domain:firsttoilthenthegrave.substack.com
lurker
7hr ago
I feel like there is a useful distinction to be made between witches and witch hunters. The most commonly ascribed issue with witches is one of moral or spiritual corruption. Witches don't want to destroy witch hunters, they want to convert them into witches. Witch hunters on the other hand are all about accusing people of being witches and burning them at the stake to prevent their corruption from spreading.
I think that blueskies problem is with too many witch hunters and not enough witches.
faul_sname
Fuck around once, find out once. Do it again, now it's science.
7hr ago
Agreed :(
sohois
7hr ago
Your first two paragraphs just appear to be quibbling over definitions. I don't really care what measurement scheme you use, abandon percentages if you find them useless. The point of the comparison is to show that the advancement in AI capabilities is on a completely different planet to AVs.
As for the comparison of investment, it seems trivial to point out that the difference in magnitude is due to the potential markets. If a company invented Level 5 self driving cars tomorrow, what would they get? You could take away human taxi drivers and truck drivers and some other logistics, and start taking a big chunk of the consumer car market. For a time at least, since other companies would be able to copy you pretty quickly. I'm assuming a lot of companies in that market plan to licence the technology for their revenues, rather than trying to take direct control. Certainly a big market, which likely explains a lot of the valuation for your Teslas and Ubers, but not unlimited.
The impact of a company announcing AGI tomorrow would be unimaginable, even if we assume a slow takeoff with limited recursive self-improvement.
More on (1), I'm coming to terms with the idea that maybe I should just buy a black bicycle helmet sleeve and sew the LED strips into that.
This way I don't have to worry about adhesion bullshit and also can do any arbitrary design rather than trying to fit the exact pattern of the helmet.
@gattsuru did suggest this but I was not ready to hear it at the time.
roystgnr
7hr ago
$16 billion on research through 2019. Their conclusion was that the whole enterprise was a money pit and that they'd never be able to climb out of. Car and Driver put this in perspective by noting that they could have given every licensed driver in America two brand new Ford-F150s and still have cash to spare.
Got a source for that?
$16B divided by 230M is under $70. That is more than enough for two sets of F150 wiper blades for every licensed driver in America, but only if we don't splurge on Rain-X.
Celestial-body-NOS
We are all human beans. Together, we will rice.
7hr ago
GNU Terry Pratchett.
Celestial-body-NOS
We are all human beans. Together, we will rice.
8hr ago
Yeah, they're very powerful. Once you hear their message- powerful enough to be condensed into a single word- all of a sudden your clothes (and banners, and even your cars on occasion) change color and you're instantly batting for the other team.
Roses are red
Violets are blue
...wololo...
Roses are blue
ToaKraka
Dislikes you
8hr ago
Jesse Singal is a journalist and podcaster who often covers "youth gender medicine", reading the studies and interviewing many clinicians. While Jesse is critical of the evidence base for "affirmative care," he is hardly some TERF or even a true & honest transphobe. He still defends medical transition for minors, even puberty blockers, believes being trans is a valid identity, and uses preferred pronouns for anyone he writes about or discusses on his podcast. (His podcast was recently featured for covering a story about the Tranch, referencing the Farms as a source. He and his podcasting partner Katie Herzog also criticized the mainstream coverage of Keffals v KF.) His most genocidal posts were his Atlantic cover story about youth gender transition, an article about Kenneth Zucker, and an article about transracialism discourse.
Yet for the crime of covering this topic as a journalist instead of a stenographer for trans activists, he is one of the most frequent targets of their rage and derangement, including death threats, slander, sexual fantasies, and false accusations. They have repeatedly thrown their own reputations and careers under the bus in the process. (Jesse himself is unable to resist a Twitter fight, and very willing to request corrections and retractions if he finds their work to be full of errors or harmful to his reputation.)
Ioper
8hr ago
so it'll work well for the conscientious owner and poorly for the lazy owner.
That may well be true, but its also true that the conscientious owner doesn't need an invisi-fence, so what effect does their availablity really have?
birb_cromble
8hr ago
For those of us who don't even recognize the name except as "Some Guy that the Motte talks about now and then", would you be willing to give some background on those accusations?
faul_sname
Fuck around once, find out once. Do it again, now it's science.
8hr ago
Yes, the fact that one of the three branches of government has decided not to do their job does seem to be the root of the problem here.
pigeonburger
8hr ago
I'd worry they can't meme well since "Gotta catch 'em all" doesn't really work for them.
JarJarJedi
8hr ago
The funny part is that this set of people is almost identical to the set of people that think America is irredeemably evil and everybody from a less-developed country is automatically morally superior to every American by the virtue of not being tainted by the evil that thoroughly permeates the American society.
faul_sname
Fuck around once, find out once. Do it again, now it's science.
8hr ago
... that sure sounds like "ICE is intentionally cultivating a particular narrative about who they are" to me. I don't get why people here are so averse to the idea that ICE has PR people and those PR people are decent at their jobs.
JarJarJedi
8hr ago
I am not lying to myself at all, if I choose to interrogate that impulse, I recognize it's because I like some fast food on occasion, and I can handle the downsides
How much research did you do on the downsides before you ate that meal? Did you spend a considerable time to be sure you know all of them, assign proper probabilities and weights to every single one, and properly value each and every single one of them according to the best of current scientific knowledge, and then also assign a proper probability and weight to the fact that the current scientific knowledge may be imperfect or plain out false, and add that risk to the calculation too? Or did you just think "yolo, one burger won't kill me, here I properly evaluated the risk and step into this with my eyes fully open now!"? If you did the latter, you are like about 100% of other people and you are fooling yourself. If you did the former, you are like about, within any reasonable rounding, 0% of other people and all other people would call you "weird" if they knew. And that's just a puny burger which, yes, most likely won't kill you (unless the luck selected you to be the random victim of the Burger Serial Killer, which is also a possibility - did you account for it in your evaluation of risks?)
If there is some kind of lie that's load-bearing for me to lead my life, it's not at all obvious to me.
Of course it isn't obvious to you. That's the whole point.
I might not always say the truth, but that's not the same as not being aware of the truth.
Do you think that you are actually aware of The Truth? I mean, that all statements you believe in are objectively true, and for every statement you can determine (if it's logically possible, let's not get into paradoxes here) whether it is true or not, and that determination would be the objective Truth? If you think so, you are either an avatar of God, or have a giant ego and are fooling yourself. If not, then there must be statements that aren't true and yet you think they are true. But you probably don't spend each available moment of time to find out which those are and correct them. You are fine with it being, more or less, as it is. For some people, one of such statements may be "What is written in the book of Mormon is a literal description of events that actually happened". For you, it may be a completely different statement.
TIRM
8hr ago
notorious transphobe, fascist and serial instigator of harassment campaigns Jesse Singal
Beautiful way to describe a progressive Jewish New Yorker journalist who questions youth gender transition. He's 99% on their side, so he's basically the reincarnation of Hitler to him. The moral purity and rigid adherence to a narrow set of approved beliefs is amazing with this crowd.
faul_sname
Fuck around once, find out once. Do it again, now it's science.
8hr ago
So if ATF started releasing videos like that you'd think it's fine and not a worrying sign about how they see themselves?
faul_sname
Fuck around once, find out once. Do it again, now it's science.
8hr ago
Or evidence that their optics are exactly what they want them to be and they're reasonably competent at cultivating the appearance they want to have. So far I see no evidence that ICE wants to cultivate an image of professionals who dot every i and cross every t, and quite a bit of evidence that they want to cultivate an image as badass thugs who are getting shit done in terms of kicking anyone illegal out of America, no matter who they are and no matter why they think they're safe.
hydroacetylene
8hr ago
We aren’t that, though.
Pongalh
8hr ago
Indeed there was an infograph recently of most popular social media worldwide and Finland stuck out as being the only one where Threads reigns supreme
RoyGBivensAction
Zensunni Scientologist
8hr ago
Being an atheist doesn't make you infertile
I agree it doesn't cause it, but the correlation is present.
faul_sname
Fuck around once, find out once. Do it again, now it's science.
8hr ago
but there isn’t really a replacement for illegal labor on farms
Actual visas for the particular types of workers you want to bring in would be the way a functional country would handle this.
Stefferi
Chief Suomiposter
8hr ago
I've been reading and posting on Threads recently. There seems to be an interesting division between Finnish Threads (essentially a hornier version of normie white-collar millennial Twitter, somewhat leftlib but mostly apolitical) and American Threads (dumber Bluesky). Threads is probably somewhat more popular in Finland than many other countries for reasons I haven't really understood, so that probably contributes.
Driving away your opponent is not fun. The fun is keeping they/them alive and kicking while forcing them to watch you butcher their sacred cows
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