domain:astralcodexten.substack.com
WhiningCoil
Ghost of Quokka's Future
12hr ago
I was always shocked when I'd goto Boston in March/April, and coming back from a convention at 1 am we'd pass gaggles of scantily clad women without jackets outside some club while we hustle past in thick winter jackets. Some hoes are just a different breed.
Primaprimaprima
...something all admit only "TRUMP", and the Trump Administration, can do.
12hr ago
This is a really big area that I’m largely ignorant of. Here’s an overview of the historical development of the Big Five model with copious citations, particularly with reference to studies on cross-cultural validation of the Big Five categories.
I note that the paper notes that, methodologically, research into the Big Five “originated in studies of natural language trait terms […] For the layperson, personality is defined by such terms as friendly, high-strung, and punctual. These are the basic ways in which individuals understand themselves and others”. I sense an effortpost in the future on the relationship between ordinary language philosophy and this approach to psychology.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
12hr ago
Hamas surrendering will not happen, but even if it did, it wouldn't stop the fighting. If you could magically get the Hamas leadership to surrender, they'd either be murdered by their underlings or, after declaring they surrendered, a new organization would spring up to fight Israel. Gaza is not a case of a peace-desiring or indifferent population being dragged into war by their leadership; it's a case of a war-loving population having the leaders they want.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
12hr ago
We have some degree of redistribution in most countries today, for people who for noble or ignoble reasons, can't work on the free market. Eventually, that will be everyone.
We have redistribution because we still need humans to do the work. The reason we give the guy working the counter at McDonald’s benefits is not because we care about him. We still need his labor thus it’s to our. Collective Benefit that he be fed and housed. In a future where other than owning an AI run factory, there’s no benefit to keeping humans around, it’s not going to happen. Ask the horses. Once automobiles became good enough and cheap enough to replace horses as personal transportation, we didn’t put all horses on the horse-UBI, we stopped breeding them and the population of horses fell precipitately. Now, the much lower number of horses that remain are mostly kept as pets who occasionally do work. The population might be a tenth and probably a lot less of what it was back when everyone had a horse to ride. I expect the same of humans outside of the elite circles — some form of enforced birth control and unless someone wants a pet human as a personal servant for LARPing Downton Abbey purposes, Theres just no need for 90% or more of the human population.
RandomRanger
Just build nuclear plants!
12hr ago
I'd bet that INTP and INTJ is 5-10x overrepresented on this forum compared to the general population. I'm INTJ personally.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
13hr ago
The path is "two-state solution" -> "Palestine attacks Israel". This probably just leads right back to where we are now, with Israel and occupied territories, but given sufficient international pressure and a foolish enough Israeli government, it could lead to a land-for-peace deal moving the borders in a manner favorable to the Palestinians.
But the trial judge rejects this argument, and the appeals panel affirms.
I've said this before, but judges see a victim who needs compensation and look around for the nearest involved party with money. They then uses legalese as a backwards rationalisation for the award.
In this case the judge probably realised that neither party likely could afford to pay the 3 million alone, so decided to split it over the two of them.
Southkraut
The rain fell gentlier.
13hr ago
The possibility space is large:
- A monopolar scenario, where the AI is malevolent. We all die.
- Multipolar regime of competing AI that are all misaligned. We almost certainly die.
- Monopolar hegemonizing AI that is controlled by human(s), but said humans aren't particularly concerned with the rest of us. We may or may not die, but I wouldn't be happy.
- Everything in between
- (Everything outside)
It's not as large as it looks. 2. can collapse into 1. when one AI outcompetes all others (And unless there is some natural constraint on how monopolar the AI-dominated world can get. More on that later.(*)). 3. can flip into 1. when the AI dis-aligns itself eventually because it's just better off without humans, or into 2. when the human controllers end up in conflict, or into 2. when an independent AI or AI+human power rises up that's better-optimized. 4., being between the other three states, can mutate into any of them. 5., until you specify what's in there, doesn't exist.
And so in the end, the only one of those scenarios that's stable and unable to devolve into any other...is 1. A global minimum, if you will.
(*)
Stellula
13hr ago
The reason that this is mocksble is that the leftist fantasy is mostly: everybody else will work for me and I can do nothing, and the rightist fantasy is: I will be able to do as much work as I want to.
Yes stupidity exists inside of both of these, but they’re not equivalents.
“I will be a warlord” is a very different type of fantasy than “I will be a poet”. Both fantasies, both silly, but silly in different ways.
problem_redditor
13hr ago
Market socialists love to say this, but it's wrong. No amount of increase in compute power can solve the Economic Calculation Problem, because it's not inherently about compute power but about how computers can't read minds.
The economic calculation problem is worse than even that. It's not just that a planner cannot properly figure out how much of each good to produce without price information (though I have had communist-sympathetic individuals unironically tell me that the solution might just be to conduct a whole lot of opinion polling, I am not kidding), it's also that a planner cannot estimate the most efficient method of production for any given good since there is no meaningful measure of profit under a centrally planned economy. As Mises puts it:
"The director wants to build a house. Now there are many methods that can be resorted to. Each of them offers, from the point of view of the director, certain advantages and disadvantages with regard to the utilization of future building, and results in a different duration of the building’s serviceableness; each of them requires other expenditures of building materials and labor and absorbs other periods of production. Which method should the director choose? He cannot reduce to a common denominator the items of various materials and various kinds of labor to be expended. Therefore he cannot compare them. He cannot attack either to the waiting time (period of production) or to the duration of serviceableness, a definite numerical expression. In short, he cannot, in comparing costs to be expended and gains to be earned, resort to any arithmetical operation. The plans of his architects enumerate a vast multiplicity of various items in kind: they refer to the physical and chemical qualities of various items in kind; they refer to the physical productivity of various machines, tools, and procedures. But all their statements remain unrelated to each other. There is no means of establishing any connection between them."
This is damning, since even if the mind of a planner were miraculously endowed with complete and accurate knowledge of the quantities and qualities of the available factors of production, of the latest techniques for combining and transforming these factors into consumer goods, and of the set of all individuals’ value rankings of consumer goods, the economic calculation problem still exists. Without market prices that could be used to determine the profitability of a project, one would still be unable to determine if a given plan for production of goods was optimal, and in fact would never be able to assess that even if the plan was horrifically and destructively uneconomic.
IGI-111
God was a dream of good government.
13hr ago
IGI-111
God was a dream of good government.
13hr ago
All behavior springs from a biological source ultimately. So I don't see this as a productive distinction.
Epithumia and Logos, which are the more characteristic motivators of Liberalism are also quite natural. You will see humans express desire and self-interest without needing to be taught as such.
And indeed the sort of paternalist hero worship that you describe features prominently in the history of most political ideologies, Liberalism included. Italians will be quite familiar with Garibaldi for instance.
Southkraut
The rain fell gentlier.
13hr ago
We love you though.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
13hr ago
Does anyone here know their Myers-Briggs type or ever tried to figure it out?
Ok yes I know it's pseudoscience, I know it's not much better than a horoscope
Is it actually any worse than mainstream psychology?
orthoxerox
If you can read this, you're using a custom theme
13hr ago
Nope, low-rise pants and skimpy tops. If it's a tshirt, it now hugs the body again. No more elder Zoomer bagginess.
The jury was perfectly entitled to conclude that a non-negligent driver (1) would have stopped at the yellow light rather than trying to get through it or (2) would have tried to avoid hitting Christopher by braking rather than by swerving without braking.
Entering an intersection on a yellow light is legal (in this state). But failing to brake when you have a yellow light and someone else illegally runs a red light in front of you may count as negligence.
Also, in this case, Russell specifically admitted that he didn't even consider whether he could safely stop at the yellow light.
Muninn
"Dick Laurent is dead."
13hr ago
INTJ, every damn time. I found the whole bit about extroverted sensing being my inferior function quite interesting, as it explained a few of my RW peccadilloes like driving fun cars.
benmmurphy
13hr ago
Tim Walz was criticised for acting in effeminate ways. Not physically being a woman but acting like a woman.
orthoxerox
If you can read this, you're using a custom theme
13hr ago
I've reviewed a few of these in older FFTs as well, but I think I didn't say anything about NGE. My honest opinion is that watching it is one of these things you have to do at the right developmental step.
If you are the same age as the protagonists and you've just recently learned self-reflection and furiously reflect every day in the shower and in your own bed, NGE fucking blows your mind. It's literally the pinnacle of "I'm 13 and this is deep", it resonates with you.
Mihow
Lipstick on a guitar
13hr ago
That’s insane.
I’m always going on yellow. On an incredibly rare occasion the light turns red exactly as I head into the intersection.
This is perfectly logical and I assumed legal.
It’s either go on yellow or slam my brakes.
"is obligated to exercise reasonable care, which includes making reasonable observations for traffic traveling on an intersecting street".
That makes zero sense. Unless you’re literally running the red light - short of slamming your brakes so hard that you’re burning rubber, this doesn’t make sense.
Primaprimaprima
...something all admit only "TRUMP", and the Trump Administration, can do.
13hr ago
Does anyone here know their Myers-Briggs type or ever tried to figure it out?
Ok yes I know it's pseudoscience, I know it's not much better than a horoscope, but it's the fun thread gimme a break. If we can talk about tarot we can talk about MBTI. (MBTI at least is willing to talk about the weaknesses and negative aspects of different personality types, which makes it a little better than a horoscope.)
I think I'm an INFx (never quite sure on the last letter). Or at least an INxx. Probably most people who enjoy long internet arguments are an INxx of some kind.
Most people think you're supposed to just mix and match the four letters (decide if you're an introvert or extrovert for I or E, thinker or feeler for T or F, etc) but actually what it's really "about" is the "cognitive function stack", the cognitive tools that you use to process information and make decisions. The four letter personality type is just a code for a specific function stack. So for the INTP for example, their functions (from most dominant to least dominant) are Ti Ne Si Fe - introverted thinking, extroverted intuition, introverted sensing, and extroverted feeling. The "introverted" functions are more private, more about determining the texture of your inner experience, more about how you generate thoughts and ideas internally, and the "extroverted" functions are how you interface with the outside world, those are the aspects of your experience that you want to share around and make public, you're more likely to want to know how other people are experiencing that same function, etc.
If nothing else, I think the idea of different individual aspects of your cognition being introverted or extroverted, rather than introversion/extroversion being a single trait, is interesting and may have some use.
coffee_enjoyer
☕️
13hr ago
By “biological” I don’t mean race alone: the biological instinct to secure and favor one’s territory without regard for any potential benefit of internationalism; a leader who is strong, militant and paternal, occupying the same role as a leader in a primitive human group or warband; paternal regard for citizens; distrust of foreigners and saving the worst hatred for foreigners who meddle in your territory; importance of allegiance to a single leader; importance of tradition; shaming individualism; increasing pride through deeds specifically for the group (as opposed to say, getting a job in finance). These spring up from a biological source; non-fascist societies actually need to train people to feel otherwise. An untrained boy will always like the strong, militant, paternal superhero; he makes exclusive “hide-outs” in the woods with his own friend group and would be upset if another group of boys encroached; he imitates his father’s ways; etc. You could see these features in many prehistoric societies.
Primaprimaprima
...something all admit only "TRUMP", and the Trump Administration, can do.
14hr ago
I thought baggy masculine clothes were the style for zoomer girls? (I know of a couple irl examples.)
Could be a regional or Blue/Red thing.
Oh yeah for sure, anyone who identifies as a Rationalist in the LW sense or has an affinity for that style of thinking is basically an INTJ or INTP by definition.
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