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domain:nunosempere.com

No, run. Treat those “opportunities” as lava. They’re but rebranded and/or higher class Mechanical Turk.

Know Your Worth is a cliche, but for a PhD in Math, $40 an hour is an insult. For an hourly position with no benefits, it should be deep into three figures an hour before a conversation even begins.

I and many of my acquaintances get regularly hit up with Exciting! AI! Opportunities! From LinkedIn-and-the-like thots—or excuse me—professional women with photos where they feel most confident to best position themselves for marketing purposes.

We used to chuckle at them like “hot girls in your zip code,” but we don’t anymore given the lack of novelty.

I am very glad that the person who built the house I own:

  • Installed a metal roof
  • Planned ahead for water flow, and intentionally designed the landscaping around it.

A big house like that might be hard to cool in the summer. I don't have any specific suggestions -- we can't afford a full house air conditioner, so we're all in the main room with the window unit in during summer afternoons, and use open windows and fans at night.

I'm decent at programming, but I don't have experience making truly functional consumer-facing apps

If you’re smart enough to get a math PhD then you’re smart enough to code. Might take some time but you can do it if you want.

I'm also pathologically terrified of getting stuck in a boring 9-5 office job that eats my life away.

That’s… the majority of what awaits you outside of academia. Especially if you’re restricting yourself to opportunities of the form “trading my STEM skills for financial compensation received at regular, reliable intervals”. Are you sure you want to leave academia? The grass ain’t always greener.

There are always people on LessWrong from bespoke AI research institutes posting about their work and sometimes even advertising open positions, maybe you could explore something like that? (They tend to recruit from within their own social circles but it’s worth looking into…)

Interesting premise let us know how it is.

Given the number of closures of PP in states that banned abortion, they do not.

Not the same person, but:

(1) I'm paying mostly cash, since I have it and I generally dislike the idea of taking out gigantic loans just to have the bank second-guess everything. Of the 220-k$ price tag, I already have 110 k$ of investments, and my brother has agreed to lend 40 k$ to me. While construction is ongoing, I expect to make up the remaining 70 k$ with my salary and (if absolutely necessary) a 35-k$ unsecured loan and my two 10-k$ credit cards.

(2) I drew up a rough design on my own, and then hired an architect to double-check the suitability of a few lots that I found on Zillow. The builder's in-house architect then made some small changes.

(3) I like insulation and heat pumps, and dislike closets and non-flat roofs.

(4) I bought the lot in February. I expect to get a construction schedule in the next week or two.

(5) The permit process has not yet started, but I don't expect much hassle. This lot does not have any environmental entanglements (such as a floodplain), and I certainly don't need any variances.

(6) (not applicable in Pennsylvania)

There's no question its a cross subsidy. The medicaid stuff pays for the salaries of the same staff and the rent of the same building.

lol, whatshisface

I would have guessed "Kevin," so I got the first letter right!

they made a competition gun that nobody was really considering at the time [and single-handedly ended the AR-15 Bad Because Muh Vietnam meme]

What does this mean? I know they did a "mud test" of both the M16 and AK, but not any other relevant thing.

GunJesus tries very hard (and succeeds!) at not taking sides in the culture war and keeps his videos and other endevours open to all. In this day and age, thats a very admirable thing and one of the main reasons he is universally respected.

It's great. Paul Harrell (RIP) flirted with a sign-off phrase along the lines of "the difference between citizens and subjects is that citizens are armed and subjects aren't" and I'm glad it was temporary.

Drinking cum out of skulls is, uh, certainly a choice

uh, did he actually do this, or is this a meme a la "Vance masturbated with his couch?" I looked at his channel, yesterday, and the SJ content was "Why Juneteenth Deserves To Be A Holiday" and "Why Is 'Guns Are For Everyone' Controversial?"

So... the abortions are subsidizing the Medicaid patients, rather than Medicaid subsidizing abortion?

A couple of thoughts:

  • Almost nobody is good at getting preferred behaviors from people who don't want to cooperate. Even good managers are not all that good at it, they refuse to hire almost everyone, and sometimes fire people when things aren't working out. Paying more sometimes helps, but there are a decent number of unemployable people out there. All of them were once children who's teachers couldn't remove them from class for more than about 10 minutes at a time unless they physically assaulted someone.
  • Almost nobody is good at social science research, including actual social science and educational researchers.
  • Elementary teachers are not selected for their educational research and testing abilities, they are selected for patience with small children, helping them learn to get along with each other, and the ability to work within a system that isn't all that well designed, where nobody can ever be expelled and almost nobody can be fired or demoted.
  • Individual teachers can't decide anything about curriculum, schedules, or class compositions. Which are almost everything. They can conduct classroom management, and do actually iterate a lot on who sits next to whom, sticker charts, fidgets, and so on.
  • "If I’m just doing a new process and don’t even bother to see if it works at all, it’s going to probably get me canned rather quickly, especially if when the results are measured, it doesn’t work." It depends on what you mean by work. If you have an unstable client who keeps freaking out and throwing things around the room and pulling random people's hair, and your method works to decrease that but not to improve other metrics, did it work?

I believe 9 0 is the most common result from all the cases no one hears about.

I'm not sure I actually believe this – the right runs a lot of parallel institutions that are better/More Elite than the state-run institutions. I think the actual problem for the right is a bit more subtle.

Some of it is that is because of how school systems work in the USA, local ideology often matters more than state or federal ideology – and since population centers are often leftie, figuring out ways to redistribute resources away from local school systems to the institutions (elite and otherwise) that are more right-sympathetic is a victory for the right. Uncharitably, you could argue this is school choice does (although the counter-argument it only works because, frankly, the generic-and-often-left-wing choices are often quite bad and many people would take their kids to right-wing parallel institutions if they could afford it).

Prompted by the discussion about aphantasia I started in on The Man Who Mistook His Wife For A Hat by Oliver Sacks.

I think the college level cheating stuff is kinda overblown. Kids have always looked for shortcuts up to and including hiring other students to write essays for them. We made college about the degree and get big mad when kids know that’s what matters and min max the system like old school rpg players would minmax Morrowind.

I don’t get cheating at a game.

That’s very different than a cross subsidy. A cross subsidy would mean the Medicaid stuff pays more than its prorated share of the staff and building usage. Given bottom barrel Medicaid rates I doubt that.

Maybe there’s a different take that their non Medicaid services aren’t enough volume to pay fixed costs and so the medicaid stuff fills out volume. But that’s a weak argument because literally every purchase from any entity whatsoever pays a share of fixed costs. It proves way too much.

So you want to pay the taxes required to run a criminal grade trial on everyone who is involuntary committed so that they can have their guns taken away by a jury of their peers. This would be expensive in a pure trial sense and because it would be slow people would be held unnecessarily - if you can go home after 4 days because the medication worked but you need to stay in the hospital (or be dispo'ed to jail/prison) for ....however many weeks to months it takes to hold an actual trial.... isn't that a worse violation of your rights?

I've seen some guides for getting cheap Ozempic but they seem specific to the US. Is anyone here in Canada? Have you gone through the process to get some and how did you find it?

In same way I hate using AI (vibe coding), but this seems to be the exact case where AI coding is suitable: one off project and not business critical

Although I think using AI for a prolonged period will lower your overall ability to code as a developer, or maybe I am just too old school with basically little to no IDE in my frequently used tools

Quoth Betteridge…

I’d like to see real data rather than relying on (years-old) reports from a notoriously punishing game.

I can’t say I understand the conflation of academic and game cheating, either. The dynamic is—or should be?—completely different.

Yeah, it isn't lost on me that this is exactly what happens to virtually ANY product that obtains market dominance, and stops having to care about the original, 'hardcore' fans and thus can try to lower the quality of the product to increase profit margins.

There seem to be a confluence of factors going in:

  • The mainstream audience can't really tell a 'good' fight apart from one that is, shall we say, merely 'entertaining.' Hence they watch Jake Paul boxing matches.
  • Similarly, they'll back a relatively mediocre (for the elite level) fighter over a technically brilliant, masterful one if the mediocre one has charisma and good PR. Hence (some) people root for Jake Paul.
  • If you truly stack a division with talent, then you'd expect parity in skill so there'd rarely ever be a 'breakout' star that people can rally behind. Every champion would lose in short order.
  • So there's incentive to optimize for giving one charismatic guy with decent skill just enough of an edge that he can run his division for a while and attain some glory, then lose to the next upstart who will occupy his spot.
  • But don't give the guy so much of an edge that he is handily crushing fights so it looks rigged.
  • And definitely don't let him get so successful and popular that he can start trying to dictate terms to the league itself.
  • Keep the pay high enough to incentivize new talent to jump in, but low enough that they're 'stuck' once they're in.
  • Also do try to reward guys who do entertaining stuff in the fights. This is what the BMF belt is about, no?

So you're constantly adjusting the equilibrium of each division to make them look competitive but get someone who can stand out on top, and give your guys reasons to be entertaining and go over the top but still maintain the integrity of the skill involved.

If I'm accurate, you can see how they'd be taking pages from the Professional Wrestling playbook, except they can't outright script storylines and hand-pick a fighter's career, and instead you have to try and wrangle things with a series of incentives and nudges and creative publicity and hopes and prayers.

Long story short, UFC is modern day Gladiatorial combat, without the lions and without the executions. Entertain the proles and plebians enough to get their money. Put on a show. But to maintain the reputation as a legitimate fighting league (and to be clear, I'm not saying they're illegitimate) the sport has to be governed by stringent rules and have reliable rankings and keep things to a certain standard, so they can't go all in on spectacle and entertainment.

So Dana has them partnered with WWE, and buys into stuff like Powerslap or more recently UFC BJJ so the casual viewer can get entertained without having to know the ins and outs of a fairly complex sport.

And maybe the goal now is to just have the UFC as the 'flagship' product but use it mainly to attract in the wider viewership who can then be siphoned to a more controlled, profitable product that they can just mindlessly watch without the investment of a hardcore fan.

Holy cow, I just now realized how Powerslap is directly optimized to be fed to viewers in short-form videos so they can be part of your average normies' slop-scrolling experience.

$200 for a Toyota Tundra

IMO this comment is way too uncharitable. It's like, 80% solvable, but you're right that solving it requires work. But it's actually a decent amount of work. I'd hesitate to call it laziness. I think a lot of people underestimate the typical teacher workload. Many teachers would probably do much better work and especially more efficient work if you increased pay by 30%, staffing by 30%, and reduced class sizes by 20%. (Part of this could be offset by slashing the administrative/pseudo-support staffing by 60% or more, but this still might require a net investment). This would give them much more time to plan lessons (instead of rolling out the greatest hits over and over without adapting to the times) and importantly, assign (and create) tests and homework assignments that are AI-resistant, if not AI-proof. It's just that these types of assignments and assessments are much more time-consuming to create and grade, plus as I mentioned the requirements to create them custom-tailored to your class and curricula make for the need to constantly be tweaking them (which again, most teachers don't have sufficient time budget to properly perform).

With that said there are certainly some school districts and even some teachers who are scared to fully grade work, but IMO most of the resistance is more from administration or parents, even, than the teachers themselves. A lot of teachers probably would prefer to hand out bad grades more, not less, current philosophy alleging this is psychologically damaging somehow notwithstanding.

Legalytics/Empirical SCOTUS also does a lot of really awesome work: here although they actually post often enough that some of the stuff like you describe sometimes gets buried

I see Tchaikovsky come up on /r/Fantasy and /r/PrintSF quite a bit, but almost nobody ever mentions Shadows of the Apt, which I still feel is his best work.