea are high TFR outliers for the region.

Presumably the far-left groups that have (along with diaspora groups) generally been mainly responsible for keeping the organized militant pro-Palestine movement going would feel most affinity towards groups like PFLP.

BOXX > SGOV for tax reasons, in my opinion.

Not to forget that just five years ago very few people would have considered there to be anything strange or political about a well-known American celebrity cutting an ad for a pharma company.

Some of that is organic follow-the-leader, though. Important and influential activist posts thing, everyone else does too.

The bill barely does anything to eliminate asylum.

I have repeated told you why I oppose the bill. But it summarizes to I believe the bill would increase immigration I do not want. You are fine to disagree with my logic. What is not fine is acting like I haven’t told you why I oppose it.

The bill lacks any teeth to limit immigration during a Democratic Presidency. America is also very bad at letting the legislature get a second crack at legislating. The Dems offered the GOP very little in this deal. Biden would claim victory if the bill passes, probably enforce the border during the election season, and once the election was over every loophole in the bill would be utilized by the left to flood the border again with immigrants.

I prefer to just boost Trumps chance at election which would allow us to actually fix the border.

If Dems gave us a real bill with teeth and banned the current asylum situation I would vote for the bill and give them the win, but they are not doing it.

Hong Kong is lower by a little, but the others are higher. Macau actually has a TFR of above 1...!

There have always been popular white people, and vaguely well-known people who can be funny and charismatic sometimes rise unusually fast. The prosaic explanation is the best one, and I’m enjoying the opportunity to refer to Taylor swift as ‘Travis Kelce’s girlfriend’ with the explanation that football is more important.

Well, I don't think I was born a pathological misanthrope, nor am one, so…

By becoming convinced that sin is bad, actually. That we are guilty when we sin not only for the harms we inflict on others, but for the transgression against God's law, against his infinite majesty.

To quote Isaiah, “Woe is me! For I am lost; for I am a man of unclean lips, and I dwell in the midst of a people of unclean lips; for my eyes have seen the King, the LORD of hosts!”

This is not the only such passage.

Especially with the male oversupply (see: one-child policy and preference for sons), at least up till quite recently, owning a residence is considered the minimum requirement for getting a decent match in China, at least in the urban areas. It gets to the point where multiple generations might be investing in a property for a son so he can get ahead (admittedly not just in romance; also stuff like residency status and rights, but I am very far from an expert on this)

More anecdotally, I know of Chinese women who openly discuss/brag about what sort of make of car/house/whatever accessory they require before giving a man the light of day.

Not sure how the owning a house thing is doing with the property market still in freefall.

I'm pretty sure this is referencing moral foundations theory.

Jesus dude. This is crazy talk, even by my low expectations regarding religious thinkers.

I think this is pretty mainstream, among some (large) segments of Christianity?

It follows pretty quickly that we deserve hell if you just take sin seriously. When all sin is in some respect against God's infinite majesty, that makes sin pretty bad, even if it's something that we might ordinarily think of as minor. (I could cite some passages of scripture, but I get that you might not care.)

This makes salvation more breathtaking.

I'm here if you want to message or talk to someone.

If this is due to concern that I'm unwell, I'm not. I like to think I'm pretty well adjusted, I have friends, etc.

The TIPS are for my version of a liability matching portfolio. The main idea is to ensure that we have an inflation-adjusted income floor in retirement that matches current spending, so that in theory our lifestyle will not need to change for financial reasons.

In our particular case I am penciling in my retirement at 63 and wife's when I am 68 (she is younger). We'll both start drawing SS when I am 70. So I need amount A for years 63-67, amount B for years 68-69, and amount C for years 70+ (currently planned through 82). These amounts are obviously estimates but reasonably good ones, and they exclude items like college which are accounted for separately. Once these floors are established, then the majority of the rest of the portfolio will be in global stock index funds with some in Treasurys.

I have about 2/3 of this locked in already. Currently there is a gap in TIPS availability from 2035-2039 which coincides with part of my plan. The 2035s will be available next year as 10y and I will just buy them as they become available. Then for some of the other years I will fill in as money becomes available.

This strategy is not for everyone but my wife is particularly risk averse and we do not need to take any additional risks to ensure a solid retirement. My goal is to preserve our current lifestyle - I'm not trying to hit the jackpot. The overall allocation is about 33% stock, 39% TIPS, 28% T-bills at this point.

I minored in Linguistics and one of the introductory classes used an older edition of this book: https://www.amazon.com/Language-Files-Materials-Introduction-Linguistics/dp/0814252702

It's a pretty good place to get started and then figure out what topics interest you the most. For example, historical linguistics was the most interesting to me and it was fun to use it to make up fantasy languages that sound realistic (Because it's just a real language with some common deletions and vowel shifts.)

I have a lot of lawyers in my family, one of whom is close to me and the main part of his job is to write legal documents in clear, precise, unambiguous language, so I'm used to thinking about language and rules in a certain way (I also have a STEM background, where things have precise definitions). I've been blown away by how bad otherwise intelligent people are at writing and interpreting resolution criteria. They throw out basic principles which I would have thought were necessary for there to be any hope being able to decide these things in a consistent and predictable manner. I even explained one of the resolution disputes on Polymarket to these family members, one that was ambiguous due to a blatant self-contradiction in the resolution criteria, and they said it should definitely be resolved one way, which ended up being resolved the other way (essentially on the principle of most people wouldn't read that far into the description of the resolution criteria).

One possible solution is that you have people pay to have questions answered, and as part of that payment, they pay people to act as oracles who have good reputations. So the incentive is to decide things in a way that most closely matches what the question asker intended and also most closely matches what bettors think the question is about so that they are willing to bet on it, since this improves the market's accuracy.

New Reddit has followers, it's had them for years. Following someone is approximately equivalent to Old Reddit's friend feature, though I think you can only see your own follower count or it may have a privacy toggle somewhere. If you pull up /r/friends on old reddit you'll get a feed of posts from people you've added as a friend, and since that doesn't require the other person to accept a friend request, it's functionally a follow.

/images/17145786036956487.webp

You're here, and I really wish you weren't.

This is very much the opposite of "write like everyone is reading, and you want to include them in the conversation."

Please don't post like this.

you're either a coward or a dullard

This is not allowed. Banned for three days.