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For what it's worth, I thought phrasing was slightly rude but not out of bounds
Slightly rude is out of bounds. Not excessively so, but calling people idiots is usually going to get modded.
Winning a war of attrition isn't usually a good thing.
GPT detectors also agree
All the paper's show they don't work. Because there is just no way to be sure, and 100% sure will especially so. https://x.com/emollick/status/1681481069210501120 https://t.co/2L90UqRnpx
All the commercial services claim theirs don't.
This is pretty confusing for a lot of people, especially teachers.
Make America Skilled Again (MASA)
Rather unfortunate acronym, especially when a disproportionate amount of the funding will be going towards black people...
At this point, only some sort of wunderwaffe like AI-powered FPVs
Is this such a far-fetched wunderwaffe to be holding out for at this point? Between the ChatGPT-plays-geoguessr posts, the circumstance that Ukraine already gets the vast majority of its kills with superior FPV tech (currently still using human operators), and them having access to much more infrastructure that would enable the technology's deployment once it is created (unsanctioned supply chains, Starlink), the bet that these will happen in the next 2 years and will be a significant game-changer seems at least as good to me as the "Russia will run out of missiles any moment now" cope of the early months of the war.
I suspect part of the issue here is that Trump actually has a pretty good carrot for Putin to end the war – sanctions, and frozen assets.
Weren't the vast majority of the frozen assets held by the Europeans, who didn't seem to be keen on playing along with any Trump-brokered deal?
Increasing operational tempo would exacerbate crew fatigue without addressing the underlying personnel shortages.
Crew? These aren't crew.
Who do you think mans a P-8 or a frigate spying for Chinese ships? Crew!
operational tempo
Wrong use of the wrong term
No, that's perfectly correct. You're not aware of the proper terminology here. If you spend more time at sea or in the air, operational tempo increases. This is basic stuff.
Is it substantial in terms of manpower? Maybe only a tripwire force will be deployed 24/7
It's not a tripwire force it's talking about here. Again, you do not understand what it's talking about. This is surveillance, not tripwire.
They are ageing but there are plenty sitting around
Production of the B1 finished DECADES ago. They're supposed to be replaced in 2025 by the B-21. Why would we want to be flying an obsolete, incredibly expensive to maintain aircraft with a logistics chain that barely even exists in America? No more can be made, so if we crash one, it's gone forever!
This is used as a gotcha for the b-1 but it applies equally to all new planes.
Heavy bombers are different to fighters or heavy airlift for that matter. Australia already fields fighters but not heavy bombers. These are super complicated and hard to train, it's a highest of the high-end capability that can't just be rushed in a few years. And he wants to base them in Papua New Guinea, a shithole country with no infrastructure.
Bullshit
That's just flatly true, Australian shipbuilding is a joke. Read up on the Hunter class if you like, Claude knows more about it than you.
Why does Australia need amphibious assault ships?
There are islands in the Pacific ocean and it can be helpful if you can land things there - troops, equipment, missiles, supplies. They're not really amphibious assault ships in that any opposition will sink them quickly, they're glorified and overpriced transports. Expecting these things to function like light carriers is very silly. Australia has minimal experience with carrier operations and no carrier-borne aircraft. It's another one of Pezzulo's 'lets just develop yet another high end capability how hard can it be' moments.
Claude proceeds to never mention the Philippines again.
Fair enough, though it's not like the original article explains how we're supposed to get in bed with the Philippines either. 'Just make an alliance' doesn't cut it either.
The human author mentioned space a single time, as a single component in a fused surveillance system across all domains. So this sentence is just retarded.
Claude criticizes it for not talking about space enough. Space is very important as a killchain enabler and for surveillance. That was the whole point which you seem to have missed. See here:
The most glaring omission is the limited attention to cyber capabilities, space assets, and information operations. Modern military effectiveness depends increasingly on these domains, yet they receive passing mention at best.
Claude is not perfect. Sometimes it just produces blather. But it's still considerably better than your own criticisms of it. I rest my case!
Exploring the south today. Bravil and Leyyawin areas. Walked down there from the Imperial City. Found Hircine's Shrine, a grove with a white unicorn guarded by four minotaurs (I left them alone for now), Sheogorath's shrine, and some other things. It's beautiful down there: https://i.ibb.co/sp6PzkPQ/oblivion-south.jpg
There are typically about 200 posts nominated by users per month. I don't add anything to that list; I just whittle the list down to a manageable size based on a variety of factors. Typically I aim to include 10 or fewer posts from each week, with a presumption toward posts that spawn good discussion and other quality posts, against rule breaking posts, against including any particular nomination, for content that is particularly effortful, kind, insightful, well written, represents an unusual or surprising viewpoint in this space, teaches something interesting, etc.
I still want to know which one of you is Vance.
Assuming 1v1 in a vacuum, Russia is the most likely winner in a war of attrition due to bigger population size and more natural resources. Since international support is declining for Ukraine, the situation is heading more to the "1v1".
Damn, I have to register that you were right and I was wrong, it was not an insane guess. In light of the fact that the pool of internet people is so fucking shallow, I must conclude that igi is lemoine, dase is karlin and rafa is yarvin.
I mean weapons do not fire themselves. You can arm Ukraine all you want — they are still toast more or less. And Ukraine is rapidly running out of people. If you’re resorting to abducting senior citizens off the street to fuel your army, you are in no position to defend much. And this is the calculation that NATO missed — Ukraine didn’t have the population to sustain this effort, and so any weapons given were useless because eventually you’d have no one left capable of firing them.
Agreed, buying it for yourself as a 40-year-old adult is infinitely more based.
I mean, it’s definitely more normalised to the extent that APA hotels is owned by Nanjing Massacre deniers and IIRC put books regarding that in hotel rooms, and that Nippon Kaigi, well, exists. I don’t think either would be permissible in Germany (let alone be able to have members in such high positions as in Nippon Kaigi).
My impression is that many people in Japan don’t know many details about Japanese atrocities, to some extent due to the way history is taught (broadly as a list of facts covering a large span of history, rather than historical analysis).l, and — due both to concerted effort by early postwar governance and due to lack of exposure — people don’t really care.
In that sense it is a "nation that ignores its war crimes". I'm not sure it would be better otherwise, but it is somewhat ugly.
edit: a word
PR and advertising are the obvious ones.
Pretty conclusive! The strange people we’ve had here indeed.
Ok, first paragraph of the article (archive for reference) is
A disgruntled former Walt Disney World employee has been sentenced to three years in prison for hacking the parks' menus and changing them to falsely say foods were safe from certain.
You're right! This author hates fluff so much that they even end their sentences before they.
But also
Scheuer will receive credit for the six months he has already spent in jail. Scheuer's defense attorney David Haas said in a statement that the disgruntled employee is "very remorseful."
"He is very remorseful and apologized to the victims during the hearing," Haas said in a statement. "He is eager to get back home to his wife and 3 young daughters. He was the sole earner in the family as his wife has a number of medical issues and homeschools their children so he will look for work upon his release."
Scheuer will get credit for the six months that he has already spent in jail.
The same sentence is literally repeated twice. That does seem a bit padded with worthless fluff to me. The same sentence is literally repeated twice.
My mom? She'll never be much of a "mom", but she really did try to be better and to her credit is not a bad mom in the same way that her mom was bad to her.
Yeah it took me a while to figure out that's the right way to do it - you know you can handle it, because you handled it as a kid. Maybe not perfectly, or even well, but better than all the people who couldn't. Borderline personality disorder's manipulative aspects make me see red, but it seems to me like they can't really stop themselves, it's a soul crushing irony that their abandonment issues drive almost everyone away. You're a good son for staying by her side though anyway, it might be your cross to bear but I know it can't be easy.
I really don't want to argue on the merits, but let's just delve into the hallucinations and falsehoods:
the substantial personnel requirements for 24/7 operations across defense and intelligence agencies.
Is it substantial in terms of manpower? Maybe only a tripwire force will be deployed 24/7
Increasing operational tempo would exacerbate crew fatigue without addressing the underlying personnel shortages.
Crew? These aren't crew.
operational tempo
Wrong use of the wrong term
B-1Bs are aging platforms with declining availability in US inventories.
They are ageing but there are plenty sitting around. The bigger issue which claude failed to catch is that the US won't sell them.
The maintenance requirements would be substantial, and Australia lacks existing infrastructure to support heavy bombers.
Australia already operates heavy airlift, so I see no infrastructure lacking that would be needed to support strategic heavy bombers. The maintenance requirements would of course be as substantial as any other plane.
Pilot training pipelines would take years to develop, meaning these assets would not be operational in the short-term timeframe suggested.
This is used as a gotcha for the b-1 but it applies equally to all new planes. And it wouldn't take years to develop a training program. The human author even hints at that.
buying ancient B-1 bombers is absolutely retarded, this is the drone age not the 1980s. IMO this alone puts it ahead of our self-styled military commentator in intellectual sophistication
Even if you're right, claude's reasoning is wrong.
the naval expansion goals—growing to 12 submarines, 20 major surface combatants, and 20 smaller vessels—represent extraordinary growth beyond Australia's current shipbuilding and maintenance capacity. Australian shipyards are already struggling with existing programs like the Hunter-class frigates.
Bullshit
the suggestion to repurpose Landing Helicopter Docks as sea control carriers overlooks their primary value as amphibious assets
Why does Australia need amphibious assault ships? The human author is proposing a strongly anti-ship defensive posture, and claude spends no time rebutting that.
The proposal for military alliances with Papua New Guinea and the Philippines demonstrates strategic imagination but underestimates complex regional politics
Claude proceeds to never mention the Philippines again.
Australia's dependence on space-based systems for the proposed surveillance network creates vulnerabilities that determined adversaries would target early in any conflict.
The human author mentioned space a single time, as a single component in a fused surveillance system across all domains. So this sentence is just retarded.
a more nuanced strategy would focus on making adversary operations prohibitively costly through layered defensive capabilities and strategic uncertainty.
Retarded when claude just argued against forward positioning bases in png.
I think that half of the effect of alcohol is entirely placebo. Legally and socially, we give a lot of slack to any behavior displayed while inebriated. So being drunk gives you plausible deniability to act on your desires (within reason) without being judged by society or yourself.
Somewhat i agree.
But also "Alcohol makes the deliberate thinky bits stop working as well" is way more true.
For a man: 4-6 beers in has a very obvious experience of wanting to talk to people and blurt out things at a party context is very obvious experience. Alcohol has a continuous curve of effects, and one can lean into or resist the influence, but at certain dosages this placebo theory is clearly not true.
Consider a series of internal thoughts at a party:
- I should tell that stranger their hat looks an 1800's portrait
- wait a second, i don't know them, might be awkward, don't know how to phrase the sentence
- but if i play up my drunkeness i can get away with this
My experience is that thoughts like 1 are (sometimes unconscious when shy inward focused) on a dose of alcohol simply blurted out on instinct before even getting to step 2. If low-alcohol or sufficiently neurotic part 2 might come up, which you imply would be half-placebo'd by thought 3. However if someone is sufficiently scared by 2 that they need the reassurance of 3, then they'll likely be paralyzed by part 4: "oh gosh they can tell i'm faking this i'm blowing it".
Ukraine fell for the Vietnam, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria trick of divide and conquer. Just like in Syria were groups of extremists started a war that drove ethnic tensions and collapsed the country Ukraine has become far more ethnically divided and forced into a more militant position.
It is painfully obvious that Ukraine will end up like every other neocon project. For some reason liberals think that Poland is the expected outcome of becoming an American puppet. The west bank, Afghanistan and Iraq are much more typical examples. The Ukrainians must first realize who the real enemy is and stop falling for divide and conquer tactics.
At some things not others. Writing is not one of those things.
Go take a look at the Daily Mail and come back to me on that.
Getting the bad side doesn't mean you throw up your arms and just say that your essay is gonna be bad.
Obviously an essay arguing for the wrong side of the argument will be worse than an essay arguing for the right side of the argument, ceteris paribus.
And the rote boilerplate in them is more valuable than your claude drivel because it's not pretentious
Nope. That's just, like, your opinion, man. And it's a pretty bad one if you think that characterizing government boilerplate as non-pretentious is the way to go.
This thing happens so often that I can't provide a single example of it happening.
I'm not going to trawl through newspapers earmarked for recycling, looking for typos. I am not a copyeditor for News Corporation. Rest assured that it happens a lot.
Here's one, they managed to mix up entire pages: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-04-25/daily-telegraph-accidentally-publishes-smh-pages-in-its-paper/11046252
Will be used by Hispanic people in practice, different stereotype for masa.
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