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RandomRanger
Just build nuclear plants!
3hr ago
An LLM can make nice little toy python class or method pretty easily, but when you're getting into complex full stack development, all sorts of failure modes pop up
I'm using it for full stack development on a $20 plan and it works. I guess it depends on what you mean by complex full stack development, how complex is complex? I wouldn't try to make an MMO or code global air traffic controls with AI but it can definitely handle frontend (if supervised by a human with eyes), backend, database, API calls, logging, cybersecurity...
And sure it does fail sometimes with complex requests, once you go above 10K lines in one context window the quality lowers. But you can use it to fix errors it makes and iterate, have it help with troubleshooting, refactor, focus the context length on what's critical... Seems like there are many programmers who expect it to one-shot everything and if it doesn't one-shot a task they just give up on it entirely.
The metr paper is somewhat specialized. It tests only experienced devs working on repositories they're already familiar with as they mention within, the most favourable conditions for human workers over AI: https://metr.org/blog/2025-07-10-early-2025-ai-experienced-os-dev-study/
Secondly, Claude 3.7 is now obsolete. I recall someone on twitter saying they were one of the devs in that study. He said that modern reasoning models are much more helpful than what they had then + people are getting better at using them.
Given that the general trend in AI is that inference costs are declining while capability increases, since the production frontier is moving outwards, then investment will probably pay off. Usage of Openrouter in terms of tokens has increased 30x within a year. The top 3 users of tokens there are coding tools. People clearly want AI and they're prepared to pay for it, I see no reason why their revealed preference should be disbelieved.
Amadan
Enjoying my short-lived victory
3hr ago
Well, that is a general argument you can make: Israeli-born citizens should not be allowed to be attorney generals. Or they should recuse themselves in any case involving Israelis. Or Jews. Or they shouldn't be allowed to be government officials. Or lawyers. Or something.
You could make those arguments.
Your problem here is that first of all, we don't even know she is a dual-citizen (the US doesn't officially recognize dual citizenship, but I assume Israel still considers her a citizen unless she formally renounced it, but unless you prove she still has an Israeli passport you're just speculating), and second, we definitely don't know she actually did intervene in this case.
You implied it with "The interim US Attorney for the District of Nevada is a radical, Israeli-born Jewish Zionist Sigal Chattah. Did she make the call and why? Of course we all know why."
Your "We all know why" is the consensus-building part, and you went straight from "If she did this" (implied: we all know she did) to "We all know why" (explicitly stated).
100ProofTollBooth
Dumber than a man, but faster than a dog.
3hr ago
Yes.
Which is why the Big AI companies are looking to tightly couple with existing enterprise SaaS and/or consumer hardware as fast as possible. And I'm reasonably sure that the large hardware companies may want to aid them. NVIDIA keeps making noise about "AI first" hardware at, I think, a consumer level.
They really do want a version of Sky Net.
SecureSignals
Training the Aryan LLM
3hr ago
I would think you should be the one pointing to other foreigners who were here not on a diplomatic visa who were arrested and charged with trying to have sex with a minor and then were just inexplicably allowed to leave the country with pending felony charges.
Amadan
Enjoying my short-lived victory
4hr ago
The attorney general being a Zionist does not mean that "we all know" that she intervened in the case, let alone subverted the law on behalf of another Jew.
It's not impossible, but you can't just wave at your own confirmation biases and say "We know this is true." And yes, people do get warned for making similar consensus-building assertions about progressive groups.
It's not "dark hinting" it is identifying a real problem that the status of this prosecutor as a dual-citizen born in Israel taints decisions like this, leaving the strong impression that the underlying decisions were motivated by her own identification and "dual" loyalty. An Israeli citizen in a position of power in the US giving Israeli foreign nationals extraordinary etxtra-legal protection is something that is to expected, not something that is "darkly hinted." We can't trust Israeli dual citizens to enforce law when the interests of the Israeli government are at stake. Period. No dark hinting there. She should not be in this position of authority.
TIRM
4hr ago
Indeed. My employer forbids us from using common LLMs. That would involve giving them our proprietary information. We can only use pre-approved entirely internal LLMs. These are on our hardware.
ThomasdelVasto
Κύριε, ποίησόν με ὄργανον τῆς ἀγάπης σου
4hr ago
I don't know, I think if he argues and provides receipts that the attorney general is a Zionist, it's fair to say "we all know" in that he's referencing that people will protect their own. I've seen many folks on here do similar things with regards to 'woke' and progressive groups.
That being said the bias in the post is obvious, but it sounds like you have experience with that. I appreciate that even the most heretodox voices are heard here.
Capital_Room
rather dementor-like
4hr ago
Well, for my own history, getting assigned Strunk and White when I first got to Caltech was a good start, though I agree with the critics as to its tendency to being out of date, some clear hypercorrection in its linguistic prescriptivism, and the more style-oriented parts being not great outside of the formal academic context. From there, it's mostly just been reading lots and lots of linguistics papers.
I also know that several of my peers in high school learned several important bits of English grammar — including, for a few of them, the basic parts of speech — from taking Spanish class.
So the key, really, is to find things that, for one or another element of grammar, lay out something like 'this is how English does this versus how other languages do it.' Like that we use attributive nouns like every other Germanic language (and unlike the Romance languages), but are rather unique in mostly keeping spaces between the nouns: like "motor vehicle liability insurance" versus German * Kraftfahrzeughaftpflichtversicherung*. Or else, those that cover historical evolution of the language: 'this is how Modern English does this versus how Middle English did it.'
Actually, some of the more introductory articles on Wikipedia for various grammatical categories aren't too terrible as a starting place, particularly for things like tense-aspect-mood and phrasal verbs (which is why you sometimes can end a sentence with a preposition, and "This is just the sort of nonsense up with which I will not put" is an incorrect hypercorrection).
As for the rule of dialogue, there's any number of places to find it pointed out that the actual rule is against having two or more different people speaking in the same paragraph, not that there must be a paragraph break at the start of each sentence where a different person speaks — or worse, at the start of each quotation even mid-sentence. (This last is why I mostly avoid reading webfiction.)
(And the vocative comma shouldn't go away, because it's the difference between "let's eat, Grandma," and "let's eat Grandma.")
Amadan
Enjoying my short-lived victory
4hr ago
The interim US Attorney for the District of Nevada is a radical, Israeli-born Jewish Zionist Sigal Chattah. Did she make the call and why? Of course we all know why.
Well, we certainly know why you think so, but you've been warned before about this kind of "We all know"... I don't think we can even call it Dark Hinting since the accusation is very evident even if not explicitly stated.
The story has escaped any iota of investigation from the American mainstream press.
A casual Google search finds stories on local Fox News and US News and World Report. Whether it should have been a bigger story depends on your priors, I suppose.
I'm not going to ding you for single-issue posting (again), and you are allowed to write a post full of speculation and the most uncharitable conclusions possible (I am, of course, greatly amused that you, of all people, are citing Shaun King, of all people). But sure, maybe this is all evidence of ZOG string-pulling. I'd like to know what the precedent is for other senior foreign government officials being caught in situations like this- it does not immediately strike me as unlikely that such an official would be questioned and allowed to leave the country, with some sort of assurances that they will present themselves for trial later. But if you show me where this did not happen in equivalent circumstances, maybe my priors will shift slightly on "Netanyahu got a little special juice from Trump."
But definitely knock it off with this "We all know" attempted consensus-building.
hydroacetylene
4hr ago
Do you expect the USA to press charges against prince Andrew?
Gaashk
4hr ago
Having poked at ChatGPT a bit, I'm not particularly surprised. If I think of a job it could potentially do that I understand, like graphic designer, Chat GPT (the only LLM/diffusion router I've personally tried) is about as good as a drunk college student, but much, much faster. There are some use cases for that -- the sort of project that's basically fake and nobody actually cares about or gets any value out of, but someone said it should be done. "I'll have GPT do that" basically means that it's considered meaningless drivel no matter who does it.
I suppose at some point it'll be able to make materials not only quickly, but also well -- but that day is not today.
Can you point to any other diplomatic personnel or senior political staffers of first world countries who have been arrested in the U.S. for sex-related crimes? Don't we sort of take it for granted that people in power are fucking deviant horndogs - isn't it a totally normal headline that prostitutes/escorts "descend" upon Davos and similar major-power conference locations?
I think the hopper concept is a good way to approach the question of who is the fittest on a theoretical "neutral ground." Otherwise comparing across disciplines is all about home field advantage. Competitive high level CrossFit is a moderately interesting answer, though over time the moves have gotten more specialized and it's more about training for CrossFit than training for anything.
FWIW, the most interesting answer to "the fittest" in my mind is probably MMA competition, in that within a weight class the fighter is always operating at the frontier of trading off strength vs endurance while accounting for his opponent doing the same. Too much focus on maximum strength, you gas early if you don't finish your opponent early, like Shane Carwin taking on Brock Lesnar; but if your maximum strength level is too much lower than your opponent's he'll overpower you and finish you off before endurance ever comes into play, like Shane Carwin's opponents leading up to his title shot.
And I suppose part of the reason I find this balance compelling is because by high school I had to come to the conclusion I am an athletic mediocrity, I was never going to do anything good enough to be interesting in any particular field. So given that, I find it more personally satisfying to have good lifts and decent cardio, than to have slightly better mediocre lifts and no cardio or slightly better mediocre cardio and weak lifts.
kky
4hr ago
Depends on the contract, I guess. But at minimum you’d have to pay the difference. So if you’ve already sunk the money and your devs aren’t even bothering to use something you’ve spent a cool few million on… well, that’s a pretty natural time for a desperate VP to start the mandates.
faceh
4hr ago
I have an old guy at my gym, 70's, was a Navy Frogman back in the day, then a roofer for years. Climbing ladders, hefting materials, swinging a hammer.
His grip strength is unbreakable. Might be combination of rough, callused hands adding friction and muscles that are extremely specialized as holding things tightly for long periods of time. And probably less concern about squishing things, so fewer mental blocks on squeezing tightly.
I dunno. Its not that he's stronger than a younger man is... but he's stronger than you expect and, as stated they have to utilize their leverage as best they can so if they bothered to develop technique, that will still work for them.
You don't need to do this. You just need to ban pedophiles when people report them. Which Roblox seems to be refusing to do.
This seems trivial in theory but I encourage you to spend some time thinking about how this process would work in practice, keeping in mind that you need to deal with people who sometimes lie.
Do you just ban everyone who gets accused of being a pedophile? Trivial to implement but obviously abusable.
Do you just ban everyone who has documented proof of being a pedophile? People are willing to go to significant lengths to fabricate evidence, whether for their own fame and attention or to harm the target of a grudge. This adds a lot of work and I still don't think this would weed out false accusations at a satisfactory rate.
If you want a reasonably low false-positive rate I can't see a good way around actually investigating yourself. This takes a lot of work even if everything happened on your own platform. If the first step of the process is to establish off-platform communication and the bad behavior occurs there it's likely impossible to properly investigate.
Sloot
4hr ago
I can hear @Sloot laughing as he pictures me as a doe-eyed whippersnapper who actually feels good about making the Boss more money.
I wasn’t picturing you at all as I was writing my comment reply, as your comment that I was responding to didn’t discuss your own work experiences, nor did I have a prior mental image on this front.
One of the pitfalls of modern individualism is the idea that if you're "serving" or "working for" anyone else in a hierarchical arrangement, you're automatically being exploited.
I understand you’re speaking generally and not necessarily attributing this to me, but I wouldn’t say so (that working under hierarchal arrangement = must be exploited). If anything, I’d disagree with the sentiment.
Free riding is a problem and the answer isn't to applaud it.
Nor should pathological altruism—to continuously cooperate in the face of defection—be applauded. All else equal, I loathe freeriders (to say the least).
Whether this is a corporate allegory for immigration/wealth transfers or vice versa (or both) can remain to be seen. As to immigration in general (illegal or legal, I’m somewhat indifferent to The H1B Question), an obvious solution could be to limit the arrival of welfare-state freeriders, and/or those likely to have children who are welfare-state freeriders. Or to domestically, limit (or at least not subsidize) the proliferation of population segments likely to be such freeriders.
rae
5hr ago
TLDR for this one: for LLM providers to actually break even, it might cost $2k/month per user.
If the Big AI companies try to actually implement that kind of pricing, they will face significant competition from local models. Right now you can run Qwen3-30B-A3B at ridiculous speeds on medium-end gaming rig or a decent Macbook, or if you're a decently sized company, you could rent a 8xH200 rig 8h/day, every workday, for ~$3.5k/mo, and give 64 engineers simultaneous, unlimited access to Deepseek R1 with comparable speed and performance to the big known models, so like... $55/month per engineer. And I highly doubt they're going to fully saturate it every minute of every workday, so you could probably add even more users, or use a quantized/smaller model.
SecureSignals
Training the Aryan LLM
5hr ago
If some French cyber chief were in America on a non-diplomatic visa yes I think he would be in jail. Obviously on a diplomatic mission is a different story be he was not on a diplomatic visa.
The "major U.S. ally" schtick is really starting to run its course. It's obviously deeper than that and completely unlike the relationship of the US to any other ally. Israeli-born Sigal Chattah is just super passionate about US alliances right...
hydroacetylene
5hr ago
If macron got caught sexting a minor on American soil, do you think he’d be boing to jail? Sirskiy? Mark Rutte? British royals?
I think the kid gloves are just ‘cabinet official in a major U.S. ally’. Whether that alliance serves US interests is another matter.
GBRK
5hr ago
I hate to concede this because /u/The_Nybbler behaved in such poor faith, but on the basis of your critiques of the model, and the study you linked about the food wasting question-- you have successfully convinced me that school lunches are not a net economic benefit. I went to the trouble of finding the source, and you eventually went through the trouble of looking through it to point out the problems therein-- just as I'd asked. I can't find a counterforce with better quality evidence, so you win.
Did we really have to go through the whole rigamarole of you insisting that any source that disagrees with you can be dismissed because it's leftist propaganda? We're on a debate forum. If someone posts a glen beck video as a source the correct response is to counter it on its merits and only then dismiss, ignore, and ban the poster if they continue to be an idiot.
rokmonster
Lives under a rok.
5hr ago
It will straight up try to lie to me about how certain language features work.
I have also had this experience. Learning a new language and I couldn't tell whether my code was right or not. Claude Opus 4 spent an hour saying "oh sorry my previous code was wrong," and then give me slightly-rewritten copy of the same thing which had the same problem - it crashed on some function. Finally I suggested an environment setup issue and turned on search and it figured it out (a function it was using was deprecated two years ago). But the number of times it told me "oh you're right, I was wrong, here's a fix", and for the fix to not fix the issue was incredibly frustrating.
I had a similar loop with GPT-o3 a few weeks later, where it just made up academic references in my new (to me) sub-subfield. I swore at it, and had the chat banned for inappropriateness :)
This is awakening me to a sort of Gell-Mann amnesia effect: if the LLMs are this wrong and this stubborn in areas where I can test its output, where else is it wrong? Can I trust it in the rough analysis of a legal situation? In a summary of the literature on global warming? In pulling crime stats? I'm inclined to think it shouldn't be trusted for anything not either harmless or directly verifiable.
Last week, a child-predator sting operation in Las Vegas run by the FBI snagged 8 people. One of those people was Tom Artiom Alexandrovich, who is the head of the Technological Defense Division at the Israel National Cyber Directorate. This is a significant official under Netanyahu. He was booked into the Henderson Detention Center and charged with luring a child with a computer for a sex act, a felony that carries up to 20 years in prison, but then the next day he was back in Israel:
- Netanyahu’s office and Ynet: claimed Alexandrovich was never arrested at all, only “briefly questioned” before returning to his hotel and flying home. This is a complete fabrication. I directly confirmed with police that he was arrested and charged. The following three outlets, including two in Israel, confirmed the same thing.
- The Guardian : reported Alexandrovich “faces felony charges of luring a child with a computer for a sex act” and confirmed “all eight suspects were brought to jail after their arrests.”
- Jerusalem Post: confirmed he was among the eight men arrested and charged, writing: “eight people were arrested, including Tom Artiom Alexandrovich, 38… all detainees are charged with attempting to entice minors online to commit sexual acts.”
- Times of Israel: went further, reporting he was “booked at the Henderson Detention Center” and that indictments were expected.
Netyanhu's office claimed Alexandrovich was never arrested, but the arrest charges are a matter of record, which only brings us another stark example of the nation of Israel's unbelievable capacity for lying.
So why was Alexandrovich let go while the 7 others caught in the sting remained in prison and have already appeared in court? According to Shaun King's sources:
I have now confirmed with officers involved in the sting that the Trump administration personally intervened, at Israel’s request, to override U.S. law enforcement, including their own federal agents involved in the sting, to make sure that Alexandrovich got back to Israel quickly and safely.
The officers told me they couldn’t believe it. They had worked for weeks with the FBI, Homeland Security Investigations, and the Nevada Internet Crimes Against Children Task Force to run this sting. They caught Alexandrovich red-handed. They booked him, charged him, and logged him into Henderson County’s system like every other suspect.
And then — despite the Trump administration itself authorizing the sting — Trump’s own team stepped in and blew up their work. They expedited his release and return to Israel. A predator was caught. And then, to protect Netanyahu, he was freed.
The officers also confirmed for me that Alexandrovich DID NOT have a diplomatic visa or any kind of diplomatic immunity.
Inexplicably, Shaun King's tweets about this story were deleted after receiving tens of millions of views in engagement on X.
An X account run by the U.S. State Department actually released a brief statement today after the outcry on X, confirming that Alexandrovich was not on a diplomatic visa but claiming that:
The Department of State is aware that Tom Artiom Alexandrovich, an Israeli citizen, was arrested in Las Vegas and given a court date for charges related to soliciting sex electronically from a minor. He did not claim diplomatic immunity and was released by a state judge pending a court date. Any claims that the U.S. government intervened are false.
Hmmm, ok. So he was the only one released from jail while the other 7 caught in the same operation remained imprisoned and have already had court hearings, and his passport was not revoked, he was allowed to fly to Israel the next day... yet the U.S. government did not intervene. Well someone intervened, who did? Who made the decision and why?
The interim US Attorney for the District of Nevada is a radical, Israeli-born Jewish Zionist Sigal Chattah. Did she make the call and why? Of course we all know why.
So where does that leave us? The story has escaped any iota of investigation from the American mainstream press. The U.S State Department provides no explanation for how this happened.
It's another data point in support of my own prior beliefs on the Epstein case in contrast to @2rafa's position on the case. I think @2rafa's case is reasoned well enough and does provide an alternate explanation for the suspicious constellation of unanswered questions. But it really does come down to my own prior beliefs, my confidence that if Epstein were involved with Israeli intelligence the US government would do anything to stop that information from becoming public. That, in my view, provides a better explanation for the unanswered questions, the massive pivots by the Trump administration on the investigation, the suspicious caginess, than 2rafa's explanation for the constellation of evidence. If 2rafa were right, I think the feds would to a damn good job proving it to the entire world.
This is all very familiar. Alexander Acosta, the former U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Florida who oversaw the 2008 plea deal that significantly reduced Epstein's charges, reportedly told President Trump's transition team that Epstein "belonged to intelligence" and to "leave it alone". 2rafa brushes this off as hearsay, and attributes Epstein's sweetheart deal to human error by the prosecutors and perhaps being leaned on by connected Wall Street friends. The claims of Epstein being said to belong to itnelligence? That's all hearsay (which it is to be fair). But this isn't a criminal court, I do consider repeated claims, even by Epstein himself, of being related to intelligence to be significant evidence even if it wouldn't be allowed in a criminal court.
Those exact same arguments can and will be used for this case too: there's no nefarious explanation, the prosecutors just dropped the ball and forgot to take his passport away and let him fly to Israel unlike the 7 others arrested in the same sting... any claims that U.S. government intervened are false, they say, and any claims that there was pressure by the U.S government are merely hearsay so far (and they are).
Like I said, this story does not surprise me in the least, it conforms to my prior beliefs regarding the priorities of the US government and the extent to which its institutions are compromised by Jewish-Israeli influence. However, my bold prediction is that Alexandrovich will be extradited because I do not believe those in power to be so incompetent as to not throw Alexandrovich to the wolves for the sake of retaining the diminishing shreds of credibility they have left.
There is currently a big push by Nick Fuentes against a rising JD Vance on the accusation that the MAGA movement has been compromised and appropriated by Israeli influence. Alexandrovich escaping justice under the Trump/Vance administration would be too symbolic of a proof for the exact criticisms Fuentes has of the MAGA movement. The story is going to give him credibility, animate and grow his audience, I don't see why Trump/Vance would allow this to happen just to avoid prosecuting one guy who as far as I can tell seems disposable.
Macron is a head of state which means he has diplomatic immunity. Royals enjoy similar and very long lived privileges.
Random ministers and secretaries, even members of parliaments, unless specifically acting as diplomats do not and should not enjoy immunity from prosecution for crimes that fall under the jurisdiction of a foreign state.
You're either so important putting you in jail could start a war or you are not.
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