domain:moultano.wordpress.com
rayon
waifutech enthusiast
21m ago
To think all the man vs bear discourse was focus testing all along...
2rafa
29m ago
Even in finance the logic is that it’s always impossible to prevent a willing employee from committing crime and leaking sensitive information, monitoring systems are just set up so that if and when it happens (1) they can trace it to source and (2) convince the regulator they did everything they could and reported it as soon as possible.
2rafa
37m ago
Even in Quant Finance where everyone is at everyone else's throat all the time
Big funds are smart enough to have 2 year noncompetes for quants though. I’m not sure if this is a California law thing or tech stupidity but there’s no way Zuck would be offering this pay if he couldn’t get these people before Summer 2027.
aldomilyar
45m ago
Not especially vocal or belligerent people
BurdensomeCount
—Your em dash is showing...
59m ago
There's a reason why the crazy pay offers are only being made to people who are likely to have IP sensitive information instead of e.g. newly graduating world class machine learning PhDs who are yet to be exposed to the IP at a top lab.
Yes it will backfire if the AI market goes south or even if Meta fails to produce a good product after all this IP theft.
Corvos
1hr ago
Yeah, I have a friend who works in a very sensitive area of banking and it’s a nightmare:
- Four layers of security before he can get to his desk
- Everything on the computer is absolutely locked down and the software is rubbish as is the authentication system
- Constant surveillance from cameras absolutely everywhere
I think other stuff too but I forget the details.
mrvanillasky
Indo Aryan Thot Leader
1hr ago
Very well written OP. At what point will chinese advances start affecting the US more than they are now. Previously Anthropics CEO and human job hater Dario Amodei wrote pretty unprofessional things about what the r1 had achieved.
American investment is far higher in AI than china's and has not produced the same level of results for the value. Will we see more expenditure at this point so that labs can double down and make more llms that have billion dollar runs or will they slow down the investments?
Really good post. Thanks for posting this here.
mrvanillasky
Indo Aryan Thot Leader
1hr ago
People on twitter are sucking him off dry for paying nerds their true worth.
I was skeptical of his offers. Paying people 100 of millions sound stupid also because of the volatility of what's being done. A big ai winter would look bad to Metas investors.
I did want to ask you about this though as I have zero experience or understanding of finance and markets. Will his overcompensation backfire if the market for AI goes south?
He splurged a lot on VR which whilst admirable doesn't seem to be a household piece of tech. I remember it causing some stock chaos a few years ago. Not sure what this would look like.
orthoxerox
If you can read this, you're using a custom theme
1hr ago
Now I want to reread The Yiddish Policemen's Union.
orthoxerox
If you can read this, you're using a custom theme
1hr ago
I think the "religious, but not spiritual" communities of the US will continue to evaporate: "church as community" becomes less useful of a concept when religious diversity increases.
"Religious and spiritual" communities of active believers will multiply, but will remain generally irrelevant as voting blocks, with the exception of the biggest Evangelical denominations.
Metropolitan Americans will overwhelmingly become either "spiritual, but not religious" or outright nonbelievers.
TitaniumButterfly
1hr ago
Yeah that's about right. The hand has been overplayed so egregiously that anyone with half a brain is going to commit the ultimate, unrecoverable crime of noticing.
(Thanks again.)
MayorofOysterville
2hr ago
Only if they can hold enough of those kids. Mainstream religion is collapsing in America. On a long enough timeline that might lead to a society of tradcaths and Hasidics. But at the moment those are niche communities. The "mainstream" religious don't appear to be sustainable.
MayorofOysterville
2hr ago
During the Bush administration it was pretty close to at least being co-equal, but by that time it's foundations were crumbling at it could never last and indeed didn't.
MayorofOysterville
2hr ago
This strikes me as a just so story and maybe a bit limited to engineering. I don't think marketing or law departments work like that. In many marketing departments these days it's a majority hot women at least on the less senior levels.
Stefferi
Chief Suomiposter
2hr ago
My understanding is that the situation with American Orthodoxy is that there's a fair amount of new fervent converts, at least compared to the previous baseline, but the general trend of secularization is also causing people from traditional immigrant communities (Greeks, Russians, Serbs) to drop out, and that they thus far balance each other out. However, if this continues, at some point the growth in new convert-run parishes could be expected to overtake the secularization process, especially if there are marriages and natural growth (though that might require appeal beyond the current category of young men...)
Stefferi
Chief Suomiposter
2hr ago
I don't think that Buddhism as such will become that important, but Buddhist stuff will continue to percolate to what could be called "Western folk religion" (compare to Chinese folk religion), ie the mix of vague Christian remnant beliefs, New Age / occult influences, Eastern influences, (often imagined) Western pagan stuff, superstitions, pseudoscience, modern cults like UFO/UAP enthusiasts and QAnon etc ec. that really characterizes what many "secular" people (and some ostensible trad religion believers) actually believe in, at least at some level. Perhaps at some point something new will come out of this mix.
The Catholic church cares and a bunch of traditional Christian churches and systems of morality care. A lot of Churches forbid masturbation and have shame circles where men confess to masturbating and try not to do it. I don't think the Catholics go that far but masturbation is still considered a sin.
Also while in traditional cultures the bride might not care if the groom is a virgin. She will care if he's a known womanizer because she wants him to be faithful to her after the wedding.
2rafa
2hr ago
the supposed trend of people converting to Catholicism is mostly a few high-profile examples
Right, interestingly it mirrors a longstanding trend in England of edgier intellectuals (of both the right and left) who want something a little more esoteric and different converting to Catholicism, which has been a thing for a couple of hundred years.
MayorofOysterville
2hr ago
I think America particularly will become more and more secular. I think that the TradCath community will grow but will end up like the Amish or Hasidics. I think the majority will be secularish. Axial age religions are not they only religious framework and Science can replace a lot of what pre-axial religions are very mechanistic and less concerned with morality. Sumerian religion barely had an afterlife and in that sense was rather athiestic. China was morally guided by philosophy more than religion for thousands of years. I don't think a retvrn to societies centered on moralistic religions promising eternal bliss is a given. The intense religiosity of the Middle Ages and Early Modern period seem to be something of an outlier.
I could see a kind of Progressivism as a unifying philosophy combined with many different faiths ala Confucianism. We can see this a little bit with woke people today they don't care what religion you are as long as your beliefs are subservient to woke tenants.
MayorofOysterville
3hr ago
Not being against the Gays is one of the more salient points. Christianity being seen as anti-Gay has significantly harmed it's worth as a moral philosophy to modern western people. Also why the texts of Christianity are very anti materialist it tends not to be seen that way in the US.
MayorofOysterville
3hr ago
Hey I appreciate your response I was pretty disappointed when my effort post didn't show up forever so glad to know you at least saw it!. For what it's worth I think despite all the time it gets holocaust education in the West is pretty bad and pretty much any thinking person is going to have them based in the high school curriculum version of it we get taught. I spend a fair amount of time on /r/askhistorians and the amount of liberals with massive doubts about the holocaust is pretty telling. Well not doubts exactly they tepidly come in writing paragraphs of disclaimers about how they believe the official story but there are massive gaps where the tory they've been told makes no sense. Most true deniers start here as well and they are almost always arguing against the version they were taught in high school. IE the camps separated out of all context and a lot of myths thrown in combined with strawman version of Nazi ideology.
Most teachers are unwilling/incapable and probably just a little scared to actually explain Nazi ideology and goals and the Eastern Front is severely undertaught and without either of those the Holocaust narrative taught doesn't actually add up. and there are tons and tons of "Good Liberals" with those same doubts they are just to scared to voice them for fear of being labeled a denier. I actually think one of the reasons people get so hysterical when the Holocaust gets even slightly questioned is because many of them can't counter skeptical arguments at all so they are just running off pure emotion.
NewCharlesInCharge
3hr ago
If religion is transmissible and religious individuals are more fertile than the irreligious then it seems inevitable that the secular will be simply outbred, no?
Winning “converts” to secularism is a small tactical victory if they go on to have fewer than two children.
SkoomaDentist
3hr ago
Not if you want to keep highly skilled researchers and programmers working for you as it would mean locking down the systems so hard that it makes daily work a chore and the sorts of people you need for that level of work hate working under such restrictions.
Entryism can be undone by a second group of entryists doing what you did. To keep an open society traditionally catholic, you’d have to limit the number of nonbelievers allowed in, and certainly keep sharp eyes on those who enter “cathedrals” in your community. Harvard was started as a Christian university. It no longer is, and is oftentimes hostile towards the ideology of its founding.
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