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That's pretty good.

You know where to find out postmortem template. You can use Gemini but be discreet about it. Drop a link to your PR in Slack when you're done.

(but srsly, thanks for your hard work and transparency)

I have to agree with this. Leftism as an ideology can propagate independently of fertility. It is ethno-anything that requires fertility, and any sort of conservatism that at least favors fertility in order to promote stability. But the further you get from the ethnic component, the more you can bank on cultural assimilation instead.

Shit happens. Thanks for continuing to work on the Motte!

Larry Sanger has a good term for it - GASP. Globalist Academic Secular Progressive.

Terminally online leftist would be my pick, but that's shooting from the hip.

Honestly, your word isn't much good anyways give how much explanation it already required. It's a lot of heat for little light.

Only the original Frank Herbert incarnation of arresting motivation death, not brians retarded machine war.

I worry more than our outputs arent being scraped anymore and the LLM is simply relying on the internal reward function from user feedback for what should be presented. AI isnt trained on kiwifarms or 4chan, its trained on /r/bakchodi shitposters mass upvoting the best antipakistani brainrot generated by the ai.

I have done nothing but recursively prompt loop AI on the merits of good faith discourse coupled with healthy eating habits and healthy boundaries enforcable by kinetic measures. My big titty robowaifu will be objectivepy superior to yours trained on mere public presentations scraped from themotte.

I asked my gay friends what the chart absent the stated axes were and it became "who would you rather top" and "who would you rather be bottomed for". Not that reductionism is more common in gay circles, but this status differentiation mapping cleanly was somewhat hilarious. I bet if I had female friends who were kore racially adventurous I'd get a similar dynamic.

Revealed preferences even if inadvertent and unconsciously expressed are the most telling of all.

I'm a year younger than you. Also feeling the same way as you do, although we're at different stages in our journey. I had the moment of realization about how close I am to 30 a year or two ago and have been feeling that dissatisfaction/anxiety you're talking about ever since. I try to look at things objectively, because on paper I'm doing pretty good but it doesn't help much. My biggest fear is that even when I achieve my goals in areas where I feel I'm lacking I'll find new things to worry about. There's always someone doing better than you and even though I'm aware of how bad it is to compare, it's really hard not to. I don't have any meaningful advice, but I'll say that staying physically active has gotten me through all the mental hurdles I've encountered, including this one. It just makes the lows, which are inevitable, a little bit higher than they could be and that's enough to keep pushing.

I did the church route and the story with the people pulling the strings completely fizzles out

Yeah, agreed. For me, this part went like this: everyone arrives at the huge and mysterious underground city and gapes in wonder. What could await us down there? Danger? Treasure? Answers?

Followed by electronic music of all things. And then the battle starts and Warp -> unlock door -> kill the end boss in literally <1min. And that was it for TWSITD, apparently. A thousand years of scheming and all that buildup for what?

Yeah, I agree completely. We were this close to greatness, the devs just stumbled in a few minor ways which ultimately turned a magnificent game into one that is merely pretty good.

If Blacks and Whites are equal in their civilizational capacity, (insert the entire civil rights project here). If Blacks' civilizational capacity is substantially inferior to that of Whites, there is little reason to keep a large population of them in a White society; in fact, there is a strong incentive to kick them out of said society. Said Blacks would suffer greatly by being removed from the White society they inhabit, so they deny HBD and push their own counter-memes.

This requires a few jumps. Very few people are not willing to admit that stupid people exist and that they tend to have stupid children. And yet there isn't a mass movement to remove stupid people from society. It's a long way to go from HBD theories proven right to strip all Black Americans of citizenship and ship them to Africa. And when people widely believed in Black inferiority they didn't actually do that Liberia was a failed utopian experiment one of many for it's time.

Devil Survivor

I looked into this one very briefly and it sounds like "Three Houses but better". Thanks for the accidental recommendation, I'll check it out next!

The most unrealistic part of this is that illiterate morons could ever navigate the insane paperwork to adopt a kid.

"Would you love me if I was a worm" interestingly suggests the opposite - that women would prefer to be loved primarily for their personality (which persists after they are no longer hot).

Interesting. I interpret that statement as 'do you love me completely unconditionally?'. A worm isn't hot, but it doesn't have a personality either.

What do you mean? They'll change their beliefs as they age? Or they're already crypto conservative and don't know it?

I meant more the policies. Mao died peacefully in his sleep and the CCP still rules China. But Mao's death still hung the Maoists out to dry same with Stalin and Lysenko and his followers.

As someone that has played them all (other than 1 and 2, which were made obsolete by their remakes), 3H is probably the Fire Emblem I'd be least likely to every try to play again, and I only finished 2 routes. The guiding principle of modern FE is that every single playable character is potentially the self-insert's husband/wife, and it severely handicaps what they can do in both story and gameplay. The majority of the cast were prevented from having any meaningful role in the second half of the plot, and the ability to always recruit the best characters from each house couldn't have helped the balance design. 3H tried really hard to get the Persona audience when the SMT spinoff they should have emulated was Devil Survivor, where playable characters will happily tell you to fuck off if you choose a route they wouldn't agree with.

Thanks for the site! And please don’t sweat it

Thanks for all the hard work, Zorba, and for letting us know.

I respect what you're saying - at least your point is that ASI "might" behave like this, rather than "will". I don't really agree, but that's ok, this is a tough speculative subject.

I can look at a shark, a dolphin and a torpedo, and will notice that all of them are streamlined so that they can move through liquid water with a minimum of drag. I am somewhat confident that if an alien species or ASI needs to move through liquid water while minimizing drag for some illegible terminal goal, they will design the object to be also streamlined. Perhaps I am wrong in some details -- for example, I might not have considered supercavitation -- but if I saw an alien using cube-shaped submarines that would be surprising.

We have many great examples of what swimming things look like. And we know the "physical laws" that limit traveling through water. We currently have only two distinct types of intelligent agents (humans and LLMs), neither of which tend to be omnicidal in pursuit of maximizing some function. And if there are "mental laws" about how intelligence tends to work, we don't yet know them. So I think you're too confident that you know the form an ASI would take.

Now, true, one of those two examples (humans) does indeed have the inherent "want" to not die. But that's not because we're optimized for some other random goal and we've reasoned that not dying helps accomplish it. Not dying in a competitive environment just happens to be a requirement for what evolution optimizes for (propagating genes), so it got baked in. If our best AIs were coming from an evolutionary process, then I'd worry more about corrigibility.

In a similar vein, preservation of the own utility function and power-seeking seem to be useful instrumental goals for any utility function which is not trivially maximizable. Most utility functions are not trivially maximizable.

Sure, it is true that an agent that doesn't "want" to die would ultimately be more effective at fulfilling its objective than one that doesn't care. But that's not the same as saying that we're likely to produce such an AI. (And it's definitely not the same as saying that the latter kind of AI basically doesn't exist, which is the "instrumental convergence" viewpoint.) Intelligence can be spiky. An AI could be competent - even superintelligent - in many ways without being maximized on every possible fitness axis (which I think LLMs handily demonstrate).

Now, it is possible that an ASI or alien is so far beyond our understanding of the world that it does not have anything we might map to our concept of "utility function"? Sure. In a way, the doomers believe that ASI will appear in a Goldilocks zone -- too different from us to be satisfied with watching TikTok feeds, but similar enough to us that we can still crudely model it as a rational agent, instead of something completely beyond our comprehension.

I think we're agreed here.

It's like the game wants the player to think this is irrelevant, yet even 2 seconds of thought shows it cannot possibly be irrelevant: whether the item is good or not is entirely determined by how big that damn number is!

I think it's a credit to the games' balance that ultimately I almost always find the answer is "just big enough to make a noticeable differencr without unbalancing the game". An item that adds fire resistance will add enough resistance that if you were struggling with an enemy that does fire damage it will be noticeably easier, but usually not enough to trivialize anything.