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I get about 10 spam calls a day. I am not on call, and I have set my phone to only ring for my known contacts. My friend deals with kids and parents, so she must answer numbers she doesn't recognize (what if it's the kid's grandma coming to pick him up?), and she gets a bout a dozen spam calls per day as well. But at least she puts the phone on silent for the night. I'd imagine that getting woken up by spam is much more inconvenient than taking two seconds to recognize a spam call and hand up during the day.

There's a reason I called it a fantasy.

Have you read The Sun Eater series?

That said, the other regulatory standard that libertarians hate the most is KYC/AML, and those do seem to me like they fall squarely in the crosshairs of this EO. Those are the primary reason I'm tentatively excited/optimistic about this order.

The EO says that

Sec. 8. Effect on Immigration Enforcement and National Security Functions. Nothing in this order shall apply to the enforcement of the immigration laws or regulations promulgated to implement such laws, nor shall it apply to the enforcement of laws or regulations related to national security or defense.

If I were a bank regulator, I would assume absent explicit instructions to the contrary that the entire money laundering/terrorist financing apparatus (at a regulatory level there is no distinction between the two) is out of scope of the EO because related to national security. In any case, the EO doesn't really help as applied to money laundering regulations, because the authorising statute includes a catch-all section (31 USC 5322) making all willful violations of money laundering regulations criminal.

Annoying favor request: would you find the location (Book+Chapter number) of what you feel was the first really exciting rug-pull, add a random number of chapters between 0% and 20% of the count up to that point to avoid this being a total spoiler, and tell me?

I started reading A Practical Guide to Evil at one point a couple years ago, but didn't make it very far before getting a little bored of it and moving to something else. I'm no stranger to fiction that takes a little while (Mother of Learning) or a long while (Babylon 5) to introduce itself before it gets really good, but I feel like I need some place at which to say "either I like it by here, or it's just not my cup of tea".

DOGE would do this by having an AI parse the CFR, and it would work...

...about as well as Full Self Driving - good enough for you to put your guard down, and then drive you right into a truck it misidentified as a bridge.

I mean 3.5 years to go…. I would say that things are probably going to be fine, but the real question mark is over the response to any black swan events (very major terror attack, major financial crisis, something weird/new happening with AGI) that could happen.

Oh they’re defined by doctrinal concerns, just not Christian doctrine.

Tucker Carlson claims to belong to this denomination lol.

If the intent of the EO is to focus on strict liability regulatory crimes, then it will be a move away from straightforward application of the letter of the law and towards first a prosecutor's and then a jury's impression of your internal mental state at the time you did the actus reus.

For lesser regulatory offences (like speeding), strict liability and modest fines works very well in practice, as long as the rules are sufficiently simple relative to the complexity of the regulated activity that all drivers can know what the speed limit is with ordinary effort.

I mean if you want arbitrary power and think that's necessary to maintain your society, at least have it say in black and white that's how it goes, don't go about pretending you have limited government. That's the worst of both worlds, you don't even get the benefit of unquestionable authority.

@Tollund_Man4 are Irish and live in Ireland

I left for France two years ago. But to add to your point I don't work in tech and have never even been to the United States.

The socialist principle, "He who does not work shall not eat", is already realized; the other socialist principle, "An equal amount of products for an equal amount of labor", is also already realized. But this is not yet communism, and it does not yet abolish "bourgeois law", which gives unequal individuals, in return for unequal (really unequal) amounts of labor, equal amounts of products.

-- Lenin

** Many, many thousands. Hundreds of thousands. I forgot we don't actually know-- which is why step one makes agencies plainly list them. Yuge!

Federal regulations are codified, although you are probably right that nobody has explicitly tagged the criminal provisions. DOGE would do this by having an AI parse the CFR, and it would work.

This is so viscerally disgusting to me, it's almost amazing the way the Trump administration has managed to expose the hypocrisy at the heart of the refugee resettlement NGOs and cause them to undermine their entire raison d'etre, it's beyond brilliant:

-- It's blatantly obvious to any liberal paying attention that politically rejecting refugee groups on ethnic grounds will go in bad directions. If you're rejecting Afrikaners, why are you accepting Palestinians? Who can you accept from Rwanda and the Congo? Almost every ethnic group has done bad things en route to refugee status, the myth of the innocent victim is an absurdity. This undermines all future refugee resettlement projects, and exposes them to future lobbying against other refugee groups.

-- It's going into the nativist frame by admitting that some refugees and immigrants are bad for the country and don't deserve to be here. The pro immigration argument must be universal if it is to exist at all, once you admit of some exceptions you enter the restrictionist frame of argument, and you start losing.

-- It's not clear how accepting white south africans who want to leave South Africa into the United States can possibly be a bad thing for South Africa. It's creating a frame of imprisonment, of anti-emigration: the country of South Africa has a right to say that white people can't leave in the name of "racial justice." Which is clearly insane and disqualifies their whole argument: absent an actual crime a country being unwilling to let their people leave is obvious tyranny. If South Africa wants to keep its white population in the country, it should treat them better. Full stop. Freedom to leave is the most basic freedom imaginable.

Not only is all this disgusting to me, it blows my mind that they are saying all this out loud. That no one at the organization seems to see what they are saying, is bright enough to pick up on subtext.

This is the best way yet to permanently torpedo the refugee program.

The classical liberal chamber of my heart grew three sizes today. A move that simultaneously targets overregulation, the illegibility of the administrative state, and strict liability? I hope that the president can find a way to parlay this into lasting change.

Am I wrong in reading there seems to be reasonable wiggle room built into the EO?

Sec. 6. Default Mens Rea for Criminal Regulatory Offenses. (a) The head of each agency, in consultation with the Attorney General, shall examine the agency’s statutory authorities and determine whether there is authority to adopt a background mens rea standard for criminal regulatory offenses that applies unless a specific regulation states an alternative mens rea.

There's built in discretion to maaaybe adopt a different mens rea standard for criminal regulatory offenses. One hopes that the AG only accepts reasonable defenses of different standards of criminal enforcement, but there are probably many reasonable, wiggly exceptions.

"Excuse me, AG Bondi, in 98% of cases the US Forest Service targets Big Criminal Forestry-- these jerks are always finding ways to wiggle out of their illegal logging. If we lose strict liability standards for this enforcement they will claim ignorance every time, in every forest, and likely get away with their illegal logging. By the way, Mrs. Bondi, I have it on record we protested this. We aren't going to eat this story when the time comes."

Apply that to less reasonable, but similarly wiggly enforcement. Requiring a defense of different standards is good, but there's got to be thousands(?*) of these, and a safe political decision would be to defer to the agency if they request a different standard. This EO wasn't blasted out with political vigor. It was dumped on a Friday with barely a peep, so there may not be a big Trump backing to hide behind any unpopular decisions.

I may just be negative. This seems good, generally. If done intelligently, better. There are likely real trade offs in losing flexibility with higher burdens for enforcement, but still seems amenable.

** Many, many thousands. Hundreds of thousands. I forgot we don't actually know-- which is why step one makes agencies plainly list them. Yuge!

My fantasy of a lowkey-good Trump administration that is ultimately restrained from doing anything really stupid is back in play. Tariff's are minor, if silly. There's a deal with Iran on the table that simply allows Iran a nuclear program. Ukraine and Russia are apparently on their way to a real meeting in Turkey. The shambolic disassembly of the government and NGO infrastructure has been accomplished in such a chaotic way that it will be difficult to put back together and impossible to restore faith in.

The abrahamic god is not internationally communist in any sense of the word. Some of the later Christian/Islamist pan-nationalist religious modifications are there for pure realpolitik goals, but the the raw original religion is not. It's explicitly ethnic/nationalist and totalizing.

but their vagueness is largely organic and downstream from the fact that any stricter standards would make the enforcement of the rules pointless because any intelligent lawyer or other actor could rules-lawyer their way out of it.

Ah yes, the classic we can't tell them the rules because then we wouldn't be able to jail/ban/disappear the people we don't like. It's bullshit when forum mods/jannies do it and it's bullshit when the law does it (a lot more so) too.

Yes, but:

  1. It's so massive that it's actually inconvenient. It's around 3 times the length of the entire Harry Potter series, which is a lot to jump into. 2.If this matters to you, it felt like there were more gay than straight characters.

The UN convention on refugees makes salient a select list specific traits, including race:

... owing to well-founded fear of being persecuted for reasons of race, religion, nationality, membership of a particular social group or political opinion ...

If Afrikaaners are in danger because of their race, and the black South Africans are in equal danger because of gang warfare or general lawlessness, then the UN convention covers the Afrikaaners, but not the black South Africans, as refugees.

A question back: How much spam calls do you get for this to be a significant issue? I get one every few weeks, if not months. It's nothing like mail.

An intelligent person reacts to this by selectively ignoring, filtering, and rounding-down the sales-talk as the salesman is talking to you. You ask specific questions in such a way that he can't fudge it, you focus on specific concrete facts.

A stupid person reacts to this by refusing to interact with salesmen at all. He is incapable of filtering in real time, so he just shuts the whole thing down.

And, to a large extent, just as advertising budget is actually correlated with product quality in most cases, a professional sales presentation is correlated with a high quality product in many cases. Refusing to engage with salesmen opens one up to a different sort of self-scam I frequently see the proles around me fall for: the bargain that is a money pit. They buy a series of broke down cars out of someone's driveway because they don't trust stealerships, they buy a "fixer upper" house because they don't trust realtors, they half ass and jury rig all kinds of stuff around their house because they don't trust contractors, etc.

I used priority contacts. I knew a call would only be coming from one of these X numbers, so I could set up my work iPhone to only make noise if it was one of them, and be in silent mode otherwise.

A guess: There's a specific work phone the number of which is shared only with those who have a good reason to call.