domain:forecasting.substack.com
Iconochasm
2. Bootstrap the rest of the fucking omnipotence.
3hr ago
Exactly. And if right-wing militias start making organized, "attempted murder" attacks on feds they dislike, say, the ATF, then you'll be just as bloodless about that, right? Hardly anything to bother about. Just some kids with signs. Why are you overeacting?
You know, I used to not really have a handle on what your politics were. But you've been coming in hot and fast and ignorant lately, with maximum charity one way and maximum hostility the other. Are you feeling strange new feelings, like molten-veined partisanship?
Jiro
3hr ago
There's a million ways he could've implemented the ICE program, and he chose one with the greatest optics of cruelty.
No plan has good optics when faced by hostile media, as well as protestors deliberately trying to create bad optics.
Skeletor
3hr ago
But they wore masks while they did it, masks make people feel bad. That's basically the same as disappearing people, amirite?
Iconochasm
2. Bootstrap the rest of the fucking omnipotence.
3hr ago
"All basic staples are now twice as expensive,
So, between deportations and self-deportations, a purported 2 million illegal immigrants have left. What percent of the "twice as expensive" are we up to?
Iconochasm
2. Bootstrap the rest of the fucking omnipotence.
3hr ago
Democrats are justified in believing that this will select for bottom-feeder men with anger problems looking to get the high of having power over someone else. Given that most illegal immigrants are brown, I can see why democrats would believe that the average ICE agent is a raging racist too.
Aw, man. Remember when Democrats believed that the people fighting in Iraq were bottom-feeder 10% loser retards who just wanted to be racist and murder sand-n**gers?
You should explain why that psychotically uncharitable dehumanization of the outgroup belief was as justified as this one.
Then we'll all hold hands and agree that the progressives occupying their Long March positions in the regulatory agencies are just bottom-feeder pseudo-intellectual retards looking for the high of acting like Ayn Rand villains on account of their raging bigotries and inferiority complexes.
Right?
FlyingLionWithABook
Has a C. S. Lewis quote for that.
3hr ago
I don't believe you when you say "but we have to disappear people, it's the only strategy that could possibly work".
Nobody is getting disappeared. Everyone apprehended can be looked up on a public website. https://locator.ice.gov/odls/#/search
newport
3hr ago
To be fair to yourself, the antagonism may not have been entirely unwarranted since I just kinda dropped this without elaborating. Sorry. RoyGBivens is correct, it's a copypasta from shortly after Biden dropped out and Harris took over the nomination.
I intended this to be another example of what 07mk was talking about on /r/stupidpol.
JarJarJedi
3hr ago
The resulting one is pretty massive too, if it were twice as big I'd probably never even tried it because there's no way I could finish it. So far I'm about 1/3 in, and he already talked a lot about how his science career sucked, unlike his writing. Given that I had always been his fan and yet was never sure (or interested, to be honest) about what he did as a scientist, that's not a surprise.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
3hr ago
I mean this is extremely inflammatory especially as coming from elected officials. They aren’t openly saying it, but I would not expect them to be horrified by some random person taking shots at federal officials. You don’t say things like “redo of the civil war” or declare “ICE free zones” or anything of the sort unless you want to escalate whatever is happening on the street level. Which is already at least at the throw rocks stage.
Bleep
3hr ago
the illegals flood cities and protect the Democrat power centers by keeping those who would threaten their power out
Clearly the emerging Democratic majority with a bunch of minorities all loyal to one another is not going to happen.
they don't need to be loyal to each other, they need to be united in opposition to another group which has worked pretty well for quite a long time
the loyalty to each other is solved through an ethnic spoils system which we already see in cities across the US (and have for quite some time, e.g., Los Angeles)
cities across the US are controlled by people who govern badly, let crime and other scams run rampant and, whether this is intentional or not, the result of this is they keep normal, functional Americans out of those cities which protects the machine politics of those cities
The eVerify mandate [edit: sorry, not eVerify, but a card check] is old enough to vote; while it doesn’t apply to literally every business, it applies to almost all of them. Even outside of the error mode where every other Presidential administration unlawfully issues bulk work permits and mugs about standing to the courts, or shut down compliance audits, several Blue states have undermined it by the letter of the law and destroyed it in practice, and it’s biggest impact has been a burst of SSN fraud.
MotteThrow
3hr ago
He did get convicted (I'm talking about the NY trial here.) He just got lightly sentenced after winning the election instead of the possible 100+ years he could have gotten. The main point is that "kangaroo court" is mostly subjective, but only one side did actually bring a ridiculous case in front of an incredibly partisan area and get a favorable judgement against their partisan enemy. So while we can muse on what Kirk might have meant in his heart of hearts (and I wouldn't even say I really disagree with you there), Dems are actually putting it into practice.
CertainlyWorse
No one is coming. It's just you.
3hr ago
Here are the 'job requirements' for a deportation officer. Literally randos.
U.S. citizenship Have a valid driver's license Be eligible to carry a firearm
No. It it has many other requirements such as the ability to hold a secret clearance, a background check, drug testing. Do you think 'randos' and 'bottom-feeder men with anger problems looking to get the high of having power over someone else' can qualify for a secret clearance?
The deportation officer role also requires 16 weeks of training which is less than the NYPD's 26 weeks in their police academy, but plenty for their specialised role.
sun_the_second
could survive a COD lobby and a gay furry discord server
4hr ago
There's a difference between being aesthetically pleasing and everything made out of diamond blocks or the equivalent. There is nuance between making everyone the same hot woman with minor variations and making everyone blobs. For the record, I think Hades II achieves that nuance decently.
Hyperpalatable aesthetics is the mcdonalds of art. I like some mcdonalds every once in a while, I don't want to eat it all the time. And not just because it's unhealthy.
mukokuseki
TIL the word for "basically white, or close enough that dark skin-fearing consumers won't raise a fuss".
In general, I think the amount of suffering the average male sex drive has caused for either himself or the people near him has been quite high, historically. Most of the gender difference in sex drive was filled with coercive sex work, malicious seduction, rape, or else with sexually frustrated men -- which are not great for stability of society, generally.
Technology has solved this problem. Today, that 30yo married guy can just bookmark the teen category on pornhub and jerk off whenever he feels like it, with about zero of the negative externalities of having an affair.
This bit here just seems like a generalized argument against letting humans breed at all.
In any event I'm sure the Third Worlders who inherit your senile decrepit demographically-imploded civilization will deeply appreciate your commitment to individual liberty. The future is an 85 year old transhumanist babbling about how a dynamic forward-thinking society could have solved this problem through technology, while being beaten to death in a slum.
FirmWeird
Randomly Generated Reddit Username
4hr ago
I don't know why they're doing it that way. My only guess is that it feels good to them and it delivers quick cheap optics wins to serve to their base, because it feels good to many in the base as well.
My personal theory is that while the Trump base legitimately wants to put an end to illegal immigration due in large part to the economic consequences, those economic consequences are actually extremely beneficial to a lot of republican donors. When you remove illegal immigrant labor and force the farmers to hire Americans (legally) the price of everything goes up. Ultimately society and the economy would be healthier after this gets done, but the political consequences for Trump in the short term would be disastrous. "All basic staples are now twice as expensive, but in exchange your wages will improve permanently in 9 months" might be a great deal for his base in the long run, but it is suicidal for someone who has to care about daily opinion polls and work around congressmen and senators who are taking vast sums of money from the people who benefit from illegal labour.
Pongalh
4hr ago
being qualified to carry a gun selects against "bottom feeders," a term I feel is more appropriate for say, fentanyl addicts. but it probably does select for people who are not well into the arts, i.e. philistines. That's a kind of bottom feeder for many.
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
4hr ago
They were not just five random boys out for a lovely stroll at 10pm. Some were arrested for criminal behavior before the police even knew there was a rape victim.
But aside from their confessions there's almost nothing linking them to the victim.
I do think their confessions are worth something even if they're dumb kids under duress. Some confessed even with their parents present.
Sure is awkward that someone else confessed and DNA evidence links him to the victim though.
I don't think they're guilty beyond reasonable doubt, but it's definitely bizarre to turn around and conclude that they're heroes, which is how they're being treated by progressives (???)
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
4hr ago
People come here to work. If they're not going to work, there's not much point in being here.
gattsuru
4hr ago
It looks like ICE solved that one just fine.
...
Shortly after Monday’s court hearing, the FBI and the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives announced a reward of up to $50,000 for information leading to the arrest and conviction of the other drivers who followed and boxed in agents.
An FBI statement says about 10 vehicles were involved in the chase that Martinez and Ruiz were allegedly part of in the 3900 block of South Kedzie. The statement also describes the “ramming” of a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement vehicle repeatedly in the 3700 block of Kedzie, allegedly by the driver of a black Chevy Tahoe with Illinois license plate EM 62829. That driver is still at large, the FBI said.
Now, perhaps the defendant's lawyers claims of the ICE officers just calling someone a bitch and opening fire are tots honest -- stranger things have happened than an immigration-related lawyer lying their pants off, albeit not often -- and the ICE officers in that specific case will be going to jail themselves. We can review it in a week.
Either way, I can think of several reasons why local police department support would help develop these cases toward the results truth demanded, rather than whatever random coincidences and biases occur in a fog of war.
gattsuru
4hr ago
Eh... DNA evidence proved a sixth person raped the victim, but there's a lot of evidence for the CP5 themselves being guilty too, of the crime they were convicted for. Maybe there's some doubt, but I don't think Reyes' confession is anywhere near enough to be certain or even very confident they were not guilty.
PreformancePertension
4hr ago
(Source: some shit I saw on twitter but don't remember the exact account anymore)
I saw someone float the idea that gays now understand straight men much less well since it's easy to be out. A lot of gay men who work in Democratic politics have probably grown up in costal cities where being out has always been ok among everyone they interact with, and their social circles are either progressive men or other gay men. It seems fairly plausible at a glance but I wouldn't have much input beyond that.
netstack
Texas is freedom land
4hr ago
It looks like ICE solved that one just fine.
I don’t see why they’re entitled to local police escorts. Surely they can take care of themselves?
Lizzardspawn
4hr ago
If you stop people from working, they are still in the country. If you disappear them, they disappear and are not in the country.
Frankly, I was indeed worried that the bar was that low.
Reviewing the job profile, these qualification demands are more rigorous than I gave them credit for. I said a lot of things today, and I have been corrected on a good few. I am glad that happened. Turns out that US is a liberal first world nation, and standards are standards. I am satisfied.
Not anymore
It's 6 months in the academy and then ~2 years in probation.
More options
Context Copy link