domain:furiouslyrotatingshapes.substack.com
Primaprimaprima
...something all admit only "TRUMP", and the Trump Administration, can do.
4d ago
I don't just dislike horror, I don't see the point. It's either jumpscares or unending tension. It boggles my mind why anyone would enjoy this genre.
I've been planning on eventually writing an effortpost here about the horror genre and some of its problems. So I'm glad to see there may be some interest in that here.
The TL;DR is that the "modern horror film" as such has a lot of issues, as you correctly point out, but I think that works that have horror elements are quite fascinating (David Lynch films are a good example).
professorgerm
You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart
4d ago
A high-trust world would be singularly susceptible to fraud, since people needn't be on their guard at all.
Ricky Gervais even made an obnoxious movie about that.
George_E_Hale
insufferable blowhard
4d ago
Interesting. My own parents' home, the home of my birth, was the only house in a three block radius not damaged or destroyed by those tornadoes. I remember the photos from my dad. Houses left and right had been obliterated. Trees--the forest surrounding our house--had fallen like pick-up sticks in angles all around the house--but the house still stood. When I visited months later, the shade trees of my youth were all gone and our front and back yards were getting the sunlight of a golf course. I remember people really admiring James Spann (weather man on the NBC channel). It certainly gave the town a facelift.
hanikrummihundursvin
4d ago
This comment got reported a lot. Why?
Lazuli
4d ago
Take comfort in knowing he had to trash all the posters he put up, fix the typo, then print and hang the posters again.
hanikrummihundursvin
4d ago
It's not based solely on income. I said that it's based on people and the differences between them.
We can tease out some obvious differences using various proxies, such as the examples I gave before: Income, obesity, or 'race'. But the overarching point is that we have big natural experiments when comparing various different health care systems. Those experiments collapse a lot of the complexities, but they also help verify the proxies we used before and the limited but relevant insights they give into the health care systems.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
4d ago
A world with no fraud would have to be a high-trust society, would it not?
No, it could be a panopticon. No trust at all, but everything is verified.
pbmonster
4d ago
you can bypass almost all of the relevant hardware checks, either by hand with a registry edit from the install environment, or by using programs like Rufus that will do it (as well as disabling some telemetry and enabling a local user) with a single checkbox when burning to USB drive an ISO you can download from Microsoft.
Or if you're really lazy like me, @No_one, you can just google "Tiny11" and get that installer that does everything for you. Gets the correct ISO, bypasses the hardware restrictions, rips out all the adds, AI, telemetry and MS account bullshit (it even rips out Edge, so put a Firefox installer on the stick) and it just grabs the Windows licence that's (most likely) stashed in your BIOS anyway.
KingOfTheBailey
4d ago
I wound down my Hinge account because I stumbled into a promising relationship with a girl I knew IRL, but this rings true for me. At the time I wrapped things up, I was getting enough dates with women that I was excited to meet without being overwhelmed by the volume, and had to disappoint several decent-sounding women before I deleted.
Seconding the recommendation to use positive, information-dense prompts. The poll option on your profile is particularly good for this, as it lets you put three positive aspects of yourself into a single widget.
On messaging: here are some decent templates. https://killyourinnerloser.com/tinder-guide-3/#chapter-1-templates
I like these because they push inexorably towards a date, but I had more success not following them than forcing the conversation back onto those rails. Unlike the author of that series, I was looking for an LTR, not to get laid as frequently as possible. But the permission to always move towards a date (if not directly), and to be a little bit sexual and direct, was very useful in setting my intentions on the platform.
Also, Hinge has capped the number of open conversations on a user's account. This is a good thing, as it forces both men and women to either get to the point and arrange a date, or to unmatch and move on.
On getting matched from your likes: I never could tell if Hinge used a stack or a queue for incoming matches. It might show the newest incoming likes first and then maintain a queue after that or something, I dunno. But it often happened that I would get a slow rise in matches coming in a few weeks after I started, usually around the time I began to despair. Have patience.
OP should also think about approaching women in real life. A lot of them complain on the apps that they only have accounts because nobody talks IRL any more.
FairestWorld
4d ago
I really enjoyed the first 30-40 minutes of this film. I went in without seeing any promotional materials for it, so I really didn't know what to expect. I was really excited about a gritty story set during the Prohibition, with the characters returning after making it big in the seedy underworld. The costumes were gorgeous, as was the soundtrack/music, cinematography and setting. I thought I was going to see probably the best movie of the year.
Then the horror slop started. I don't just dislike horror, I don't see the point. It's either jumpscares or unending tension. It boggles my mind why anyone would enjoy this genre. Sinners, however, is neither; it's not a comedic horror, like Evil Dead, and it's not really scary either. It just is horror because that's what it's labeled as. Yeah the scene with the Irish song (Rocky Road to Dublin?) has a great, catchy song, but it really undermines the horror element of it (just makes the whole thing really goofy). Also, people talked in other comments about suspension of disbelief, which this scene bulldozes, but what about the in-story characters? Imagine vampires surrounding you, a supernatural being that you thought didn't exist 10 minutes ago, and then, they just start dancing and singing. Goofy.
And then, actually, even the set-up I thought I was getting, the conflicts between Prohibition gangsters, their old lovers, sharecroppers, Chinese shopowners, the KKK, the young and old musicians, even that doesn't make sense. Like, how would a nightclub make sense financially in rural Mississippi (?), specifically for black people which were mostly sharecroppers and low-wage laborers? And the Twins should know this, since they worked and/or were in close-enough proximity in this sector. Hell, they even remark that their funds will run out pretty soon. Why not open up in or closer to a (major) city and have the characters from their past move there with the Twins or finding them there? But by this point, it's like an entirely different movie.
I see that it was directed by Ryan Coogler, who also directed and wrote Black Panther, the most overhyped Marvel movie so far. It's just as formulaic and average as any Marvel film (except Captain America 3 and 4, the Avengers 1 3 and 4 and Guardians of the Galaxy 1). I get that it was the first Black-led superhero movie (except for Blade), just as Wonder Woman was the first female-led superhero movie (except for Elektra and Catwoman), so it makes sense why it made so much money and publicity. I don't get why everyone pretends they are actually any good (or better than the avereage).
I was very engrossed by Sinners. It pulled me in with it's setting, from pretty much the start. I liked the actors, the music is phenomenal. I have a soft spot for American period dramas. Which is why I am disappointed the film took the turns that it did. Sure, maybe it's my fault for not doing any research before seeing it, but that would've meant I wouldn't have seen it at all. And I would've missed the amazing first parts of it.
Genuinely I recommend people just watch Sinners it until the 30-40 minute mark, shut it off and imagine the rest. Can't be worse than how the movie develops from there.
Tanista
4d ago
It's not so much that I have a definitive stance on the question (which I can grant with no issue is interesting) and more that I don't think all forms of art are or need be set up to deal with that challenge.
I think I'm grokking your point but let's see: would you say that black American LARPing is basically a more intense and encouraged version of Americans LARPing as Irish come St Paddy's day?
Dating apps are still optional. You can meet people through partying or general friend groups and depending on the region that is still somewhat the default. There are many cross-sex hobbies you can use as a starting point. Work has gotten quite complicated, so I wouldn't advice it, but some people still manage somehow.
But generally, women are picky & fickle and always will be. They want to see social proof that you're great, as a partner, as a worker, as a friend, as a father, and their default is rejection.
"We need scammers to get vigorous economic development" is such a weirdly cargo cult reading of that story.
I frequently stop at a local convenience store, and buy an Arizona diet iced green tea, which costs $1. The store is tiny, normally there is only the owner or his wife present, and when I walk in they're frequently making a sandwich at the counter, stocking something, etc. When they're somewhere else I wave the tea at them and the dollar bill, tell them I'll leave it by the register, and leave.
Now I could definitely steal the tea once, maybe twice. I could probably steal a candy bar or something a few times.
But I would definitely go there less if buying the tea took me three minutes longer.
Which would probably also reduce my purchase of higher profit items like Zyns and hoagies and ice cream at the store.
The way you get a high trust society is because when people trust each other, there's so little friction in economic transactions that you become so rich that the odd scam can be ignored, societally, without serious consequences.
aardvark2
4d ago
We do, in fact, know empirically that SES affects IQ. You can't refute that just by using scare quotes.
The established correlation between SES and IQ is not proven to be causal. You can't make it up by emphasizing word "empirically". SES is not a confounder because there are genetic differences in SES. Higher IQ allows for person to have upwards mobility and trasmit their higher IQ genotypes to their children. This process has been run many times.
"IQ" of 2 year children in these plots is ludicrous. Certainly it does not measure same thing at 2 yo as it does for 16 yos. People may have different IQ trajectories in childhood and only final thing is what matters.
that optimize for intelligence at the cost of some other trait, like the Ashkenazi Gaucher disease thing
Blacks mature faster than whites, run faster, have better color vision and immune systems. Maybe smell either.
2rafa
4d ago
I disagree, there were various leftist justice reform DAs that won big in NYC, Philly etc. De Blasio was on the progressive wing of the party; he wasn't Chesa tier but effectively welcomed that movement into office.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
4d ago
Life is fragile and can be snuffed out at any moment. The day she crashed her bike I hugged her as tightly as her scrapes would allow. Not all parents are so lucky.
Ok, cool, but what policy do we implement to fix it? Because there are very much people out there trying to use this tragedy to implement a variety of policies. It's amazing how many anti-gubmint conservatives turn into nanny state liberals when a natural disaster occurs. Which is why it's important not to get too caught up in tragedies, it quickly becomes a con designed to get you to buy into an agenda.
I'm sure the crash was awful for your daughter and you both, but I'm having trouble parsing how you told the story. Are you taking an excessive parental responsibility when you say that you "forgot" to teach her about the brakes? Because it's just hard for me to imagine not going over the brakes before you even get on the bike in a "parts of the bike" kind of way, or a curious kid just asking what x does. I'm kind of assuming you did tell her about the brakes, but didn't drill using them enough that she remembered how to use the brakes quickly under pressure.
But regardless, what policy could prevent such a bike accident? Kids can't ride bikes! Parents can't teach their kids to ride bikes, they have to be enrolled in a Licensed Bicycle School! Kids can only ride bikes with complex and expensive Automatic Emergency Braking systems! The latter two are of course equivalent to "poor/disinterested kids can't ride bikes."
So sure, hug your kid. But keep your priorities straight.
IGI-111
God was a dream of good government.
4d ago
Nah It's all good, normies don't have the wherewithal to make stuff or trade against consensus, I'm going with John Galt on this one.
It's like this because you're in one of the rare online venues where thoroughness is rewarded, and the parent parent parent culture of LessWrong seeded ours with norms around writing massive walls of text.
Most of GP's advice is about not shooting yourself in the foot. How not to get your likes ignored. How not to have a conversation fizzle out. etc. Get to the date and enjoy spending time with women, even if they're not the women you'll end up dating long-term or marrying.
Or you could just attempt The Hock, I guess?
odd_primes
4d ago
Dumb influencers aren't unique to TikTok. Years ago people were eating Tide Pods and posting the videos to YouTube or Facebook, and influencers have been shot while messing with strangers for "prank" videos. All of these platforms moderate content like this, but it's a cat and mouse game with users who want to evade the filters. YouTube Shorts and Instagram Reels are copycat services offering the same short clip style of content, with the same issues.
It's a bit hard to take the TikTok moral panic seriously when the main driving force for the ban was US tech companies mad that they were being disrupted (or looking to buy the distressed asset for a discount), and it only took off thanks to AIPAC and the ADL getting upset that TikTok refused to aggressively moderate pro-Palestine content. The content can be dumb, but I don't think a sufficient case has been made for banning the service on national security grounds.
daezor
4d ago
4bpp
Now I am become a Helpful, Honest and Harmless Assistant, the destroyer of jobs
4d ago
higher rates of Palestinian-related content but lower rates of Uyghur-related content versus similar social media apps, among others
Is there evidence that this is not because US-based social media actively suppresses pro-Palestinian content? As for the Uyghur content, that topic has always been minuscule (and felt thoroughly astroturfed during its moment in the limelight) so who knows what is going on there. Maybe the approximately two people still making Uyghur content avoid TikTok because it is Chinese all by themselves.
No_one
4d ago
The claimed there was a hit but the plane was only damaged, lost power or control (e.g. hydraulics leaking after hits) and then fell into Croatia. You know, the country with which they've fought a brutal war 7 years earlier.
If you're young this may seem a little odd -why would a guided missile miss... but the missile was cutting edge 1960s technology, employing 60 kilograms of high explosive to offset accuracy issues inherent in high powered but still analog command guidance over distances of up to ~40 km. It doesn't have a computer or radar seeker or anything, it's guided by commands from the user, like a huge and particularly malevolent RC toy.
We know from the reports (e.g. the other F-117 damaged and limping back to base) that the 1960s missiles, which were designed to be used against high flying and large enemy bombers were obviously not hitting stealth planes dead on and the first missile that shot down the F-117 even failed to fuse. There'd have been nothing left from an F-117 or any other plane after a close hit,
If two stealth planes were hit in the war, with one destroyed, the odds of another, much larger stealth plane getting damaged by fragments seem fairly good. Stealth planes inherently have worse flight characteristics and B-2 is a much larger, long range plane which, especially if loaded, cannot evade as well as the other war planes used against Serbia at close range back then.
magic9mushroom
If you're going to downvote me, and nobody's already voiced your objection, please reply and tell me
4d ago
· Edited 4d ago
I don't think the law is bad. As Zvi said:
TikTok is not purely an op. TikTok is a legitimate highly predatory business, and also TikTok is an op.
There have been surveys showing that most TikTok users would prefer that TikTok not exist (they're still there because everyone is there and that imposes social costs on anyone who's not), never mind the non-users. It's got massively-negative externalities - and at least part of those externalities are malicious attempts by the PRC to destroy the USA.
It is one of the roles of government to destroy things with massively-negative externalities. This is one of the primary clauses of the social contract - "we'll deal with the villains in an orderly fashion, so don't murder them in the streets". Yes, not all TikTok bans would be net-positive; Zvi was an opponent of the RESTRICT Act, for instance. But this one looks good; the scum just managed to bribe their way out.
Yeah, from the legal realist perspective this whole debate is pretty settled. It'd be nice if "X shall Y" meant something. It doesn't. Even if you want to cordon off immigration law as enforcement discretion -- pretty hard to do honestly, given the only enforcement in this law is the fed AG going after companies -- we have other examples. King v. Burwell is best-known for its denouement, but earlier parts of the case dismissed challenges to the continuous delays in the employer mandate as unredressable, and it wasn't even a surprise then. That, likewise, included a disclaimer that the government would surrender any possibility of future lawsuit on the matters in the covered time period.
Without explicit mechanism for private modes of action available to actual people (and that's not a guarantee!), or a one-off 'special solicitude' from SCOTUS, "shall" means less than a Zoomer saying "literally". Yes, businesses acting in violation of the law could theoretically get punished under a different administration, despite this 'dispensation' -- it wouldn't even trigger the various rules against ex post facto laws for a bunch of reasons, though there would possibly be some due process concerns -- but anyone paying the slightest bit of attention knows that it's either not going to happen, or will only happen if a Dem President wants to (threaten to) completely crush some disfavored business.
Which would be fine if Vladeck were some naive rando who still thought the text of the law mattered, or predicating his analysis as clearly on the "ought" side of the is-ought dividing line. But no. The House of Representatives couldn't challenge these rules even if it specifically involved the government's taxation power; claiming that a random competitor might succeed in a challenge of an enforcement discretion letter raises serious questions about anyone with nontrivial knowledge of relevant caselaw's competence or honesty. And Vladeck works as a professor of law, at a school that charges thousands of dollars a credit-hour to listen to him!
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