domain:streamable.com
JarJarJedi
2d ago
It's not only the voting base. The census counts illegals too (Trump tried to change it and lost), and with thin margins of current Congress majorities/minorities, two more/less seats for California or Texas may decide who controls the House. It is also budgets - leftist NGOs were getting literally billions of dollars from the budget for "immigrant services". You need to have a crisis to get billions for "helping to solve" it. Plus, of course, there are a lot of businesses who wouldn't mind cheap labor force not covered by the myriad of regulations Democrats introduce - which is fine with Democrats, since they get less pushback from businesses for introducing those, as businesses know: in a pinch, they can always hire illegals. And, of course, this population now needs welfare/social services coverage, which means expanding welfare state programs (and attached NGO networks, again) - a dream for every Democrat. In addition to that, on the ideological level, the colonial powers need to pay for their past sins, and accepting unlimited migration is the prescribed way to do that. The West stole everything from oppressed people, now the oppressed people finally get to enjoy it. There are many factors why unlimited migration aligns well with the governance model Democrats are embodying.
ThomasdelVasto
Κύριε, ποίησόν με ὄργανον τῆς ἀγάπης σου
2d ago
My priest always says the Evil One lives at the extremes. I agree that totalization is not the way.
ThomasdelVasto
Κύριε, ποίησόν με ὄργανον τῆς ἀγάπης σου
2d ago
Yeah, I like this place because it's long form and there's enough content that I can read it rather quickly and finish. Infinite scrolling loops are horrible.
hydroacetylene
2d ago
See my reply to stefferi
SubstantialFrivolity
I'm not even supposed to be here today
2d ago
The average person who writes code. Not an UMC programmer who works for FAANG.
Yes, that is indeed what I meant as well.
The proof of the pudding is in the eating; and for code, if it compiles and has the desired functionality.
I agree. And it doesn't. Code generated by LLMs routinely hallucinates APIs that simply don't exist, has grievous security flaws, or doesn't achieve the desired objective. Which is not to say humans never make such mistakes (well, they never make up non-existent APIs in my experience but the other two happen), but they can learn and improve. LLMs can't do that, at least not yet, so they are doing worse than humans.
Why should I privilege your claims over [famous programmers]?
I'm not saying you should! I'm not telling you that mine is the only valid opinion; I did after all say that reasonable people can disagree on this. My issue is solely that your comment comes off as dismissing anyone who disagrees with you as too inexperienced to have an informed opinion. When you say "They can't code? Have you seen the average code monkey?", it implies "because if you had, you wouldn't say that LLMs are worse". That is what I object to, not your choice to listen to other programmers who have different opinions than mine.
BurdensomeCount
—Your em dash is showing...
2d ago
Interesting; yes GPTZero says the first paragraph is AI, however for the first half of the text (it won't let me upload more than 5000 characters at once) says it's a coinflip between being human or AI and there are paragraphs which it is highly sure are human written.
HaroldWilson
2d ago
they co-opted sacred heart month
This feels slightly paranoid. There are only twelve months in the year and whichever one you chose you could be accused of co-opting something. The Sacred Heart month is also a strange choice to try to co-opt as an act of totalisation because it has almost no cultural currency in the Anglosphere except maybe within American Catholic communities; in fact it it's relevance is fast becoming exclusively as a counter-signal.
faceh
2d ago
Yeah. Fact is that any device that with an internet connection is likely trying to nudge or otherwise cater to you in a way that will get you to alter your behavior, spend money, or even just cough up more information that they think they can use to sell you stuff.
And every time you give in it gets just a little better at predicting/manipulating you.
I like my Alexa devices, but the occasional attempt to say "hey we noticed you liked [X], just say the word and I'll charge you for [Z]!" sometimes make me want to send them off to the Bitcoin mines forever.
I've already precommitted to ignoring any attempts by a smart device to sell me on something I wasn't already intending to buy, unless it can send a big breasted brunette in a bikini to my front door to make the sale. Any marketing experts who are tapping into my motte account can take that as gospel truth and act on it as they see fit.
ThisIsSin
Cainanites and Abelists
2d ago
That's also why traps aren't gay.
(But that category has been poisoned into undecideability, where truly boyish girls/girlish boys are pushed to the side and their prosperity sacrificed for women and men who are not, in fact, worthy of opting out. Traditionalists have identified, correctly, that the drive to trans your children is a communist impulse- they just can't explain why.)
hydroacetylene
2d ago
I’m willing to believe it. My point was to draw attention to the totalizing nature of LGBT ideology(down to cradle members and converts) through comparison to Christianity.
self_made_human
C'est la vie
2d ago
Perhaps one might consider even the ancient GPT 3.5 to have met this (low) bar.
mrvanillasky
Indo Aryan Thot Leader
2d ago
I will believe that they can get there once it happens which seems highly unlikely as of now. If they could do it, they wouldn't be advertising for front end jobs on anthropic. Front end is the easiest domain to automate.
This all hinges on transformer based llms scaling and not hallucinating whilst not costing a ton and all that happening before other firms rightfully pulley funding out from a total loss making mission.
durdenhobbes
2d ago
How did illegal immigration become so polarizing? The last two Democratic presidents prior to Biden, Clinton and Obama, both talked about maintaining strong borders and deported millions of illegal aliens. Suddenly in the last few years, Democrats act like it's always been our cultural policy to allow whoever wants in, to live here. Is this really just a crass strategy to build a larger blue voting base, or is it something more?
I had a personal experience almost turning into one of these sitcom characters. The pull is bizarrely tempting.
A little before the election I made a deadpan joke about a domestic annoyance that was completely misinterpreted and then quote tweeted by a major culture warrior. I got so much insane negative attention from that. Death threats. People following me around the Internet leaving shitty comments. Even phone calls of people threatening me.
It got so tense I was looking out my front window regularly and making sure I had my gun nearby whenever I went.
And then it subsided and I was relieved, but a major recurring thought since then has been "I should troll these fucking idiots again. Maybe I can make some money off of this"
I don't. But I can see how if I had a different temperament this would be totally irresistible.
Apparently the rainbow was co-opted mostly from the hippies:
"A close friend of Baker's, independent filmmaker Arthur J. Bressan Jr., pressed him to create a new symbol at "the dawn of a new gay consciousness and freedom".[11] According to a profile published in the Bay Area Reporter in 1985, Baker "chose the rainbow motif because of its associations with the hippie movement of the Sixties but he notes that the use of the design dates all the way back to ancient Egypt".[12] People have speculated that Baker was inspired by the Judy Garland song "Over the Rainbow" (Garland being among the first gay icons),[13][14] but when asked, Baker said that it was "more about the Rolling Stones and their song 'She's a Rainbow'".[15] Baker was likely influenced by the "Brotherhood Flag" (with five horizontal stripes to represent different races: red, white, brown, yellow, and black) popular among the world peace movement and hippie movement of the 1960s.[16][17][18][19]"
This seems credible, considering this was somewhat after the Rainbow Family of Living Light had started organizing the still-happening Rainbow Gatherings. I didn't manage to find an explanation of where the hippies took the rainbow from, but the rainbow Peace Flag and the general colorfulness induced by LSD probably play a large influence.
TheLoser
2d ago
They can't write? Have you seen the quality of the average /r/WritingPrompts post?
I'm sorry but being a better writer than literal redditors on /r/WritingPrompts is not a high bar to pass.
ThisIsSin
Cainanites and Abelists
2d ago
it will suggest that we’re this way because of “economic uncertainty” or social media. Others will say something vague like resale value.
If I can't afford to repaint something soon if I don't like it, I'm going to take the safer option where I have a higher chance of accepting it, or accepting it over a longer timeframe.
If I can afford to do that more often, I can afford to take a chance at something a bit more... out there. If I don't like it, I trust I can fix it later.
Oh man, I should copy and paste better. I don't have any extensions for spell checking since I moved to Linux so hastily put the entire comment in an llm to iron out my typos.
I didn't get an llm to write this. Just sloppy pasting. I'd actually be for the half trillion dollars being poured in if it meant consistent schizopoasting that sounds like me.
self_made_human
C'est la vie
2d ago
Or even consider a comment from your fellow programmer, @TheAntipopulist:
https://www.themotte.org/post/2154/culture-war-roundup-for-the-week/333796?context=8#context
They're generating billions in revenue already -- it's not nearly enough to sustain their current burn rates, but there's lots of genuine value there. I'm a professional software engineer, and AI is extremely helpful for my job; anyone who says it isn't is probably just using it wrong (skill issue).
self_made_human
C'est la vie
2d ago
Thanks for your detailed and passionate take on the AI industry. I've gone through your comment and will fix the typos and grammar while maintaining your original meaning and structure.
Sigh. Count has already been rapped on the knuckles for copying and pasting AI content. It violates the low-effort guidelines. Don't do this.
erwgv3g34
2d ago
The Democrat primaries are far more leadership-driven than the Republican primaries. A Trump-like populist outsider could never make it there, as Bernie Sanders found out.
sun_the_second
2d ago
They aren't a replacement for a junior dev, as the Dev will get better, whilst llms at best will be iteratively better if they keep getting billions to burn.
You seem to be ignoring that while junior devs have to get better separately and each new generation of devs has to gain experience anew (until we have direct knowledge brain-grafts), LLMs just stay better once they got better.
LateMechanic
2d ago
when weighed against "prosperity beyond what anyone can imagine" they dont weigh especially strongly. Could you at least link it? MMT has lots of cranks that will be dismissed as not representative.
OK so you were asking "why inflation is bad" from an MMT perspective? I don't know that there is any unique take, it's not part of it. MMT is a description of how money, banking, and government finance actually works.
If you wanted a pitch about how inflation 'isn't really bad', then sorry, that's not part of it. I added my own spin about how inflation is obviously a dynamic self-correcting mechanism for too much savings, and that the only way you get accidental persistent or accelerating inflation rather than it being a relief valve is when too much spending is indexed to the price level (maybe some part of the problem they had in the '60s).
Mosler's "prosperity beyond what anyone can imagine" is referring to perpetual full employment in a productive capitalist system. That was in 2012 where they were looking at the massive "output gap" of where GDP was going before the recession and how far it got knocked off trend by heavy unemployment -- just a complete waste of human potential.
I also have 'some' income outside taking on debt. I can commit to spending part of it on buying back my own IOUs/debt service in the future. Indeed, my nominal income increases with inflation and economic growth, so this is in many ways like a relative tax. Also assume I live forever.
The tax isn't just an income flow. It's forcing everyone into a debt relationship with you, where if they don't pay, you will put them in jail using force. In the past, authorities may have used fees, fines, tithes, sanctions, whatever. If in your hypothetical, you could live forever, and you could force people into paying some amount of your own IOUs back to you or else you will credibly use some level of violence against them, then certainly they will find out what they have to do to get enough of your IOUs, and maybe even some extra if they want to save some or trade them with others.
Now can I blow up my debt to infinity? Propably not; propably there is some mechanism tieing the debt amount to the size of the tax base/income, but what?
It's just the amount that people are willing to have as savings. The government's debt is the non-government's net money supply ('net', because the private sector can also expand the money supply with their own debt & credit, but that all nets to 0 as a whole).
If you incentivize savings, like with pension funds or whatever, maybe your country will have a higher aggregate savings desire, and your government debt will have to be larger in order to maintain full employment. If you instead have a culture and policy where people live comfortable retirements without requiring any personal savings somehow, then maybe there would be extremely low government debt. If you're Japan, and the population has a very low participation in the stock market after the '90s, then the government debt & deficit are likely going to be huge to satisfy the desire to save money. New money being pumped in will quickly fall out of circulation and end up inert in someone's retirement savings account.
The government doesn't need to care about the size or whether it's growing or falling. That's all value-free, neither good nor bad. It's not like the desire is to see how large the debt can grow. Private savings are a 'leakage' from the economy, like net imports. The government has to step in to make up for that if you want to stop the paradox of thrift and keep the productive economy running at full effectiveness.
Then unlimited real growth of debt would mean unlimited real growth of GDP, or an unlimited willingness of people to sit on cash and never spend it. Neither is realistic.
Yep. That's why once you understand how it works, the basic outlook changes from thinking about "sound finance" (thinking there's a budget constraint that has to be balanced either short term or over some longer cycle, and thinking that monetary policy of tweaking the interest rate and composition of savings is the main policy tool) to "functional finance" (seeing unemployment as evidence of too small of a deficit, and demand-pull inflation as evidence of too large of a deficit, where fiscal policy of taxing and spending is the main policy tool and monetary policy not mattering much).
I was just talking about WoT a few weeks back and while the series as a whole was kinda uneven for me (tl;dr I loved the first four and last three books, it's
5-125-11 that could be so-so) I still have to say it's an excellent series overall. I think @SubstantialFrivolity is dead on in observing that the wait for the next book was a significant factor in making the slog through the slower-paced books more difficult for me personally as well. More generally, with a story of such epic scope, there's almost bound to be some characters that you're eager to read more of, others that are irritating and/or frustrating, some plot threads that you find really satisfying, and other plot threads that are b-o-o-ring to the point of tears. But even with everything we fans have to complain about, it's still a hell of an epic tale at the end of the day. I'd encourage you to stick with it a bit longer (although certainly pull the ripcord if it's not grabbed you by the end of the first book at the latest) and see whether or not it picks up for you.More options
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