domain:ashallowalcove.substack.com
ulyssessword
12m ago
See also the Irish baby stabbings from a few years ago: The suspect was not, as a matter of simple fact, a foreigner. He had naturalized from Algeria(?) several decades before.
Naturally, the news reported the first half but not the second.
Magusoflight
13m ago
Did the adults actually throw the kid to the ground and kick her in the head? Is there any evidence of this in the video or from the aftermath: dirt on her clothes, scrapes or bruises, bloody nose, split lip, any evidence of physical harm?
Apparently the child was treated for a concussion and there is a hospital record to prove this
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
16m ago
It's highly likely. Young wrestlers who cut weight too aggressively suppress testosterone levels in season, and former high school wrestlers have reported permanently fried endocrine systems (though this may be complicated by seeking medical treatment in the form of TRT).
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
29m ago
There was a time not long ago when the USA was expected to not just win the Olympic tournament, but would have been favored against a combined rest of world team. Now the USA would be iffy against Yugoslavia, and in the last Olympics relied on a starting C who, really, shouldn't be on the USA basketball team.
There's layers of irony. Sailer type HBDers have long offered the NBA as the thin wedge to argue that we accept ethnic differences in some fields, and "evolution doesn't stop at the neck," so we should be willing to accept the reality of differences elsewhere. And what we're seeing is instead that it's all more complicated than we thought it was, and definitely isn't traceable to US Census category levels of resolution.
hydroacetylene
29m ago
The uterus falling out thing sounds like maybe this was among the last diagnoses for 'hysteria' which was an old-timey garbagebag diagnosis for women's health issues with no understood mechanism. Aristotle thought that it was caused by the womb moving out of place(hence 'hysteria' from the same root as 'hysterectomy'), but the diagnosis was used well after this theory fell out of favor.
Bleep
31m ago
21st century American blacks are on average over an inch shorter than non-hispanic American whites
hydroacetylene
33m ago
The fact that it's literally called the 'female athlete triad' indicates that health concerns are not unfounded. This paper(https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7768504/) indicates preliminarily that more-conventional eating disorders can be recovered from, fertility-wise, in a relatively short timeframe. Anecdata tells me that this is still a reduction from maximal fertility but most people aren't aiming at that.
Rov_Scam
35m ago
I picked up an eviction case over the summer, and I got a call from my client one morning telling me that the tenant had been arrested. He didn't know what for, just that he had heard about it from other tenants in the building. A couple weeks later, it happened again, and this time he had to fix the door from them breaking in. I told him I had no idea how to figure out why he was arrested (twice), for the simple reason that I didn't have any connections in the police department, and that even if I did they would only be useful if one of them happened to already know about the situation. The only way to figure out why the guy was arrested is to wait and see if he's charged in court, and to date the guy's only contact with the court system has been the suit I filed against him. The other possible way would be to check the police blotter. This is a reasonable course of action in small towns that report every traffic stop, but the Pittsburgh Police, with hundreds of encounters a day, only report on things serious enough to merit general public interest, and some middle aged guy getting arrested for something that's probably minor doesn't merit it. There's a Pittsburgh Police Scanner twitter account run by private citizens monitoring scanners, but, again, they only report on things interesting or (mostly) funny.
Fruck
Lacks all conviction
37m ago
Is this a warning or a ban? Because I don't see your hat. If your response here is as a user, and simply using the language of modding for some reason thanks for your concern, but I have always been aware I have to fight my own battles here and I am perfectly content to.
You're lying.
You are grammatically confused. The statement you quoted is referring to the RSP, who were associated with the Euromaidan protestors and the Euromaidan area of control, not the police and the government area of control.
The court case establishes that a substantial amount of people were shot from the areas not under control of police.
The court case also establishes that the RSP person of interest, suspected of leading the RSP shooting from areas not under control of the police, has been accused of- though not proven to be in an Ukrainian court of law- having been secretly under the control of the Ministry of the Interior.
Shooting from areas not under the control of the police is what is implied by an accusation that shooters were presenting themselves as protestors, from positions within the protestor areas of control, having been serving a nominal role for the protestors within the protestor area for some time, until directed into action by the Ministry of the Interior to conduct a terror attack for anti-protestor purposes.
There is no requirement that the executors of a false flag terrorist attack in service of the government have to walk outside of the protestor area of control, to the government area of control, before they begin shooting.
It's unreasonable to assume people who see nothing wrong with celebrating the Ukrainian WW2 nationalist resistance among whose deeds was killing 100,000 Polish civilians are obviously not going to be squeamish about making martyrs out of a few protesters. During this court case, surviving protesters testified they were shot at by other protestors. In fact, it's probably easier to find nationalist fanatics in Ukraine than to recruit genuine sociopaths who would willingly shoot civilians from abroad unless you hired some freelancers from Mexico or Colombia.
Thank you for identifying nationalism as a motive you consider acceptable for shooting the protestors. I will even agree with you that it was probably easier for the Ministry of Interior to find fanatics in Ukraine, even if the nationalistic fanatics for a MOI-conspiracy would probably be nationalists more associating national interest with Russia than the Europeans. This is a motive compatible with the allegations of that elements of a far-right movement were secretly responsive to the Ukrainian security state aligned with Russia and opposed to geopolitical alignment with the decadent euro-liberals.
The translated excerpts show that these people started shooting at police from 5:30 am and managed to make them retreat. And the court also states that at least 10 people were shot by them. I mean, they were even shooting at foreign journalists. They were clearly pretty nuts.
The translated excerpts also show what these people were doing in the days before that 5:30 AM shootings, which is what you quoted and are framing a rebuttal to was referring to.
The court case noted they haven't proven there was a conspiracy to carry out this mass murder and violent protest, not that it didn't happen.
That is rather the heart of the point. The other part of the point is that these same words, word for word, apply to both conspiracies, as does the data of the court case.
The court documents you yourself pointed to as evidence of your framing do not prove, disprove, or try to address one false flag conspiracy theory over the other. The contents of the document are just as compatible with the anti-Euromaidan narrative false flag conspiracy theory (that the RSP were protestors unafiliated with the government, and wanted the government to be attributed as responsible in the chaos) as the yare with the other pro-Euromaidan narrative false flag conspiracy theory (that the RSP were protestors who were secretly affiliated with the government, who wanted the protestors to be attributed as responsible in the chaos).
The court documents do not provide distinguishing evidence. It does not provide differentiation between competing hypothesis. They raise data on how a false-flag attack was carried out, not why a false flag was carried out or in whose service.
hydroacetylene
38m ago
Blacks are still slightly shorter than whites.
hydroacetylene
41m ago
I'm sticking with my presumption that there was some Florida-man level escalation and nonsense, rather than migrants deciding to sexual harass some tweens and then attacking one.
hydroacetylene
44m ago
A relevant factor in the case is that hatchets are difficult to conceal and twelve year old girls are not, in general, very large. It seems unlikely that she was carrying this weapon on her person and more likely that she had it stashed for some reason.
Throwaway05
1hr ago
I mean TBH I did submit my post and then go back and instantly edit it because I felt the specific question (as opposed to the context) was worth addressing. I'll come back to that.
As for your frustrations yes I don't think SMH was being particularly professional and at the same time he's young, hasn't finished training (and hasn't yet gone through the parts of training that really hammer in the professionalism) and didn't seem to bother OP so I'm not super upset about it.
And on the other hand you seem upset - that's a valid feeling and also a bit disproportionate given OP's lack of disgruntlement.
Soooooooo how do I balance gentle wagging my finger at all parties involved without furthering exasperation?
I think we should lean back on "the vast majority of people here are just living their life doing their best and being directly called out is going to create defensiveness that isn't really conducive towards helping someone acknowledge error and improve."
Lord knows I give myself some grace so I should probably to other people as well, when possible.
That said, so back to the meat of the thing (cognition is neat!!).
Yes you should be able to diagnose schizophrenia from a specific type of writing but if someone is producing some alternate theory of physics or whatever it will be hard to tell if that is representative of disordered thinking or just the weird shit being weird shit (not commenting on correctness with that). I haven't read OP's thing because the exercise holds little interest to me but I doubt it's very diagnostic, but we have had posters here (well I think only on reddit?) that I saw and was like...."oh."
To give a clear example (and you can find this kinda stuff on reddit if you know where to look):
"listen listen listen help me please PLEASE i cant get the polices to help ive called 13 times a day for the last 13 days and they keep telling me I need a doctor but I dont need a doctor I need someone to get them to stop following me I cant get rid of them even when I use the bathroom I can hear them in the next room over telling me things I need them to stop stalking me but the police won't help my family say I need to calm down but I am calm I just dont know what to do about them my doctor gave me a medicine for anxiety but I dont like how it makes me feel and what they say about it online makes me thing the doctor is working with them so I won't go back I dont know what to do help"
You see that and someone is clearly having an exceptionally bad trip or true psychosis with poor prognostic indicators.
07mk
1hr ago
Blood type is horoscopes for Korean (and Japanese) people. And so is Chinese horoscopes. I see MBTI as horoscopes for educated fans of science who look down on horoscopes as superstition but who haven't done enough research into science to learn about the veracity of MBTI as well as the existence of OCEAN/CANOE. Then again, that's probably more reflective of the population of people I encounter rather than population of people who buy into MBTI.
07mk
1hr ago
In my couple decades of going to the gym regularly, I've yet to see any evidence of this happening. I'm sure it does, because the idea that people who go to the gym are uniquely virtuous and kind doesn't seem likely to be true. But my perception of the culture around people who tend to go to the gym is that they are overwhelmingly positive and supportive, especially to people who look unfit and appear to be inexperienced/incompetent in their exercises. That's been my experience as someone on both sides of that relationship at different points in my life. It's impossible to know for sure, but if someone put a gun to my head, I'd easily guess that less than 50% of people at any given gym would laugh at a typical out-of-shape fat slob who clearly hasn't been to the gym in years but who's genuinely trying his best. Well, except January maybe, when gym rats do get annoyed by the extra crowding that often happens due to new year's resolutions. But that's usually condescension for being less disciplined, rather than mocking for lacking skills/strength.
self_made_human
amaratvaṃ prāpnuhi, athavā yatamāno mṛtyum āpnuhi
1hr ago
You are overlooking the fact that a post Heat Death universe has infinite amounts of time at hand. It really doesn't matter how unlikely an event is, as long as it isn't categorically/logically impossible.
Being an old-fashioned meat brain? Can happen "naturally" in a very small chunk of the universe's lifespan. As far as I'm aware, our decision theories are inadequate to the task of settling this (same issue with the simulation hypothesis) so I remain agnostic as to the actual ramifications. It is instrimentally useful to me to act as if I exist as an entity that won't poof out of existence. Hasn't failed me yet!
self_made_human
amaratvaṃ prāpnuhi, athavā yatamāno mṛtyum āpnuhi
1hr ago
Uterine prolapses are hardly unheard of, but they're almost certainly happening in middle-aged women with weakened pelvic floors (post childbirth) instead of young athletic women. You'd have to try very hard to get that to work.
Amadan
Enjoying my short-lived victory
1hr ago
Okay buddy, this is obviously personal to you, but you need to chill out.
Even if @self_made_human were violating professional ethics with flippant shit-posting on a message board (I doubt it, but I'm not a doctor), "follow the ethical guidelines of your profession" is not a Motte requirement. If his comments cause you to lose respect for him personally, or for the medical profession in general, you are entitled to your feelings. But whatever you want here, you're not going to get it, and going off on people because you're offended is definitely not going to get what you want.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
1hr ago
I mean, that's exactly my point. It's all downstream of cultural or economic questions, of interest and the availability of a strong culture of training, you need the right economic mix of availability of training with desperation to succeed. This is obviously visible in sports, but there's no reason to think that it's less true of other human endeavors.
Black athletic dominance was a fact of life in the late 90s, but it peaked around the early 2000s and has been in decline ever since, across all major American sports (other than Hockey, which never had any black players)
There could be some irony here.
Despite progressive hopium that improved Environmental Factors would close achievement gaps between black and white Americans, if instead the quickly diminishing returns to Environmental Factors (such as childhood disease and nutrition) and improving Environmental Factors across the world led to black Americans losing ground to unpopular population groups such as the Chinese and Eastern Europeans—whether globally or with respect to first generation immigrants from those regions, in domains ranging from academics, income, and even "black" sports. Young black Americans are basically the same height on average as their grandparents; young Chinese and young Chinese Americans tend to tower over their grandparents.
Both Serbia and Slovenia's men's basketball teams have been formidable in recent years, to say the least. Serbia took Team USA to the brink in the last Olympics and Slovenia made a deep-run in the Olympics before that. A Yugoslavia team would include both Jokic and Doncic in the starting five; a game played between Yugoslavia vs. the US today, last year, two years ago, etc. would likely have the best 2 of 10 starting players on Team Yugoslavia (having the best 5 of 10 starting players would be the maximum).
07mk
1hr ago
If they don't, then how am I able to identify colors of entirely new things sans context?
I don't think that's a thing you're able to do sans context. Infants, lacking context, aren't able to identify the colors of anything.
I suspect we're using the word "context" differently - what exactly do you mean by "sans context"? Are your memories a part of the context? Are the innate saccade patterns that all humans use to look at things (e.g. gaze snaps to contrast, edges) part of the context? How about the learned saccade patterns (e.g. scanning in reading order)?
We probably are. Memories wouldn't be a part of the context, but it would be a tool that allows you to interpret the context (what does context even mean if you lack memories by which to understand it, anyway?). When I say "sans context," I mean that there's no context around the object that would allow you to identify its color even if you couldn't see its color. I.e. if it's so dark that my vision has become black & white - even then, I could guess that a stop sign is red, based on where it is, its shape, the words on it, etc. My contention is that, if I were interrupted during my walk by God bringing into existence some piece of paper on the ground in front of me that was painted a solid color of some color I'd never observed painted on a piece of paper before, I would still be able to identify that color, and the qualia that I experience from viewing that object will be reflective of the photons that bounced off of the paper and onto my retina, such that if similar-wavelength photons bounced off different things and landed on my retina, I would experience similar qualia.
You don't experience unmediated sensory inputs. The map is not the territory, and you can only experience the map, never the territory directly.
...
True, but since we don't directly experience the raw sensory inputs, I don't know how much it matters how similar the raw sensory inputs are. We could quantify the similarity of those raw sensory inputs (e.g. by doing the same dimensionality reduction trick on optic nerve spike frequencies), but I don't think doing so would buy us anything beyond pretty pictures to look at and maybe some cures for diseases.
OK, fair enough. You seem to be saying that the qualia you experience only comes up after your sensory inputs have been mediated by your memories, concepts, etc., and all the stuff that exists before that is inaccessible to your conscious mind and hence not really qualia. Seems likely to be correct.
But this doesn't address the question of how similar that qualia between different people actually are. The experiments you designed seem to be very capable of telling if the relationship between qualia that people have are similar to each other (which seems obviously true - people consistently place "orange" between "red" and "yellow" or "purple" between "blue" and "red," for instance). But having similar (or "very similar" or whatever) qualia doesn't refer to similarities in how one individual's various qualia relate to each other, it refers to similarities in the qualia themselves of observing the same thing between multiple different people. Which, as of yet, can't be measured directly. And one might say that the fact that relationships are pretty consistent between humans should push us towards believing that the qualia themselves are consistent, but we also know that, mathematically, it's pretty easy to have different coloring systems that are homeomorphic to each other.
If you can figure out the full chain of causality from sensation to perception to meaning making to conversion to language to speech, I don't think there's anything left to explain.
That's a heck of a big "if," though, to figure out a chain of causality like that. If we could figure out in full just the link between sensation to perception, that in itself would be enough to make qualia "objective." But we don't have much of an idea on even beginning that. I'd say that figuring out that link is in the same category as mind-uploading or revival after cryogenic freezing in terms of being sufficiently advanced science as to be magic. I don't support the notion that science can never advance sufficiently, but also, it certainly hasn't, and so we lack the existence proof that this is possible.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
1hr ago
Are you going to lavish this attention on disproving the load-bearing quotes? Do you also think that I'm misquoting Bear Bryant and Cap Anson and the NYT editorial board? Or was it just the fun little joke that caught your ire?
banflam
1hr ago
Hi, I actually tried this and I'll warn against it. I got really excited by the same ACX review and here was my experience:
- Difficulty of finding expectation
The entire scheme revolves around using high expectation, low variance ("return to player" as the games call it). It is basically impossible to get an accurate take on which slot games are like this.
Even the ones that have this buried somewhere don't quite add up. For example there was a game that apparently had a 96% return to player over "thousands of spins". I did maybe 2k spins with the minimum possible bet of 10 cents to kill variance. For every 120 stakescoins I had, I was lucky to get back 98 and cash out without too much of a loss. Remember that according to the promised expectation I was supposed to get 117.6 which, given the $100 real money that this cost me I should have gotten $17.60 of profit.
- Counterparty risk
This was mentioned in the original ACX review which led me down this rabbit hole, but it's kind of serious. You will be risking $100 to make at best $20 in profit. The ACX guy was nonchalant about it, saying you could tell your credit card to cancel the payment but I've never tried it in practice. Be ready to wait for a week to get your money back.
- Time
Still takes a hell of a lot of time. The ACX reviewer had some bot system and also had been doing this for a while. I felt like he was heavily discounting the time it takes initially to set things up and find the right casinos and games and so on. Lists and "advice" online are fake and looking to cash in on referral fees.
- Savvy
This is the entire damn problem. The ACX guy made it sound so easy. He even began to muse "what if you had UBI and nobody came?". He made it sound like literally anybody with no skills could do this.
This actually requires a lot of savvy and isn't quite as foolproof as he made it out to be. Finding the right casinos, games, etc.
It's what I realized with sports betting arbitrage. Or thinking about getting good at poker. There's no free lunch. No money lying on the sidewalk.
In the end I cut all my losses and closed my positions and got a part-time retail job.
If it were a ban, you'd be banned.
If you want to push it I can mod hat it, or you can just take the warning for what it was.
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