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domain:freddiedeboer.substack.com

And yet people have jobs, which they very frequently have to be at the next day. July 4 doesn't usually fall on a weekend like it did this year. It's not reasonable to insist that people can't get sleep when they have to be up the next morning just so that people can get hours upon hours of fireworks. 11 pm, even in your time zone, would be over an hour of darkness. 10pm would be similar in places I've lived. My stated timeframe of 10-11pm is a perfectly reasonable one imo.

And yet no one thinks about the dogs in Kharkiv and Kiev ... somehow they have not committed group suicide after 4 years of war. And somehow the dogs survived somehow for a hundred years of fireworks before 2015 when this madness started in earnest. And to think that almost all breeds have started as hunting dogs... I find the efforts to ban fireworks extremely annoying. The fact that they have limited success even in my god forgotten eastern european country is troubling. The more working class neighborhoods are still using a lot of fireworks but posh places are silent on new years eve.

Because, I don't think most traditional libertarians support the "men with guns forcing people not to act racist" part of the equation, and I think that is a central part of how the idealized form of modern American politics actually works in practice.

I still call myself a "state capacity libertarian" or "liberaltarian" because I want the lightest touch version of this in practice. I'm fuzzy on it, but I think I'd limit it to, say, public schools, employment, banking, and housing. Men with guns can force people to not discriminate in those domains, and then we can leave the people free to discriminate everywhere else in society.

I'm pretty sure that the forced integration of hospitals, hotels, gas stations and public schools that happened at gunpoint in the United States is the only realistic way that could have happened. I'm open to being proven wrong on this point. I would love to be pointed to real world historical examples of oppressed, othered minorities being successfully integrated into wider society without the state forcing the issue.

Also, I think the problem of petty tyrants is not limited to racism. It is just one of the easiest to describe examples. I think even something as simple as, "I'm the black sheep of my family, and the pariah of this small town" can be a case where petty tyranny makes living a happy, fulfilling life difficult. The anonymity of a corporation like McDonald's or Walmart makes us "exile-proof." Even if I reach my lowest point, if I become the most socially hated and cancelled person, the wonderful thing about Capitalist Liberalism is that it shapes us into interchangeable cogs, and I can still get a job at McDonald's or Walmart, and become a part of the background radiation of other people's lives.

Are you seriously blind to the idea that paying people makes them more loyal to you? I guess i shouldn't have brought up the "roman" thing because everyone wants to focus on the specifics of that example instead of looking for broader commonalities throughout history. Like-- do you seriously think the democratic expansion of the administrative state wasn't buying the loyalty of the permanent bureaucracy? This is the exact same thing, except ICE is a literal army instead of a figurative one.

No, we should, but it shouldn't include camps for children. Places like New Orleans should have buildings, they should be basically shanty-port towns for workers. Mostly single men. And they should get risk wages like high wire guys do, and probably should have a union that negotiates life insurance.

But children certainly shouldn't be living in floodplains.

just wanted to say, extremely here for the anti-dog content. I love dogs, but like 5-10% of people max who own them should own them, and you should have to have a kid or be a single male (saying this somewhat sarcastically, but not completely).

This is one of my favorite blog articles on the subject: https://mattlakeman.org/2020/03/21/against-dog-ownership/

I find activists in part evil because they never hold up their end of the bargain. On Friday, they will celebrate their hard won compromised victory and on the next Monday they will be telling us how the status quo is intolerable and needs changed. Every time you move the line a little, the next movement of the line is only slighter more expensive compared to the new status quo and the government has already admitted the alleged moral case.

I don't really understand how this makes activists 'evil'. If they believe in A, how is trying to get to halfway to A first an illegitimate way to pursue your goals. Compromises never constitute a recognition on the part of one party that the new status quo is actually desirable, merely better than the alternative, and this is always how politics has functioned. Most obviously, as soon as each thought they had the ability to put their cause in a better position, those both North and South who had acceded to the compromises of 1820 and 1850 were more than willing to jettison them.

  1. AFAIK noone claims that fireworks are deadly for dogs - rather that they are distressing and unpleasant

  2. AFAIK Ukrainians (1) care about people hurt in attacks (2) they took serious actions to reduce rate of this happening

The whole city is not within the limits of the Temple Mount, and nuclear weapons are made in different magnitudes. So this could conceivably be accomplished with negligible loss of life.

It’s not necessarily looking ugly or strange but the fact that someone can’t figure out that they look off-putting even though they could fix this with some work, is profoundly disturbing. It suggests something unhinged about you as you are the sort of person without anyone in your life to tell you such a thing. What did you do to drive everyone away? What other social norms are you oblivious about?

To be clear I in no way support stopping municipal fireworks shows. I'm referring purely to people setting them off in the street in front of their house, which has a significant component of antisocial jerks in my city. Official fireworks shows (municipal or otherwise) are perfectly fine and need no action taken at all.

"has no arms production" is distinctly different from "has arms production not relying at all on imported components"

"has no arms production" is distinctly different from "has no large scale industry" (which was not true either last time I checked)

You claimed "has no arms production" which is simply a misleading mendacious lie that you put there on assumptions that people reading it are idiots that will believe you.

I live in southern California and fireworks are going off for about a week prior and a week after the fourth pretty consistently. Though there's not a large Hispanic population in my immediate area but in any case it certainly is not just the day before or after. Last week I thought there was a series of gunshots going off until I realized the fourth was coming up. It doesn't bother me terribly except when its past midnight.

I saw a news story yesterday about California getting its biggest wildfire of the year so far starting last Wednesday. It struck me that if they ran a fake story about a huge wildfire starting the week before the fourth it might help people who start fires with fireworks show some restraint, but then I thought who am I kidding? It's possible people might think protecting the nerves of animals and veterans is a better way to tell people to stop than just telling them they might start a fire.

The crazy part is that the problem is obviously not the scheduled 20 minute municipal fireworks show that ends at 10:00 once a year. If you have sensitivities, you can just go on a drive for half an hour. The problem is the assholes setting off fireworks for months on either side at unpredictable timings. The first is enjoyed by many, the second is enjoyed only by the few setting them off. The first is legible, the second is not.

What is to be done? Clearly we must do something, and shuttering the scheduled show is something, so we must do it. How much will this help the people with sensitivities? Not at all, of course, because they suffer due to the second thing, not the first thing. But we're obviously unwilling or incapable of doing anything more about the second thing, so we'll pretend that this somehow makes it better.

To me it pattern matches with a bootleggers and baptists situation, but I can't immediately tell who the bootleggers are here. Is DJI behind this?

the equptment is NATO

Ukraine mostly fights with USSR leftovers and NATO spares. And unwilling Russian donations are in many areas comparable to what NATO supplied.

They are fighting an enemy in which every operation is run by NATO,

drop "every" absurdity and we can start to talk

thousands of NATO mercs are running things on the ground.

really? really?

They have effectively beaten NATO in a conventional land war.

They have problem beating one of the most corrupt and poorest countries in Europe. Yes, Ukraine has small-scale help from NATO countries that gave in the same comparable amount of money to Russia via energy supplies payment and some equipment, but nowhere at scale that should have been done.

If we would have Russia vs NATO in conventional land war, they would be stomped.

If you look for more balanced matchmaking, go for Russia vs Ukraine and Poland. Given how close Ukraine vs Russia is, that should have been far more hilarious.

Oh, I'm aware that what I want is essentially imperialism.

I've struggled with how to think about this.

I think that America's individualism and liberalism are highly unnatural and bad fits for human nature. That's why we had to have the wealthiest and most technologically advanced nation in human history, brainwash most of the nation for 13 years via school and media, cultivate a culture of ripping families apart through an expectation of moving out of your parents' house, and impose a taboo on cousin marriage to make it all work.

This is my difficulty. Once we've done all that. Once we've inculcated individualism and little L "liberalism" in the population, then it seems like you can have a form of federalism (AKA imperialism) that is compatible with a form of libertarianism (AKA doing what you want outside of what you're being forced to do via imperialism.)

But I do understand that the basic counter argument is that maybe we shouldn't strip people of the non-liberal parts of their cultures. Maybe we shouldn't impose an incest taboo, encourage the degraded form of the extended family we call "the nuclear family", and do all the other things that make the form of life we have in America possible.

I genuinely don't have a good answer for this. Individualism and little-L liberalism are the only way of life I know. I'm the child of two parents who both moved to different states than my grandparents, and I now live in a different city than my parents.

I've never known a collectivist society. I've never known a tightly knit small town community. I'm mostly happy, and a foolish part of me honestly believes we're a few reforms away from making this bizarre system of ours work with the 2 million year old hardware humankind is running on. But maybe the neo-reactionary and post-liberal right are correct, and it was all a doomed experiment from the start.

Intentionally bombing a mosque would be unacceptable even if it wasn’t a particularly important world cultural heritage site. And like @No_one was saying, it would lead to immediate massive nuclear retaliation by Israel and probably also by Pakistan and the United States.

I copied your post into o4-mini ChatGPT, without the last two paragraphs and the PSC idea, and this was spit out after a minute:

—————————

Here’s a proven, zero-Downtime–capable way to copy your Cloud SQL for MySQL database from Project A into Project B without dumping to GCS or exposing it publicly: use Database Migration Service (DMS) in the destination project, treating the source instance as a “self-managed” MySQL endpoint. This leverages private connectivity (VPC peering) so data never traverses the public Internet.

  1. Prepare your source Cloud SQL instance • Enable binary logging & GTID, and use row-based replication on your source: set log_bin, binlog_format=ROW, gtid_mode=ON, and retain logs (expire_logs_days or binlog_expire_logs_seconds) for at least a week. • Create a replication user with REPLICATION SLAVE, REPLICATION CLIENT, SELECT, SHOW VIEW, EXECUTE, TRIGGER, etc., per your migration type .

  2. Enable DMS in the destination project • In Project B, enable the Database Migration Service API and grant yourself the Database Migration Admin role.  • Ensure the DMS service account has compute.networkAdmin so it can set up peering. 

  3. Set up private connectivity (VPC peering) • In Project B, create a Private Connectivity Configuration under DMS → Private connectivity. Select the VPC from Project A that holds your source instance’s private IP; DMS will automatically peer its service-network VPC into that network. 

  4. Create your Source Connection Profile • Still in Project B’s DMS UI, go to Connection Profiles → Create Profile → Source. • Engine: MySQL • Classification: “Self-managed MySQL” (even though it’s Cloud SQL)—this bypasses the same-project restriction . • Host: the private IP (or public IP + authorized network) of your Cloud SQL source. • Credentials: use the replication user you created. 

  5. Create & run the Migration Job • Go to Migration Jobs → Create Migration Job in Project B.

    1. Name your job.
    2. Source: select the connection profile from step 4.
    3. Destination: choose an existing or let DMS create a new Cloud SQL instance in Project B.
    4. Connectivity: pick Private IP and select the private connectivity config you made in step 3.
    5. Type: choose One-time (initial load only) or Continuous (CDC + initial load).
    6. Test, then Start the job. 

DMS will do an initial data copy over the peered VPC, then (if you chose Continuous) apply changes in near real-time.

  1. Cut over to the new instance • Once the initial load is complete and lag is minimal, stop writes on the source, then in the DMS job click Promote. This switches your application to the target instance in Project B. 

Why this works • No GCS buckets or manual dumps needed.
• Data never leaves Google’s private network—no public IP exposure.
• Cross-project works seamlessly by treating the source as self-managed and running DMS in the target project.
• Scales to multi-TB databases with minimal downtime (CDC mode)

———————————-

Is it wrong?

people of slanted eyes are too.

Are smart enough? I'm parsing your sentence but the general tone seems dismissive, whereas this seems complementary. The slant eyes bit is an odd moment of bluntness for you.

I feel like when I was a kid we got thunderstorms all the time (various locations in California) but now it's maybe once every few years. Wonder if that's pure inaccuracy on the part of my memory or what. I miss the majesty; the sheer primal power in those storms.

Finished Sharpe’s Tiger by Bernard Cornwell. I’d love to read more historical fiction of this quality, especially set in India.

Louis McMaster Bujold is always a blast. Sometimes a little preachy in the later works, but great howdunnits. Miles, Mutants, and Microbes is a little weird of an anthology since "Labyrinth" touches on topic the topic but not as heavily on the plot points of the other two works, while Diplomatic Immunity is more dependent on Cetaganda than either of the other two stories.

DI can stand alone or as a sequel to Falling Free, but it's an odd editing decision, even by Baen's standards.

You see that Vorkorsigan-like tones more often in fantasy -- Diana Wynne Jones is a little less high social drama but similar -- but it does seem pretty badly underserved in scifi. Maybe some of the Ciaphas Cain series, if you're into Warhammer?

Why not set up a machine instance in one of the VPCs, ssh into it, run mysqldump against the source DB and pipe it to mysql connecting to the destination DB? The piping avoids storing it on a disk/bucket.

Why would the security team kill you for connecting to public IPs? Just make sure TLS is enabled and you're good to go. Also if both VPCs are in the same AZ/DC you're likely not going to go over the internet. You might not even go over the Internet between Google Cloud DCs.

Might need to ask an LLM for the right set of options to disable buffering and select the databases you want to clone.

Finished the Rhesus Chart from the Laundry Files. I am sure it were a lot funnier for me if I were a Brit, absent that it kinda feels the series are running out of steam. Started the Annihilation Score which only supports the conclusion so far. Maybe it will get better, but starting it I found it a bit hard to sympathize with Mo so far. We'll see how it goes.

This obviously doesn't mean that technical and formal mastery was irrelevant or unappreciated, but it was seen as a given for someone who pursued an artistic training since childhood and was considered inadequate to make a painting great without the added components of composition (which was tied to studies of mathematics and proportionality), ingenuity (where the term "genius" comes from, i.e. someone able to innovate and add), and especially subject matter - Botticelli being the eminent early example of someone who purposefully selected obscure and complex myths as subject matters because it proved he was a well-read intellectual and not a handyman.

Well, isn't that part the crux though? It's not that the "art scene" that only asks for craftsmanship is good, but that the "art scene" that does not ask for craftsmanship is bad. It's the same situation as with poetry and philosophy - technical requirements, whether it's the ability to paint well, to stick to a meter and rhyme in a way that tickles the unexpectedness sense, or to write out your argument formally, are useful because they filter out the uncommitted, the generally incompetent and those whose comparative advantage lies primarily in the social game of becoming respected in a subculture.

Poetry, nowadays, appears to be dominated by harpies writing free-form word vomit about their lived experience as a 1/16 Native American, and being very good at coordinating meanness towards anyone who suggests their poems may be trash or precious limited space in anthologies and events should be allocated to someone who is not of their tribe. If rhyme and meter still were table stakes for poetry, they would not be able to occupy the positions of power and taste-making that they do, because ability in rhyming and ability in coordinating meanness are not very correlated (and might even be anticorrelated because both take time to hone). I assume similar things are going on in art, though there whatever social games the monochromatic-canvas crowd engages in are less obviously entangled with SJ.

Picasso actually could draw when he had to, and therefore unsurprisingly was a good artist even when he drew weird cubist stuff. The golden age of art, indeed, seems to have been the period between the 17th and early 20th century, when craftsmanship was still required but no longer considered sufficient. (Some exceptions before that from good craftsmen that coincidentally also had interesting artistic visions, e.g. Bosch.)