domain:badcyber.com
Primaprimaprima
...something all admit only "TRUMP", and the Trump Administration, can do.
2d ago
I'm not sure I really understand why so many zoomers are so rabidly pro-Palestine.
Because Israel is white and neo-colonialist. In their view. And that's pretty much the worst thing you can be.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
2d ago
If bombing Iran buys us five or ten years, it’s probably worth it. I don’t think they can restart a program we just blew up and have a bomb in two years.
4bpp
Now I am become a Helpful, Honest and Harmless Assistant, the destroyer of jobs
2d ago
My understanding is that some amount of actual stealing took place and was admitted to early on (the 2005 end of the dispute), and after that it was mostly arcane contractual disputes which can best be approximated by something like: Russia was selling gas to Ukraine at well-below-market/charity rates while it was a puppet state, but wanted to start charging market after they had the revolution to bring in the pro-Western guy, which Ukraine couldn't afford (and they might already have been in arrears from before), and so UA decided to basically hold westward transit hostage to demand continued sub-market deliveries (and may either have stolen gas from transit attempts, or asserted a contractual right to take it; hard to find objective information); while the Western states, having alternatives and not liking the idea that Ukraine would be incentivised with cheap gas to not be pro-Western, approved of this process.
EU also didn't find any proof that the gas was stolen IIRC.
This means as little in the context as if Russia found "proof", since the EU wanted to back their own puppet. If we wanted objective information, perhaps we should have put an Indian investigative team on the case as they did in the Korean war...
True. But if you do your diligence, you'll find that we (Russians) were rarely good guys.
Eh. My reading is that at least in several of the post-'90s conflicts, their moral batting average was pretty average. I do think it was evil on the strategic level that they essentially wanted to keep Ukraine perpetually poor and dependent, though the exact ways in which they did it seem more business-as-usual to me; on the other hand, e.g. in Georgia 2008, I think they were morally in the right (Georgia shot first, and I don't see their moral claim to the separatist areas). Chechnya, and the quite possibly false-flag apartment bombings - evil, for sure (though I think the Chechens were/are also a nasty bunch, so it was black-on-dark-grey warfare like the US invasion of Afghanistan). In the case of Transnistria, I also don't see Moldova's moral claim.
More importantly, though, I think it doesn't matter because orthogonally to interior politics, the post-WWII US (and friends) is more evil than Russia. (I mean, just in this year, Israel has killed more civilians in Gaza than Russia has in Ukraine for the whole duration of the war!) I'd rather have zero tyrants on the world stage than one, but if we have to have at least one, I'd rather have 2+, so they at least have to throw some morsels to us in the NPC countries occasionally lest we all align with the respective other. When I argue against the morality of the US camp, it's strictly in the service of the implications of this viewpoint: a world in which every credible challenger to the US has been neutered is worse than the one we currently inhabit.
Amadan
Enjoying my short-lived victory
2d ago
It's about as close as you can get, and still, no.
Amadan
Enjoying my short-lived victory
2d ago
No, it isn't. Iran's political platform is explicitly and publicly stated by their political leadership and their supporters. We have some hawks who will not miss a chance for an opportunistic war. You are constructing a false equivalency. Iran and the US are not the same in their terminal goals towards one another.
atelier
Jimmys: unrustled
2d ago
Does McCain's singing bomb Iran to the tune of Barbara Ann while he was a sitting senator and on his way to being the republican presidential nominee?
faceh
2d ago
I feel pretty similar about Gambling.
Adults should be allowed to gamble.
But there should be some friction in order to participate, so I'd like to remove e.g. scratch-off cards at convenience stores and force all casinos into specifically designated areas.
AvocadoPanic
2d ago
US claims to have an interest in non-proliferation and international order
Kayfabe.
hydroacetylene
2d ago
I remember filling out the Latin mass survey. To note-
The population filling out the survey is not the same population attending the TLM today. The average TLM grew by 40% over the covid freakout. Obviously, these aren't unselected new arrivals- they're covid-skeptics who agree with large parts of the rad trad program. But still, those numbers are super duper outdated.
The rad trad fertility advantage is 100% due to the serious prohibition on birth control(which Shia Islam does not have). I don't know that much about Iranian social norms, they might be very similar to what rad trads have, they might not be. But 1.6 or whatever doesn't seem like an obviously out of bounds estimate for the TFR rad trads would have if we thought birth control was A-OK. It's not hard to find unhappily single people of either gender at the TLM- most of them conventionally eligible for marriage. The stereotype that our women marry at 19 is really only true for very extroverted, fairly bold, girls from very conservative families. For obvious reasons that's a visible demographic but it doesn't reflect the average experience(which is much shyer with everything that implies for one's love life, sends the girls to college and expects them to get at least some of it under their belt before seriously pursuing marriage[yes, really, rad trads are negative on dating during college], etc). Yes this is an example of the clerics telling people what to do and the people obeying(Humanae Vitae will never have anything negative said about it in our circles, ever- despite coming after Vatican II). But twelver shia islam doesn't have an equivalent to Humanae Vitae.
Getting women, especially young unmarried women, to follow dress code rules which are annoying is simply a hard problem to solve. It doesn't shock me that even genuinely pious Muslim women in Tehran wear their veils improperly most of the time because veils are probably a bit annoying and uncomfortable when worn 'correctly', and when everyone else is doing it wrong it clearly isn't that important.
AvocadoPanic
2d ago
We've already tried regime change in Iran, Operation Ajax / Operation Boot. 'Our guy' was so unpopular he fell to a popular Islamic revolution.
Which non-nuclear power do you anticipate they'd wipe off the map? MAD brought stability.
There hate for us is not unwarranted.
How strong is the evidence that this action will prevent them from getting nuclear weapons rather than convince them they absolutely need them and that we are duplicitous and not to be trusted?
hanikrummihundursvin
2d ago
It's right next to Iran's political platform of 'death to America'.
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
2d ago
Counterpoint: two really huge bombs on Japan made them surrender unconditionally
I am not convinced that US/Israel can even indefinitely prevent Iran from acquiring the bomb through targeted bombardment only.
The best thing about this question is there's no need to speculate, we seem on track to run the experiment and find out. !remindme 48 months
quiet_NaN
2d ago
And inside those facilities there is a shitload of nasty stuff that could create what sjw call toxic working environment.
The activity of U-235 seems to be around 80MBq/kg. Not something to keep under your pillow, but also not something where any reasonably quantity will kill you within minutes.
Sure, for the centrifuges, you need UF6, but even that becomes solid below 56 degree centigrade.
To get to that you would also require hydrofluoric acid and fluorine, both of which are definitely nasty, but also things you can clean up even if you care about the environment or the life expectancy of your cleaners, which likely are not issues for Iran.
Hitting the enriched uranium would be hard in any case. The Iranians anticipated the possibility of an attack, so the obvious thing to do would be to dig a kilometer long tunnel, and have a few people whose job it is to carry the good stuff to a randomly selected point in the tunnel every half hour. Unless half of your guards work for Mossad (in which case you have a bigger problem), this should work well enough.
I think the main thing to hit would be the centrifuges. They are not very portable, require a ton of power and supervision and are nothing that the Iranians can easily mass-produce, so losing them would really hurt them.
Of course, we do not know if the attacks actually hit them.
In the long run, I expect the Iranians to win this one, because it is much easier for them to tunnel through another few 100m of bedrock than it will be for the US to bomb through that.
The alternative would be to settle for bombing the entrances of access tunnels whenever they pop up, but that would be a long-term commitment.
remzem
2d ago
He's taco'd pretty hard on immigration. He paused deportations for hotel and farm workers, then revoked that, and is now talking about some kind of weird visa but not calling it visa system for them. We still aren't even deporting at a fast enough pace to undo the damage Biden did, let alone get rid of the 10s of millions of illegals already here.
ThisIsSin
Cainanites and Abelists
2d ago
In the early '90s the GI Bill generation was rising to power: this was inevitable.
But I do agree that the women themselves will need to fix it, much as men did for women in the early 1900s. The catalyst for such a cascade is one I cannot guess, and I believe that the current US administration's support is underwritten by a populace that wants to take an off-ramp from this rather than collapse like the rest of the West prefers.
kky
2d ago
the CDU/CSU/SPD coalition is basically trying to enact the AfD program, as far as migrants are concerned.
Mass deportations are on the table? This is news to me. Anything in particular you’d recommend I follow to learn more?
remzem
2d ago
He's already testing the waters for regime change
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114729009239087163
Israel's goal was never the nuclear program. Most people realize this is unlikely to end here that's why it's costing him so much. At best it'll be a frozen conflict until new made up intel comes out. Israel is already saying they have an idea where the enriched Uranium was shipped. Other people are pointing out that Iran has other bases under other mountains.
And I mean, the president that ran on getting out of the middle east and America First is now posting to make Iran great again? How can that not cost you.
remzem
2d ago
and if you lose the next few terms and the government is full of college campus pro-palestine types and Iran gets the bomb anyways, what then? This isn't a one and done. Iran still exists and has more incentive than ever to develop nukes. There are likely more facilities, new facilities can be built, etc.
shakenvac
2d ago
Seems like preventing a regional power that hates your guts from getting nuclear weapons is probably worth a dozen bunker busters.
CrispyFriedBarnacles
2d ago
This is just idle speculation on my part, but I feel like I'd read before, on the subject of Iran, that one of the giant, deep gulfs within the Democratic party at the upper echelons is the issue of the relative power of blacks, and the relative power of Jews. Just as a matter of deeply important sub-coalitions floating around. I think I saw this discussed specifically in the context of Obama, and important parts of his elite posse, so to speak - a bunch of them deeply resented how much power and coddling Jewish power got within the Democratic party (according to them), and they wanted to see the Jewish part of the coalition taken down significantly.
The last 15 years has been an unrelenting window in to how those groups take other groups down a peg - #metoo puts men on the back foot, #blm puts whites on the back foot, non-stop Pride month puts unsupportive religious people on the back foot. It's always about raising the salience of some public issue, forcing attention on it, and framing the split in ways that foregrounds a specific group and disfavors them. I'm not saying this is entirely astroturfed, either - I think it's something like a savvy awareness of how mass politics actually works. Smart, well-connected activists lay the ground work for narratives, plant the seeds, agitate in the right places, and then if they've done their job well and have luck on their side, other people organically pick up the threads and the whole thing snowballs.
I'm not saying, exactly, that this is all there is to the Palestinian issue. But I am saying, at the very least, that it does pattern match to a preexisting split in highly placed circles that is highly useful to certain powerful people. That's my impression, anyway.
ABigGuy4U
2d ago
It’s just aesthetically a very good axe for her to grind. It lets her criticize Trump, but also distinguish herself from the more hawkish establishment boomer-neoliberals in her own party. It curries favor with both isolationists and third worldist zoomers. And there’s little downside risk since almost no one else in Washington will listen to her.
faceh
2d ago
I had a reply to something about "progressive women having the most to offer over homemakers; they have degrees in journalism" which illuminates the issue perfectly- they think they have more to offer, but are only useful as an artifact of law- completely useless otherwise.
Yeah.
I really don't know how to get it through to a woman's status-seeking brain that all degrees are not created equal, and indeed some credentials are just fake all the way through. A degree in agricultural science from a state university can genuinely be more useful and impressive than a finance degree from an Ivy league, let alone a political science degree from an Ivy.
And worse, some of the most important roles in society don't come with a fancy piece of paper declaring them such.
Dealing with that will require tackling the education-managerial complex- it's a feedback loop, where the same women who benefited from the initial windfall are now in charge of expanding the problem.
Yep. But it sure looks like the early '90s was the one point in time we had the ability to adjust course as a nation... and most of the adjustments were in the wrong direction, it just wouldn't be clear until 2010 or so.
Picked up Cyrano de Bergerac without realising it was a play instead of a novel. Makes quick reading though.
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