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It's not an either/or, the US can pursue onshoring as a permanent long-term solution while pursuing other avenues in the interim.

The USA isn't actually capable of replacing China's role in the productive economy in any timeframe that's actually relevant.

Replacing China's worldwide economic production isn't necessary; what the US ideally needs to be able to do is fulfill domestic national security needs. Nevertheless, it's worth noting that the US (re)opened a single rare earth mine in 2018 and in a couple of years it supplied 15% of worldwide production.

This means no more harddrives, no more lithium batteries etc.

First off, it does not. It means the Chinese are putting regulations on export. If you read the article it suggest the Chinese will likely ban exports to defense companies. So yes, I suspect the tech and defense industries will actually be able to source harddrives, lithium batteries, etc. for the next 5 - 10 years.

Why? Well, setting aside the fact that the US actually has at least some rare earth mining and refining capability in-country (and is currently, as I understand it, in the process of building more, so 7 - 10 years to have at least some replacement for Chinese goods is probably pessimistic even if you don't assume the US invokes national security to cut through red tape), I'd just remind you that Russia has been able to source actually embargoed items for its military from Western sources despite the US having a much better ability to deploy soft and hard power worldwide to sanction them than China does to sanction the US. If the Chinese move to cut US defense firms out of the loop, that

  1. Does not impact the tech sector, and
  2. Is no guarantee that the US won't just import them via shell companies.

Off topic, but estimates of early dog domestication are 15,000 to 40,000 years ago.

When you go back 300,000 years, we're looking at fossil evidence of the first modern humans.

But dogs are one of deadliest animals in the USA, not far behind wasps.

The opinion on pets is pretty much my actual opinion, I didn't make it up just now to win this argument. To elaborate, we do of course cherish our pets and do our best to not do what we think of as torture to them - but it's still our morality and done for the sake of ourselves - and certainly we expect no reciprocity from cats and dogs. We do not expect them to be good cuddly pets because it would be the right thing to do of them, but because they're here for that purpose. Hence "morality does not exist between humans and pets".

It should be needless to say that the relationship between humans and states is usually far less amicable. So the comparison of treason and torturing kittens doesn't quite land for me, I'm afraid. You could compare how similarly to the torture of kittens having impact on the surrounding humans, so too can treason have an impact on the surrounding humans. I don't specifically advocate selling out your country to evil cannibal aliens for that reason. But going "literal treason, yikes!?" as if treason is automatically something bad amuses me.

Every now and then I start to regain hope that the worst of my outgroup probably aren't as bad as all the memes imply, and then I read something like that article, and my disappointment is immeasurable and my day is ruined.

I think you're mistaken on the process. The worst of the outgroup are never going to get any better -- in fact, if you're winning then they are likely getting worse by evaporative cooling.

They also restrict export on diamond grit and tools. So it is a lot wider. And I think this will hurt too. And it seems is global, not only targeting US

A long while back when I was a troll-y 20-something I walked into a drugstore and bought a newspaper. This was back in the days of 50¢ papers, to be clear.

I paid with a shiny new Susan B. Anthony dollar coin I just got as change from a post office.

The poor cashier.

She looked at the coin thinking that it's a quarter and looked up like I was stupid. Then she looked back down and realized it wasn't a quarter. She looked back up at me with a WTF expression. Back at the coin. Rung it up as a dollar. The register opened. She looked down at the drawer. Then back up at me with a "why did you do this to me?" look. Down at the drawer. I think she chucked it with the dollar bills. Back up at me with a scowl. Drawer to retrieve a couple quarters to hand to me.

This was easily 30 years ago and I still have it burnt into my memory.

I expect it would play out the same today.

Yet another huge environmentalist error:

I don't think you can actually blame the environmentalists for a corporate executive deciding to cash out and make vast profits in exchange for fucking over his workers and the country he lives in over the long term, or the government failing to protect and nurture critically important businesses. In China, strategically important industries are protected by the government in recognition of how important they are - letting this industry get sold off to China is the equivalent of the CCCP deciding to save on costs by outsourcing all their internal communication infrastructure to Google and Microsoft.

I would assume that before the shock collar was invented, the go-to immediate negative reinforcement was beating the dog or yanking on the prong collar.

I'll bite, which one? Or did you deliberately not specify for the sake of the bit?

The thing about changing how US currency works is that most people have a really hard time getting used to new coins and bills. We tried to have a $2 bill but many people just couldn’t adjust to the new type of bill and it didn’t really catch on. Ditto with multiple attempts to have a $1 coin.

It’s almost as if a large part of our population learns how coins and bills work at a young age, and that knowledge becomes fossilized and doesn’t change.

Just think, Trump could be the face of stockpiles of US currency in countries which don't have a stable currency of their own.

They can already buy USDC or USDT.

Obviously the best solution for the US is to bring all of these capabilities in-house

Actually, the best solution would be for the US to perform a magic ritual, invoking Moloch and begging him to supply them with rare earth metals in exchange for sacrificed children - which is more likely to succeed than your proposal. The USA isn't actually capable of replacing China's role in the productive economy in any timeframe that's actually relevant. Do you think the tech and defence industries can sustain a complete pause in production for the 10-15 years it'll take to onshore this stuff? This means no more harddrives, no more lithium batteries etc.

Thirteen years in Californian K-12 and I've never heard of this woman in my life.

From the "waffles" link:

noted race scientist Scott Siskind

Wow, Meredith really knows how to win the hearts and minds of her readers.

Actually, that article is full of money quotes.

Data work doesn't really count either, of course: it's too close to science, and science as a concept is feminine and obviously not technical.

Especially computer science! Felt really awkward being the only guy in a lecture with 400 people. But it got better when I studied physics, there were typically a few other men in the room. </sarcasm>

this is why Linus Torvalds, despite having some serious issues, is not beyond redemption, whereas Raymond and Stallman have fallen into perdition: Torvalds was motivated first and foremost by wanting a working open-source kernel, whereas Stallman and Raymond started with the ideology, and this is why Hurd still doesn't work

Glad to know that Torvalds is not beyond redemption, hope does not get more than a few years of sensitivity classes.

Also, ESR and RMS had different ideologies, with ESR favoring 'open source' for practical reasons while RMS free software movement started from the dogma that closed source software.

Also, while what Torvalds accomplished is super impressive, to reduce Stallman's impact to "haha, Hurd" seems plain wrong to me. That guy build fucking GNU, after all. And you would think that given the gist of the article ("knowing arcane runes is overrated"), she would appreciate that RMS founded the organization which invented copyleft, which is very much an active ingredient in much of the GNU/Linux ecosystem.

Sure, ESR is less impressive than the other two, but he did sell F/OSS to the suits (wait is that term elitist?) and writes NTPsec, which seems a lot more useful than what Meredith is doing.

we have to fight through a massive pile of Venture Capitalist money and the likes of Curtis Yarvin to do this.

Oh no. Not only Musk and Thiel with their billions of dollars, but the final boss battle will be moldbug. How can they possibly hope to survive?

Sorry for being a bit emotional, but that text really pulled my strings.

Very charitably, she is not entirely wrong. Gatekeeping for the sake of gatekeeping is bad. Long ago, a decade or so after I started programming C, I gave Python a try. Today I use it when I find it appropriate. I no longer consider it absurd to have programming languages which are usable by people who do not understand how pointers work.

Still, I think a huge part of what outsiders consider elitist in computer nerd and hacker culture is mostly striving for excellence. Outsiders often are "I don't care how it looks or what it does, as long as it (superficially) works". This is anathema to any craftsperson who takes pride in their craft.

Nobody (I think) goes to a meeting of a Poetry society and reads their poem and then goes "well, it was grammatically correct, and it conveyed how I felt about my cat dying, so if you do not like it, you are just a bunch of elitist pricks."

Apart from some minor technical details, there is no difference between the skill of a brain surgeon and someone who once tried to butcher a rabbit, after all.

My final observation is that the insistence on stuff being as simple as humanly possible is exactly what placed the left-leaning ex-Twitter users in their present conflict with Bluesky.

During the exodus from Twitter, there were two different main destinations: Bluesky (theoretically an open protocol, de facto a single platform), and Mastodon (an actual decentralized system, where different servers can have different content policies while their users can still engage with each other). Naturally, the anti-tech left moved to Bluesky, because it was slightly more convenient. If they had listened to the hackers, they would have told them that placing the people who write the software in charge of the servers (and thus content moderation) is generally a bad idea, and that it is worth the increased complexity to avoid such a situation.

Now they find that they have merely moved from one golden cage to another one, and that the developers of that one are also not as much into censoring speech as they are.

I have never heard of Bessie Coleman before today educated in the public school system of Texas, and learning who she is, I think she is not worth celebrating or learning about.

I’m nearly certain that I’m the only person here that has actually been to a REE processing plant.

I think you're less unique than you think; most of us have been on 4chan at least once.

Everyone's focused on rare-earths themselves, but the issue's that this restriction applies to any product with them like motors and batteries - which China truly leads in price and capability.

In all seriousness, I have no idea how you'd teach a man more interested in beards and shoulders to love tits and ass instead.

Men are very imprintable sexually, you just need to make then orgasm to the “correct” images, thoughts, and experiences enough times, in addition to removing whatever sexual hangups they have towards women.

With this in mind, it’s pretty obvious why Christian conversion therapy doesn’t work.

Look at that! A Mottezin (Mottezen? Mottizen?)in the wild! Could be my first time seeing the actual visage of anyone here.

The guy Paul Scharre's constant rapport-seeking rise in intonation was distracting so I ended up reading the transcript, but thanks for the vid!

I’m nearly certain that I’m the only person here that has actually been to a REE processing plant. And while I don’t work in that industry, I’m adjacent to it.

I kind of think people are blowing this out of proportion. It will be painful for some. I doubt 99.9% of people notice. For reasons stated below.

Heat induced brain damage from too much vihta bashing in Saunas.

On the contrary, I believe that it is the fact that dicks don't actually need to be cut off that is the cause of the modern trans movements problems. Autogynephiliacs like Andrea Long Chu get to pretend they're one of the girls while openly discussing how much they want their dicks to be shoved into lesbians. The celebration of the dicked in the realm of the dickless is the precise shear point that drives many LGB and ACTUAL T people away from the Queer+ crowd.

As such I openly proclaim myself an obligate trans maximalist. Are you trans? Great! Heres some painkillers and a knife. Chop it off and live your life as the woman your dysphoria say you are! It is a costless exercise for dysphorics because the penis is a reminder of their eternal trauma for being in the wrong body, PER THEIR OWN STATEMENTS.

A man wants to be socialized and go into girls spaces? Then fucking BE a 'social girl'. Be the girliest fucking femboy, giggling at boys and wearing thigh highs and spreading bussy to get topped by Chad. But don't pretend singing Golden from memory and dreaming of eat pray loving through your dissatisfied thirties means you get the womens-reserved corner spot. Game devs in the west exploded in female representation, but only because men got to pretend to be women without needing any effort other than growing hair long.

If I’m going to use hard cash to buy smut, it’s going to be in singles.

Interestingly, at least this particular freeze frame does not actually register as particularly aggressive to me - I just read it as something like "triumphant expectation", like he thinks he just made a winning point in an argument and is waiting for me to concede.

Hm, interesting. I get an intense sense of aggression from that stare, far more than I've ever gotten from any other youtube personality I've ever watched.

I got the same sense of unexpected aggression from the handful of Jordan Peterson clips I have watched. My feeling there was that he perpetually talked with a tension that sounded like a professional middle class father who was five seconds away from slapping his son so hard that he would fly across the room.

Hm, I guess you could see that in some of his clips, but I've enjoyed his longform lectures quite a bit, where he just sounds like a confident professor than a scold. Politics are the worst thing that ever happened to Peterson, and he would have been much better off as a person just remaining quiet about Canadian law and being a quirky psychology professor a little bit too into Jungian archetypes. He was much better as an academic than a surrogate father.

I think there are leftists with the same sort of aggression that appeal to young leftist viewers; intensity appeals to politically-inclined people. And I know of a lot of right-wing influencers with a softer style. But just like Twitter rewards clapbacks, the algorithms reward intensity and anger.

What I find fascinating is Nate Silvers total excommunication from the Left because he dared challenge the orthodoxy about polling favoring eternal progressivism, and his polling baby has been butchered into an ABC-owned politics focused The View with slightly less irritating panelists. David Shor nearly got excommunicated as well because he dared suggest that violent protests like the Floyd riots weren't helpful. Shor genuflected and abased himself by saying his findings were harmful, Silver stood his ground. It is unsurprising that Silver maintains a grudge against his moralizing peers.