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I think he ran in 2020 hoping to be able to pass the baton. But then by even late 2022 it was obvious there was no one to pass it to. He didn't want to be the guy who beat Trump then stepped aside only for Trump to prevail. So he correctly evaluated he was the best chance against Trump. Even now there is no obvious replacement that would defeat Trump. All the Democratic governors who have hype/juice only have it for reasons that appeal only to progressives. Whitmer and Newsom are major turn offs to anyone who doesn't think Covid lockdowns needed to be harsher and longer. Kamala has all Bidens policy problems, with the additional inability to appeal to anyone on stage.
The "good conscience" clause in their pledge is a loophole that could be exploited if enough people want to exploit it... but will they?
He... kind of said that it would be OK with him if they did, in his 'big boy' press conference today. It was a little hard to parse, but he did use the words 'of course they can' -- so I guess he's sort of blessed an open convention? (unless of course he's senile and can't articulate his thoughts properly!)
Woah, I was not expecting the vote result for this comment to come out this balanced. This is currently the most controversial comment on the entire site.
greatest threat to public safety since AIDS
I mean unless you're a gay man or shoot up heroin, has AIDS ever really been much of a threat?
Perhaps not what SteveKirk was saying, but it seems plain to me that Trace promotes a centrist agenda?
That is, he often writes about things that he sees as problems, on whichever side they may be found (centrist agenda), and has something of a vision of the unusual things that he values (weird niche)?
I do not see the evidence that Trump has any fading cognitive abilities.
He is likely not as smart as he was at 30.
How can you hold both of these views?
Republicans voting Biden as competent would be an excellent news cycle (for dramacoin).
We are exercising all these dusty parts of the constitution, maybe we can have a convention in my lifetime.
It's not, but we were told it was -- which creates some interesting parallels with the covid situation.
Brutus was a vacillator who sided with the killer of his father to throw the Republic into the hands of Augustus. Hardly heroic, in my book.
Dems wouldn't survive that either. It could destroy the party.
I'd add to your number 4 that it's not just a majority that has to find him incompetent -- it's a 2/3 supermajority in both houses, a stricter requirement than impeachment. If he needs to go and he won't choose to go, the easier path is to impeach and remove him that way -- no need for cabinet drama.
But I also posted my own take on the 25th idea in a subthread but it got buried. Here's my take:
Invoking the 25th would make Democrats look weak and their administration look incompetent. Because it would be a declaration that its headman is incompetent, in the literal meaning of the term. Invoking the 25th also normally requires the consent of the President -- that's the only way it has been used in the past -- and to do it over his refusal would require a whole rigamarole where the Cabinet tries to argue with the Congress and Biden attempts to convince them he's actually competent.
It would be an absolute shitshow of constitutional and political maneuvering that would make even the most insane Brexit deliberations across the pond look like normal legislative operations, with the executive fighting against itself and the Congress held up from all other activity while members get prime time TV slots grandstanding about the administration. In the worst case, this would lead to the nuclear football being tossed back and forth between Biden and Harris like an actual football.
If they have Biden's consent, he can just do the normal, expected thing and resign. Which would also put Harris at the top of the ticket, but at least without the insane constitutional boogaloo that the 25th Amendment process would require. But the 25th Amendment process is pretty involved, to prevent coups. Harris can't just up and declare herself the Big Cheese.
The 25th invocation suggestions aren't a serious threat to Biden.
The rules of the Democrat Party are just made up - they're not the Constitution or even the law.
The only thing actually constraining them is deadlines to get on the ballot. But in the past, states have been quite generous about accommodating the two big parties.
From a discussion I had with Bing combining Triessentialism and the writings of Ayn Rand:
"Attention, government officials and citizens alike. This is Ragnar Danneskjöld, speaking to you from the high seas. You may label me a pirate, but I stand as a defender of justice and reason.
You, the government, have taken it upon yourselves to redistribute wealth under the guise of foreign aid, claiming to help those in need. But in truth, you are robbing the productive to reward the unproductive, perpetuating a cycle of dependency and stagnation.
Opportunity (What): You seize the fruits of others' labor, the tangible wealth created by the minds and hands of the industrious. I reappropriate these shipments not out of greed, but to return opportunity to its rightful owners. The wealth you confiscate is the physical essence of choice, the 'What' that drives innovation and progress.
Means (How): Your methods are those of coercion and force, devoid of logic and reason. I, on the other hand, employ means that are rational and just. By intercepting your shipments, I disrupt your illogical processes and highlight the importance of rational means in achieving true prosperity.
Motive (Why): You claim noble motives, but your actions betray a deeper truth: a desire to control and manipulate. My motive is clear and unwavering: I fight for myself, to see a just world free of governmental parasites. The emotional essence of choice, the 'Why,' is what fuels my actions. I fight not only for the sanctity of human potential but for my own vision of a world where individuals are free to pursue their own happiness.
To those who understand the true nature of choice, I say this: stand with me in reclaiming our world from those who seek to diminish it. To the government, I offer this warning: your days of unchecked power are numbered. The tide is turning, and justice will prevail."
It could still be a Russian op, or something. It doesn't necessarily have to be CIA. Although I guess if it was a foreign intelligence operation I would expect the FBI to accuse someone of it.
Got my nasal surgery done. The week with the nasal splints was hell, as I couldn't breathe through the nose at all. I got them removed on Wednesday, but the internal swelling still hasn't subsided completely, I can breathe only through my left nostril and it still gets clogged up by morning and I wake up with a disgusting mouth.
At least I enjoy irrigations, especially since they are disgustingly effective at this stage of recovery. My wife hates the feeling of water in her nose and I can't imagine how terrible she would feel in my place.
Sure, you don't do anything bad now - firstly, becuase you're by your own admission timid, but also because the state would put you away for shooting an irksome vagrant. Why would I want to take chances with living next to people like you in case the state shifts to be more permissive, though? Would you like to live next to a literal Marxist-Leninist intellectual who is perfectly civil yet a) owns a gun and b) posts on the Internet about all the kulaks and bloodsuckers he'd be putting against the wall if only the revolution came?
If you're trying to learn about a suspected crackpot, a piece of paper saying "yes" will get the point across even faster than that. But the piece of paper and Rationalwiki will both be bad at eliminating false positives.
I'm alright, thanks for asking!
I'm leaving for the UK in a few weeks, which means a lot of hectic last minute preparation and packing, and wrangling bureaucracy, which leaves less time than can be desired for Motteposting haha. I presume I'll be kept on my feet for the first few weeks once I'm there, but the perk of that is that you have more procrastination posting to look forward to!
if Europe had built up it's armories back then, Russia would have thought twice about attacking and might have been defeated in the early stages of the war.
My impression is that most NATO countries want a prolonged conflict between Russia and Ukraine and so are not sending much of anything.
Here's how many main battle tanks NATO has access to:
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1294391/nato-tank-strength-country/
Here's how many they've sent to Ukraine:
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1364974/ukraine-military-aid-tanks/
More military investment doesn't make financial sense because there is no real enemy worth fearing. An actual war between NATO and Russia would be little more than a cleanup operation.
I was catching COVID every 6 months or so, which, if memory serves, is about as long as natural immunity persists. I spent a year as an intern in an extremely busy government hospital in questionable conditions, think rationing out one N95 every week levels, before vaccines were available. The bulk of my stint in an ICU was also before I got a vaccine, and that's with me cutting ahead of the queue as a medical professional.
Of course, as is now common knowledge, the vaccines don't prevent transmission and whatever they do for infections, it wasn't sufficient when I'm spending entire days cooped up with severe COVID cases.
Funnily enough, I could have sworn I'd caught COVID a few months back, but sadly the PCR came back negative. It felt precisely like COVID, including a day of total anosmia, but eh, could have been test error or just the flu. So I was back to work sniffling away, COVID sick leave is enshrined here, but the hospital I was working at wasn't so considerate of anything else that didn't literally leave me bedridden.
In terms of the fever you had, well, I'm not aware of anything better than paracetamol, ibuprofen or other NSAIDs. You could consider paxlovid, but I don't know how readily available that is in Japan. It's one of the only drugs that reliably works, and reduces severity and mortality. I think stocks globally are past the stage when they had to be carefully rationed out to the most morbid, but perhaps the doctors you saw didn't think you needed it. If you have the bad luck to catch it again, make sure to ask!
The amount of people who won't vote for a senile candidate but would vote for someone else must be greater than the Biden loyalists, right?
The way Kruschev chose to gave up power without a fight comes to mind, if you know that story.
This seems to be an unfair comparison. Unless you/Outlaw are a drug-addicted, psychotic, violent bum, you have nothing to fear living next to Hoffmeister in his ideal society. The class which Hoffmeister is describing has very sharp boundaries, which (I doubt) any of us posting here will ever fall into. In contrast, it’s pretty likely that many of us on this forum would be shitting our pants in the Marxist-Leninist’s ideal society.
The situations are not symmetrical. Using a prisoner’s dilemma analogy: Hoffmeister seems to be saying that he will cooperate with any neighbor who cooperates with him and defect against any neighbor who defects against him (where “cooperation” is being a good neighbor and “defection” is attacking one’s neighbors and their property). The Marxist-Leninist has a far more restricted set of people whom he cooperates with. And the psychotic bum is just a plain and simple defectbot.
Oh yes, they do. You are using the a similar argument to the one "CRT is not taught in schools, it is just some obscure academic work". Analogically, normie Christians probably do not read St. Augustin or they could not say what is the latest theological debate. But they breath air and drink the result of all that in their water. Everybody knows that the word nigger is magical and can ruin your career real quick even if used in joking manner or quoting somebody. Trans stuff is just the latest iteration on that and it is headed in the same direction.
I dunno either really -- is Joe Rogan a Journalist? I would say not.
But the place you are drawing the line most certainly includes T.W. at the time of this incident -- so if LoTT is getting held to journalistic ethics, then so should he.
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