domain:amphobian.info
Exactly, I could have not said it better. Despite their posturing, they weaponize their dogmas - such as this Sagan's quip - to destroy what they do not like, while selectively not applying it to things they like such as polyamory.
Right, and the point of a pithy, simplistic mantra like "That which can be destroyed by the truth should be" is to explicitly condemn such behavior of selectively applying and not applying principles based on whims and preferred outcomes. Which makes it every different from a line that adds something like "except if destroying it would have huge cost in terms of negative utils," which doesn't condemn such behavior and, in fact, is openly supportive of selectively applying principles based on whims and preferred outcomes. That's what makes the shorter line actually different and better.
Yeah, it may be a useful white lie. Which again paradoxically is the exact thing that the sentence rails against.
Statements of "should" and "ought" like this - which lack anything that can be measured to determine the effects of the behaviors that people "should" do - are subjective judgment calls that don't really fit into a "lie," useful, white, or otherwise. Possibly "misguided" or "wrong." But if it is indeed true that this statement is useful, then it certainly doesn't seem like truth would destroy the statement. Why would it?
"Ominous" how? They're just normal people who are trying to get by let everyone else. The enemies are the billionaire class selling out the country, not everyday immigrants raising a family. These are people who stock your grocery store shelves, clean your bathrooms at the malls, pick your fruit.
Somatic meditation, breath meditation, and other forms of attentional work are practiced in Catholicism? Do you have sources? I'd be quite curious.
I'm Orthodox and while we do have hesychasm, more.... fluid forms of attentional practice are often frowned upon. I haven't done an exhaustive dive though.
He took saliva samples to test hormone levels before and after the races. A number of psychological questionnaires were also administered, designed to gauge self-esteem, ‘sociosexuality’ (willingness to engage in casual sex), ‘self-perceived mate value’ and mating behaviour (e.g. the likelihood of approaching attractive women). Crucially, Longman and colleagues then manipulated the results of the races.
The men who believed they had won received an average testosterone increase of 4.92%, while those convinced they had lost dropped by an average of 7.24%. Overall, men who thought they were winners had testosterone levels 14.46% higher their deflated opponents.
It seems intuitive that such an effect could also increase sperm production in the short term.
As for edging, study compliance is probably an issue.
Why then has Russia not made significant territorial gains in so long? I don't understand why the Ukrainians haven't collapsed already if it's so lopsided against them, even when they have a defender's advantage tactically.
It's not to their advantage to take land that's going to require serious policing for a decade and will be full of terrorists / freedom fighters. Taking those big cities they need to take (Dnipro, Kharkiv) requires completely non-functional enemy armed forces. What better way to make the armed forces non-functional than to destroy them utterly ? If they go slowly, nationalistic, actually brave Ukrainians will feed themselves to the grinder till there's no one left. A sudden collapse caused by a major offensive would result in far more troublesome people later.
Also, more importantly, right now, numerically the forces are at about parity. If Russia wanted a big arrow offensive, it'd have to mobilize a lot of additional people, empty the rest of Russia of reserve formations. This isn't politically optimal. Russians mostly don't care about the war that much, and though there are enough volunteers, if they wanted another half a million troops, there'd be a shortage of equipment too.
Your allegation is that ISW is making it up? How does all this square with identifiable vehicle losses?
'identifiable vehicle losses' can be gamed if your criteria are loose enough. ISW are not serious people.
What is "deteriorating fast" here?
At the very least, air defense situation. They're not even pretending they're shooting down all the Gerans like they used to. Since there's not enough good enough point defenses, everything vaguely army related is blowing up all over Ukraine.
Funny, that's how I feel about an establishment that employs Trita Parsi at all, let alone as management.
The guy who wrote it served as a combat arms officer for a few decades. It wasn't written by Parsi.
How many more months need to go on before you think the CSIS analysis is more correct than "Responsible Statecraft's" about the present state of affairs?
Go read their older reports. These people are not total idiots - they carefully avoid making predictions. Here's a '23 report from them. https://www.csis.org/analysis/ukrainian-innovation-war-attrition
It's slop. Says 'Ukraine keeps fighting because it innovates' (more ISR through drones) but Russians did all the same things. 'Human wave attacks'. I don't think there was even one, and non-journalist westerners who were actually there there call bullshit on that too.. Mind you, same volunteer here directly contradicts CSIS because he says he believes Russians have better ISR and use their drones more. (but yawn, what does he know? He's just a dumb military animal)
Quoting that 'report'
Information Operations: Ukraine has utilized UASs for information operations, such as showing successful strikes and placing them—overtly or covertly—on social media platforms such as Twitter, Telegram, and TikTok.
Oh yeah, that's something what Russians only figured out in 2025.(facepalm)
I saw maybe six white people in the entire store, and no white or even hispanic employees.
And so what? Why does this make you so uncomfortable? They're normal people and not bothering you.
Somalis control large swaths of Minnesota
This is ridiculous hyperbole. Somalis don't "control" anything. They'll breed with the whites in two generations and disappear.
If what you're saying were true, doing homeschooling successfully would be much easier than it actually is, and it would be much more common. But the opposite is the case. I have yet to meet a single homeschooled kid I'm impressed by. And those kids certainly did more than 3 years of learning.
Haha, I wonder what the statistics are on edging vs no edging for samples. There's clearly a whole branch of gross biology studies that haven't been done. I'm something of a goonscientist myself!
I know that weightlifting increases testosterone, but not sure about success in general.
Do voluntary self-removals also count?
I haven't seen any reliable measures of "self-deportations".
TRAC and the Deportation Data Project are reliable.
STV run with one seat and a 50% quota (under most methods of doing STV) is equivalent to IRV. I prefer the mental abstraction of STV, but your right that it isn't common parlance to use it in that way.
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IRV is clone independent but still falls to the center squeeze (where several nearby candidates can choke out the center of the group). Also, every single Condorcet method is clone independent if there exists a Condorcet winner (which polling suggests is over 90% of elections). Many of these algorithms will choose something from the Smith set where it isn't even clear mathematically what you could do that is better, it just chooses a different one from the Smith set if there are clones. These are all ranked choice systems that can be computed in a single pass over the ballots. Why are we looking at IRV among the ranked choice methods?
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Approval at least has the guarantee that you should never rate something you like less higher than something you like more. Approval and IRV have relevant tactical voting in the same situations: when your preference is close to losing to something more moderate. Both ask you to downrate the moderate if you think you can win, or uprate the moderate if you think you can't. IRV requires you to tell an outride falsehood to do this. In terms of the benefit you get from tactical voting, it is pretty similar across the two methods (both about 10-20% of what you get in FPTP).
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IRV does not choose a Condorcet winner, and thus does not invoke the Black median voter theorem. There are many ranked choice algorithms that do, but not IRV.
Did you wait a week or a few days from your last "emission" so that it would be a larger quantity?
They recommend three days, that's apparently optimal. I got that the first time (15mm) we tried it, but the second time (29mm) they scheduled it last minute so I only got one day of abstinence, so I don't think it makes too much difference. I edged extensively both times to increase the quantity of the sample, though I haven't tested it not doing that so idk.
I will say: the day before the second sample I had an absolutely killer run at BJJ, so maybe there's something to the idea that winning dominance/athletic competitions increases testosterone production.
Look a single dude straight in the eye and say "Yeah she's banged 6-12 dudes prior to you, but I'm sure that she won't ever be thinking about any of them or comparing your performance and YOU'RE the one she's going to stick with" with a straight face.
12 dudes isn’t that bad bro, you’re just being insecure. If they played a full court 5-on-5 basketball game, each team would only have one sub!
@erwgv3g34’s humorous exasperation from a few weeks ago comes to mind, where (to paraphrase) due to hoeflation we’ve gone from “she doesn’t have to be a virgin, bro” to “if she had an STD in the past that doesn’t make her any lesser as a potential wife.”
Yet another way in which the average woman is less desirable as a partner than they were before.
Which cannot be fixed by telling men to improve.
If some large subset of men don’t meet women’s preferences, it’s a male problem and those men need to improve themselves.
If some large subset of women don’t meet men’s preferences, it’s a male problem and men need to improve their preferences.
Meh. Alex posts a ton of top-levels, and they all have a "working out personal psychodramas" taste to them. At some point meta discussion about those dramas becomes justifiable.
Bernie doesn't win because people don't want a leftist candidate, even in the primary let alone the general, he would get slaughtered.
On the other hand Bernie was the only candidate in both 2016 and 2020 that had any form of genuine charisma and generated genuine excitement. And his platform at a times was almost what Trump used in 2024. If he hadn't bent the knee to the identarians he could have won if the stars align.
Hey, Costco shopper! I am very dissatisfied with Sam's Club. They didn't have pork butt yesterday, and their pork loin was 40 cents more expensive than the wholesale store and 40 cents more expensive than their own website said it was. Are you satisfied with Costco meat prices? If only I had one near me. Please tell me more about Costco. What do you like about it? When you see the inside of Costco, are you blinded by its majesty? Paralyzed? Dumbstruck?
Even the parting of the Red Sea would get secularized these days.
19 Then the angel of God who went before the host of Israel moved and went behind them; and the pillar of cloud moved from before them and stood behind them, 20 coming between the host of Egypt and the host of Israel. And there was the cloud and the darkness; and the night passed[a] without one coming near the other all night.
21 Then Moses stretched out his hand over the sea; and the Lord drove the sea back by a strong east wind all night, and made the sea dry land, and the waters were divided. 22 And the people of Israel went into the midst of the sea on dry ground, the waters being a wall to them on their right hand and on their left. 23 The Egyptians pursued, and went in after them into the midst of the sea, all Pharaoh’s horses, his chariots, and his horsemen. 24 And in the morning watch the Lord in the pillar of fire and of cloud looked down upon the host of the Egyptians, and discomfited the host of the Egyptians, 25 clogging[b] their chariot wheels so that they drove heavily; and the Egyptians said, “Let us flee from before Israel; for the Lord fights for them against the Egyptians.”
That’s easily attributable to luck and unusual weather conditions. Even if the whole modern world saw it being broadcast live on TikTok, I’m not sure it would change the priors of anybody, one way or the other, really.
Things like Elijah calling down fire from Heaven, and God speaking to Job from the storm, those might be more plausible. But then…AI and movie magic. I’m not sure those would have any effect on anyone who wasn’t directly present, and perhaps not many of those, either.
What downsides of occupational castes do you foresee, and how did you come to the conclusion that they would be a net-improvement?
This is funny because Trump's own VP's explanation for birtherism (and I suppose it applies even more to the demands to see his university transcripts) was a class-driven inferiority complex.
Have a link to this?
You mixed up the quote man - There are decades where nothing happens, and there are weeks where decades happen.
No, people listened to Wormtongue.
Well, Yudkovsky's interested in moral theories for nonhumans as well.
And, once you get detached enough, or more realistically, when deontology doesn't give a clear enough answer, you do get to do some utility calculation anyway. Effective altruists may have their 10% charity rule, but they use utility calculations to decide on the charity. Which can lead to both Givewll $/life saved and shrimp welfare, so not exactly perfectly reliable either, but nothing is.
That's awesome. I've wondered if purposeful inducement of twins or identical twins would be possible, considering the usefulness of twin studies, and this seems like it's sorta-close to that. Good for her, imagine the family reunions 20 or 40 years down the line.
I would guess that Upper-middle class have summer jobs that requires certifications (like lifeguarding), managing your own client list (like tutoring and babysitting), and internships programs. Jobs that were more difficult to outsource to immigrants.
Harris was out there too, it was just on more "typical politician" stuff like holding speeches on the migrant crisis. Trump's administrations have both been anomalous in how much you heard about non-presidential actors, e.g. Jared Kushner was practically a household name in Trump 1 but almost nobody heard of Mike Donilon during Biden's term, despite the latter being almost certainly more important and influential than Kushner ever was (and Kushner was quite influential!).
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