domain:ryandv.substack.com
Fruck
Lacks all conviction
3d ago
Yeah the right understands the left better than the other way around. That might change in the near future though, because the right understand the left better out of necessity - it is more important to understand your opponent's theory of mind when you are weaker than them than when you are stronger than them.
SubstantialFrivolity
I'm not even supposed to be here today
3d ago
It would be rational if there was any evidence that paying that much gave you any meaningful increase in how good your CEO is. But I don't think there is.
DiscourseMagnus
3d ago
My personal theory is that it got to Thiel how often people accuse him of being the Antichrist and he wanted to deflect.
2D3D
3d ago
China doesn't care which tribe runs the ports, only that the trade flows. Balochis could exterminate every Pakistani but as long Gwardar port remains open for COSCO it doesn't matter. Similarly, choking down chinese cock doesn't matter if you have something they want like the Filipinos are experiencing.
Chinese supplies both rebels and Junta in the Myanmar Civil War and Thais as well as Cambodians in that war. It aided North Vietnam and then slapped it to stop the Soviet pivot. China is friend to all and none, uninterested in eschatological ideological alignment. I'm not even convinced Taiwan is a real desired conflict as much as it is an internal justification for taking the fight against the USN outside Chinese territory.
Rogue state proliferation is a major concern and that may force expeditionary interventions but for the moment the USA is keen to take that burden for itself. Ironically the most likely rogue state China is concerned about is North Korea, and that damocles hanging over South Korea and Japan is equally aimable at China. Pakistan falling would see India or Israel get nuked by jihadis, Russia falling would probably see Israel or USA get the brunt of it. In the cascading list of great satans the dispossessed third world wants dead, China ranks relatively distantly.
Skibboleth
It's never 4D Chess
3d ago
I don't wanna go to a tiny ass overpriced bodega. I want Walmart.
Comments like this make me suspect anti-urbanists have no idea what dense urban areas are actually like. I live five minutes from a full-sized grocery with substantial better (and higher quality) selection than Wal Mart is going to give me. I can add about 5 min to add another two. All three deliver as well if I feel like contributing to the downfall of America, and I also have access to dozens of more specialized retailers.
10-15 minute walk is doable depending on the urban layout but that's pushing the distance where you start considering driving.
This is half of why Americans are obese. (The other half is what they buy inside). If you're driving to avoid a 10 minute walk, it better be December in Minnesota.
Come on man. It's fine to say "I'm right about it", it's just silly to say "I'm so right about it that the other side is like phlogiston".
Get off it.
unless you think he doesn't believe that inducing infertility, wrecking the endocrine system, etc., isn't hamrful.
I'm not sure "inducing infertility" is a problem -- consenting adults can get their tubes tied.
As for the rest, I'd assume it's balanced against the putative mental health issues that come with untreated dysphoria. Just like many treatments have negative aspects, you have to assess the entire thing.
FWIW, I don't even disagree with you here, if you want to fight someone over it online I'm sure you can find someone on reddit to take the other side.
anon_
3d ago
wildly unfair to pay someone over 1000x what you pay the people who actually drive the company's ability to make money
It's not about driving the ability to make money, it's about value over replacement employee.
A bad barista can ruin a lot of customer's days, piss people off, probably cause thousands of dollars of damage before someone notices.
A bad CEO can destroy a hundred million dollars of value, maybe even a billion, before the board removes them.
At those stakes, justice is not even close to the point. It's rational to pay that much because the swing in value caused by that single person is immense. The difference between a good CEO and a bad CEO is easily $100M just by itself.
anon_
3d ago
If you only allow some parts of the money spent outside the US to be tax deductible
Presumably the money spent offshore is spent by a foreign subsidiary.
anon_
3d ago
Ah, but it does. If it were merely paying 2x the salary, that is something that can be budgeted for and just passed along.
Instead, you get the guy that you are paying to do the plumbing refuse to cut a hole through the floor for a shower drain because that's not in his trade specification. So you have to get someone from the carpenter's trade to come do that (for more money) while the plumber is sitting there being paid to fondle his balls. A half day later, you might have a shower drain. Or not, maybe the hole is in the wrong place (because what does a carpenter know about plumbing anyway). Everything moves at a snail's pace when someone won't do a tiny job that's blocking their progress just because it's not on a list somewhere.
A whole headquarters for Steph Curry's new outfit wasn't built in the Dogpatch because of this insanity.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
3d ago
In what way is the belief "disease is caused by bad humors" dispositively proven to be harmful in a way that gender affirming care isn't?
Guyatt doesn't.
Sure he does, unless you think he doesn't believe that inducing infertility, wrecking the endocrine system, etc., isn't hamrful.
sarker
It isn't happening, and if it is, it's a bad thing
3d ago
there's not really an event in the Olympics that has a pure test of static strength.
The clean and press is hella cool but if there's a clean in there it's not a test of static strength. And to be honest given the techniques they were using for the press it's not static strength either. Maybe someone could come up with some autistic ruleset for the press but who wants to see that? Just add a deadlift event and be done with it.
self_made_human
amaratvaṃ prāpnuhi, athavā yatamāno mṛtyum āpnuhi
3d ago
I was blissfully unaware of Tubi until I recently watched a YouTuber review the literary masterpiece titled "This Hoe Got Roaches in Her Crib", by the legendary Quan Millz.
Then I became blissfully aware that they intended to make a movie out of it. I can't help but add that to my watch list, it's a task that's impossible to fail. I don't know how you can make a good movie out of such source movie, but there's scope for excellence, through either playing it straight or the "so bad it's good" approach.
anon_
3d ago
The problem with this is that now you are a captive customer to that one store.
I know this well -- I lived in a "walkable neighborhood" with just such a store. It had insane prices, long lines and shitty product. I did have a car and I make enough that food & sundries isn't a huge fraction of my budget, but seeing far poorer families get completely ripped off by these people was radicalizing.
This is like super-basic game theory: a situation where most customers can easily change which store they patronize is one in which stores compete on price/quality/service far more than one in which customers walk to one and cannot easily substitute.
anon_
3d ago
Uh, sure? I don't think any proponent of gender affirming care seriously believes that there is dispositive evidence that it is harmful but that we should support it anyway for reasons of autonomy. Guyatt doesn't.
Then again, one can frame it about the difference between conclusions the data permit as compared to conclusions the data compel. I'm sure this plays into it.
Pigeon
coo coo
3d ago
Many of China's once-ghost cities and trains-to-nowhere are a good example.
This is, at best, a mixed example.
GoofyGoose
3d ago
Would it? Or would they just blame them even more?
In any case, I don’t understand why they should help. Help me or I’ll envy you and make things difficult sounds like extortion.
ThisIsSin
PC is for progressive-conservative
3d ago
Pawoo and Gab are blocked by most of the network to the point they might as well be their own thing.
JarJarJedi
3d ago
More like was escorted to the port of Ashdod and predictably deported. As far as I understood, no significant amount of any "aid" had been found anywhere on the flotilla. I guess the real aid was the friends they made on the way.
Skeletor
3d ago
So the Sci-Fi/Fantasy section on Tubi is pretty much interdimensional cable from Rick & Morty. Case in point, here's the movie Dragonfyre (2013).
https://youtube.com/watch?v=CaXAKE4jdhw
An army of orcs and shit want to invade the earth through a magic portal, but their conquest is repeatedly thwarted by a mighty wizard armed with terrifying magic, AKA the gun nut whose land the portal opens on to. This movie is like if Sauron got a portal to the ranch of some guntuber and the host of Mordor got its ass blown off by a grumpy army vet.
Okay not really, it's more like the shitty bargain-basement version of the movie you're imagining. It looks like some asshole youtuber made it or something. Half the movie is just violence porn of orcs getting butchered by machine gun fire while trying to set up catapults and shit, but these guys can't even muster the filmcraft to employ squibs, so it's just guys falling to the floor while 90's video game CGI blood spurts go off over them.
There's a American Indian shaman with healing powers who dual-wields katanas even though he's blind and wears a blindfold to make double sure we know he's blind. I feel like this tells you a lot about what kind of film this is.
Nothing about the movie's thumbnail or blurb on Tubi gave me any clue what it was about. It just showed a dragon and said some generic shit about orcs. I just put this on for the hell of it because I love Z-list fantasy trash and then things started getting fun out of nowhere. Nobody seems to have made any funny reviews of it or anything either, and I felt like telling someone about it, so there it is.
I expect not. It was easy to build for the longest time and then we artificially made it difficult. The current situation is the more anomalous one.
America has famously lagged behind other cities of the world in dense urbanism. So, we have a few decades of data from tall-dense cities to read into. NYC is the only exception in the US. and it is a good exception at that. Broadly, nothing catastrophic happened. Ofc, the assumption is that densification comes with an increase in aggregate local taxes and greater investment in public infrastructure (transit, services, etc).
I would like to hear the negative side-effects that you suspect more housing will bring.
IMO, The american youth starting to adopt a nihilistic lying flat mindset, and the lack of affordable housing (esp. in urban areas) has played a role in making it worse. However, building more housing alone is not going to solve this multifaceted problem. So, if the YIMBYs win, there will be more housing and nihilism will continue (if slightly slowed down). In 50 years, some may see that the nihilism and YIMBY movement coincided with each other and wrongly draw a causal link.
Building more housing is like fixing the Ozone layer. When you do it right, nothing happens. Life goes on, and people don't appreciate it because the negative thing never happened. Classic preparedness paradox.
To be clear,
build more housing != build more ugly housing.
This is a 5+1, and this is a 5+1. This is one of the reasons I am strongly against "affordable housing". Build more market rate housing, so the buyer can impose their aesthetic preferences onto the developer.
build more housing = building more housing in urban areas with a huge shortages.
Supply-demand is alright in most of the US. Mostly limited to Boston, NYC, DC, Miami, Austin, Phoenix, LA, SD, SF, Portland, Seattle problem.
build more housing != fit a studio into what used to be 4 bed, so we can all live in kowloon walled city.
build more housing != sprawl out more
More housing means more vertical expansion and more infills.
build more housing = build better transit.
That means safer transit too. (this is a huge issue between YIMBYs and Leftists. YIMBYs are generally pro-police and hard on crime)
Skeletor
3d ago
Writers on this show suck ass now dude, can't even keep character motives straight. No respect for the source material.
MayorofOysterville
3d ago
I'm very confused about this speech and Peter Thiel's religious beliefs. Because as far as I can tell he doesn't practice Christianity in his daily life the only Christian denominations that would accept him being a homosexual are very liberal and don't care about Armageddon. And I can't see him being an Episcopalian. It just doesn't fit my mental model of him at all and I don't understand how a gay German techlord is giving talks like an Evangelical preacher?
Unless it's some kind of Jordan Peterson metaphor thing? But it doesn't appear to be. Can anyone explain where this came from?
Forms of talk therapy are commonly and can be reasonably considered medical treatment as self_made points out with CBT. I have sympathy for the gay teens whose parents shove them into therapy to talk the gay away. I can see why that experience could be stressful or even counter-productive in cases where a predisposition works against the effort. *
I did not put 2+2 together until now, but I am moderately confident I know someone who had a hand in this law. Colorado has interests pushing for it to be the trans state. Apparently they are in dire need of lobbyists who can craft more sound legislation. Colorado thought it solved the the speech problem by limiting it to licensed professionals who could be doing a medicine by exempting priests or your WoW guild leader.
No one seems to have posted the text of the law in question or the transcript for oral arguments:
"CONVERSION THERAPY" MEANS ANY PRACTICE OR TREATMENT BY A LICENSEE, REGISTRANT, OR CERTIFICATE HOLDER THAT ATTEMPTS OR PURPORTS TO CHANGE AN INDIVIDUAL'S SEXUAL ORIENTATION OR GENDER IDENTITY, INCLUDING EFFORTS TO CHANGE BEHAVIORS OR GENDER EXPRESSIONS OR TO ELIMINATE OR REDUCE SEXUAL OR ROMANTIC ATTRACTION OR FEELINGS TOWARD INDIVIDUALS OF THE SAME SEX.
(b) "CONVERSION THERAPY" DOES NOT INCLUDE PRACTICES OR TREATMENTS THAT PROVIDE: (I) ACCEPTANCE, SUPPORT, AND UNDERSTANDING FOR THE FACILITATION OF AN INDIVIDUAL'S COPING, SOCIAL SUPPORT, AND IDENTITY EXPLORATION AND DEVELOPMENT , INCLUDING SEXUAL ORIENTATION-NEUTRAL INTERVENTIONS TO PREVENT OR ADDRESS UNLAWFUL CONDUCT OR UNSAFE SEXUAL PRACTICES, AS LONG AS THE COUNSELING DOES NOT SEEK TO CHANGE SEXUAL ORIENTATION OR GENDER IDENTITY; OR (II) ASSISTANCE TO A PERSON UNDERGOING GENDER TRANSITION
Helpfully, the law doesn't define many or any of these terms including sexual orientation, gender identity, and affirmation. Perhaps Colorado courts figured that out. I haven't. The Solicitor General argues that of course the law doesn't ban all treatment to change an individual's sexual orientation. That would be silly, because then the statute would also prevent the affirmation practices it seeks to protect. Only the bad version of A-B is illegal in her and Colorado's view, though it is not clear why this is the case to Alito. From oral arguments:
JUSTICE ALITO: -- a difference between the argument that you're making now and the argument that I thought we rejected in NIFLA that professional speech is a special category that's outside normal First Amendment scrutiny, but I'll -- let me put that aside and ask about your interpretation of the statute at this stage in the litigation. And let me give you this example. Suppose an adolescent male comes to a licensed therapist and says he attracted -- he's attracted to other males but feels uneasy and guilty about those feelings, and he wants to end or lessen them and asks for the therapist's help in doing so. Under your interpretation of the statute, is that banned?
MS. STEVENSON: So, Your Honor, our interpretation of the statute turns entirely on whether the purpose of the therapy is to change the person's sexual orientation or gender identity. If that minor --
JUSTICE ALITO: Yeah, what's the answer to -- what is the answer to my question? Is that banned or is it not banned?
MS. STEVENSON: If the therapist told him or he asked can you help me become straight, the answer would be it would be banned. If it was can you help me cope with my feelings as to how I am and how I want to live my life, that's permitted... This is the way we've interpreted the statute from the beginning of this case. It's the way both of the lower courts interpreted the statute. It's the way every state that has this statute interprets it. And the reason why is because the harms from conversion therapy come from when you tell a young person you can change this innate thing about yourself, and they try and they try and they fail, and then they have shame and they're miserable, and then it ruins their relationships with their family or --
JUSTICE ALITO: I understand -- I understand all of those arguments. What I don't understand is how you can square your interpretation with the plain meaning of this statute
[...]
JUSTICE ALITO: Are you suggesting that everything beginning with the word "including" is irrelevant? That just -- you just want all of that deleted from the statute
MS. STEVENSON: No, it's -- it's illustrative [...] But, if the -- if the minor wants to start dressing like a boy to match his gender identity not because --
JUSTICE ALITO: -- that's just not the way language works...
If you see someone receive talk therapy to turn themselves gay, well, you know that's legal. If you see someone receive talk therapy to turn themselves ungay you know it's illegal. Simple as.
I find it difficult to approach these concepts in a legal setting with any credulity. Sure, I usually have an understanding of what an individual refers to when they mention something about their gender identity. I have ideas on how certain identities are shaped, and an opinion on what extent a "gender identity" is "innate" or the result of repetition or persuasion. An opinion is the extent of it. Someone tap me when there's overwhelming empirical evidence that you can't talk the trans away.
RandomRanger
Just build nuclear plants!
3d ago
Klaus Schwab's nightmarish visage emerges on the projector screen, staring down on you like a god from on high
You vill enjoy fresh food from local stores rather than chemical slop from Walmart.
You vill have a healthy waistline.
You vill have a walkable neighbourhood with trees and park amenities.
You vill commute via bus, train or ferry in safety from lowlives - ve have dispersed them
And... you vill be happy.
Isn't that literally what you did when you dimissed hydroacetylene point about viewpoint discrimination in therapy by pointing out that medical professionals discriminate against viewpoints like "disease is caused by bad humors" and "disease is caused by spiritual rot"?
The restrictions medical professionals put on adults wanting to do this are much stricter than the ones placed on children wanting to do it as part of gender affirming care.
Except Guyatt's own research shows that there isn't really evidence that treating gender dysphoria helps anyone.
It's just an example. My argument is that your view of the medical profession is rather rosy.
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