domain:questioner.substack.com
Compared to where we were ten years ago, it looks like AGI is achievable now. It seems before we didn't even have an architecture that you could spend infinite compute on that would ever arrive at an answer. But now it seems like we do! It's clear that you can get them to do reasoning-like things and it's mainly a matter of how much compute you can throw at it. So that's amazing.
But the question that remains, is will this architecture get to AGI within economic feasibility? It doesn't quite seem like the right architecture. They use much, much more power than humans do to solve the same problems, for example.
If we have to continually 10x the amount of inference compute we throw at a model to cut the error rate in half, we might exhaust the capacity of the Earth before we reach AGI.
Blueberry
11hr ago
I don't doubt that the cops in question were horrible predators.
The kneeler Derek Chauvin maybe, but Alexander Kuong and Tou Thao seemed more incompetent/overwhelmed than evil. Thomas Lane, the other white cop, was unlucky as it was his fourth day on the job and he challenged Chauvin only with questions but not with actions.
hydroacetylene
11hr ago
Red beans and rice is actually very good if done properly. Of course I'm guessing this wasn't a specific dish, this was yankees of a certain generation that just didn't care about good food.
hydroacetylene
11hr ago
Of course, this is mostly population aging. Old people don't grow the economy.
Do immigrants help? IDK.
erwgv3g34
11hr ago
Total risk mitigation is just miserable. Every time you drive somewhere, you are accepting a small probability of dying horribly in a car crash. Yet very few people are content to become hermits who work from home and get everything delivered. At some point, you simply have to accept the tradeoffs of a life worth living.
From Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality, chapter 20:
Professor Quirrell was silent for a moment, then smiled. "Tell me, Mr. Potter, can you guess what thought went through my mind when I finished assembling the thirty-seven items on the list of things I would never do as a Dark Lord? Put yourself in my shoes - imagine yourself in my place - and guess."
Harry imagined himself looking over a list of thirty-seven things not to do once he became a Dark Lord.
"You decided that if you had to follow the whole list all the time, there wouldn't be much point in becoming a Dark Lord in the first place," Harry said.
"Precisely," said Professor Quirrell.
hydroacetylene
11hr ago
It goes both ways- Lengua and Chicharron have developed a following among Gringos. We still mostly think tripa is gross, and menudo is restricted to being a folk cure.
Gringas mostly still think it's all gross.
johnfabian
11hr ago
Cheese is also a big one. There are lots of grocery items that are value-dense (is this a term?) Essentially give disproportionate payoff for the ease of taking and moving them. Bonus points if you only need limited effort to keep it in good condition.
And unlike other things where you basically already need to be a career criminal to get the ins to someone who will fence stolen property for you, stealing food products has another upside: there are a million struggling restaurants who will gladly buy your stolen product from you, no questions asked.
hydroacetylene
11hr ago
Right, the odd Florida man type story involving an illegal doesn't raise any suspicions, but it also isn't the occasional Florida man type in these stories- it's usually portrayed as some sort of trend. Believable third world behavior is often worth complaining about to people who aren't used to it(FWIW I 100% believe Haitian refugees were poaching ducks in a public park in Ohio, being extremely bad drivers, etc- because that's believable third world behavior).
faceh
11hr ago
No argument from me, really.
I am just paranoid enough to think that making yourself 'untouchable' on an economic and social level could have the unintended effect of making you a target for malicious actors who want your wealth.
I did used to believe in 'security through obscurity' (i.e. just blend in and make yourself 'beneath notice') but that can be compromised at any time given how freely information flows, you can't rely on or maintain that indefinitely.
So situating yourself in a location where it is hard for attackers to even reach you is... probably wise.
And yeah, if you take risk mitigation to an extreme, then you might decide to not even have a wife and kids since they can be a tool to blackmail you or a weakness in your security scheme.
Obviously that is not an ideal way to live.
birb_cromble
11hr ago
who the hell cooks rice and beans in the same pot
People who were never taught how to cook and didn't have the time or ability to learn.
erwgv3g34
12hr ago
...who the hell cooks rice and beans in the same pot? To begin with, the best way to cook rice is in a dedicated rice cooker.
chooky
12hr ago
I feel like jokes about political correctness are somewhat peak 1990s... but I'm happy to cede something along the lines of "If we only knew...".
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
12hr ago
I've been using the wrong sports metaphor:
Vance has to be willing to just THROW THE DAGGER
erwgv3g34
12hr ago
Beans are just an inferior legume; chickpeas and lentils are much better side dishes to go with rice. As for protein, you should be getting that from meat and eggs and fish and dairy, not from plants.
Amadan
Enjoying my short-lived victory
12hr ago
Sure, I believe an immigrant once went around stabbing people in the butt. I even heard about that one at the time. Because it was quite newsworthy.
birb_cromble
12hr ago
One was in the York/Dover area, and one was around Frederick.
One would have been around 2005, and one would have been around 2008-2009. I had already left the area, so I don't have firsthand information.
I can believe that illegal farm workers are poaching, maybe stealing small stock, but they'd butcher a cow and there wouldn't be a 'carcass' left(Hispanics are actually very fond of animal parts not normally eaten in anglo-american culture; poor unassimilated Hispanics[which farm laborers would be] are actually known for not liking steak very much in comparison).
Cow heart kebab is the bee's knees, even if it upsets my stomach. I've never cared much for cow lung, but I'll eat it if there's nothing else. Organ meat is good for you; that's where all the nutrients are.
Amusingly, I've slowly assimilated into the American taste for steak. When I was younger I would only eat it well done, because I thought bloody meat was gross, and consequently I did not enjoy steak any more than I did chicken, and I found it distinctly inferior to fatty pork, despite being more expensive. But after years of getting bombarded by the medium rare meme, I broadened my horizons, and now I realize that the gringos were onto something with this whole steak thing.
ulyssessword
12hr ago
Let's be very generous and say $0.07 per kilowatt hour (approximately retail prices). 1 gigawatt year is therefore $613.7M, while 5000 kg of gold (at $150k/kg, which is slightly high) is $750M.
So it's not even a powerplant that produces gold as a coproduct, it's a gold plant that also produces power.
urquan
Hold! What you are doing to us is wrong! Why do you do this thing?
12hr ago
It is about the idea spread by the words that are used in that organization's name.
That people should care about the lives of black people?
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
12hr ago
But these stories never confine themselves to the plausible.
Neither does reality.
urquan
Hold! What you are doing to us is wrong! Why do you do this thing?
12hr ago
· Edited 12hr ago
I don’t think it’s sensitivity reasons, it was that the algorithms on social media platforms deranked or demonetized content that had references to death or sexual assault. Presumably for advertisement reasons. You said it’s grown beyond just that, but I believe YouTube and other platforms censor it just like TikTok, so they’re just doing what the algorithms encourage.
So this isn’t an example of zoomer fragility — it’s an example of the power of advertiser skittishness and algorithmic content ranking to affect language on multiple platforms. (That sounded like AI, but it wasn’t. Promise.)
I could also just be out of touch on this, but I’ve never heard of someone who literally won’t say the word “killed” in an in-person setting. Rape is more sensitive, I guess.
Zephyr
12hr ago
Have you heard of the use-mention distinction?
One of the reasons we left Reddit was that a user was explaining the (((brackets))) around certain names, and what it meant, and Reddit decided that using them, even in an explanation like this one here, indicates an endorsement of the position.
Now sure, if your ideological opponents pick a name that is obviously biased, you don’t have to use that - no one is saying you should call it “The Public Execution of the Innocent George Floyd by white supremecist cops, as endorsed by Republikkkans”. But calling it “George Floyd’s death” is, if anything, conservative coded.
Censoring his name, or censoring the name of the activist organization BLM, simply makes the arguments appear unserious - to me, they seem like someone who is so angry about the concept that they can’t think clearly about it, and as a result, are probably incorrect about it.
birb_cromble
12hr ago
I like them now that I'm an adult who has learned how to cook them properly.
As a kid being served rice and beans boiled in the same pot so one is over cooked or the other is under cooked? Not a fan.
birb_cromble
12hr ago
Also for @Amadan, who asked in another thread.
https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/fairfax-county-butt-slasher-to-be-sentenced-friday/1924072/
Pimentel was arrested near a shopping mall in Peru, in January 2012. He was extradited to the United States in December.
What's the best Disney sequel movie? I've watched basically all of the classics at some point in my life, but there's a bunch of stuff like Cinderella 2 or Mulan 2 that I just assumed were cash grabs based on the popularity of the original, and never bothered watching because I didn't think they'd be worth the time and the original movie closed its story on its own without needing continuation.
Is this assumption universally true, or are there exceptions? Am I wisely saving my time and money, or have I been sleeping on the hidden gem Aladdin 2: Electric Boogaloo?
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