domain:link.springer.com
fishtwanger
shirking duties randomly made up by people who hate us
48m ago
She hasn't had to do the trouble shooting or the general tech support we had to do, because computers are functional tools now.
Yes, this is huge. My aunt was a programmer back in the 1970s, and debugged programs by staring at raw core dumps until they made sense. I will never develop that skill, because I have access to tools that are much better for over 99% of cases I will ever deal with. Similarly, I use her old punchcards as bookmarks.
f3zinker
Its A/B testing all the way down
1hr ago
- Full outer join on table name
- Then just null and equality checks until you are there.
Admittedly I can't do this in Excel (because I don't use it), but it's a trival squeal (SQL) or any other tabular tool question
fishtwanger
shirking duties randomly made up by people who hate us
1hr ago
As long as there's a null option, which I hope would be called "Barabbas".
f3zinker
Its A/B testing all the way down
1hr ago
That's actually so much better than I was expecting. Whew.
You are much more cynical than me. And I am extremely cynical, but damn, still not enough. Failing this in any capacity is just inexcusable.
faul_sname
Fuck around once, find out once. Do it again, now it's science.
1hr ago
Well written.
I could say that for Blues, the problem is that your math might be wrong, and that for Reds, the problem is that you think you're in control, that your accounting of the variables actually correspond to reality in some meaningful way such that you can do math with them. I could say that Reds have a fundamental belief that death is deeply natural and that Good Deaths exist, and Blues, to a first approximation, view death itself as a pure negative and see death, at best, as a lesser evil in exigent circumstances.
And saying any of those things, I would expect Blues to disagree vociferously on all counts and throw out all sorts of reasons why I was wrong and uncharitable.
I have pretty blue tendencies, and this seems like a pretty good and fair summary of my views, rather than something I would vociferously disagree with.
Definitely some wisdom in the "yeah but all those calculations are actually bullshit" reminder though. All models are wrong, some are useful, many are harmful if you forget the ways in which they are wrong.
orthoxerox
I realized I can change my flair color to Barbie pink
1hr ago
The more we pay, the worse the candidate pool is, simply because it draws more normies that are in it for the money than geeks.
orthoxerox
I realized I can change my flair color to Barbie pink
1hr ago
Definitely video editing.
orthoxerox
I realized I can change my flair color to Barbie pink
1hr ago
Seriously? My Excel job interview question looks more like this:
- on worksheet A you have schema and table names and their sizes in the main DB
- on worksheet B you have schema and table names and their sizes in the backup DB
- show me all main DB tables that are either missing or have the wrong size
- bonus question: show me which schemas are completely fine
orthoxerox
I realized I can change my flair color to Barbie pink
1hr ago
Math is hard. If, in a few seconds, you can see the relationship between 30 mile/gallon and $3/gallon means you get 10 miles per dollar, so for 450 miles you spend 45 dollars, then you probably have enough quantitative ability to work a six-figure job.
You can take a few seconds longer and just brute-force the calculation through 15 gallons. I guess the problem is that using math to solve problems feels like work to a large percentage of the population, so they don't do it if they can get away with not doing it. Why keep a rough running total of your shopping cart contents in your head when the cashier will just ring it up and you can just pay with your credit card? If you really must reduce your spending, then you can just sit down, get your calculator out and do work.
MotteInTheEye
2hr ago
Hlynka has been hanging out in this space and its predecessors getting banned and unbanned for the better part of a decade now. The discussion around "maybe just a 3 month or one year ban would correct the problem" misses the point - there is no question of changing the way he interacts here, there is just the mods' decision about whether the good outweighs the bad or not, given the way he will inevitably interact. I don't have a strong opinion on whether they got it right or wrong, but any criticism of their decision should be focused on that question, not hypothetical approaches to get him to clean up his act.
aichanuwu
2hr ago
(I will be using movies and pop culture as a common reference point for ease of communication. This is not flippancy, it is deliberate)
Repurposed ship for amphibious landings (not port/dock disembarkation) come in three flavors: converted helidecks for air assault/aerial resupply (call of duty modern warfare style fastroping down a Sea King) , direct beach-and-disembark shore disembarkation from the ship (crash right into the beach ala Brad Pitt in Troy) or converted smallboat carriers (Saving private ryan style fastcraft loading/disloading). Technically there is a fourth option of staying offshore and dumping soldiers overboard to swim the last 2-3km to shore but that is especially stupid.
None of the Chinese civilian sealift capability is capable of any of the above. You can shove soldiers into a passenger ferry or a container ship or a ro-ro, you can't get them from ship to shore without any of the above dedicated landing assets. None of these ships China has supposedly 'retrofitted' have launch or recovery capability, so fastcraft is out. No one actually does beach-and-disembark because you can't use that landing zone anymore - once its beached its stuck, and thats if the vessel can actually shove itself right against the shore to disembarkation depth, and China simply does not have heavy lift rotary assets to staff up a converted fleet of helicarriers, nor is it anticipated to do so - conversion programmes such as they exist seem to point to a capability of making ungeared panamaxes into containerized drone launch platforms. Maybe you can get three Ehang 216 to transport 2 dudes at a time per ship per trip, but thats the best I can think of.
If China gets a port, then everything is on the table, but nothing in Chinas actual table of equipment or advertised future capability indicates actually performing a landing into contested territory. Again, the USA is super OP in terms of its logistics capability and this has become an underappreciated if not outright ignored facet of tea-leaf reading into Chinese intentions vis a vis their extant capabilities.
TowardsPanna
2hr ago
Thanks!
Hypothetically, what goods could I buy with it without running afoul of some KYC or other reporting?
dasfoo
2hr ago
I think that if you were able to secure Morris' testimony that he paid Hunter's liabilities as part of an agreement with Joe Biden to prevent bad press that would hurt Joe Biden's election chances, it would be a comparable situation. Currently Morris is claiming he made the payments out of the goodness of his heart and with no electoral motive. I don't believe that for a second, but in order to successfully bring a prosecution you'd need some way to prove that Morris is lying.
I trust that the State of California is doing their best to trap Morris into a plea deal wherein he admits as much! As it is, he has nearly run out of money and can't afford to buy more than 11 of Hunter's paintings. https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/15/hunter-biden-legal-defense-kevin-morris-money-00158237
TowardsPanna
2hr ago
We do have an asset reporting requirement for any and all crypto. Probably related to our wealth tax.
Buying any goods or services with crypto must be reported for taxation too. The amount used for the purchase would get over 20% gains tax on it.
Not sure what I could spend it on anyhow without risking being discovered, if I were to try to keep it secret. But I'm a perfectly law-abiding citizen. Yup.
HalloweenSnarry
2hr ago
No dual purpose vessel can actually load troops onto a fastcraft or RHIB so there is no means to repurpose civ vessels to vomit troops onto Taiwanese shores.
Is this in contradiction of reports/rumors of China bulking up a civilian fleet that can be repurposed for amphibious landings? Was that actually a "backyard furnace"-level boondoggle all along?
spring
3hr ago
They've just grown up with tools that work. They aren't shadetree mechanics because that hasn't been something in their environment. They know other things.
In your opinion what are these other things?
SubstantialFrivolity
I'm not even supposed to be here today
3hr ago
Sysadmin jobs haven't been maintaining systems by hand for the last 20 years (my entire career). A good sysadmin has long used scripts and other tools to help his work, and from there it's easy to move to infrastructure as code.
DuplexFields
Ask me how the FairTax proposal works. All four Political Compass quadrants should love it.
3hr ago
· Edited 3hr ago
Not so arbitrary; selecting for intelligence may have its drawbacks. The infamous paper Natural History of Ashkenazi Intelligence (NHAI) hypothesizes that Europe accidentally selected the Ashkenazi Jews for intelligence for 800 years, and that their population also got a larger proportion of genetic brain disorders compared to human baseline as a result. The implicit warning is that anyone attempting a similar result on purpose will get genetic brain disorders in the resulting population.
Some people try to find scientific refutations for this hypothesis (PDF), instead of outright rejecting it as “eugenics bad” and refusing to do science.
MaximumCuddles
3hr ago
Yeah, apparently his Reddit account is still active. He went on some big mountain climbing trip instead, which is less funny but clearly more sensible.
sliders1234
3hr ago
I think hive mind actually says average IQ is more important than your geniuses for a country level wealth.
My guess it’s because any country can do catch up growth (mostly), but having low IQ makes politics and institutions too crappy.
laxam
3hr ago
But they still have a clear path to a much larger GDP just by integrating rural peasants into the larger economy.
The rural population is aging faster than the urban population, is dramatically less well educated, and wages in urban China are rising too quickly to try a repeat of the world's cheapest workshop plan that worked in the 1990s.
There is still some steam left in that boiler, but not incredibly much and, once it's gone, it's gone.
laxam
3hr ago
Mainland China (and Taiwan for that matter) is going to be an extremely different place in 50 years. The demographic graying the mainland is going to go through is going to hit their economy like a flood of molasses and the 2070s are going to be exactly when they're in the thick of it.
The PRC essentially has until the 2040s to get something off against Taiwan, afterwards they will be struggling against the worst dependency ratio in world history. They have a good window between about now and 2035 when the American naval procurement cycle is at a nadir and they continue to grow competitive on hardware.
If nothing happens by 2035, nothing is likely to happen ever.
https://news.usni.org/2022/09/28/chinese-launch-assault-craft-from-civilian-car-ferries-in-mass-amphibious-invasion-drill-satellite-photos-show
You underestimate the Chinese to your peril. This is the biggest shipbuilder in the world. Is it hard to produce a transport that can disgorge landing craft and amphibious tanks? No. They can do this. You should inherently assume they can do this because it's pretty straightforward. Why is your model of China a country that lacks these basic capabilities? They can build a space station but they can't build a fancy car freighter?
Do I think they can succeed in an amphibious invasion of Taiwan right at the start of the war? No. But it's not that the Chinese military is 'crap', it's that it's a very tough operation they've never tried before. Nor has the US. The US has not fought a major power at sea since 1945.
One Type 075 can transport about 800 soldiers. They have 3 in service. They have a host of other amphibious warfare ships as well, type 072s and others... Many, many more than 10. Where are you getting these numbers from? They have an enormous amount of usable civilian capacity.
I can tell by your diction you have some experience here, normal people don't say tube artillery. We are looking at a very serious conflict with a very strong power. The Western world is not well-served by wildly inaccurate and overconfident denigrations of adversaries.
Consider just how much Chinese technology has infiltrated port infrastructure. We need to treat this threat with deadly seriousness, otherwise I suspect there will be a lot of unpleasant surprises in our future.
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