domain:jessesingal.substack.com
ControlsFreak
4hr ago
why wouldn't similar reasoning prevent them from considering the Price Force to be like an army or navy?
Because you're not letting it! I want to be able to have (good) reasoning that does this! (Not terrible reasoning like "I'm imagining hypothetical people, and my imagination is telling me that they think things.") But you're telling me that it's absolutely Constitutionally allowed, because of the spending clause.
self_made_human
Grippy socks, grippy box
4hr ago
Not that I'm aware of. In the specific instances of Gwern, X, HN and a few others, I was able to track down the original link manually, or using Google search parameters.
mrvanillasky
Indo Aryan Thot Leader
4hr ago
I almost don't want to watch it rn and watch the remaining things after doing all of lynch's other movies.
Lynch was the best director in the US according to many, twin peaks was hailed by many as his best work. It's amazing.
zPvQINBQvfFR
4hr ago
Okay, so 'nobody' includes the very person making this story.
Isn't this a bit unfair? Earlier he said:
For one thing, almost no one is arguing total LLM incompetence; there are some neat tricks that they can consistently pull off.
From the quote, he doesn't seem to be arguing total LLM incompetence or denying that there are some neat tricks that they can pull off. He seems to be saing that they are insufficiently competent to consider the problems to which they're applied "solved by AI".
DirtyWaterHotDog
4hr ago
Rat-adjacent spaces have a soft spot for jaded psychiatrists with penchant for writing. I am not surprised.
During the great awokening, lots of niche forums moved to private groups on discord and slack. TheMotte is a rare space that has both open conversation and is publicly accessible. Goes to show how badly Reddit fumbled the bag.
rayon
waifutech enthusiast
5hr ago
we're at the "can seduce the most pitiful and low-status people among us" point, the normal reaction to that isn't "boy, that could happen to me someday", it's "boy, I'm glad I'm not like those people and never will be!"
Yep, same as it ever was.
I wonder how far that generalizes.
I think far enough that AIfus taking over and dooming the human race is not a very serious concern and (as suggested downthread) a self-solving problem at worst; I've made the point before that the most committed gooners I know are still not ready to fully relinquish the flesh, still preferring the real thing whenever possible. I acknowledge that maybe I'm still in the normie tier and have yet to see trve degen commitment where people wear fursuits to work or marry their 2d wives or something, or (more realistically) it's an issue of waifutech still being in the womb pun not intended, slapdash and jury-rigged, as of yet without serious corpo effort put into optimizing engagement and all the other joys of cyberpunk. So far I believe it's strictly an engineering/marketing problem, overshadowed by a larger testicular deficiency problem, i.e. nobody has the balls to actually stake the claim to the evidently existing niche. (Something something monkey paw, I know, I'm honestly not really looking forward to it.)
But even so - humans are status-seeking creatures, as aptly indicated by the first quote; I think even in the face of the wish-granting Orgasmatron, people will cope and adapt. As waifutech arrives in earnest, having a flesh-and-blood gf will be swiftly elevated into an essential status symbol, much like right now actually except magnified tenfold now that your average loser has access to reasonably woman-like substitutes; being a filthy toasterfucker will be as stigmatized, if not more so, than admitting to jorkin to text owning an onahole or something right now [insert better analogy here]. The thresholds separating normiehood from loserdom will organically shift, as they always do, so that Society™ keeps trucking along. So it goes.
In our previous conversation, Rov dismissed my argument saying if there was a conspiracy, the entire DOJ would have to be in on it. Isn't arguing for this level of incompetence effectively arguing that no, you just have to get the guy on the top, and the rest of the apparatus will be happy to bumble along, no matter how absurd their decisions are?
thejdizzler
5hr ago
Is there anywhere to see which pages actually link to your substack posts?
You can't build a Constitutional test that is just your imagination of what some hypothetical people might think.
All laws are going to require some amount of common sense to apply. "What do (sincere) people think" is an inherent part of having laws.
People have gotten this stupid idea in their brain that the spending clause authorizes literally any spending that the government chooses to do.
If you think that the government shouldn't be funding media anyway, then ask the question on a more general level: Could the government claim that anything whatsoever counts as the press, and then apply freedom of the press to it? Could it do so for religion or speech, for that matter? If the government could not apply those to anything whatsoever, why wouldn't similar reasoning prevent them from considering the Price Force to be like an army or navy?
MaximumCuddles
The world-spirit texting on the toilet
5hr ago
I saw a post on X saying there’s a subgroup of elder right wing millennials raising children as unreliant on digital consumer tech as possible with the implicit goal of preparing them for Butlerian Jihad.
I laughed aloud when I saw that, I hadn’t thought of it exactly that way but I instantly recognized it as right. As far as I know from my peer group growing up I’m only one of 15% of them that currently has multiple children, and of that 15% I’m clearly in the top 5% or so of how anti-tech I am and I’m obviously the most right wing.
My children don’t have tablets, or smartphones, tv time is very limited and monitored with an eye towards classic movies and long form YouTube content that’s purposely less bombastic. The only time they play video games is when we are all together and we play couch party games, and we have one laptop that is mostly used for my work. There’s no unsupervised internet access whatsoever. My eldest just got a basic music play that they have their own restricted Spotify account on.
They mostly draw and read from a big library, play imagination games and build things. We hike regularly, and spend lots of time outdoors in rivers and mountains and the beach.
It’s not necessarily a reactionary thing; really for me the goal is helping prepare them for an increasingly hostile environment by helping them learn to love being human, love their bodies, tolerate boredom, generate their own fun, act without being prompted, etc, etc, etc. they’ll need it.
gattsuru
5hr ago
The Texas law hydroacetylene is mentioning is Texas HB1181, which puts some potentially high fines on commercial websites that provide more than 1/3 material that is "harmful to minors" and don't have age verification processes (or who don't put certain notices, though that prong is still on hold and unlikely to survive legal scrutiny). While there's some vagueness to how the math happens, the actual definition of 'harmful to minors' is pretty explicitly limited to nudity and sexual acts.
I don't like the law, and I am skeptical both in the "I don't think a sixteen-year-old is going to be hurt by seeing a boob" sense and "I'm not willing to burn down the commons over it" sense. It's certainly driven some censorship. But I don't think it's responsible for the examples people are using here.
Itchio readded search and recommendations for NSFW games that had been deindexed (if they are set as free). As far as I can tell, only a small number of games were completely removed from the service, but they've stayed removed for new purchase (or download):
TowardsPanna
5hr ago
Getting good returns comes from timing the market as well as picking the right stocks/assets. You need to have the patience to wait for some panic like we got on August 5th 2024 and April 7th 2025. Then you must have the balls to pull the trigger and go in hard, when it feels frightening and wrong to do so.
If you want guaranteed mediocrity in return for no thinking, just do dollar cost averaging into the index.
People will parrot "time in the market beats timing the market" and "nearly everyone who picks individual stocks underperform the market", and that may be true, but that's because most people included in the stats don't have a clue what they're doing, and/or can't override their instincts for the unnatural behavior of investing.
self_made_human
Grippy socks, grippy box
5hr ago
Now that makes me wonder why more doctors aren't fat and/or drunk. Everything you've said about attorneys fits our bill. Maybe we're more health conscious (and I hope we are), maybe we run around more, or maybe we just sleep better at night from a clean conscience.
self_made_human
Grippy socks, grippy box
5hr ago
I'm grateful for Substack's ability to show me the sources of traffic. As I've previously mentioned, it keyed me in to the fact that Gwern himself had archived me. I was quite pleased to see a few people independently share my posts on HN too.
But, sometimes it raises more questions than it answers. Why are my posts being shared via the Steam forums? Why Slack? Who is using their company comms or a gaming website to talk about anything I've written?? I wish I knew, but it's a mystery that I'm unlikely to solve. I even saw Localhost:1881 in there, which I strongly suspect shouldn't be sending me any traffic.
After writing the above, I went back to my most popular article, the one about the effects of psilocybin on depression. Substack has 800 views from LinkedIn, 15 from Microsoft Office, 2 from the Brave browser (?).
I hope someone can tell me what the fuck is going on here.
RoyGBivensAction
Zensunni Scientologist
5hr ago
Recently, I have been reminded why so many lawyers are fat, drunks, or both. There are just too many days where the stress levels are atrocious, and as if dealing with clients/courts/etc. aren't bad enough, then adding in training and supervising other attorneys means there are constant small fires that need attention.
MaximumCuddles
The world-spirit texting on the toilet
5hr ago
”We’ve won, but at what cost?”
RoyGBivensAction
Zensunni Scientologist
5hr ago
I will post a review of Twin Peaks season 1 this Friday. Please do not post spoilers, even hidden ones.
Looking forward to it. TP, Fire Walk With Me, and then The Return is an incredible ride.
hydroacetylene
5hr ago
Texas is simply the largest state which requires ID verification to access a porn site- this de facto blocks NSFW domains in Texas, supposedly(I’m unwilling to check).
RoyGBivensAction
Zensunni Scientologist
5hr ago
It never once seemed to occur to him, or to anyone on the team save Villafaña, that the computers could contain evidence that would strengthen their negotiating position. It certainly never occurred to him that they could contain evidence that would strengthen their case to the point that he'd be able to ditch the negotiations and proceed with the indictment. It was also around this time that the FBI became aware that Epstein had photographed an underage girl at his home in New York. It was clear from the arrangement of the cameras that they would have captured sexual activity inside the Florida house. Most child predators possess significant amounts of child pornography. Had prosecutors discovered evidence that Epstein had transmitted images of underage girls between New York and Florida, it would have obliterated any Federal nexus question the defense threw at them.
This is the part that boggles my mind. Just incredible incompetence not to seize and search the computers. The kind of mistake a first-year prosecutor would make. And to be clear, I think it was incredible incompetence, not a conspiracy.
Also true with those same (or at least potentially the same) computer items resurfacing in NY when his apartment was searched and the FBI failing to secure them.
hydroacetylene
5hr ago
Uh, the victim that originally came to the law’s attention was 15- everyone knew that epstein’s victims were younger than 18.
That being said, thé law doesn’t get too worked up about Randy the trucker’s activities with teenaged prostitutes either.
FiveHourMarathon
Wawa Nationalist
5hr ago
No. This is Frederick Forsyth novel stuff.
The most likely outcome from doing so would be that the weird letter would be reported to the police/fbi/whoever.
Corvos
5hr ago
Your average environmentalist is a middle class college kid with an iPhone. They aren't giving up much of anything except maybe biking more and eating less meat.
The comment I've heard several times from middle class environmentalist friends is, "Of course, people are going to have to stop doing [thing I don't do]". Biking and recycling make them feel that they've made their sacrifices and they can happily start requiring things from other people.
ControlsFreak
5hr ago
No, it's an argument "people don't think that".
Facts not in evidence. Especially facts from our hypothetical universe. You can't build a Constitutional test that is just your imagination of what some hypothetical people might think. I want to know what the Constitution says. I happen to think that something like textualism + original public meaning is approximately right. I think a school of Constitutional interpretation that is "I imagined in my head what I think some people I imagined might think in a hypothetical" is part of how we've gotten into this mess, because it's much easier to change people's imaginations than it is to change the Constitution.
The government can spend money
This is precisely the point of why I started this all the way back here. People have gotten this stupid idea in their brain that the spending clause authorizes literally any spending that the government chooses to do. This is just simply not true. There are, indeed, precedents to this effect already. My point is that people need to be real about this.
Moreover, this undercuts literally everything else you've argued. The Price Force must also be Constitutional, literally the opposite of the thing you've just been arguing, because "that's just the government spending money". You are literally now embodying the worst position that must be eliminated.
Consider that the government actually has things like the Voice of America, subsidies to NPR, etc.
Precisely. The point of this whole entire chain of comments, from the very beginning, was to get people back on track to realize that all sorts of stuff like that are not acceptable. As I wrote:
You start here [with the Air Force] specifically because it is one of the most absurd places, where technically-proper formalism has not been followed, but everyone [like you] gives in and shrugs their shoulders because they prefer power instead. Nobody will have any real argument against formalizing the Constitutionality of the Air Force, either, so it'll probably get done. And that sends a message, giving you political cover. "Now that everyone has agreed that it's important to strictly follow the Constitution and formally authorize any deviations from its very limited grant of power, I'm going to start shutting everything down that isn't properly authorized unless you can get sufficient supermajorities to save it."
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
5hr ago
Did you read the effortpost? At this time Epstein's known victims were 18+ish girls who willingly sought him out to fuck him for money. He doesn't sound like a good person but I can see how it might be hard to get the legal system fully fired up over this. Seemed like the feds couldn't even convince themselves to get involved, understandably.
I've only skimmed so far. If this is the case, what was his re-prosecution based on? How was Maxwell sentenced to 20 years? Was she railroaded?
Oh, I absolutely agree that their actions are often superficial and having unreasonable expectations of others. That was part of my backhand comment about college kids with iPhones. It's much like wanting to lose weight but not dieting (outside of switching to diet soda) or exercising.
My point of disagreement was anti-dan's framing was that they're not actually motivated by a desire to reduce pollution, instead they want people to live worse lives for the hell of it I guess? Because they derive enjoyment out of decreasing the total happiness in the world or something?
My model is that lots of people want to have their cake and eat it too. That they end up eating the cake is because obviously they can't have both and base desires won out. I'm more objecting to what I see as someone going:
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