domain:natesilver.net
hydroacetylene
1hr ago
My keyboard is set for English/spanish/french.
I keep it to make it harder for artificial stupidity to imitate me- probably a paranoid worry, but c’est la vie.
gattsuru
1hr ago
I'm pretty explicitly spelling out why the alternative wouldn't be judged much better, given the background and details available.
ToaKraka
Dislikes you
1hr ago
What is ideal weather like where you are from?
New York–Philadelphia corridor: 70–75 °F (21–24 °C) and sunny
What times of the year do you like the most weather-wise?
The aforementioned temperatures prevail around May and September.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1hr ago
Kinda wish he put up his notes and sources in the video.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1hr ago
Which university professors and medical doctors willingly participated in...
No_one
1hr ago
What is ideal weather like where you are from?
Scattered clouds, 15°C and intermittent light breeze is the perfect weather. Not hot enough to sweat when walking, not cold enough to need a jacket, just perfect.
veqq
1hr ago
So you don't mean that Dewey talked to a small, wealthy, and unrepresentative set and made some mistake? Do you mean that the reporter, Arthur Sears Henning or the newspaper made this error? Or sample bias in early-available data?
Thoroughlygruntled
1hr ago
I actually think Vanderstok is an example of the same phenomenon. From Gorsuch's perspective, the GCA's definition of "firearm" may be absurdly broad, but that's not his fault. Democracy is the theory that the people know what they want and deserve to get it, good and hard, and all that. Just as in Bostock, the context the words of the statute were written are irrelevant to his analysis.
Maybe I'm insufficiently cynical, but I just don't get the same sense of insincerity from Gorsuch as I get from someone like Roberts. Then again, I don't think Gorsuch is much of a gun guy, so I can't completely rule out that he's just conforming to his peers' opinion that "ghost guns" are scary tools of insurrection undeserving of constitutional protection. He could just be an old school "I don't know why my old hunting rifle isn't good enough for the kids these days" NRA types.
No_one
1hr ago
There was a treatise and also some horribly smug memoir.
The clown part is that it took years for people to surface that crap even though half a day of effort would have found it back then. But that'd mean someone out there would have to be proactive.
TitaniumButterfly
1hr ago
My other thought was some kind of foreign language keyboard that makes such slipups easy but IIRC this guy is in Texas.
TitaniumButterfly
1hr ago
I mean I'm pretty transphobic but the whole reason this place exists is to be an open forum where people of widely-divergent viewpoints can have conversations and consider each other's perspectives. I upvote effort and sincerity. Downvotes are reserved for bad form, not for disagreement. This is basic stuff and it bugs me that even among our much-smarter-than-average userbase people can't seem to figure it out. Downvoting you for your perspective is the equivalent of rating an item on amazon one star because USPS delivered the package late. Real trog hours.
Also @TheDemonRazgriz since I'm coming back late.
No_one
2hr ago
Dunno, maybe autocorrect /word prediction simultaneously enabled for several languages at once?
TitaniumButterfly
2hr ago
Why is that e accented? I mean I'm a fan of fancy vowels and am constantly fighting the urge to use them, so believe me when I say I'm not bothered so much as titillated.
No_one
2hr ago
Man just noticed.. I should have added 'for sexual stuff and profanity' .. It has an impressive vocabulary but for swearing and lewd stuff it's not that great.
Gaashk
2hr ago
The MAGA base doesn't see it a "shilling for Russia". They just stopped having a problem with Russia when communism ended and see the policies popular in DC as incredibly antagonistic for no reason.
Yeah, that's been my experience of pro Russia rightists.
BreakerofHorsesandMen
2hr ago
and now they feel BETRAYED
Which is extremely low-T behavior and should be seen as embarrassing on the part of all involved. The best and most masculine, high-agency response is to continue taking power at the fastest rate possible and then take revenge once power is achieved.
Not to whine about it on the Internet and “take revenge” by willingly sacrificing all gains made so far.
Sad to see genuine reactionary potential throwing itself away. Many such cases, I guess.
guajalote
2hr ago
I grew up around many Christian Zionists. I think they would agree that "the Second Coming is going to happen when God plans it to" but would add that (1) God puts his plans into motion largely through the actions of people and (2) the Bible sets forth the outline of what that plan looks like. Because people have free will, it's therefore important for them to choose to follow God's plan as laid out in the Bible.
To them, your critique would sound a little like if someone said: "What's so bad about murder? Everything happens according to God's plan, therefore if someone commits murder that must be God's plan."
TequilaMockingbird
Brown-skinned Fascist MAGA boot-licker
2hr ago
Due to a brief alignment of opinions and goals certain parts of Twitter managed to convince themselves that they had real power and influence over the president and the wider right, and now they feel BETRAYED when the wider right tells them no you're just a stopped clock that happened to be correct.
mrvanillasky
Indo Aryan Thot Leader
2hr ago
You too doc. Fin is the single most important intervention. I was lucky that I did not heed advice from e Alpha Males for my issue. Did not know you had a substack.
Primaprimaprima
...something all admit only "TRUMP", and the Trump Administration, can do.
2hr ago
9 and 10 are hyper GOAT status for me, some of the best games ever made across any genre.
7’s alright, but even back when I played it for the first time as a kid I thought it was overrated.
I enjoyed 8 quite a bit more than you did, but that was probably just due to the spectacle of how much of a fever dream it was, rather than it being a “good game” in the traditional sense.
hydroacetylene
2hr ago
Yeah, thé single most hazardous job to have in the event of a military coup is probably ‘antagonistic, weird looking political pundit’. Other strong contenders might include ‘previous head of state’.
mrvanillasky
Indo Aryan Thot Leader
2hr ago
Different perspectives on weather
I was always surprised growing up whenever I would see westerners on TV talk about "Sunshine and rainbows". How can one like sunny weather. It cross 50 degree centigrade, the warm winds kill you and you are unable to do anything in the open at any point during the day until the seasons change. The idea of rains being sad or gloomy never made sense to me. My part of the world is made up of semi arid forets and sand dunes. North India has some of the worst environments. Rains cool things down. It is very common for people to go outside in the rain and its seen as a normal thing. 500 mm per year in the span of 6-8 weeks is not a lot of rain. Beyond the weather, the farming unfotunately is dependent on the rains and since there are no outdors here, you only see any form of green for two weeks post the rains end.
It started raining in the thid week of June here, we had showers today and the weather is nice. I can sit outside and soak in somewhat cleaner air. Apparently due to climate change, the rainy season in India is now slowly changing. The noth west has never been a place that got a lot of rain, with Rajasthan being home to Thar Desert. When I was in Chiang Mai last year, I noticed that the one month long rainy season in my city a lot longer than I expected. This was not a one off. Climate change has apparently, allegedly led to a shift in wind patterns, which means that the Thar desert might contract for real. Jaipur last year recieved more than twice its average rainfall.
This also means plenty of bad things. India, a place that lacks water, has floods each and every year. The roads are all jammed up as the drainage here is non existant. Mosquitos are everywhere so you would be wise to wear trousers and shirts 24/7 to avoid fatal infections. The internet is all shaky, most people, shops and e commerce stores have no clue what raincoats look like. Even during a time when people get to escape the extreme harshness of their environemnts, India finds a way of neutering it.
Which brings me to my real question. What is ideal weather like where you are from? Tyler Cowen talks about the distance from the equator being an important factor a civilization. Lee Kuan Yew called air condtioning a miracle as working productively in South Asian heat was pretty much impossible for most people. Hell, even Digital Nomading pioneer Pieter Levels loved Bali a lot because it had cheap wifii and aircon in most cafes where he would work in.
I have seen people post about Fall, some even like the snow. What times of the year do you like the most weather wise. I prefer spring but the wall of text above was to help others gauge why the subcontinent in particular has a lot of affection for the rains.
Culture war - bro podcast edition.
Sam Hyde was recently on Bradley Marty's podcast where he brought former mma fighter Jason Mayhem Muller. Two whacko wierdos I love who fell off came together after a new resurgence, Mayhem has a history of drugs and likely has severe adhd like me because he wouldn't stop interrupting.
Sam Hyde accepted the anti semite, admitted he was a Christian for the first time and started the podcast with jokes like "Bradley was telling us about 14 this, 88 that". Miller acted like a total dunce, a ie collar democrat stuck in the early 2000s. I was surprised that the podcaster got a quarter million views. Recently Joe Rogan acknowledged his existence after having denied it for close to a decade.
It's nice seeing Sam be famous. He seems a little bitter, yet he was one of the only ones who didn't cuck out back when his show got canceled. Just surprised to find him on a popular podcast. This was unthinkable 4 years ago. He gets Moores Law wrong but hey, Scott and lesswrong gets tech wrong too so won't say much.
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