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It looks more like Newspeak: "27,000 EURASIAN SOLDIERS UNALIVED IN DOUBLEPLUSGOOD VICTORY IN GHANA"

Rotational schemes also have a key roll in cross-leveling institutional knowledge at the levels between the subject-matter-experts and the client policy-makers. In any given institution, the specific SMEs are rarely the ones directly briefing decision makers. This is because there are incredibly few policy-level topics where a single SME is sufficient. Instead there is inevitably some level of synthesis going on, and that synthesis is often being overseen by other leaders who need to know what other perspective/input is needed for a better whole. Leaders changing portfolios across their careers is important for understanding the interconnection of things related to what their initial expertise was.

This is more commonly recognized on the military side. The classic saying on the military side is that amateurs study tactics while experts study logistics. You do this by taking a weapons officer outside of just the weapons side of thing, and make them responsible for overseeing something more logistical, such as a small organization or some such. Platoon leaders lead platoons, Company Commanders oversee a Company supply section, Battalion Commands have entire supply Companies, and so on.

Well, more expert-experts also study not only logistics, but budgeting and manning. And force protection and military construction. And training and theory. To get senior advisors who can advise on the miltiary as a whole, you need a military progression system that increases exposure and understanding of other parts of the military. Leadership rotation schemes are part of that.

I never claimed otherwise. People can be dumb and not think through after all. That's a failing, and not a justification for their views.

US cost-disease is in a league of its own, and I won't make strong claims about how much of it is due to the availability of more expensive treatment modalities as opposed to medical cartels, a captive market etc.

These hypothetical people might be unhappy with the ER bill from a broken toe, but they should be aware that they'll be much more grateful for therapies later down the line.

I have never used a captcha solving service, but I know they exist and claim to be very cheap per solved captcha. Less than a penny cheap.

I saw a /r/combatfootage video in which a Russian wearing a large poncho was blown apart by a drone. The commenters speculated it was meant to make it harder to spot him in IR by spreading out the heat more evenly. But like many Russian soldiers he was wandering around by himself during the day and was clearly visible in regular light.

But it’s not a conscious thought process. Most people aren’t sitting down analyzing exactly what’s changed in the medical industry and where the new costs are going and finding the checkbook balances. They just know that they’re getting mostly the same procedures but it costs more.

I’m beginning to suspect that screens are a hyper stimulus you can have “relationships”, but they’re only the good parts and you don’t have to work at them, you don’t have to make time for them, you don’t even need to put on pants. Games are much more stimulating than doing the actual thing, they give more rewards and with less effort than real life

It's thanks to said medical advances that most people can be confident of living well past 50, into their 60s, 70s or even 80s.

Focusing on the first fifty years of life where the need for intensive medical care isn't nearly as necessary is myopic.

Sigh. I guess they'll have to settle for just the twinks and gas station boner pills.

If you're in Thailand, you might as well take advantage of the legality of marijuana!

It was recriminalized a month ago.

Late on Tuesday, Thailand's health ministry issued an order prohibiting the sale of cannabis for recreational use and making it mandatory for any retail purchase to require a doctor's prescription.

The new rules will come into effect once they are published in the Royal Gazette, which could happen within days.

Safety, safety, safety, safety

Driver assist features

Energy efficiency (in terms of input energy to distance/speed moved)

In this case, the fact it runs on electricity and not gas

Reliability

In this case especially, but in many cases, way better performance of the engine.

The fact it can Bluetooth to my phone to play music

The fact it can show a map of where you're driving

Significantly better AC/heat/creature comforts like fancy seats

Probably trunk space

Are you seriously trying to pretend 2020s cars don't absolutely fucking blow 1970s cars out of the water in every single possible metric? Because lmao

I have no idea.

They live in cities more? They can't afford cars?

I also think income/wealth inequality is a massive issue, so I'm very comfortable saying both "our society en masse is richer than ever" and "the distribution of this wealth is completely fucked"

Totally agree with you.

I just think saying "medicine has barely improved since the 1950s" is ludicrously wrong and anyone saying that should be pointed at laughed at for being profoundly incorrect.

I resonate with so much of this, except for finding fiction hard to read - while I also vastly prefer dialogue, my imagination has no trouble generating imagery to match the narrative. But I've always also thought that was the part of reading that was like exercise and years as a slop vacuum have made me farm strong at it. That's why visual novels and comics can be wordy as hell but nobody is impressed when you tell them you read them.

Anyway, do you ever worry when you find yourself saying "Ha ha now you're Tolkien!" (when you just read a cleverly written passage) or "Just fucking shoot me already" (infinite applicable situations) out loud that that's how hobos get started? Because I do, all the time.

You have to apply and pay a subscription. It's essentially a private members club though they do have a small museum. After we moved out of London it was very convenient and affordable accommodation.

The Royal Overseas League is lovely for lunch and drinks outside, also need to be a member.

The Goodenough College Club also had very reasonable accommodation, they had a receipricol agreement with with the RSM or the RSOL I don't recall which.

Thanks for the ideas, but I tried this out and prompting doesn't seem to be the problem. I gave a more detailed response to the below post, but the issue was that while the AI seemed to understand the instructions well enough, it wasn't able to access the necessary information. It seems like it can find stuff on html text pages fine, but if it requires looking at another format (like an OCRed PDF) or a database query it just can't do it. It also doesn't seem to understand how to do certain things absent specific instructions, but that's a subject for another time.

Because teens desire to be less independent and are less risk-tolerant in all ways than they used to be. I blame it on insufficient lead, insufficient nicotine, and too much supervision (in that order).

Edit: also nastier licensing requirements. Thanks, insurance companies!

Go for it. o3 is far more competent than either of 4o and 4o-mini. It will probably look for better sources, and spend tens of minutes at the task if it deems it necessary.

A helpful analogy is that 4o is a smooth talking undergrad with lots of charisma and some brains. o3 is an autistic grad-student, far more terse, but far more capable in return. It justifies the price of subscription for me.

Am I? If so, they never told me haha. I'm a member of the Royal College of Psychiatry, but that's an entirely different organization, without any lounge or drinks I'm afraid. I'll look into their more uxorious counterpart.

I appreciate the detailed reviews!

Of the anime you note, I've sampled Frieren, Violet Evergarden and Dungeon Meshi. By which I mean I watched maybe 30 minutes of each before getting distracted and not finding the impetus to continue. That says more about me than it does about the show, and I'm open to giving them a proper go.

In the case of VG, is the movie a 1:1 reprise of the show? The former is what I had half-heartedly begun.

Are you not a member of the Royal Society of Medicine? The lounge is lovely to drink in and the rooms are very affordable by London standards.

I don't and I can give you a couple if you think it would help, but I tried it with 4o and o4-mini and it didn't work well. I've done hundred, if not thousands, of these manually, and I checked several that terminate at different stages of the analysis to see if any would correspond with what I determined originally. I would add the caveat that the actual algorithm would be more complex; I was writing this as I was leaving work on Friday afternoon and there were several rules that I failed to consider that came up when I ran it, most notable that if there are two conflicting months of release then use the last usual release day of the earlier month (assuming the months ore consecutive or otherwise close together or that there's no reason to believe that the earlier month is wrong). There are also a bunch of edge cases that I didn't put in, like singles that are released locally before being given a national release some months later (occasionally happened with smaller labels in the 1960s who had local hits that would get picked up nationally), and specifying which country of release to use, and a bunch of other stuff that's too uncommon to even mention. That out of the way here are the trends I found:

  1. The Reputable Sources: There were no problems accessing Wikipedia (duh). 4o couldn't seem to access 45Cat for some reason, while o-4 mini could. Neither accessed RYM, though I also dabbled with Claude a bit and it could. It was good at identifying other reputable sources I didn't list, like Discogs and AllMusicGuide, although these are unlikely to have anything the other sources don't.
  2. Copyright Data: Nothing could access this. The 1972–1978 data is scans of bound volumes that archive.org has available in various formats, but the AI couldn't access this. It also couldn't access the computerized data from 1978 onwards, even though the copyright office just created a new website that's easier to use than the old one.
  3. Chart Data: Both AIs could determine the date a release first charted. However, most charting releases were reviewed or advertised prior to charting, and it couldn't access this information. I suspect that's because there are various databases that contain chart information, but finding dates of review or ads requires looking at the physical magazines. There's still no reason why AI can't do this, though; all of the back issues from the 1940s onward are available online and OCRed well enough that I can usually find what I'm looking for by searching Google Books. Google is missing some issues so I sometimes will go to a dedicated archive that doesn't have a global search function, but I can still search each issue manually. Additionally, 45Cat does occasionally include a note with review or ad information, usually in the form of BB 4/17/1967 or whatever. I don't know how realistic it is to expect AI to know what this means, though it's obvious to anyone who uses the site and there's probably an explanation somewhere. There are also occasionally users who comment about release dates and chart info here. No AI was able to access the ARSA data. The website does require a free account; I'm not sure how much of an impediment this is.
  4. Estimating based on sequential catalog numbers: It did this occasionally but unnecessarily since every release I picked had a better estimate, and this happens rarely enough that I couldn't think of one to use off the top of my head. I didn't check it to see if it was making reasonable estimates, though they seemed reasonable.
  5. Last resort estimates: If I'm asking AI to make a reasoned estimate I'm not going to argue with it because at that point I'm just looking for a number to use. It got to this point pretty frequently.

Miscellaneous Notes: It made a few odd errors along the way. It wasn't able to determine a typical release day for any label and always defaulted to Monday, except in the case of British releases, where it defaulted to Friday. These were the most common release days in the 60s and 70s for these territories, but they were by no means universal, and I specifically tested it with labels that released on other days. It also made some errors where it would give an incorrect date, e.g., It would say June 18th was a Monday in a particular year but it was really a Wednesday.

Conclusion: It's capable of producing reasonable estimates that are relatively close to my own estimates, but are nonetheless almost always off. If I don't have a credible release date, almost all estimates will be derived from either copyright data, trade publication review dates, or ARSA chart dates. Since the models seem incapable of accessing any of these, they are functionally useless. They're limited to finding dates I can already find more easily without AI, and estimating release dates based on chart data. I'm not familiar with o-3 or how it compares to what I was able to use, but if you think it could succeed where the others failed, let me know and I'll give you a few to try out. I don't want to waste your tokens on a vanity project for an extremely niche application, but I understand you might be interested in how these models work. Also consider that I'm an AI skeptic who would pay for a service like this if it could reliably do what I need it to do. A lot of my skepticism, though, stems from the fact that it seems incapable of accessing information that's trivial for an actual person to access.

If we're so much richer why are 40% of teens not getting licenses today vs 20% in 1980 (the closest stat to 1970 I found).

Have you tried goblin.tools?

I know you're depressed and suicidal, but I must grant that it's worthy of respect to endorse a system so contrary to your own continued wellbeing (or lack thereof). At the very least, you know what you're asking for.