domain:acoup.blog
TIRM
1d ago
Minimize top level comments I don't care about. Fully read the ones I am interested in. Skim others.
hanikrummihundursvin
1d ago
If you need to broaden the definition of victory to include whatever short term gain you allege Israel has now and preclude any longer term concerns then I'm not sure my definitions are the problem.
I mean, the peace and security Israel bought for itself seems extremely hard fought and eerily similar to what they had before. Outside of the Oct.7 attack, which was a defensive blunder, is all the manpower and material spent on this battle justifiable in any sense if we are comparing before and after?
In 2021, there was a singular combat casualty for the IDF. And of the 54 attempted significant terror attacks, there were 3 deaths and 34 wounded. And 2021 seems to be on the lower end of average.
I stand thoroughly unconvinced.
ToaKraka
Dislikes you
1d ago
I personally draw plan and elevation views, on the basis of the IRC, the IPMC, and ICC A117.1.
hanikrummihundursvin
1d ago
You are implying the people in question were simply deranged and hated jews for being jews. Which is a sort of backhanded otherization rhetoric that would not fly in any other context. Most principally for being an obvious lie. But also for just being silly. Denying others a theory of mind to make your case just means you don't have a case.
That's because they have a country that isn't going to suddenly decide they don't belong there.
Historically, this is just not true. And more pertinent to the topic, sometimes it's not their own nation that's doing the deciding. Acting like the predicament many jews found themselves in during WW2 is any worse than that of many civilians in the aforementioned nations is invalid.
A convincing case has yet to be made that Jews are simultaneously unreasonably paranoid, disloyal, and also do not deserve to be considered fellow citizens and got what was coming to them.
You can't both be a citizen and also exempt from service to the nation if the concept of a national is supposed to hold any relevance. This rings especially loud after decades of diversity propaganda where everyone is touted as an equal national. If your alleged co-nationals are hoarding passports they certainly do have a different view on the nation and their membership. If you want to verbalize recognition for that fact using hyperbolic thought ending rhetoric... fine. But you are certainly not looking for rational discourse when doing so.
Arnaud
1d ago
Then your definition of victory is narrow and unsuited to this conflict, or any other of the many interminable conflicts that clutter up the history books, there are kinds of victory other than those which are absolute or permanent.
Degrading or destroying Hamas reduces the danger posed by Gaza substantially, the remaining population can be as unruly as they like, if they lack the equipment, networks or know-how of how to turn ther discontent into military force then they simply are not a threat, not in the short to medium term at least. Sure they might eventually overcome these shortcomings and become an actual threat again in the long term, but in the meantime Israel can enjoy peace and security, which is absolutely a win.
This all assumes that the Gazans decide that yes, they really are going to learn nothing from this whole experience and just repeat the exact same mistakes that lead to them being bombed flat for 0 gain, which I really don't think is guaranteed. Yes the Gazans aren't going to come out of this experience overflowing with love for Israel, but I can't imagine they'll be very happy with Hamas either, or anyone who has the really bright idea of triggering an unwinnable war over what amounted to a very violent PR stunt. By all accounts Palestinians before the war had a delusional perspective on the conflict and their chances of victory against Israel, vastly overestimating their own population and vastly underestimating that of the Israelis, there is a chance that this conflict might knock some sense into them.
JustAGuy0
Neo-Butlerian Jihad advocate
1d ago
I was saying this in December of 2023. If the Mexican cartels breached the San Diego/Tijuana border, killed 40,000 people and kidnapped 8,000, the United States Military would be boots-on-the-ground occupying Baja California, Sonora, and probably Chihuahua within a month, if not 2 weeks.
and if the Mexican government objected, it'd probably only take us another 2 weeks to be in Mexico City.
anon_
1d ago
- No nation at war has ever been required to feed the opposing army's solders (obviously if taken POW, not the central case) or allow the opposing army's soldiers to be supplied with food by a third party
- The enemy army controls the area in which the populace lives
- The enemy army will seize the lion's share of food aid for their own soldiers, even if requires shooting their own people to get it
That's pretty much it. You can spend hours looking up historical practice around sieges, I don't know what else you expect to find.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1d ago
I would absolutely support blowing the shit out of them until every native was dead or captured and every hostage was returned. If every Canadian starves to death as a result, well that sucks but they should consider revolting against their own government if they have a problem with that.
We're not going to get to verify this, but I'd be willing to bet this is absolutely not how it would play out. The response would be police, not military, and you'd be called racist for saying that the larger group is responsible for the actions of their people.
JustAGuy0
Neo-Butlerian Jihad advocate
1d ago
I don't think it's unreasonable to think that there were more than one group of people saying more than one phrase. It was called the "Unite the Right" rally, there had to be different groups there.
What I think happened, just personally, is that someone started a "You Will Not Replace Us!" chant, someone heard the 'Jews' version and started chanting their version. Or vice versa, although I don't think even at that point someone would be ballsy enough to start with the Judenhass-version. Once they thought they heard someone else say it, sure, but not out of the gate.
Because those guys in the first video were definitely saying 'You', and the second post was, I think pretty clearly, 'Jews'.
jake
1d ago
In a coincidence of timing, I've spent much of the day going through the telegram channel "Palestine English News Updates" (gazaenglishupdates) in another round of my continuing effort to locate video of the alleged mass murder of civilians. Content in the channel is only very rarely blurred, so if any of you plan on opening it, be warned: it contains extremely graphic images and video. I found a single video of the moment an individual was shot, and none depicting the moment where a group was shot at or attacked with explosives, but I relied entirely on search terms, and in a channel going back to Oct 23 that has 10K images and 20K videos, that's plenty of chances for me to miss one or several hundred.
What I didn't miss is the plentiful video and images of starving children. While the cause might be up for debate, that children are starving isn't. It's intuitive anyway: not easy to feed people in a warzone, the only food is coming in from the outside, people and especially children are going to die from malnutrition and starvation.
Israel might not "intend" (apply as heavy caveat to that as you wish) for civilians to starve, but starvation walks hand in hand with war and death. They knew it would result from the start, and it is strictly true that if the IDF stood down and withdrew, fewer people would starve. Should they? Good luck finding an impartial answer to that.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1d ago
That's because they have a country that isn't going to suddenly decide they don't belong there.
For one, citation needed. Eastern Europe might be behind the current trend, but the current trend definitely is that Europeans have no particular claim to Europe and deserve less rights than immigrants.
For another, this reminds me of the claim that gay men are so prone to promiscuity because they've been denied marriage, and that giving it to them will moderate their behavior. Hasn't worked out for gay men, and the results for Jewish people are kinda mixed. I don't think Israel as a country or Israelis as a group, on average, can reasonably be described as "not paranoid".
NGOs like ADL are also not helping the perception about Jewish people living in other parts of the world. Admittedly this skews results quite a bit, since normal Jewish people aren't going to open an NGO devoted to showing how normal they are, and how they just want to get in with their life. Either way I don't see it as straightforward as you're describing it.
jkf
1d ago
Nice list! Could add "Famous Five" and "Swallows and Amazons" et al if you want to inject some anglophilia and normalize free-range activities. (eg. looking for pirate treasure, or being a pirate, depending on one's taste"
gattsuru
1d ago
One of my coworkers got one of them and was pretty happy with it for low-and-slow -- while there's still some setup, he was able to set up ribs or a side of brisket and just leave the cooker for 4+ hours. And at least by my (admittedly low) standards, the output was fantastic and impressively tender even with some lower-grade cuts, if a bit subtle on the smoke side.
More marginal for anything that needs a lot of heat. Burgers were cooked enough to be safe, but I've gotten better sears on a 110v electric. He let my try a kabob recipe and had similar problems. Either never tried anything doughy, hasn't mentioned it. So probably can't replace a normal grill entirely.
Big complaints he's mentioned so far were maintenance being a little obnoxious, especially if not cleaned out properly, and the dependence on outside electric. Losing shore power while he was away from the cooker definitely lost half a day of cooking and would have ruined the food if he hadn't gotten a notification. Not sure how much the maintenance issue is standard, his model, or his tendency to leave pellets loaded for some of the most humid months.
I'll have to flag him down to see if I can get the exact model; he mentioned that pellet capacity varies a lot, and that he went for one of the bigger ones specifically to because of that.
Whenever I try to figure out how mad I should be about this I do my best to translate it to a local Western frame.
If Canadian native peoples crossed the border, raped and murdered a bunch of US civilians at Burning Man, dragged hostages back to Vancouver and the Canadian government was like "lol get fukt America u r settler colonialists" I would absolutely support blowing the shit out of them until every native was dead or captured and every hostage was returned. If every Canadian starves to death as a result, well that sucks but they should consider revolting against their own government if they have a problem with that.
We're responsible for our people and I will be furious if we fuck around at all with bringing them home.
Looking at it this way makes me sympathize with Israel so much more.
Medicine payscales in England are between half and a quarter of what they are in the states. Finance is usually between 70 and 90% of stateside equivalents. I can pretty much guarantee all but the most senior consultants (What the UK calls fully qualified docs, basically post residency/post fellowship) in the UK are nowhere close to what a VP in finance is pulling in.
Amadan
Enjoying my short-lived victory
1d ago
There are no "inroads" they could have made with people who hate Jews for being Jews. You are implying there was a rational reason for Germans to hate them and want them removed or exterminated.
I'm suggesting that Russians, Lithuanians, Poles, Latvians and Ukrainians for example, don't carry 12 different passports in case of another war, despite being victims of WW2.
That's because they have a country that isn't going to suddenly decide they don't belong there.
A convincing case has yet to be made that Jews are simultaneously unreasonably paranoid, disloyal, and also do not deserve to be considered fellow citizens and got what was coming to them.
hanikrummihundursvin
1d ago
If your military victory left you a completely unruly population that you can't control outside of genociding them and you can't completely genocide them without compromising your military victory then I'm not sure you have a military victory.
Israel feeding Gazan children will create Gazan men and women. Those men and women are raised with a strong sense of having more Gazan children. To that extent I'm not sure if claims by either side of who is trying to starve who are in any way sensical.
gattsuru
1d ago
There's a little over a hundred straight categories, and transgender usually ends up in the top ten.
I'll caveat that these aren't really good data. There's a serious lumpers-vs-splitters issue where pretty popular-but-conventional stuff gets divided up into sometimes weird subcategories in ways that probably let transgender stuff punch a little above its weight class -- that's probably while creampie, for example, ends up relatively low.
((For those interested: just under fifty gay categories, and ftm usually coasts in around the mid-20s.
For an even-less-scientific number that's not even measuring the same thing, e621's total post count has male/female at 744k, male/male at 568k, female/female at 113k. Compare gynomorph at 216k, gynomorph/female at 37k, gynomorph/male at 24k, andromorph at 27k, andromorph/male at 9k, and andromorph/female at 0.5k. Gynomorph explicitly isn't the same thing as transwoman, and andromorph explicitly isn't the same thing as transman, but they're probably more revelatory about how furries think about woman-with-dick and man-with-pussy.))
hanikrummihundursvin
1d ago
No. How did you reach that? The point where jews could make inroads with Germans had long passed them by.
I'm suggesting that Russians, Lithuanians, Poles, Latvians and Ukrainians for example, don't carry 12 different passports in case of another war, despite being victims of WW2.
clo
1d ago
Keep going, anime episodes are short enough it's easy to fit around a real life. Episode #10 is one of those great anime episodes that hits like a truck with the benefit of context.
Rather than recommend anime, I'll recommend anime movies instead.
Madoka Rebellion is one of the singular achievements in anime movie making and a must-watch sequel for fans of the series. There's no way the much-delayed followup that finally comes out in 2026 is going to live up to this.
Summer Wars is perfect. Hosoda has made many movies, but this is his ur-movie, the flick he tried to make his entire career before it and the flick he can't get over after making it. I consider it the ultimate family movie.
Umamusume: Beginning of a New Era is a standalone sports movie that could be taught in film schools if you want to understand composition, mise-en-scene, sound direction, visual directing, editing. It's an assault on the senses in the best way and probably the most gorgeous animated movie I've seen that year.
Similarly, Pompo the Cinephile is worth seeing for editing. Storywise it's a fun nothing but the control of space and time through editing is masterful and on a level not seen since Satoshi Kon died. To see Satoshi Kon's skill on full display, Millennium Actress, a movie following the life and career of a Japanese actress through a turbulent time in Japanese history, is arguably his most beginner friendly work.
The normie pick: Kimetsu no Yaiba: Mugen Train made all the money it made for a reason. Credited with saving the Japanese box office and ushering in a new golden age of high-budget anime movies, the movie's more impressive feat is taking a small segment of a serialized weekly battle manga and expanding it into something that functions as a movie, with an arc, a centralized theme, and a thesis on death and those who fear it versus those who face it.
The patrician pick: Maquia: When the Promised Flower Blooms. Fantasy movie about one of the last survivors of a long lived race raising a human child. Not perfect, but probably the most interesting Mari Okada-written work. Worth a watch every Mother's day. Has more ideas that it can comfortably pay off, but succeeds in strongly depicting the complicated feelings of someone watching a child grow up too fast.
anti_dan
1d ago
Yet even in a world where America does unconditionally support Israel I can't help but think of anyone who takes Aliyah as a certified moron.
Do you think we live in such a world? I am American and can assure you we do not. We are the primary constraint on Israel's conduct during this war. Without American restraint there already would be no one alive in the Gaza strip and the annexation of all the land towards the Jordan would have begun. And it would have been done with fewer Israeli casualties than the current war, and it would probably have been over 3 decades ago.
Modern Israel is not a safe place for Jews, it's a place where thousands of Jews can be killed or maimed in a day and hundreds kidnapped.
Yes indeed, as a result of "humanitarian" causes the US and Europe impose on Israel.
If you are kidnapped, the "Jewish State" will not pull all the stops to save your life but will instead attempt to murder you to prevent you from being used as a bargaining chip. If you survive that then your best hope is that public pressure will eventually force Israel to free some mass killing gigaterrorists in exchange for your life, since Israel has demonstrated that it is incapable of rescuing hostages by force after more than 2 years of intense combat against the weakest militia on it's border
The post 10-7 war can hardly be described as intense combat. Kid gloves at best.
the brutal yet failed campaign to destroy Hamas is a giant anti-semitism producing machine.
Lack of punctuation aside, this is just incorrect. All that antisemitism already existed. I knew about it on 10-6, we saw it on 10-7 before they launched a single counter-attack.
anti_dan
1d ago
That doesn't look like it to me, so why would it be the default assumption?
What it looks like to me is Israel is fighting with two hands tied behind its back. What they, IMO correctly, perceive is that most of "the international community" doesn't want them to win, nor would it tolerate them using META strategies in furtherance of an Israeli victory. So what they end up doing, and we end up observing, is a bunch of tiny motions in the direction of victory that advance the goals of Israel a little bit at a time, while mostly carefully avoiding any dramatic moves in that direction, which would have a high likelihood of generating massive blow-back, even if there was no alternative plausible avenue to generating whatever that strategic gain is/was.
The Dubai zoo may end up winning all categories.
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