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If the American empire isn't inevitably heading for its end already... Getting stuck in Iran would really do the trick. Putin would be cackling to himself.

it's just a grim reminder we should have banned tiktok ages ago.

As opposed to brainrotted Boomers who think women and minorities are oppressed.

They didn't need Facebook to come to that conclusion yet arrived at it anyway, so the problem rests with the people, not the technology.

You're absolutely on point that the early 90's was clearly not a stable equilibrium, as it still led us to where we are.

But, no joke, the change that I think screwed us in a few different ways was The Student Loan Reform Act of 1993.

You know that a post is going to be a banger when it starts out like this.

Probably causes women's standards to rise, they wouldn't accept a partner without a degree if they have one.

Indeed. Once a woman has a diploma, she thinks herself too good for a man without a diploma. Which is a problem, because more women than men are getting degrees.

Women start attending college more often. Which has them burn more of their most fertile years, and the added debt load makes them less appealing as partners and less able to support kids.

University educated women demand more from men, but offer less.

Men are attracted to youth, purity, and fertility. A bachelor's degree means a woman who is four years older and four years closer to menopause, not to mention one who has a negligible chance of being a virgin (college as an institution is almost perfectly designed to increase a woman's body count, first by making her break up with her high school boyfriend when they inevitably go to different schools, then by making her spend four years away from any sort of male relative supervision, then making her break up AGAIN when she and her current boyfriend find work in different states). And God forbid she falls for the grad school meme; talk about hoeflation!

At a certain point, this market is not going to clear. We have reached that point.

On an individual level, any father who is aware of these issues should seriously consider not sending his daughters to university. On a collective level, college delenda est.

Because Israel is white

Jews, Schrodinger's race

What's fun is you have factions on the left who deeply believe that they're white, and ones who take great offense to that.

There's also factions on the right who very much think they're white, or who think they're very much not.

And all for different reasons too, lots of fun

Thanks for the update! I don't necessarily have anything useful to say about it, other than that it does, indeed, sound cultish and destructive.

Israel manipulates, but they're at least capable of peaceful coexistence

While I agree that fundamentalist Muslims make probably the worst National neighbors, this is pretty generous to the Isreali's

Their history of perpetually expanding their settlements in the West Bank (at least they left Gaza) shows they're not particularly interested in totally peaceful coexistence.

world would treat Iran's nuclear program very differently.

If only there was some kind of agreement to monitor the nuclear program and help chill the situation out. It could be a joint plan between nations, it could be really comprehensive.

Sucks no one ever tried that

For one of the most nuanced conflicts in the world, no one ever discusses it with nuance

It's hard to fault Isreal for blowing up its hostile neighbors. They're hostile after all.

But it's also hard to fault Isreal's neighbors for being mad about getting blown up.

It also feels pretty straightforward that clapping Iran will make them want nukes. They tried to toe the line and use the threat of making nukes as deterrence. Their bluff got called and they got smacked.

Next time they get a chance to achieve nuclear breakout (and there will be a next time), they won't make that mistake again.

Hanania doesn't even have the benefit of being a stopped clock. He's confused and going backwards. The people who he's now decided are a threat, the so called "woke right" are not university professors, presidents, congressmen, CEOs, etc. They are frogs and eggs on X and the occasional podcast host. He's trying to re-calibrate against a basically non-existent enemy, which, even if it was to turn into a threat, would have to build steam for 30 years to get to where the woke left CURRENTLY still is with regards to power.

I was quite annoyed that I got more details quicker from the Daily Mail than I did most US outlets. Which included satellite images, though I can’t remember the provenance.

With that said I think if you look closely at the statements and rhetoric that we’ve heard so far, plus the physical facts, it seems highly likely this bombing run wasn’t enough for full destruction. They would probably need to pound it for a week to be more sure. Clearly the Trump admin is banking on Iranian peace seeking - I think they have a decent chance at it, but far from certain.

Some of the best analysis in this thread!

How long am I driving? 20 minutes in the icechest isn't too long.

Exactly.

We're not spending wisely. They'll hate us regardless. We should let the quarreling foreign tribes fight, and if we're going to dump money and weapons and 'intelligence' into the region it should be exclusively to Christian militias that they might retake the holy lands for Christendom.

Imagine the sci-fi plot hooks for aliens who only know groups by reputation.

Note that "marg bar _____", while literally translating as "death to _____", is often used as an idiomatic expression of general hostility; compare how N. W. A. were not expressing carnal desire for the local constabulary.

I'm not sure those positions really square with each other.

They don't really have to. Public and private solutions can fail for different reasons (though worth noting that both education and healthcare in the US are, like most developed countries, hybrid systems).

I saw the news of the strike and thought of you (<3)

Fair point from our discussion the other day.

I'm surprised to be saying this but Trump threaded the needle well. A bunch of MOPs and ~40 Tomahawks/whatever?

Small strike, big effect. Well played!

I am deeply and profoundly confident that while America might airstrike them many more times, US infantry/Marines (special forces who knows) will not touch Iranian soil in 2025.

That would be an unbelievable strategic blunder. The amount of weapons China and Russia would pour in... It would be so foolish.

We'll find out in 5 months!

Setting up a nation-wide panopticon is only as hard as is forcing the population, at gunpoint, to install the right brand of spyware app onto their phone.

And if we ignore all the other requirements, it's only as hard as the exceedingly hard and expensive part that will take a substantial period of time and be subject to all sorts of expensive disruptions.

Which returns to assuming the conclusion, or rather assuming you have the police state in place to pre-empt the problem that could prevent the establishment of the police state following an invasion.

Surely it makes no sense to blame TikTok for anti-white, anti-male, or anti-American attitudes on campuses? TikTok was first available in 2016, and I believe its popularity only really started to shoot up in 2018. Campus nonsense well predates that.

Yes, the Jews are unduly influential. The Muslims are also violent savages. These are not contradictory claims. The Palestinians have alienated every single one of their neighbors, ruined every chance at peace they ever have, and maintained the world's biggest victim complex while being the world's sorest losers. The average Palestinian is a regressive piece of shit who supports the cruelties of his people -- he's just mad he's losing.

And the Iranians? Olympic champions of terrorism.

They're feral dogs. Israel manipulates, but they're at least capable of peaceful coexistence. One wants to leech off a system, another would tear it to pieces.

I think it's simpler than that even. It just clearly fits the left's fixation on victims. Israel has power, Gaza does not. In the west jews hold disproportionate positions of power, muslims do not. They've been brought up on that oppressor / oppressed narrative and see every part of the world through it.

On the right it's like a reverse of that, they're anti-idpol as it's been used as a cover to be openly racist against white males for decades now. Jews also play the same identity politic games that blacks, muslims, etc. do. This is why they don't hate Israel as strongly (and dont' support palestine at all), they dislike them generally and in some cases if they've been radicalized (groypers) they hate them, but mostly they want them and their influence out of the country along with all the other minority groups manipulating the system for spoils.

Peculiar that despite the damage its been doing to young minds we only decided to ban it after it became a problem for Israel. Peculiar that despite all the anti-American and anti-white hate that flourished on college campuses we only decided to step in when it became anti-Israel.

Personal intervention? Not unless I was literal family to the kid, or similarly close due to other events. Adults trying to slyly undermine a parent’s agenda is a nasty thing even when well-intentioned. The kind of bond needed to trust that from the kid’s perspective is significant. Otherwise, it’s either not going to stick, or you’re gonna have erratic results because the child has no training or instinct to defend against grooming. From what you say, the parents do seem to be abusing the poor boy, but being quite frank, child abuse is a fairly common thing in various gradations and breaking out of the abuse is usually going to happen in or after puberty if it’s going to happen at all. Trying to break a five-year-old’s trust of his parents sounds like it could lead to some much darker places.

As for the state. Essentially never, outside of truly bright lines, like permanent mutilation or death. The state is so ponderous and ignorant that bringing its power to bear on something as delicate as personal relationships is incredibly unwise and guaranteed to yield destruction. So forbidding hormone poisoning and surgical mutilation of a minor who cannot consent to such things (which adult consent would lower them to merely, in my eyes, deeply unwise self-experimentation) well within the state’s purview, with little possibility of overreach.

Of course, this is from the perspective of one who would rather other moral busybodies and the cruel state stay out of the serious business of how he does good for his children and is willing to yield some theoretical power over the families of others for political consistency on that point.

But people also use it to re-load for parties, go from the store to their event, enjoy their new beer when they get home, etc.