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domain:anarchonomicon.substack.com

The Mamdani craze is because turbolibs especially in Manhattan cannot help themselves when it comes to electing DSA types who want to defund the police. Amusingly, black people saved NYC by electing Adams who arrested the Floyd crime wave by allowing the NYPD to do their jobs. Now, because memories are short, the libs again forget what it’s like to live in a society without the rule of law. Crime rises, progressives get pragmatic, crime falls, progressives become idealistic, crime rises, etc. The win state for big American cities is to elect a slightly grizzled, probably slightly corrupt black cop who is technically a democrat but too compromised by big business to pursue dumb policies.

If you want to strictly go into the weeds, a Dem president could probably "legally" just choose not to patrol 90% of the border and just send the agents to sit around somewhere else.

And I bet if that was the only way to let illegals in, they would do it.

Here we go again with cheerleading Biden's poison pilled bill for the millionth time. Sure, maybe we need some kind of immigration bill, but that one wasn't it, it's dead, and maybe you can just stop talking about it.

Many posters here have brought up legitimate concerns with the old bill, which you have ignored every time. Amd every chance you get you want to shill that bill like it's the best thing since sliced bread. Like all those arguments about it never happened.

You seem to be conflating the Tea Party and MAGA. They're not the same thing. Plenty of people were involved in both movements. That's just politics.

MAGA doesn't care about deficits. They're about to sign a $2.6T omnibus bill. Take a guess how much of that is going towards capacity for deportations.

Google "Chopped Man Epidemic" for a vantablackpill.

I did, and 100% of the links are videos. I tried watching one of the less-terrible-looking videos, and it was still terrible; it started with a "preview" reel that was clearly just there to inculcate feelings of "WTF is going on" in order to maximise watchtime.

Could you summarise for people who don't feel like dipping their brains in the brain-hacking engagement-optimisation industry?

The cruelty is the point, illegals know this is a dog and ponny show and as soon as the dems get a man back in office it's going to be game on again. My only concern is Trump will not be able to change that outlook, to make the country unappealing as possible for illegal immigration.

s long as they are unmasked and wearing uniforms, or unmasked, plainclothed and are obligated to give their full name and badge/ID upon request, I'd have no problem with it.

Riiiight, so they can be more easily doxed and their families threatened. Have the black bagging crew wear full face masks if they want, make it a uniform. I'm thinking the classic theater smiley/frowny face, but in black. Ooooh, and the ones who catch rapists and disappear them will wear white smiley masks.

Hell, I'm absolutely fine with ICE camping out children at school, then picking up their parents when they go to complain. Actually, have the teachers and administrative staff liable for knowingly having illegal children and illegal's children in their classes. Make it a felony, throw everyone involved in jail when an actual illegal immigrant child is caught attending school.

Great posts, it does sound like you're having a rough time of it and hopefully it gets better for you.

a ton of this is driven by them shopping on behalf of their families

Thanks, I didn't know that was how it's calculated; I think the broader point still stands though, e.g if a guy eats bachelor chow by himself but his girlfriend enjoys cooking big elaborate meals, it's true that he's the one eating but it's also consumption that wouldn't have happened without the girlfriend being in the picture.

I think "revealed preference" totally falls apart when constraints and other limitations are placed on behavior

People cannot express their true preferences when their choices are limited by exogenous factors.

This just kind of depends how you define "revealed preference"; it would be silly to say a prisoner's revealed preference is to to stay in prison because he hasn't broken out, obviously he's there because he's forced to and similarly there are real economic constraints on people that perhaps prevent them from having more children then they would have in an ideal world.

In your case though, I think the other posters are correct in the sense that your revealed preference is to value a host of other things over more children; you could value having them more but don't want to [for very understandable reasons!]. This isn't to mean that you don't want children or that it's irrational or morally wrong that you don't want to downgrade your quality of life, but I think framing it in this way is helpful in understanding the shitty incentives that are increasingly driving society.

I'm not familiar with Canada so don't have any practical advice unfortunately, but good luck whatever you and your girlfriend end up deciding, hope it goes well for you both.

They're brittle and tend to shatter rather than undergo painful reforms.

What do you call Chile, Singapore, South Korea, or Taiwan, if not "undergoing painful reforms"?

Hybrid regimes like those in the Sahel or Central America

Calling them "hybrid" sounds like cope to avoid accountability for the failures of the system.

The biggest threat to democracies is rarely a big civil war, but rather descending into Orbanism.

The biggest threat to democracies is getting locked into a path constant deterioration that can't be plausibly changed through voting, like South Africa.

But the hallmark of authoritarianism is to expand the definition of "undesirable" to include your political opponents -

What's it a hallmark of when the definition of "undesirable" excludes literal criminals, classified based on their criminality (not as an incidental feature like MLK)?

I agree with your concern over the lack of process (are those people actually illegal immigrants? Are we sure?), but the intended targets are appropriate targets for persecution.

Where are the 30-something conservatives? If you look at the US House members in their 30s, there are 21 Democrats and 14 Republicans. There are only two people under 40 in the Senate, one Democrat and one Republican. Considering that of the 435 members of the House, 400 of them are 40 or older, I think the correct answer is that there just aren't that many people in their 30s involved in politics.

They've been weirdly successful for a crowd that's supposed to have been "dead and irrelevant" for close to a decade.

Yes, the popular narrative amongst blue and grey tribers is that the Tea Party was killed and eaten by "establishment" republicans and that the populists are stupid for even trying, but the last 12 years of electoral results, cabinet nominations, etc... tell a different story. If anything the opposite is the case, the establishment as represented by people like Bush, Cheney, Romney, French, Brooks, Et Al. have been utterly routed. They have been exiled to the wilderness while Tea-Party luminaries are getting to dictate national policy

Is an orange apple any part orange? There are many subcategories of orange, but is an apple which has been colored orange in any of them?

I was referring to orange the color alone, not the fruit. Insisting it's an orange would, in fact, be linguistic trickery.

But that's not the part of your comment I disagree with. I disagree with your assertion that the category of "trans women" implies a particular belief of the user of that term. Especially the one you've put forward. I think it's a bad argument.

I don't have a particular problem with your further arguments. They're much better than your original one, you should have lead with them. In fact, I vehemently agree with this part:

Changing the words does not change the underlying reality of what they're describing

after the convents became selective

?

taken care of by a male relative

Indeed it's another important aspect of a society where men are generally expected to fulfill the roles of protectors and providers.

These are all good points. However, I'd mention that none of that is relevant to the examples the OP gave, namely "working out, playing the same video games, watching the same tv/movies/anime, scrolling too much on social media and going traveling to similar places from time from time".

That's indeed the gist of women's usual complaints: the ones willing to exclusively commit aren't desirable, and the desirable ones don't commit exclusively.

the Boomer neo-libs (Kamala, Biden, Blinken, Pelosi)

I have to quibble with your calling Kamala Harris a Boomer. I think that rather than treating generations as having hard temporal cutoffs (“she was born in 1964, Wikipedia says that’s the final birth year of the Baby Boomer generation, checkmate!”) we should instead consider cultural affinities and, also importantly, the individual’s actual relationship to the American post-war Baby Boom. Kamala Harris’ parents were not Americans. Their happening to conceive her on American soil while in between academic positions doesn’t mean that they should be considered part of the American baby boom. Culturally as well, Harris is extremely Gen-X in her demeanor, her points of reference, and her visible youthfulness relative to the cohort you’re lumping her in with.

This sort of low-effort spamming is not the sort of engagement that we are looking for here. You have already received two previous warnings, and have no QCs. I am banning you for one day. Please take the time to read and understand the rules linked in the sidebar; if you continue to engage in this manner, the bans will rapidly escalate.

This didn't get any funnier on the 3rd time than it was on the first.

In the sense that they eventually we got some semblance of coherent resistance to them? Not sure how that refutes the comparison to the Mongol Horde.

The "don't tread on me" crowd is already dead and irrelevant, as if they weren't already 10 years ago.

Laws are tools for power. You don't just get one of them and say "ah, we're done, now let's just enforce it and call it a day." Did liberals stop once they got the Civil Rights Act of of 1957 passed? Civil Rights Act of 1960? Civil Rights Act of 1964? Did they call it a day then? No. Of course not. They packed courts with sympathetic judges and universities with sympathetic admins. They even got Republicans to sign off on amendments.

If you want to win, you keep passing more and more laws that get you more power until you get as much of what you want as you can get. You tear up as many enemy laws as possible. You do all of that and you do everything else you can too. Propaganda, persuasion, institutional capture. Enforcing laws you like, ignoring ones you don't. This is politics.

What you don't do is piss and shit yourself and then have a cry when that doesn't do anything.

If you want your state to do things, you need state capacity. That is reality. You might not want that, but the average MAGA voter has a laundry list of things they want their Daddy to do to their enemies.

That's a really nice thing to hear, even if you don't mean it in a complimentary way. Nobody has asked me that before, once they know it's hereditary they accept it. Not that I think poorly of them, it's just nice to hear. But no, the worst is much worse than me. Any son or daughter of mine would likely be smarter than me and therefore even better at hiding their craziness from others, and I went 5 years before anyone realised how crazy I was. And it's not that people weren't looking, they were and some even suspected. I just knew how to brush them off. But the other component is my craziness was almost entirely benign. When it connected with the real world it mostly led to me making confusing purchases or instantly writing off strangers for no apparent reason. There's no way to know what shape the illness would take in my child.

I do think about it sometimes though, lord knows I want to roll those dice. One in seven is either the best or the worst odds depending on how optimistic a gambler you are, I'm told. But then I remember my time in hospital - not how I was, but my fellow sufferers, sitting in the common room at visiting time staring blankly past their loved ones, in an entirely different world - their loved ones just hoping for one fleeting glimpse of the person they know and love. Not a conversation, not even a word said, just recognition. And so few of them got it. I could handle that, because I've been there, but there aren't many who'd sign up for it willingly. Then the years on medication, zonked out of my mind, changing my diet to accommodate the constipation and absence of energy, being tethered to my home because if I miss a day I'm a vomiting, shaking wreck. Oh and then the new medication, with no withdrawals, yay, oh wait now I just throw up every day full stop. No it is healthier for me to consider myself a genetic dead end I think.

Trump won.

Yep.

I said recently:

I think men find it more tolerable to compete for the hand of the 'fair maiden' who is making everyone play the game to win her affections, than to have to face the reality that the maiden isn't so fair after all and they were burning efforts trying to get her to pay heed, meanwhile she's banging Sir Lancelot on the side and was never actually considering his proposal.

Rejection is less likely to convert to resentment when a man is at least 'in the running' for a woman's affections. When he's one of twenty dudes, 4 of which have already banged her, and another 10 have her nudes, its like... what is the point?

A guy being tested by a woman, rising to the occasion, passing the test and earning her hand in marriage is a pretty solid cause - effect /action - reward path. Humans are persistence hunters after all.

But a guy putting in effort, getting rejection, then seeing that the Chad (whom he KNOWS has got four other women on rotation) get the prize with much less investment, well, that's going to sting, it feels personal, even if it isn't.

And of course worst is when the women CONCEALS her other paramores (as they are wont to do) so its only AFTER one man has put in tons of effort that he realizes he could have just used standard pickup artist tricks on her and gotten the sex without the emotional distress.

Having an easily legible, mutually agreeable path for successful courtship solves for all the uncertainty and makes it so much less stressful on men and women, but we've fucking THROWN OUT the rulebook.

Trump won.