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the problem for actual conservatives is what is there actually to do here?

Really, the problem for "actual conservatives" is more along the lines of "how can we claw anything of any relevance back?" The "real conservative" party is dead, Trump killed it, and publically so. Being a William F. Buckley fanboy is the surest path to a dead political career, and frankly good riddance.

I can remember several platonic female friends complain about women in their circles that no one was interested in, and then refuse to make introductions.

David Cole wrote:

The late German historian Martin Broszat, another highly respected advocate of the “weak dictator” theory, went so far as to say that Hitler’s rhetoric inadvertently (that’s the key word there) caused the Holocaust. As summarized by Mommsen in a 1987 essay, Broszat’s thesis was that “utterances by Hitler that stood in a primarily propagandistic context were taken by the party radicals at face value. What was meant metaphorically thereby became actual policy.”

Think something similar happened here. Rhetoric that was meant to be taken as overheated hyperbole ("abortion is murder!") became taken literally. Now you have the guy above who thinks 63% of women in his country are child killers or would-be child killers and oozes with contempt for young men who commit the crime of wanting to marry that cute girl four doors down. Pro-lifers should ask themselves whether creating such a person was a good idea in retrospect.

AIs are the perfect solution for exactly this type of laziness, and now have the capability to do this task without completely making up numbers

When I saw that I wondered why a token predictor was being presented as better than just guessing. Our brains are somewhat decent estimating machines. Not sure what value a LLM token predictor is adding to this.

He found a solution less trustworthy than "I made it up" (as reasonable back of the envelope order of magnitude estimates).

How does this address the point that Biden's decline was obvious at the time that the book's author was complicit in it's cover-up?

This hits on two points that I think apply to a lot of online discourse around dating.. The first is that in any competitive environment, playing in a game where the odds are not in your favor is dumb. Anyone with a tiny bit of quantitative background will tell you that playing slots at a casino is a bad idea. In fact, playing anything in a casino unless you have an edge is probably a bad idea. But those same people (assuming they are guys) will get on dating apps and then complain. Dating is a competitive endeavor. Those apps are massively stacked against you unless you are very attractive. So the logical solution is: don't play. Go find other options where you have a competitive edge. Is it fair? No. Why should it be. Is it harder this way? Of course, if it was easy, the app people would be doing it.

Which brings me to my second point. Whenever these conversations come up online, there's always a strong undercurrent of self-pity from a bunch of the people talking. And self-pity is death. I wonder sometimes what evolutionary advantage self pity-ever carried. In any case, it underpins a huge amount of the terminally online world, and is dragging society down with it. But for a guy trying to date, it truly is the mark of the beast. Women will not go near a guy who stinks of self-pity. And the isolation it breeds just serves to reinforce it. It's a painful cycle to break out of, but unless you're ready to curl up and die, there really is no other choice.

I think legislative efforts could be made without really compromising EOs - theres more than enough people "on board" now. Theres even all sorts of MAGA congresscritters who are presumably doing *something * with their time/staffers. And thinktanks willing to assist. What youre saying makes sense if Trump actively dislikes legislation (why?), but not if he just puts lower priority on it.

Biden's decline, a.k.a a chunk of his term being Weekend At Berney's-ed. The comment is here.

Edit: oh, did yoh edit the but about Original Sin in? I don't recall seeing it before. In any case it doesn't matter to the argument, the decline was obvious long before the book was published.

It will be, in fact, perfectly in their power to just continue Trump's policy. If they don't want that, they will be entitled to their decision, but it will be their decision.

Here's a good study to add to your arsenal in regards to this topic: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/367325876_Sexual_loneliness_A_neglected_public_health_problem

The distribution of the number of sex partners among American heterosexual men was skewed already, but in just ten years, the distribution of sex partners among men became even more skewed. During the same time, there was no such change in the number of sex partners for heterosexual women. Sex is concentrated within a small, yet sexually active, group of people. In one study, it was reported that the 5 % of the population with the highest number of vaginal sex acts (penile-vaginal-intercourse) accounted for more vaginal sex acts than the bottom 50 % of the population with the lowest number of vaginal sex acts. 4 Using the Gini index, it is found that the distribution of the number of sex partners both for men and women throughout their lifespan is as unequal as the distribution of wealth among the most unequal countries in the world (South Africa Gini 0.63 in 2014 and Namibia Gini 0.59 in 2015). The number of female sex partners is more unequally distributed among single men (Gini 0.60) than the number of male sex partners is among single women (Gini 0.58) although both male and female sex partners are highly concentrated among people. 5 While sex is not like money or wealth in every aspect, the lack of access to sexual experiences can be seen as a concern for distributive justice6 and a problem for public health since an active sex life is beneficial for people’s health and well-being. There are numerous studies that show the link between active sex life and our mental and physical health.7 On the other hand, people experience negative emotional effects when being without access to sexual and romantic partners. Sexual loneliness decreases self-esteem and positive mood in both men and women. Especially for men, sexual loneliness might cause anger and aggression, which can manifest violently.

Singapore?

The Hunter Biden stuff was true in regards to Hunter being a dirtbag but critically lacked the link connecting to Joe

An associate involved in some of their dealings testified under oath that Joe was "the big guy" referred to as getting a cut -- maybe you don't believe him or whatever, but that doesn't seem like an hallucination to me?

Hunter gave "10% to the big guy". Biden was pocketing the bribes. It is not all Republican fantasies.

Of course, but while it's not as strong as men's, they do still have it. I know because I know some women. I'm married. I have friends with wives and girlfriends.

I would not consider it strange for a single woman to, in her 20s, have a strong urge to fuck, at least once every two years. I'm not judging women by the same standard as men here, because frankly when I was single and in my 20s I had that strong urge weekly.

Combine that with opportunity, and it doesn't look extraordinary to have 5 partners in 10 years.

If the next administration has to reverse course for Harvard to win, that is simply defining away Harvard's loss.

you should already have investigated the claims against the previous administration, and you would have had no choice but to conclude that it at least looks fishy, and therefore you would have investigated it

I feel like I’m having a stroke.

If I’m reading you right, though, I think you’re jumping the gun. How do you know Ben doesn’t have a “bulletproof argument” for whatever it is you’ve got in mind?

Trump can yell at GOP congressmen, but that's pretty much all he can do. He can't rain fire and brimstone on them or flood them out. And the congressmen, while being very pious in appearance, are right now very reluctant to actually follow Trump's commandments (where have I seen this kind of thing before?) and actually do things. All Trump can threaten them with is to primary them (sometime in the future) and even that may be not that much of a threat for those who has a strong local base, and given there's 220 of them, nobody gets more than 1/220 of the fault if nothing happens, which isn't a lot of fault. He can't implement the legislation alone, and there's not a lot he can do beyond yelling if GOP congressmen are dragging their feet. He can't executive order them into action.

1/100? Maybe on tinder. They look like 7-8s not >9.9s.

You're doing more to convince me of the poor quality of the median man on tinder than of some great social injustice.

I'm 80% convinced you're just a troll.

They're smuggling because they have a chip shortage, and the smuggling isn't meeting all their needs.

Then why was there low utilization of clusters before Deepseek got popular?

Over time, sure. But Harvard may well win by hanging on until the next administration reverses course.

Having platonic female friends is life on easy mode, women love few things more than matchmaking. Prove that you're not a creep, and they'll send people your way.

Not in my experience. I have had plenty of platonic female friends, but none of them ever tried to set me up with someone. Nor (as far as I'm aware) did they do so for any other dudes they were friends with. I can only speculate as to why, though (generational difference? nerdy women don't get into matchmaking the way normie women do? who knows).

A lot of bodybuilder types are actually geeks / nerds. The best example of this that comes to mind is Dr. Mike Israetel on YouTube. Watch just a few of his videos and you'll catch the sense of humor; a little too dry, heavy on puns, self-deprecating in a very cringey way. He gives out excellent lifting and nutrition advice and I do recommend him for that.

But as far as personality, charm, charisma, and "game" go, Dr. Mike reveals the truth of a lot of gym rats -- they're weirdos who just autist'd their ways to the weights.

"Helps" not really in any formal sense. Republican Congressmen are not actually in thrall to Trump to the degree you seem to think. He got very little from the Republican Congress his first term (not even border wall funding!) and seems likely to get little from them his second term either. Key members have interests more or less orthogonal to Trump's. He could possibly pound the table and demand legislation, but I'm skeptical how much it would move the needle - after all, Congressmen are not elected nationally.

Maybe, but all they have to do is take selfies and go, “tee-hee, I love coffee,” which I understand is what they do anyways.

The majority get the hint eventually. Some have too much pride to accept that they're going to have to settle, but most women I know eventually figure out that soulful men with sixpacks and a guitar aren't strictly necessary for a fulfilling partner.

Of course, (attractive) men do have it easier. A 40 year old man has far more prospects than a 40 year old woman, and can compensate for age and waning looks with things like money and prestige. Those hold far less value for women.