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I'll caveat that this is, at least for now, partly a coastal thing. Toward cheaper COLA areas, 15 USD/hour is more a crapshoot than a guaranteed problem; you get great dedicated workers and potheads who can't empty water from a boot if they were hung upside down, people who just need space to grow or get experience and people who I don't trust to drive tricycle to or from the office. At pretty much all levels of education.
That would mean the corresponding labor was not "socially necessary" labor time. Marx was trying to avoid getting down into supply & demand fluctuations, to mainly make a more core scientific approach to investigating where value/profit comes from. But that "socially necessary" term is where he had to bundle it in anyway.
In the above statement, "You" is a generalized label for the people who have internalized the belief that "Naziism set a new cultural standard for evil". It seems evident that this is a considerable portion of the general population.
You, Dean in particular, are doubtless familiar with Progressive discourse about "fascists" and "fascism". I expect you are also familiar with the sort of person who believes that the North was far, far too lenient with the South in the American Civil War, and expresses the wish that far harsher measures had been employed to eradicate the scourge of slavery and the ideology that gave rise to it. The way such discourse frames "fascists" individually, the structures of "fascism" generally, and the lessons it draws from the aftermath of the American Civil War are reasonable analogues to how I regard the aforementioned considerable portion of the general population.
Such people have learned nothing of consequence from the disasters of the 20th century, and it seems likely to me that they will consequently repeat and thus suffer those disasters again in this century. Nothing has changed. This should not be surprising. Humans inevitably human.
"We all have it coming" should be self-explanatory. I also am a human, and am not sufficiently righteous to reasonably claim exemption from the Dresden treatment.
FWIW i am working on a detailed reply, please stand by.
So the leftist middle class needed a new victim for whom they could claim to fight. Women. Ethnic and sexual minorities (except pedos, because everyone hates pedos). Victims of colonization. Of course, unlike Marx, they have much less of a master plan, a grand strategy, a theory of victory.
Exactly right, but I have to emphasise that was not merely an organic development, but quite literally what the Frankfurt School/Cultural Marxists/Critical Theorists (and later, the woke), advocate for as a deliberate and concious development of Marxism.
Herbet Marcuse's 1969 Essay on Liberation:
No matter how rational this strategy may be, no matter how sensible the desperate effort to preserve strength in the face of the sustained power of corporate capitalism, the strategy testifies to the “passivity” of the industrial working classes, to the degree of their integration it testifies to the facts which the official theory so vehemently denies. Under the conditions of integration, the new political consciousness of the vital need for radical change emerges among social groups which, on objective grounds, are (relatively) free from the integrating, conservative interests and aspirations, free for the radical transvaluation of values. Without losing its historical role as the basic force of transformation, the working class, in the period of stabilization, assumes a stabilizing, conservative function; and the catalysts of transformation operate “from without.”
This tendency is strengthened by the changing composition of the working class. The declining proportion of blue collar labor, the increasing number and importance of white collar employees, technicians, engineers, and specialists, divides the class. This means that precisely those strata of the working class which bore, and still bear, the brunt of brute exploitation will perform a gradually diminishing function in the process of production. The intelligentsia obtains an increasingly decisive role in this process – an instrumentalist intelligentsia, but intelligentsia nevertheless. This “new working class,” by virtue of its position, could disrupt, reorganize, and redirect the mode and relationships of production...
The ghetto population of the United States constitutes such a force. Confined to small areas of living and dying, it can be more easily organized and directed. Moreover, located in the core cities of the country, the ghettos form natural geographical centers from which the struggle can be mounted against targets of vital economic and political importance; in this respect, the ghettos can be compared with the faubourgs of Paris in the eighteenth century, and their location makes for spreading and “contagious” upheavals. Cruel and indifferent privation is now met with increasing resistance, but its still largely unpolitical character facilitates suppression and diversion. The racial conflict still separates the ghettos from the allies outside. While it is true that the white man is guilty, it is equally true that white men are rebels and radicals. However, the fact is that monopolistic imperialism validates the racist thesis: it subjects ever more nonwhite populations to the brutal power of its bombs, poisons, and moneys; thus making even the exploited white population in the metropoles partners and beneficiaries of the global crime. Class conflicts are being superseded or blotted out by race conflicts: color lines become economic and political realities – a development rooted in the dynamic of late imperialism and its struggle for new methods of internal and external colonization.
As for the lack of master plan - that's also true. Horkheimer said the point of Critical Theory was not to construct or develop a blueprint for a new society, but merely to tear down the existing society so whatever 'good' existed in the society would be liberated and form the basis for the new society. Their whole plant is basically deconstruct everything and the perfect communist society will somehow rise from the ashes.
A big problem with discussion Cultural/Neo-Marxism is that even when you describe or paraphrase their ideas accurately, people think you're being uncharitable, or making it up, or being conspiratorial, because they can't believe someone would actually support those ideas.
First of all, "155 hours" is an obvious hyperbole; there are not literally a million holocaust movies, either.
Secondly, it's not just history class. The Diary of Anne Frank and Night are staples of English courses. I was assigned the latter, as well as We Are Witnesses.
Given the quality of your questions, I'm really interested in the way you think about value
What is valuable to you?
Excellent comment
Probably the morally correct number. But what is the militarily correct number? That is, the number that Israelis should expect to be alive after a successful campaign in which a functional, strongly anti-terrorism regime rules that territory.
I suspect the number approaches zero.
why is labor so expensive?
Because in a prosperous society people want a lot of money for their labor, because they have a lot of opportunities and everything costs more in a prosperous society.
Why is there the need to exploit interns?
Begging the question. You assume they did it because they needed to, yet somehow most other companies don't do this. Why did those other companies not need to?
The only body who can actually change laws in Congress.
Yes, and said body uses agencies and interns to provide them information, because they are old men whose major skill is campaigning. Hell, Republicans actively campaign on there being too many laws. An agency designed to find laws that are obsolete and clean up spaghetti laws sounds exactly in line with what they claim to want.
Not only did the bad things social conservatives predicted about gay marriage come to pass, a lot of the stuff social conservatives were jeered at (truly or falsely) for predicting about gay marriage came to pass. The gay marriage pie chart meme is over 15 years old now; since then the terrorists won in Afghanistan, schools have been teaching kids how to have gay sex, various plagues (monkeypox, COVID) have erupted (though no locusts or frogs), and we've got a war in Ukraine (OK this is weak sauce because the meme specified WWIII).
No comprehensive, up-to-date, source exists.
I'm a social conservative, and the new orthodox faith of the One, True, Catholic Church of Trans Rights is not convincing me to shift on that. All the former gay rights activism that successfully sold the line "if you're not gay, this will have no effect on your life" to the mainstream and the trans activism that piggy-backed on this ("why are those bigoted conservatives so obsessed with bathrooms? no trans person has ever said anything about bathrooms, it's all them!") couldn't maintain the facade.
One of the things that has struck me about the trans backlash, which I think is real, has been its unwillingness to extend the slightest charity to social conservatives qua social conservatives. To put it bluntly and perhaps uncharitably: if the social conservatives warned you that this would happen, and now this has happened, perhaps you ought to consider whether or not they had a point.
So, for instance, I see worries that opposing such-and-such trans issues might overspill into opposing same-sex marriage. But social conservatives at the time said clearly that one of the issues with same-sex marriage was that it would undermine the gender binary. They were right, on facts. They have in fact, regularly been right on the facts. So now that the thing they warned would happen as a result of gay marriage has happened... shouldn't that make their judgement of gay marriage more credible, not less?
The thing is, the push for gay marriage included a number of predictive arguments that have since proven to be incorrect. "Gay marriage will have no effect on your life" was untrue. "Gay marriage is not a stepping stone to more radical activism" was untrue. "The normalisation of and acceptance of homosexuality will not lead more people to identify as homosexual" (deployed in gotchas like "gay marriage won't make you turn gay, why do you care?") was untrue. I suppose you could quibble causation and correlation, but the course seems pretty intuitive. Yet I still see this quite determined hostility to re-evaluating.
More recent models, o1 onwards, have further training with the explicit intent of making them more agentic, while also making them more rigorous, such as Reinforcement Learning from Verified Reward.
Being agents doesn't come naturally to LLMs, it has to be beaten into them like training a cat to fetch or a human to enjoy small talk. Yet it can be beaten into them.
I'm not generally an AI dismisser, but this piece here is worth pausing on. From my experience, ChatGPT has become consistently worse for this effort. It has resulted in extrapolating ridiculous fluff and guesses at what might be desired in an 'active' agentic way. The more it tries to be 'actively helpful', the more obviously and woefully poorly it does at predicting next token / predicting next step.
It was at its worst with that one rolled back version, but it's still bad
I've talked about this, not at great length, but I've mentioned it, before- cheap labour is cheap for a reason. Interns are a vast improvement over people who'll work for $15/hr in a corporate setting(and BTW, the tenth percentile wage is just above $14/hr. American labour is just really expensive).
There's plenty of working class people who happily make $15-$22 hr. There's a reason they don't get better jobs eventually. Corporate interns generally know things like 'how to keep themselves on track to hit deadlines without constant supervision' and 'how to follow directions correctly without asking for fifteen clarifications every sentence'. These may not be specific skills, but working in a white collar office environment requires abilities like this. Yes, requiring a college degree for this work is excessive, that's why students(who don't yet have one) are doing it as an internship. No, there's not really a solution here(go ahead, name it- no, things like 'flying pigs will provide character references' and 'we'll just kick everyone out of highschool who isn't college material so a diploma counts for the same thing' don't count).
Perhaps it would've been more accurate of me to say "This is part of the reason why LLMs have such difficulty counting..."
But even if you configure your model to treat each individual character as its own token, it is still going to struggle with counting and other basic mathematical operations in large part for the reasons I describe.
I'm curious what you mean by 'low-level', here. I've heard Obsidian described many ways, but I don't think I've heard 'low-level' before.
Good post. Interesting to see how your perspective intersects with the other critics of LLMs, like Gary Marcus’ consistently effective methods for getting the systems to spit out absurd output.
In my own experience, the actual current value of neural network systems (and thus LLMs) is fuzzy UIs or APIs. Traditional software relies on static algorithms that expect consistent and limited data which can be transformed in highly predictable ways. They don’t handle rougher data very well. LLMs, however, can make a stab at analyzing arbitrary human input and matching it to statistically likely output. It’s thus useful for querying for things where you don’t already know the keywords - like, say, asking which combination of shell utilities will perform as you desire. As people get more used to LLMs, I predict we will see them tuned more to specialized use cases in UI and less to “general” text, and suddenly become quite profitable for a focused little industry.
LLMs will be useful as a sort of image recognition for text. Image recognition is useful! But it is not especially intelligent.
But what RLHF does is create a meta-level reward landscape. The model learns that generating text which corresponds to verifiable facts gets a positive reward, and generating text that gets corrected by users gets a negative reward. It's not learning the "vector for truth." It's learning a phenomenally complex function that approximates the behavior of "being truthful." It is, in effect, learning a policy of truth-telling because it is rewarded for it.
I'm not sure how this makes sense? The model has no access to verifiable facts - it has no way to determine 'truth'. What it can do is try to generate text that users approve of, and to avoid text that will get corrected. But that's not optimising for truth, whatever that is. That's optimising for getting humans to pat it on the head.
From the LLM's perspective (which is an anthropomorphisation I don't like, but let's use it for convenience), there is no difference between a true statement and a false statement. There are only differences between statements that get rewarded and statements that get corrected.
and I might claim what I see as a simpler explanation - they wanted cheap labor but felt bad about it.
Yes! So ask the next logical question; why is labor so expensive? Why is there the need to exploit interns? Why can't they just hire a guy or gal who wants a job for a reasonable price? Because labor laws make it too expensive to hire people cheaply!
The government should have an agency or committee dedicated periodic review of laws to see which laws can be retired, or if multiple overlapping laws can be combined for clarity and brevity.
And then what?
The only body who can actually change laws in Congress. Do you know how many congressionally mandated reports there are? Approximately eleventy billion. Do you know how many congress deeply reviews to implement their recommendations? Approximately negative eleventy billion. What would be the point of your hypothetical new agency? And, in order for it to be created, Congress would have to authorize and fund it. That's not going to happen. You're suggesting a "fix" that is obviously and demonstrably untenable.
I don’t know, im personally of the opinion that there are good and bad ways to achieve any goal and that there are always trade-offs that come with any of it.
...
I just want a country where the bulk of people can live a reasonable lifestyle, and where a setback isn’t fatal.
Define "reasonable." Because what you define as reasonable may be reprehensible to me.
A lot of the tradeoffs we're implicitly talking about have to do with security over possibility. If the shot at a successful and independent life means that I could also, with equal or even higher probability, end up destitute, i'll take the deal so long as I am in control of myself. Sacrificing autonomy and independence so that the government can spoon feed me a "comfortable" (but dependent) life? No thank you.
I’m generally with at least tge idea that whatever the form a government takes, the most important thing is customer service.
For a lot of bedrock constitutional reasons, the American government can never be good at what you term "customer service." The only way is to let the customers help themselves - i.e. less government.
I've been journaling off and on since childhood and digital journaling consistently since 2013.
TLDR: Obsidian. I use a template some of the time, and a journal review process I'll describe below.
I started in a program called Liquid Story Binder X, a locally installed program for writing, where you could attach entries to a calendar and it was very rewarding to look at the calendar and see all the dates lit up for the dates you had done them. This was abandonware, however, and did not autosave (at least by default) so I eventually moved to Evernote Remember before one note or google keep or anything when Evernote was a sexy startup unicorn that you could access all of your personal files? And then there were some unpopular changes, they stopped doing their own storage (hence no advantage in avoiding google/amazon) and pared down the capabilities of free accounts so that you could no longer install it on all of your devices for free. I had a paid account some of the time but I just wasn't getting enough usage out of it. So since my journal was on google servers anyway I jumped to Google Docs I brought over all of my files and linked them in a spreadsheet. I also set up my template so that I was creating the journal entry in a google form, when I wanted to. This was when I started doing journal reviews some days. If I feel like doing it, I reread journal entries from the same day. As I stated before I started journaling in 2012, so I have between 4 and 12 entries for any given day. Sometimes I review all of the entries, sometimes only the even or odd years. On review I occasionally delete old entries (if they were sparse) or add a + to the end of the name if I know it is a good one. I became really disillusioned and untrusting of Google, I think it was when they started scanning your personal files for copyrighted material circa 2020 so I jumped to Obsidian I have a dataview table that shows me all of the entries for today (so I can do the review process above) and I store new entries in one big folder in the format 22JUL2025. I have a template with a few brain-dumpy questions (what would make today great? dreams?--logging your dreams helps you remember them) and some memory focused ones(Did anyone say anything funny? What was the best thing about yesterday? Who did you talk to? What are you reading/watching?).
I didn't know these things.
Can you provide any good rec's for a "State of the SSPX vis-a-vis the Vatican" at present?
The US didn't really put all that much effort into taking out Assad. Turkey did.
Nah, the US oil sanctions were pretty decisive. You can see GDP per capita dive as they go into effect. US support for various jihadists also didn't help. But it was the sanctions that were the killer. I was hopeful that Russian aid could Assad hold on, but it wasn't enough.
IMO the post-Cold War USA record in the Middle East is a giant humanitarian tragedy, and it has wiped out most of the remnants of a Christian culture going back 1900 years. Many other people have made the case, so I'll spare both of us repeating it.
I'm at work so can't elaborate as much as I want, but this:
French philosophers have entered the chat.
No, seriously, not only did existentialists sign petitions calling for the decriminalisation of sex with minors and asking for the release of jailed pedophiles, many prominent members of the French left were also pedophiles themselves. Michel Foucault made repeated trips to Tunisia so he could abuse boys. Simone de Beauvoir groomed many of her female students. It's wild they're still remembered fondly at all today.
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