domain:vinayprasadmdmph.substack.com
Doesn't that mean you're that much more screwed if you end up changing your mind later?
It was a widely distributed meme when it came out, I didn't generate this. Fair enough though.
I thought it was relevant as it actually does a shockingly good job at illustrating why common folks with AR-15s can still exercise power, despite not having access to tanks or airplanes.
I'm also not kidding, as a Canadian who's always sneered at US gun culture/shootings, reading this a few years ago, especially the final line, "Government is scared of you" basically flipped me from "mildly pro gun but unbothered by new gun restrictions" to "profoundly anti-gun restrictions".
Government should be scared of us, and it's not scared enough these days.
I think 'personhood' in this context is mostly nonsense and everything gets circular fast.
Comes down to something like "It's okay to kill him because he's not a person, and he's not a person because it's okay to kill him."
Tangent, but I always wondered if a big part of the persisting popular perception of Love at First Sight and True Soulmates and stuff like that is just couples/parents downplaying their struggles after the fact to strengthen their bond and/or to reassure their children. Maybe I'm an outlier, but for me attraction (in a romantic sense) was never a 0-to-100 flash of inspiration, it was always me gradually growing interested in a person as I learn about their life and language, not noticing it sinking in until at some point the realization hits out of left field.
Maybe some people really find someone where everything is effortless. Maybe those people also embody the work advice "if you love what you do you'll never work a day in your life". Maybe those people are lying to themselves, or maybe they aren't. I have to work at my career and I have to work at my marriage. I didn't make the maximum effort and maximum difficulty choices for both, but I'm not sure the unicorn effortless ones existed for either, at least for me.
Do you think it was unlikely for rates of smoking to decline after society had shifted HARD toward embracing it? ...with a side of "don't tell me what to do"?
You have repeatedly heard from men (I will add myself to that pool) who can tell you from their observed experience that this is not true, that most guys around them don't have insurmountable problems either dating or getting laid, and that those who can't are not perfectly decent, fit guys with good jobs and stable personalities who are being rejected by the entire female population because they are all alpha-widows, but because there is something wrong with these guys.
Frankly, I believe my lying eyes more than I believe a collection of blackpill-curated stats from places like the Institute for Family Studies.
I'm sorry you are having such a struggle, and honestly, the dating landscape does look kind of awful right now (speaking as a guy who was pretty awkward and had a number of other strikes against me in my youth) and I am glad I'm not on the market. But the blackpill is not going to do you any favors. Even if your pessimistic assumptions are true, you ask, "Now what?" Now go out there and get in the game and stop making excuses, that's what. No one is going to hand you pussy or a relationship, and if you have to work harder at it than grandpa, well, every era has its challenges. You probably don't want to deal with the other things grandpa had to deal with.
No, the game is not rigged against you. No, there are not zero acceptable single women in your city. No, the solution is not to contrive reasons why women should not have agency to choose.
Sex Ed doesn’t prevent pregnancy in general- teen pregnancy is dictated by population factors.
I am using person to mean the general fuzzy concept of personhood and the rights associated with it. Most of us would agree that a single cell fertilized egg is not a person yet. The concept is fuzzy so you can't really draw a line on at what point the fertilized egg becomes a person.
It’s utterly unsurprising to me that Hispanics assimilating led to big drops in teen fertility.
Yes, but a bad father is much worse than no father. In the vast majority of cases, the worst fathers abandon their children so stats aren't enough to determine if in this situation having the parents be married would be good or not because they would be skewed by functional families. If the woman has little confidence in the other parent than that's a signal that they might not be good. Isn't it better to make it optional for people to be married in such cases? And if the father actually wants to be present then court can decide custody.
To steelman, let's start with a different hypothetical law: African-Americans are prohibited from using metformin, and whites from using topiramate, for the treatment of weight loss, and for the sake of the hypothetical, assume that both formulations are off-label. In one sense, these are neutral laws, where both are prohibited from using a drug for a given diagnosis. In another sense, they aren't: one race is prohibited from using one drug, and another from another entirely different one. Recognizing them as 'similar enough' risks a bunch of absurd arguments, like banning one from doing something very common and the other from doing something that's facially similar but never actually desired. Similarly, it'd be nonsensical for it to be perfectly okay to do these laws as one unit, but consider them discriminatory if the state enacted them piecemeal.
That doesn't necessarily make them good or bad policy. Hence some of the specificity in my hypothetical: there actually are some reasons you might want gender- or race-specific restrictions on those two specific weight loss drugs. But because the aftermath of Caroline Products is such a clusterfuck, almost everything passes rational basis scrutiny, and the exceptions are so unusual that they're usually treated as some special not-really-just-rational-basis example. Heightened scrutiny is necessary before courts even consider whether a law's motivations are more than pretextual.
((This distinction is kinda what nara_burns is complaining about as a distinction between Kagan and the other left-leaners on the bench: Kagan recognizes that this is still an early preliminary injunction hearing and SCOTUS has had relatively little briefing on the facts, so it's should still be plausible for the state to present support for the bans that would survive intermediate (or even strict!) scrutiny.))
There's a lot of flaws to this steelman: the Caroline Products footnotes are completely unmoored in actual constitutional text, what types of discrimination and categorization gets protected is a result of arbitrary coincidence or political demand more than real analysis, courts routinely put their thumbs on whether a particular law is analyzed under one framework or another, so on.
((It doesn't help that the majority in this opinion is muddled, even by the low standards of a Roberts opinion. Whether a particular patient can be diagnoses with "male-pattern hair growth" is absolutely tied to biological reality, but that biological reality is a result of sex. And that's the example Roberts picked!))
Christian understanding does not end at the Bible. Indeed the Bible says not to use itself that way (2 Thessalonians 2:15). This would seem to be quite a problem for Protestantism but that's beside the point.
The point here is that for a couple thousand years Christians have understood God's relationship with Israel to have been transferred, in a sense, to the Church. Early Christians understood themselves to be part of the fulfilment of the Jewish religion; that Judaism has become Christianity and gentiles have a place in it. They didn't understand 'Judaism' to be a separate thing from Christianity.
However, especially with the destruction of the second temple, the Jews who rejected Christ underwent a radical shift in their beliefs and practices, leading to what we today call "Rabbinical Judaism" -- not the same religion that (partly) transformed into Christianity and, indeed, a younger religion than Christianity, which fairly heavily and consciously defined itself against Christianity.
Within this rubric, what we today call 'Judaism' is rather a Christian heresy and no, there's no expectation that its adherents have any special role that Christians need to worry about. The Church is the 'True Israel'.
For non-Protestant Christians, having so many Protestants in political power is bemusing, frustrating, and sometimes terrifying. This case is all three.
Something's gotta give between
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Abstinence until marriage
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Marriage driven by choice and random chance relatively (25+) late in life.
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No fault divorce.
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A healthy sex drive in an individual.
I'm not accusing you of hypocrisy, I think I know what you'd choose. But at core those four can't, in general, live together. At least one has to go.
If you're just trying to keep your boot in their face, then it doesn't matter. Blow up their economic and military centers and keep them from building up. Sadaam was begging for a deal in 2003 but Bush was too stupid to make one.
It certainly becomes difficult if you seriously want a regime change or occupation.
I understand the covenant as God having had a relationship with the righteous Hebrew nation. He did not have a covenant with those outside the righteous nation. Not with gentiles, obviously. But also not with Hebrews (= pre 70 AD descendants of Abraham) who abandoned the Law and adopt gentile worship and customs. If having the tiniest shred of Abraham's DNA made you one of the Chosen, there should be more consternation in the Bible about the Babylonian captivity or the children of kidnapped Hebrew women, but those people are just treated as gentiles AFAIK.
I think God probably gave the Hebrews living after 33AD a grace period, but the He really underlined His point in 70AD, after which AIUI it was no longer possible to continue the traditional Hebrew religion as commanded by God. So, after a brief period, the Hebrew diaspora (=Jews) created a new tradition partially rooted in the pre-70AD religion. I don't think God recognizes this new tradition as legitimate, and the NT says that the Christian church is the new Israel. There's the question of the 144,000 in Revelation, but I don't really know what to make of that, maybe some special mercy for descendants of Abraham of good conscience. Or some people say it means Christians. I don't know.
Edit: IIRC God promised the Hebrews: land, descendants, a relationship (one god/one people), and a messiah through the line of David. The land is now the whole Earth (evangelization), the Hebrews have myriad spiritual descendants, the God/people relationship remains intact, and the Messiah is Christ.
True Marxism has never been tried, Comrade!
More or less by definition any given "ideal" is going to be difficult, and rarely is the True Ideal tried particularly hard, unless one's ideal is sincerely some laissez-faire muddling-along sort of thing.
only a limited number of kids within marriage, preferably but not always after education and establishing a career. He has no objection to "get married at twenty, have kids" as long as it comes with "have a decent job, maybe even both of you, and only have two kids spaced appropriately apart and not immediately after you get married".
This person is just making crap up and does not speak for me.
There may be a correlation, but it's not absolute. Mexico doesn't have a single tank or air defense system in its entire armed forces. Even if Mexico wanted to build a domestic military industry, they may not have the state capacity to do it.
Meanwhile Ukraine is far smaller in population but capable of fighting a modern total war on land sea and air.
History shows us that when Christianity was in fact being tried, we did in fact have better outcomes on a whole host of relevant metrics to the people yearning for Christianity. It was Christianity's decline, not ascent, that was accompanied by the degradation of society.
At what point do you think the US military asks Ted Cruz for population estimates in order to plan the next bomber run?
You obviously have no personal experience with the average white male county judge.
You yourself got +15 upvotes saying things that I thought were quite uncool, and very right coded. I was with you for the first half, but "The more pain and terror inflicted in the process" and "I want the fascistcore club music as a squad of red-visored faceless commandos mow down the rioters waving Mexican flags." are things I think should get you disqualified from being taken seriously on the topic. I don't mean that as a personal attack (I'm sure you're a kind person to your friends and loved ones, etc) but holy shit dude, what the fuck? The fact that anyone (let alone a voting majority) agreed with you is a pretty clear demonstration of ideological lean here. If you posted this on reddit (obviously quite left leaning) you'd be at -100 and probably banned to boot.
No offense taken, much like how you'll not be offended by the obvious retort coming up: your disapproval genuinely means nothing to me. You're right that Reddit would not allow this, as Reddit only supports violent fantasizing when it's directed toward the right. Replace "criminals and illegals" with "law-abiding Republican voters", and they'll foam at the mouth in support.
And yes, I got fifteen upvotes. I expressed myself plainly, took a hard stance, and stood by it. You can do similar! You'll find great success if you use the right tone and style. These sorts of posts, where you passively complain and snip at people, will almost always encourage a pile-on. Nobody likes snivelers.
Lastly, I'd strongly encourage you to not mistake "lack of progressives" with "abundance of right-wing". Almost everyone here hates progressives and progressivism. That's why they're disaffected liberals.
Posting a comment that is nothing but some poem ChatGPT came up with is not conversation.
if you really listen to everything they say and the actions they take and try and discern their motivations, then yeah, it turns out they really just do believe it
I think bribery is a much more accurate and succinct explanation, actually. I don't actually believe that Cruz would hold this opinion without substantial donations riding on it.
There are certainly parts of the American right for which this is a legit religious conviction, I don't think they're of much consequence today anymore versus MIC interests.
You don't need the US to be directly involved for that. Israel can handle it all on their own.
"Annihilating" Iran, Carthage (or Circassia) style, isn't on the table.
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